open 914: the coalition (this is completed)
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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In post 411, Tsawwassen wrote: I think we are all converging on a coalition
I originally thought that this sequence was scummy because i thought tas as town should oppose coalitions that don't include him (i know i would). but now i think tas is actually town because it does seem this coalition aligns with his reads and i think he might just be happy to have a coalition that aligns with his reads more or less... but this only makes me want to oppose this coalition even more because if tas and i are town, the chances of this coalition succeeding is very very low. an if he's scum then i was initially right that he is trying to push a coalition with his partner.In post 416, Tsawwassen wrote: Hmm, ok we are on the precipice of convergenceI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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tas how do you feel about the following, drastically different coalition?
tired person, black, tas, aventurine, mayI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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did you find cutter b actively scummy? because i found her pretty towny before i replaced inIn post 423, Tsawwassen wrote:
You already know the answers to this question, bozoIn post 421, tired person wrote: tas how do you feel about the following, drastically different coalition?
tired person, black, tas, aventurine, may
also talk to me about your may scumread and umlaut townread because we seem to diverge there.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i think may is town because of her complete disregard to being townread and also just an overall lack of positioning attempts.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i changed my coalition vote because i looked at the vc and tried to see how i could vote a coalition that's actually viable. may isn't very viable right now especially with how tas responded to my suggestion and she was one of my weaker townreads anyway compared to you and aventurine.In post 431, Black wrote:In post 425, tired person wrote: i think may is town because of her complete disregard to being townread and also just an overall lack of positioning attempts.Two questions. Why did you not put May in your coalition? And considering you townread May due to her not trying to get townread, what do you think of me actively trying to get townread?
i actually townread youbecauseyou're trying to get townread, among other things. it (as well as other things you did like questioning people) read as genuine.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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In post 430, Moros wrote: i think that tired person making the case that may is town while both of them are on the outskirts of being included in coalitions is more likely to be town behavior.
it's interesting because i had the exact same thought as black here, that what moros is pointing out would make us partnered if anything.In post 432, Black wrote:
I don't really agree, and I think it makes a lot of sense if the solve is just TP/MayIn post 430, Moros wrote: i think that tired person making the case that may is town while both of them are on the outskirts of being included in coalitions is more likely to be town behavior.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i agree with may. may, who do you think is scum?In post 438, May wrote: I think I fundamentally disagree that approaching coalition games with a decreased interest in finding scum is the strongest way to win the setup
That formula is
You don't actually find 5 town because the easiest way to find town is watching townies hunt scum
The coalition fails, even if you don't believe point one, most do
All of your favorite town reads get mercked to the sky by NKs because everyone has gotten very public and confbiased about their strongest town reads
You make the entire setup divide and conquer but worseI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i think there's one scum in umlaut, implosion, moros(???). this is a game state read based on the following facts:
-the consensus townreads seem to be in umlaut, implosion, moros, black, aventurine, and tas (this is based on the vc).
-i know i'm not scum (and i'm not in it)
-i feel like scum is happy with the gamestate considering how little fighting there is right now to shake up the game or to get townread. if may is scum which i don't really think she is then she's putting too little fight imo to be mafia with ceejay.
-i strongly townread black, aventurine and tas, and have ruled them out.
considering that they seem to be in every coalition, it's very likely the coalition will fail. unless we change it. what do we change it to i don't know yet, which is why i only voted for 3 people not 5.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i asked because i wanted to.In post 449, implosion wrote:
Also what the hecking heck is this question? Is this a real serious question? Did you genuinely think there was any possibility that Tsawwassen would answer in the affirmative, if so why given the coalition that they'd just said they thought was good and if not then why ask it?In post 421, tired person wrote: tas how do you feel about the following, drastically different coalition?
tired person, black, tas, aventurine, mayI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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just to be clear: i still want to have may in the coalition. i am not voting her for the same reason i'm not voting myself, which is that i want to find a coalition that other players will actually agree to.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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HEAL: may, tired personIn post 468, May wrote: . It's great that you're correctly calling me town against the grain for little benefit but you're also correctly calling me town against the grain for little benefit, jellyfishing so hard you neither pull yourself into coal nor push me into coal is ignoring the wincon in a town rolepm pickup beyond the pale.
You even said your pred was townie, which I and I think another player or two has expressed, but still don't want in.
