Open 479: White Flag (Game Over)


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Post Post #9 (isolation #0) » Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:37 pm

Post by Huntress »

Vote: Equinox


Because that's what I should have done the last time we met. :P
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Post Post #29 (isolation #1) » Fri Mar 08, 2013 1:39 pm

Post by Huntress »

Well it
could
be he who bears the number of the beast - is that a permanent scum tell?
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Post Post #30 (isolation #2) » Fri Mar 08, 2013 2:04 pm

Post by Huntress »

Vote: Remembering Sunday


Just an odd vibe from post 27. That's all I've got so far although DCL's assumption that Equinox wasn't comfortable with someone being at L-2 this early was a bit strange.

@ CDB: Who is scum?
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Post Post #32 (isolation #3) » Fri Mar 08, 2013 2:16 pm

Post by Huntress »

Yep.
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Post Post #72 (isolation #4) » Sun Mar 10, 2013 4:28 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 36, Remembering Sunday wrote:What's odd about it? DCL is claiming to have found scum after 20 odd posts and my post was clearly a sarcastic one. Even if Llama is scum then DCL has found him through pure luck and not by some wonderful piece of logic.

It was the vibe of "Don't look here, they're over there!" and the slight suggestion that you knew DCL was town. And this post gives me the feeling that you're saying he's right for the wrong reason. I'm not seeing Llama as scum at the moment but if RS flips scum this is a thought worth coming back to.


I'm tending to take RachMarie's posts at face value for now. I saw her post 25 as more of a simple request for clarification than anything else.

In post 50, ac1983fan wrote:Oh, I know that there is no reason, I just found it hair-raising.

How could you
know
there was no reason?


My concern with DCL is his nervousness about the RVS. After just 14 game posts he calls it "really lame", and later describes it as
VERY uninformative
(his bolding). Yet without those posts he wouldn't have been able to bring us out of it the way he did so they did have some value. Makes me wonder what else was there that he wants us to forget.
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Post Post #112 (isolation #5) » Tue Mar 12, 2013 3:23 pm

Post by Huntress »

Having looked at his previous game I'm comfortable with my vote on RS. Following the success of his early move there I would have expected him to have tried something similar here, or at least supported DCL's vote on Llama, not mocked it, if he were town.


In post 108, Remembering Sunday wrote:Come on really? Consider what I'd have to type to take that into consideration "the scum must be quaking in their boots.....unless of course you are scum DCL" As I've said it was purely a sarcastic remark about the likely hood of DCL having actually found scum.
...

Reading too much into it again, it's not meant to be anything quite as nasty as that, as I said just highlighting it's unlikely to be correct (albeit in a rather cheeky way)

Yet using the RVS wagon to spot scum worked for you in Newbie 1331 so why decry the attempt here? It may not normally be very effective but it can turn up trumps sometimes.

In post 104, Remembering Sunday wrote:For me I've got two who I'm getting scummy vibes from, RachMarie and ac1983.

I'll second the request for reasons on these. Is there anything more than what you originally said about RachMarie?

In post 108, Remembering Sunday wrote:The last point is to everyone else as well, seems to me you're all voting on the back of one completely non-serious post. Not sure if you've noticed but CDB post 24 "Hooray! We found scum!" Is not too dissimilar yet has received no attention whatsoever.

It didn't go completely unnoticed. Although I only queried it because I wasn't sure who he was referring to. I didn't see it as similar to yours.
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Post Post #134 (isolation #6) » Fri Mar 15, 2013 2:26 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 120, Remembering Sunday wrote:
In post 63, RachMarie wrote:If anyone has any questions about me, feel free to ask, I have nothing to hide.
Just seems a strange thing to say, surely we'd ask questions anyway, not like we need permission.
I have nothing to hide is such a nothing statement
.
And yet earlier he wrote:
In post 42, Remembering Sunday wrote:it's a bit of light hearted banter which I wasn't afraid to post because
I've got nothing to hide.

So it's ok for him to use but a nothing statement when Rach uses it?


In post 123, ac1983fan wrote:Let's go back a sec and look at something interesting:
In post 39, RachMarie wrote:
Does anyone have anything actually concrete on DC?

Why are you bringing this up as if it's something fresh when it's been referred to directly or indirectly three times in the seven posts immediately preceding yours, and has been commented on since page two?

