Newbie 573: The Bourne Identity - Game Over!
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Hallo!
As you've likely caught on by now, this early stage is known as random voting stage. Everyone usually casts a vote based on little or no information, (because there's little or no information to be had) and discussion proceeds from there. Just because there's little infomation doesn't mean there's none though. Try to figure out what you can already deduce from people's "random" choices.
While we're waiting for some of you to pop in and do or (re-do) your votes, some questions:
1. How many of you have played mafia online before.
2. How many of you play it in real life at parties or with a werewolf cardgame or whatever, but have never played it before?
3. How many of you would know what we meant if we said WIFOM?
4. How did you stumble on mafiascum.net?
Also, just so you know, The typical length of a newbie game in real days is going to be somewhere between one to two real world months.
When you get past the newbie game stage a lot of people on this site, like myself and Adel, choose to play in more than one game at once thereby giving you more to do each real life day and helping you stay engaged.
Anyway, try to post at least once per real life day or more (more is good!) and treat the game as a commitment. It's a lot more fun that way.
Flaking/Quitting: If you're ever thinking of quitting, first, please don't. Just post pointed questions and accusatons instead. Stir the pot.
If you do decide you dont want to play anymore, please send a message to the mod so we dont have to spend four days guessing about where you went. It's just courtesy. Just because it's the internet and you're anonymous, doesn't mean you have to be a douche.-
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@Oierw - Why did you FOS us and not vote? Scared to commit? What should that tell me about your alignment?
@Cat Herder - Serious about voting Adel... do you generally think it's a good idea to just vote the people who vote for you, first? Let's see.Unvote. Vote Cat Herder. Why would he do that, what would that tell you about his alignment?
@all - Do you think Lord_Hur is trying to be my buddy buddy? Why would he do that? What does that tell you about his alignment?
By the way, I love cats. Does that mean I'm scum with Cat Herder?
This is WIFOM
Answer my questions, plz.-
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Now my brain hurts. That's my point. You may "know" you're townie but I don't. your sarcastic answer to me with the rolling eyes included the statement that you don't even know my alignment. But I have no way of knowing whether you know my alignment or not. That's all.lord_hur wrote:
Hmm you answered your own question :/ only by being scum you would know that i'm townie, and thus don't know your alignment.cicero wrote: On the other question, how do I know you don't know my alignment? Scum in this setup know everyone's alignment.-
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Haha. That's ok.
The idea behind asking my questions - that arent related to anyone's guilt or innocence - was just to get an idea of how new the players really were. When you said you wanted my answers above I thought you were meaning my "suspicion based" questions. Those are the ones I wanted to wait to answer.
In terms of my experience questions:
1. Ive played lots of mafia before.
2. Only online.
3. I know WIFOM
4. an old girlfriend told me about mafia games. Then I found mafiascum.net off the wikipedia link.-
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No actually. I didnt ask those questions for strategic reasons at all. And would have asked them as scum. I asked them so I could gauge my play explanations. I didnt want to be patronising if you guys were all on, or mostly on, third newbie games, or were experienced players from other sites or from offline. I didnt want to assume anything about experience level, basically.
The things I've done as pro-town are ask a bunch of questions to get people talking. But Im still waiting for some of our co-players to show up and get involved. The more time it takes them to do so the more I'll assume they have something to hide.-
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Adel is right. So, I often check to see if someone is busy elsewhere on the site. But I also pester and harass people into posting if I can. I have a certain reputation here for loathing lurkers. I also dont just raise up my hands and give up if someone say's they're busy at home. That'll do for a bit, but ultimately if you cant invest time in a game, you should get replaced. And on more than one occasion someone has claimed "busy" and turned up scum. The trick, I guess, is deciding whether your gut tells you they are telling the truth. Scum DO have an instinctive natural tendency to post less, because you can screw up in any post. Posting means attention to you, and attention to you means more scrutiny and scrutiny can up your chance of finding yourself at the end of a hangman's noose. So looking at the people who are hesitant to post or overly cautious is a good thing imho.lord_hur wrote:- How do you know someone is not posting because he has something to hide, as opposed to having a natural tendency to be reserved, trying to not get attention cause he has a power role, or even having a busy period IRL ?
Also, you mention power roles. As a power role, you might think the best thing you can do is just not post, but that's not always good strategy. When I'm scum, I'll often shoot a really quiet player at night simply because it doesnt leave much trail. I call it "shooting in the corner". Being quiet can make you more conspicuous in some ways.
But all of this is contextual. There's no right move and wrong move. You just need to look at the game as you see it, size up the other players, and make the best moves your brain can think of under the circumstances.-
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Can you expand on this line of thought? What are his good answers, why are they good, and what makes posts gave rise to your feeling?Musher333 wrote:@cierco- i guess when i have reread lord_hurs posts he has covered his mistakes with good answers, i dont know why but i just have a hunch that he is scum, he may not be i just have a feeling.
Why didnt you answer my question when I posed it to you... but are in like a jackrabbit once I ask Adel and get the answer I expected?-
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Heya, MSK. Welcome to the game. Do you mean AFK until saturday or on Saturday? It's no problem being AFK on saturday. Thanks for letting us know. (it's not really a problem being AFK until saturday either so long as you let us know.)MSK wrote:I'll bandwagon and go for Adel.
btw, will probably be afk for Saturday, is that alright?
What's your reason for bandwagoning Adel? If you want to bandwagon her, why didnt you vote her? What did you hope to accomplish with that post?-
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Sorry, still new to the game.What's your reason for bandwagoning Adel? If you want to bandwagon her, why didnt you vote her? What did you hope to accomplish with that post?