This would add up to more disdain than aventurine or umlaut if I did not have a handful of things I liked for cutter B's posts
is that better?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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this makes no sense. nobody is going to converge on ceejay.In post 487, Tsawwassen wrote: I'm surprised Umlaut is in so many coalitions, I forgot why I townread him tbh. If we gave him the boot we would be one step closer to convergence
HURT: Umlaut
HEAL: ceejayI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i feel i should explain why i didn't vote for myself and may straight away, since this seems to upset a great deal of people:
well for one i did vote for us in my first post. then i asked tas, who i was wanting to work with, about his opinion on a coalition with us so he said no. so at that point i voted for the same coalition but without us, thinking that i could maybe compromise if i convinced tas that may (or myself) was town and he convinced me that umlaut (for example) was town, and then i'd heal may and umlaut as the last two. but since neither he nor anybody else had bothered to give a convincing town case on any of moros, umlaut, or implosion, then i've given up achieving such a compromise and will be just voting for my preferred coalition now.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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that doesn't really help tho. i already saw their posts and had them as weak townleans before i started townreading you, i want to know why they are such strong townreads for you.In post 492, Tsawwassen wrote: Moros and implosion should be pretty self evident from their ISO. I'm not sure what exactly you're seeing from May that you're not seeing from the other two
I feel like I've asked you this before...
i explained about may, i feel her approach is not too concerned with any sort of positioning. if she's scum and townread she should be working toward a mislim after the coalition fails. if she's scum and scunread she should be working to be townread or to have her partner's position cemented in the coalition. i am not getting these vibes from her. i also just townread her approach on a visceral get level. i might actually be wrong but so far her reaction to my townread of her makes me think she's town. i don't think she'd be fighting her only townreader as scum.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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ftr i slightly scumread implosion and umlaut and undecided about moros. i will make my cases later today.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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oh i definitely don't think you are the scum team, i just think either of you independently have a slightly higher chance to be scum than the others.In post 504, implosion wrote:
I will note that I think me + Umlaut is like, a *wildly* unviable scum pairing in this game, if that is the implication (which it doesn't have to be). I think I would basically never play this setup in the manner of be scum -> get somewhat townread -> call my scumbuddy super duper hard town out of nowhere and advocate a coalition core including both of us. Having exactly 1 scum on coalition is ideal for scum and in one of my recent coalition games I sort of went out of my way to not have to advocate for including both of us.In post 497, tired person wrote: ftr i slightly scumread implosion and umlaut and undecided about moros. i will make my cases later today.
also, sorry for disappearing. something unexpected came up in real life, but i should be able to post as normal again.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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if it helps. the reason i had this approach is that i always read games i replace into before replacing in.In post 515, Tsawwassen wrote: Reading back on tired person's ISO, it wasn't as scummy as I originally thought, so I might've given him less credit than he deserves.
But his approach felt a little blunt to me for someone who replaced in - I expected to see a "settling in" period from him, but that element was missing. So I felt like he was coming in with a more informed view on the gamestate than anticipated.
I'm not ready to call that slot town though for the fuzzy logic of townreading Black because she wants to be townread and townreading May for the opposite.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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regarding the logic with may and black, it's all context dependant and personality dependant. the way that black wanted to be townread felt towny, while the way may didn't care about being townread also felt towny. bc they have different personalities and contexts.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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you might have a point. i usually try to avoid reading people by tone, because i am pretty bad at it. would you consider yourself good at reading people by tone? how confident are you in that read?In post 519, Tsawwassen wrote: Mostly by tone. I get a sense of clarity reading his posts; the opposite of what I normally associate with scum posting with no substance.
I also it's pretty hard to fake this tone as scum and would be surprised if he is capable of itI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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why?
I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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tas there's something which doesn't really add up for me. in posts 414 and 420 you seemed to be happy with a coalition that included umlaut, implosion, black, moros and aventurine. you also townread want to include yourself and ceejay. does that mean you think the scum team is exactly myself and may?
however i still townread tas because the pivot to include ceejay over umlaut doesn't feel scum motivated and doesn't really make sense for scum to do.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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as to this, perhaps cases is too generous a description. i will simply give my thoughts:In post 497, tired person wrote: ftr i slightly scumread implosion and umlaut and undecided about moros. i will make my cases later today.
moros i would say has a towny tone, but as i try to avoid relying on tone it becomes null. i really don't feel anything it has said gave me much of an impression of what its alignment might be, as weird as it may sound.
implosion i also felt was very towny in real time reading his posts, but in reading his iso i feel a lot of his antics are sort of geared toward making a preformance of having a towny mindset rather than actually coming from a towny mindset. i cannot put a finger on it but the post that alerted me to it was 327. another thing that i take issue with is the fact that he seems completely content with his reads in a way that town often aren't. i'd expect him to show at least some degree of paranoia toward his townreads or curiosity toward the alignment of his nullreads, which i'm just not seeing.
umlaut i forgot why i was even scumreading. he also feels very null to me on review of his iso.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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well aside from knowing that i'm town, do you feel me and may make sense as a scum team?In post 547, Tsawwassen wrote:
What doesn't add up?In post 544, tired person wrote: tas there's something which doesn't really add up for me. in posts 414 and 420 you seemed to be happy with a coalition that included umlaut, implosion, black, moros and aventurine. you also townread want to include yourself and ceejay. does that mean you think the scum team is exactly myself and may?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i want to reiterate because i had it sandwiched between two nullreads, but implosion is currently a scumread for me.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i see. would you deign to give it thought now? and why do you townread implosion? and what do you think about my implosion read?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i have thoughts about the worst, i'm just not sure what those thoughts are.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i got kinda convinced by her case on aventurine though
HURT: aventurineI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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hey aventurine care to explain this vote?