Speculation: Ac thinks his scumbuddy RS looks like getting lynched so jumps on his wagon to get town-cred, then see a chance to push a counterwagon on Rach while being non-committal about it himself.


In post 127, Equinox wrote:Also, in your post 100, you vote RachMarie for a case petroleumjelly made on page 2; why the change of heart on what you consider content?

Ac actually voted RS in post 100, not RM.



In post 131, petroleumjelly wrote:
3.)
Huntress, could you give a bit more detail for why you are "more comfortable" with your vote on Remembering Sunday? I do not have much time to read other games for meta purposes, so I would appreciate the Cliff's Notes version.

It was this post mainly:
In post 31, Remembering Sunday wrote:
Vote: thenewearth

Suspicious of anyone who's jumping on people this early, was the exact reason I put my vote on someone already with a vote, baiting in those scum.

He used RVS to bait scum and caught one. I wouldn't necessarily expect him to do the same thing again but his attitude towards DCL's vote on Llama doesn't fit with his own experience here.
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Post Post #163 (isolation #7) » Sat Mar 16, 2013 1:37 pm

Post by Huntress »

I agree that RS's last post didn't feel like a townie about to be lynched. CDB and ac are currently my next scum picks after RS. If RS flips scum then CDB's post 44 is significant.


In post 149, ChannelDelibird wrote:
In post 146, LlamaFluff wrote:Try this: Why is Huntress "scum knowing DCL is town" or whatever you claimed instead of town who thinks DCL is scum but prefers another vote?
The argument feels contrived. "Makes me wonder what else he wants us to forget";

That part was speculation, not an argument, and was said partly to see what responses it would draw.
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Post Post #193 (isolation #8) » Thu Mar 21, 2013 3:35 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 182, Mert wrote:!Huntress in #163 you said that RSScum meant CDB's #44 is significant. As we now know RS was town, how does that affect your reads on CDB and ac1983fan who were your "next scum picks"?

It doesn't affect my read on ac at all, and just means that CDB'S vote on Rach was not an attempt to start a counterwagon to the RS wagon, which it's timing suggested it might be, which would have meant that Rach was more likely to be town.


I haven't had time to do more than skim the recent posts but I'll be able to do a proper post tomorow afternoon.
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Post Post #208 (isolation #9) » Sat Mar 23, 2013 2:39 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 167, mikeburnfire wrote:Right now, I have my sights on CDB, DCXVII, and Huntress, based on previous interactions and rush on RememberingSunday.

What interactions were these, what do you think was scummy about them, and what do you mean by the "rush" on RS? (That is, assuming you're not considering a single vote, the hammer, to constitute a rush.)

In post 170, mikeburnfire wrote:Early on you pushed for llama's lynch, but also grouped him with R-Sunday and R-Marie. I agree with Delibird when he says that you were casting a big net, especially since your reasons for killing Sunday were tenuous. Furthermore, it's a scummy maneuver. As in, it's something I'd expect a scum to do: go after a townie, but group them in with another townie and a scum-mate (which would be Rachmarie).

Where did CDB say or imply that? All I could see is where he thought DCL was being too quick to name possible lynchees, a statement he withdrew in his next post. Without a scum-flip how can you tell the difference between scum doing what you're describing here and townies naming a group of suspects? What in particular makes you think it's scummy in this case?

In post 170, mikeburnfire wrote:As for the rest of you,
how about a little discussion or justification for your votes?

Does this apply to you too?

In post 176, mikeburnfire wrote:Maybe I am being a hypocrite here, or maybe not. I feel I'm justified for trying to find connections between players, but you're not because the reasons that you gave were really weak. You thought they weren't acting very townie. It's a pretty big leap to say that if one is scum, another is too..

I don't like this but I'm not sure it's scummy though. You may not agree with the outcome but if it's ok for you to try to find connections then it's ok for anyone else too.

In post 178, mikeburnfire wrote:Done for the night. Hopefully a few more people will decide to participate in the game soon.

This was written just seven and a half hours after the thread opened for the day. The implication that people who hadn't posted yet were deliberately not doing so gives a bad vibe.

In post 186, mikeburnfire wrote:They weren't counterwagons because the case against them wasn't strong.