Vote: AdelUnvote. Vote MSK
Clearly.
You didnt answer my question and you put Adel at L-1. (one vote from lynch). You have much to learn, young padawan.
Quote tag fixed -- Stoofer-
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I'm not sure. I imagine you found this:
to be genuine? The desire for information?I saw that Adel was close to being lynched and I knew we didn't have any information to go on yet, so I voted for him on the chance that he actually is scum.
I note the gender mix up but all that tells me is that you are a bit less likely to be scumbuddies together.
Other than that, I don't know.-
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Then you did this:Mod wrote: Vote Count
Adel: 2 (the_cat_herder cicero)
the_cat_herder: 1 (Adel )
Musher333: 1 (lord_hur)
lord_hur: (Musher333 )
Not voting: 2 (MSK oierw)
Then I did this:Adel wrote: unvote: vote MSK
for being gutsy newbie scum.
With no intervening votes that I see.cicero wrote:Unvote. Vote MSK
0 + 1 + 1 = 2.
L-1 =3
I checked before I did it, actually. Is there something I missed or was there a problem with Stoofer's vote count? Then there was an FOS by Cat Herder and your unvote.
So I'm not following.-
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Um... what?MSK wrote:
That's exactly my reasoning.lord_hur wrote:
That's very very poor logic... anyone has an equal chance of being scum (scums are randomly selected right?).MSK wrote:I saw that Adel was close to being lynched and I knew we didn't have any information to go on yet, so I voted for him on the chance that he actually is scum.
(ps. You should all put up avatar pictures n' stay awhile )-
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K, MSK: With 7 players, no doctor and a day start (games here can either start in the Nightkill "night" phase or the daykill "day" phase):MSK wrote:I just voted Adel to get someone lynched, as we have no evidence either way on anybody.
Day 1: 7 players - Lynch wrong - nightkill day 1
Day 2: 5 players - 3 townies 2 scum. Lynch wrong Nightkill
Day 3: Game over
What does that tell you about the result of lynching just anyone for information on day 1 in a game this small?
It means we start day 2 in a "Lynch Right or Lose" situation. Very dangerous. That's why a lot of discussion on day one is a good thing. It's also why you need to find better ways of getting information than killing.
Think of the cop as a bonus not as a dependable crutch.
As for a No Lynch, Adel is much smarter than I am mathematically but basically.
Day 1: 7 Players - No lynch Nightkill
Day 2: 6 Players - 4 Townies 2 scum lynch wrong Nightkill
Day 3: Game over. (2 townies and 2 scum alive means town doesnt have enough votes to lynch)
So a no lynch, I think, just ups your odds of losing as town by keeping an extra townie alive. 40% vs. 33% straight shot at hitting scum all other things being equal on day 2. By keeping an extra player around you also lower the cops odds of hitting scum. (1 in 7 vs 1 in 6)
So both scenarios are bad but a mislynch is better than a No Lynch. But really both options suck.
In short. We gotta try really hard to lynch right. Today. Don't be in a huge rush to lynch anyone.-
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You don't claim cop if all you have is an innocent result unless
a) You are about to be lynched, or
b) The person you know to be innocent is about to be lynched
which isnt that far off from what Lord Hur is saying. First, try to get the town to make the right move without resorting to claiming. Claim as a last resort.-
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I'm having trouble figuring out how you could possibly have thought it would. I'm a dumb lawyer and you are a mathematical supercomputer. Since it seemed pretty obvious to me (once I learned what hypocop was) that it would work better with 6 players than with 7 (to the extent that it could work at all in a game this short) for reasons I had articulated (probability of cop finding a guilty party tonight go from 2 in 7 to 2 in 6).Adel wrote:it doesn't work afterall. darn.vote: MSK
So why shouldn't I vote for you as the scum you probably are?-
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You miss my point about Adel and MSK. My idea was based on the absence of gender on her avatar. If they had been scumbuddies and chatted pre-game Adel may have let him know her gender in casual conversation. Maybe not though. It isn't much but I couldn't figure out what Adel was on about so I thought real hard. Turns out it was just a votecount mix up. It's actually not a very good point, that you're right about. What might be more fun is looking back to see if any newbies already called her "her" and whether any gender clues were given before that happened. Because THAT could be indicative of a scum pairing. But this is too many words already devoted to highly improbable things so I shall stop.
The Hypocop idea is problematic, if for no other reason than it asks the cop to investigate with no flexibility the number beneath his own instead of someone he/she might in his/her gut suspect. I'm not a big fan of believing in scumtells being amazing things, but intuition certainly has its place. Nevertheless, it's worth seeing the simulation.-
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Answer this question with something other than "No".lord_hur wrote:
Err can you develop your thoughts ? I have no idea what lead you to this conclusion.the_cat_herder wrote:
By this logic you're not scum.Adel wrote: 2. Because the mafia typically don't lynch each other. A matrix is a better way to visualize this information, I need to draw it up sometime. There really isn't anything to go on day 1, so it is random with two actors who won't vote for each other.
i'm not saying you are or not. Just by logic-
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Yeah. Just not taking to it and quitting. Especially when in newbie games people are often in just one game on this site, which makes the process agonisingly slow, and the game has very little in the way of interesting power role mechanics. I found the game got a LOT better after I finished my first newbie game, and joined several other games. It keeps you coming back to the site with something to do.
More importantly, Musher, who is scum?-
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