I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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but the reaponse was by ceejay and then you put ceejay back in the coalition. why?In post 290, Aventurine wrote:Was thinking about the post that Moros made and I was pretty sure the response was made by ceejayvinoya but I wasn't too sure so I removed them for now
I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i don't think you gave any mention to posts i made in your catchup so i'm wondering how you arrived at the read you have of me.In post 597, the worst wrote: the worst
implosion
Moros
May
Black
Tsawwassen (this is a bad read)
tired person
experience
Aventurine
as of right now
May should be higher but I'm so bad at reading May accurately she's such a significant loss vector aaaahhhh
HURT: all
HEAL: implosion, may
everyone else may now begin begging for inclusionI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i can't help but feel like the worst is tryharding in a scummy way and trying to push some agenda but at the same time i'm just not seeing what the agenda is, if that makes sense. perhaps it is just my natural sense of paranoia toward waterfowls which it is at play here.
in any case i have reread aventurine iso and while originally i had townread 310, thinking that it was quite unintuitive for scum to make, i can now see it as appeasing as i believe may described it. so i'm currently landing on a scum lean.
p-edit: i know 1-2 of my poe will be coalition'd which is why i'm advocating against it. i explained earlier why i scumread implosion.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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In post 548, tired person wrote: implosion i also felt was very towny in real time reading his posts, but in reading his iso i feel a lot of his antics are sort of geared toward making a preformance of having a towny mindset rather than actually coming from a towny mindset. i cannot put a finger on it but the post that alerted me to it was 327. another thing that i take issue with is the fact that he seems completely content with his reads in a way that town often aren't. i'd expect him to show at least some degree of paranoia toward his townreads or curiosity toward the alignment of his nullreads, which i'm just not seeing.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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it's weird to me that you say i'm "kinda compelled to [challenge the status quo to the death] as either alignment here". bc from your point of view if you are town and your read that may is town is correct, then if i'm scum i'm very much not compelled to challenge the status quo at all. since if i'm scum my partner is all but guaranteed to be in the coalition at the point i entered the game.In post 610, the worst wrote: you drew a pretty short straw as either alignment here. my reads formed on other players while your pred kinda just posted stuff that I mildly disliked. I enjoy that you're challenging the status quo to the death
and stuff but I also think that's something you kinda are compelled to do as either alignment here.
what specific argument do you find compelling? i'm curious because most others seem relatively uncompelled by what i say.In post 610, the worst wrote: you're also well spoken and compelling which makes me extra anxious to readjust my read on you right nowI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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and what precisely is that thing?In post 613, the worst wrote: but I feel more strongly about the thing I see that makes me think he's townI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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moros you give me the feeling you're unconcerned with who will be in the coalition and are just observing the game and commenting on things happening. why is that?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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do you think worst/aventurine scumteam is plausible? because i have a nagging feeling it might be ever since the worst convinced me that aventurine is scum.In post 638, implosion wrote: I think if worst is scum, viscerally it feels like there's a good chance the other scum is near the bottom of their reads list. They're trying to take the thread by storm to an extent and I think the way they're talking about the people high up on their list doesn't really strike me as scum->scum except possibly for like Moros, but I don't think Moros is scum. Or maaayybe black. But I don't think worst would often be scum with May or tsaw here.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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okay
i guess i'm not ousting implosion from the list
HEAL: black, may, moros, implosion, tsawwassenI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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because it's a coalition game? i could very well be taking an approach focused on securing my partner's position inside the coalition instead of trying to get everyone to re-eval everything. this makes no sense at all.In post 646, the worst wrote: if you're scum your slot is kind of dead on arrival, right? how are you not compelled to challenge that status quo?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i would, but i'm curious why you'd take me over tasIn post 662, Moros wrote: would you support Moros, Black, implosion, May, tired person?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i can't fathom having black so low in a readlist.
why?
I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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interesting analysis, i assume that you think this implicates them as the team?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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going from healing my strongest scumread to my third strongest scumread is a small victory, but a victory nonetheless.In post 713, May wrote: HURT: Implosion HEAL: the worst?