In order to say this, you needed to have done rather more reading than you claimed you had.



In post 179, RachMarie wrote:I was kinda surprised that RS was not scum. I really thought he would flip scum so now I have to relook at some other people too aggh.

This looks a bit overdone. Why did that flip mean more of a reread than a scumflip would have? Who in particular are you looking at?


In post 194, Hiraki wrote:Mikeburnfire is getting a load of unneeded attention.

I'll echo the request for an explanation of this.

In post 203, ac1983fan wrote:So you expect us to just believe that your intentions are what you state they are? Because that's kind of a stretch.

Do you have any reason to believe they are otherwise? Looking back through your posts I can't see you mentioning anything about it earlier.


Vote: Mikeburnfire
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Post Post #240 (isolation #10) » Mon Mar 25, 2013 4:27 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 209, mikeburnfire wrote:A combination of gut feeling and an attempt to spark conversation, I think.

Which posts caused the gut feeling? And that reply doesn't explain what you meant by the "rush".

I see you've now expanded on the above in post 236
In post 236, mikeburnfire wrote:DCL was run up quickly, then a lot of votes suddenly switched to R.Sunday. It's an oversimplification, but that's what I felt was happening.

The first five votes on DCL was an RVS wagon. The first three people to vote RS didn't switch from DCL. In fact only acfan and Mert switched directly from DCL to RS and there didn't appear to be much sudden about the wagon as a whole.

The rest of post 209 is just evasive.

In post 222, mikeburnfire wrote:
In post 220, ChannelDelibird wrote:#134 - Huntress on RS's "nothing to hide" hypocrisy; this is the sort of opportunistic line of attack that suits scum because it's so absolute. It's a "you state contradicting beliefs" argument: cold, calculated and emotionless. It's too framed. Hypocrisy happens to everyone. Having already not liked Huntress before, I'm going to start the day with a VOTE: Huntress.
With regards to Huntress, eh... you make a good point, but she seems to actively be paying attention, and she could have just been really excited about catching scum in a farçe. I'm not ready to call it a scum move.

So you're both taking what was a minor part of my case against RS and making it look like a major thing, CDB calling it "too framed", and MBF saying I might have been "really excited" about it.

There have been two or three posts now that give me the feeling that MBF is trying to buddy up to me.


In post 199, RachMarie wrote:Friday I got busy with other things, I came back to the game to do my ISOs on Sat to find that Mike had replaced in. Simple.

I work from home and have MS open on a tab, but I am not always looking at that tab because I do other things as well.

I had a null read on Rach from Day one, apart from the lurkiness which is not unusual for her, but this post felt odd as she had already said she was around so why did she feel the need to imply that she might not have been? I can understand if she didn't want to post while she was still catching up but why imply she wasn't around if she was?


I have a slight scum-read on Llama for post 174. I don't see that scum couldn't have made the post MBF did in twilight so don't understand why he would discount the possibility, (I see he's repeated it 237, it just looks like wifom to me), and I don't like his claim that DCL hammered "
because
" it would be suspicious if he didn't. There's nothing in DCL's posts that to suggest that this was in his mind at the time.
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Post Post #250 (isolation #11) » Wed Mar 27, 2013 1:01 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 246, LlamaFluff wrote:@Hunt - DCL is attempting to simplify him hammer into him acting on a false dillema (hammer or no hammer) and because he picked hammer, he cant be called scum for the vote. That just doent read as town trying to defend themselves but moreso scum that is overzealous in trying to wipeout something that can be used against them by doing such.

My initial reaction to DCL's hammer was that it was a bit quick, but after a second look I thought it was probably ok. My only concern there is that DCL didn't give the explanation for it that I thought he would, and instead has just been protesting about being called scummy for it. Which makes me wonder if I was wrong about his motive for it in the first place but I can't see what benefit there would be for a scum-DCL to attract attention to himself in that way. It wasn't as if there seemed to be any danger of the lynch not going through.


From a review of Hiraki the picture I'm getting is that he seems to be looking at everyone and no-one. His vote is currently on acfan but the only reason he has given is that he wants some reads from him, and that was back on Day one. We're still waiting for more substance from acfan but is that the only reason or is there more?

In post 225, Hiraki wrote:
In post 221, ChannelDelibird wrote:
In post 128, Hiraki wrote:Still not keen on Remembering or Huntress.
"Still not keen"?
Those were the two leading wagons. Still not keen as in I'm not willing to compromise.

This is the second time Hiraki has used inaccurate voting information to back up his words.


It's good to see Rach is posting but again she is implying she hasn't been around when she clearly has.
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Post Post #252 (isolation #12) » Wed Mar 27, 2013 2:08 pm

Post by Huntress »

It made me think that your reply to CDB wasn't the genuine reason so yes, it does make a difference.


@ acfan: I'm still waiting for a reply to my question at the end of post 208.
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Post Post #259 (isolation #13) » Thu Mar 28, 2013 2:03 pm

Post by Huntress »

@ Hiraki: No. But when you describe a single vote as a "leading wagon" it makes me think that that may not have been your real reason.
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Post Post #271 (isolation #14) » Sat Mar 30, 2013 2:08 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 269, mikeburnfire wrote:Still, ac1999fan jumped onto both wagons, and has been throwing his vote around in a similar manner today (while hiding behind others).

Acfan's vote for DCL was the first post of the game. He didn't jump on that wagon because there was no wagon to jump on and according to him his vote on DCL was purely random. What do you mean by "throwing his vote around in a similar manner today"? He has only voted once in a post you described as "legit scum-hunting" and you said he had a "pretty good argument".

In post 269, mikeburnfire wrote:What were the other posts that gave you that vibe?

It was mainly that post and also post 215. The tone seemed to say a little bit more than just stating facts.
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Post Post #296 (isolation #15) » Mon Apr 01, 2013 4:01 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 290, LlamaFluff wrote:I heard him lurking and him getting called scummy quite a bit. The wagon never took off, but for some reason it got mentioned a whole lot when it sure looked to me like he was just flaking out of the game.

Who actually called him scummy apart from CDB (due to a theory re his random vote), and perhaps RS? It seems to me that the latter half of the posts mentioning him were initiated by yourself.


In post 279, DCLXVI wrote:And you know what, i get it, know one is going to be voting llama unfortunately so...

Llama is probably my second highest suspect at the moment and if necessary I would be prepared to vote there. Also acfan, Hiraki and Rach (although I'm not so sure there as I've been wrong about her before).
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Post Post #315 (isolation #16) » Wed Apr 03, 2013 3:57 am

Post by Huntress »

Is that
your
interest, or interest by the players in general? If the latter it's probably because we've reached the stage where we need a flip to give us more information. Although we could do with hearing more from you about your thoughts on the other players.

If MBF flips scum I'm looking at Hiraki and acfan as most likely to be his partners.

In post 257, ac1983fan wrote:Dunno. I hypothesize that Mert is scum based on my reasoning up there; RachMarie and MBF give me some scumfeels as noted in previous posts.

The first post acfan links here merely says that he can't take Rach's words at face value. True, but it's not a reason for suspecting her. The second link is to his comment on Rach's post 39, which he says that He's "not sure if that's a scumtell, but it seems like poor play". Neither link gives any reason for his willingness to vote MBF, as mentioned in post 282. Nor do any of his other posts. Interestingly, MBF does not query this at all in spite of both commenting on and addressing acfan in later posts. I'm seeing distancing/bussing here.

I think my suspicion on Llama would be lowered a bit if MBF is scum as I don't think he'd be defending him quite like that if they were scumpartners.


Welcome to the game vegie! My suspicion on your predecessor had slipped back more or less to null but your reason for voting DCL has reawakened it. Which people apart from Llama has DCL attempted to start bandwagons on?

In post 303, vegie wrote:Here, the games are much more intuition-based while the other place I play is much more logic-based.

I think you'll find plenty of logic here too. It very much depends on individual playstyles or game situations.
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Post Post #345 (isolation #17) » Thu Apr 04, 2013 4:39 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 318, ac1983fan wrote:Post 185 by Havingfitz is a case against MBF, which I found to be logical and so my statement in 203 was meant to be saying I agree with the case. Sorry if that wasn't clear.

No, it wasn't clear. Does this mean you also agree with his FoS on DCL in that post?


In post 328, mikeburnfire wrote:
huntress wrote:(1)In order to say this, you needed to have done rather more reading than you claimed you had.