I hope implosion just posts something townie and the slot feels like really good occam's razor town again
If I wasn't cooking too hard because it already is
also have i mentioned i am going to sheep may?
HURT: Implosion HEAL: the worstI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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that's what's baffling me bc u seem to not be actually concerned with finding out all that much.In post 708, the worst wrote:
Fairly strongly agreed, I think my solve isn't experience/Aventurine as a team so much as 1-2 scum in experience/Aventurine and I wonder who im townreading incorrectly.In post 697, May wrote: Hot take it is a mistake to try to guess the exact team at this pointI'm tired.-
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that might actually be tru thoIn post 719, the worst wrote: confession time. Black should be town but has relentlessly scumposted since I replaced inI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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that's what i also thought but i think the rest of her posting is town enough to just ignore that.In post 733, the worst wrote: these are exactly on brand lurker scum posts
i genuinely have no idea what u just said here with my play being both charismatic and anti-charismatic. however i can agree that it's town indicative for me to approach your slot as well as implosion's in a stubbornly obstinate manner (i think that's what u meant by playing anti-charimatically). would u be amenable to unhealing implosion and healing urself and calling it a day? or even healing black if u deign to townread her.In post 734, the worst wrote: For the record I think tired is very likely to be town because while I stand by everything I said previously, I think their play here is necessarily a charismatic one and I think playing anti-charismatically against my very loud replace in is a fairly strong indicator of a town mindsetI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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In post 749, the worst wrote: including myself increases odds of a successful coalition fmpov significantly
and u don't see that these are at odds? like seriously i feel like u and i are just speaking a different language or somthing. or mayb from a different planet. if u want to increase the odds of succeeding why aren't u healing urself?In post 749, the worst wrote: implosion >>> myself > black
okay i understand this viewpoint tho somewhat begrudgingly.In post 749, the worst wrote: increasing the urgency of sorting black feels stressful if that's a failing coalition
no girl i was saying that i don't understand how u can sya i'm both charismatic and anti charismatic. i did understand what anti charismatic means on its own.In post 749, the worst wrote: ur saying u don't understand my point then restating my point in ur own words which further PROVES my POINT AAAHHH
unrelated but i think may has just reached a brand new level of town for me based on her posting last page and i definitely agree with what she's saying about implosion and that's the main point of my scumread on him pretty much. the lack of curiosity, that is.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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acutally it's true that this is a very strong reason to townread umlaut i guess.In post 88, implosion wrote:In post 66, Umlaut wrote: Meh, mech talk. I nommed myself because I'm town and I want to nom people who are town.
Weird. (Looks like you backed out of this quickly though)In post 26, Tsawwassen wrote: I won't nominate people who nominate themselves
Okay, Bertrand.In post 28, Moros wrote: i will nominate a person if and only if the person doesn't nominate themselfIn post 67, Umlaut wrote: Actually
HEAL: Tsawwassen
It's a bit moon-logicky but I find the immediate about-face towny.I'm a little bit tempted to significantly townread this sequence. The fact that there's 3 posts and the spacing of their timing I think points to town who saw something weird, then realized they felt it was not scummy, and then thought a bit more on it and realized that it might depend on previous experience level. I think it's a bit less likely to come from scum since Umlaut would have to manually decide to take both the step to make the second post, and the step to make the third post. Maybe way over-reading into things but curious if anyone sees what I'm seeing.
HURT: the worst HEAL: experienceI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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furthermore i'm pretty sure that if implosion is scum then they are spewing umlaut town anyhow.
whoIn post 762, implosion wrote: This is not to say I want Aventurine on coalitiondou want on the coalition?I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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there seem to be 9 hours to deadline and 6-7 pages i haven't read.
i am going to probably skim those pages then post my final coalition vote and then go to sleep.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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actually just from reading page 32 i think i want to
HEAL: may, black, tired person, moros, experience
that this overlaps with may's coalition vote is a bonus. rest assured that i have arrived there independently.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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oh seems it was hammered anyway well good luck i'm going to sleepI'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i thought she just changed her coalition to match moros, and i decided that if the choice was between moros's and may's, i preferred may's.In post 1020, implosion wrote: This is a super peculiar post. tired person, when you made this post, did you think that Black had just changed her coalition to match May's? Because here you heal May's proposed coalition in a resigned way but the only thing you could seemingly be reacting to is Black's unheal and heal a couple posts earlier but Black actually unhealed someone she had already unhealed previously.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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i think these are the only viable scumteams right now, assuming that i am town (which i know but all of u don't) and that my townreads are correct (which i maybe mistakenly want to believe):
implosion/aventurine
implosion/the worst
moros/the worst
implosion/moros
moros/aventurine
moros/experience
i didn't do any digging into them yet but i will later on.I'm tired.-
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tired person AnyGoonAny
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