(2) The implication that people who hadn't posted yet were deliberately not doing so gives a bad vibe.

(3)There have been two or three posts now that give me the feeling that MBF is trying to buddy up to me.

Here's the second vote for me, in which (1)having fitz's argument is repeated (2) I am criticized for being impatient and (3) Huntress thinks that I'm buddying up to her. When pressed, she has no good explanation for why she thinks that last one.

Firstly, the points quoted above were only
part
of what I said about you. Secondly, (1) That wasn't a repeat of fitz's arguement; it was a comment on your reply to his point; your saying that the cases weren't strong implies that you read a lot more than you originally claimed. (2) I did
not
criticize you for being impatient; your use of the word "decide" looked like you intended to make it appear that people were intentionally not posting. (3) I did say why I thought you were buddying me. It was in post 271 in case you missed it.
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Post Post #349 (isolation #18) » Fri Apr 05, 2013 2:27 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 348, mikeburnfire wrote:1. At the core, it's the same argument. You're both accusing me of lying when I say I overlooked the deadline when I did my first read-through.

I said absolutely nothing about the deadline. That was never my point. Why are you claiming that it was?
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Post Post #357 (isolation #19) » Sat Apr 06, 2013 12:36 pm

Post by Huntress »

This is a vanilla game. We don't
have
solid evidence. We can only go on what we see in the posts and the wording and tone of some of yours tell me you have more chance of being scum than anyone else at the moment. Not much more maybe, but enough for me to be happy with my vote. I'm not sure what you'd call a credible reason, but I think I've given enough to show why I think you're the best lynch today.
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Post Post #384 (isolation #20) » Thu Apr 11, 2013 3:16 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 365, DCLXVI wrote:Thor is town. AC rage quit; scum don't rage quit after a mislynch.

Why are you claiming that ace rage-quit? I can't see anything in his posts that would indicate it and it doesn't sound very likely.


In post 366, RachMarie wrote:that is a good point

Are you sure it is a ragequit though ?

oh wait he was the hammer yeah, I could see a case for that...

What case do you see?


I'm still looking at Llama, acefan (now Thor), and Rach as I haven't seen anything to change my mind there from the reading I've done so far today.

Havingfitz's opening post gave me an odd vibe so I'll be taking a closer look there.

I'm in two minds about DCL. My gut says town but there have been a couple of things, mentioned in my previous posts, which make me not so sure, and his apparent knowledge of why ace replaced out adds to that.

Currently got a null read on Vegie, Pj and Mert but still have more rereading to do. In the meantime:

Vote: Llama
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Post Post #386 (isolation #21) » Thu Apr 11, 2013 3:40 pm

Post by Huntress »

Have you ever seen someone actually rage-quit over that?
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Post Post #394 (isolation #22) » Thu Apr 11, 2013 5:00 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 389, RachMarie wrote:http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=50&t=21538 Newbie 1227, and actually he rage quite over the cop being outted (he was from Epic Mafia originally). But he also was not that happy about his derp hammer. After he ragequit, Thor replaced in and eventually won us the game.

Looking at that game I don't think the quitting had any relation to the hammer. It seemed to be a direct result of the mod error and possibly the player's lack of time. In any case, acefan is an experienced player so is not likely to react the same way as a newbie might.


In post 387, DCLXVI wrote:He is still onsite playing so he didn't flake, he just lead a mis-lynch after which MBF got pissed at him so maybe AC took it personally? It really is the only explanation I can think of.

Scum quitting in that circumstance doesn't make since, they have the advantage right now.

Has he done something like this before? The problem is you haven't made a single mention of acefan the whole game, apart from your response to his random vote, and then when he replaces out you immediately insist that makes him town, despite the fact you don't know
why
he replaced out. What else about him makes you think he is town?


In post 390, vegie wrote:He has done nothing to ease my suspicions. So far, his leadership has been poor and we need to take a new direction.

How is voting for DCL "taking a new direction"? He was one the the top two wagons on day two and you voted him then too. Are you saying you disagree with the votes made so far today? If so, can you say why?
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Post Post #398 (isolation #23) » Thu Apr 11, 2013 5:34 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 395, RachMarie wrote:Huntress if you give Thor a bit of time I am sure the slot will be more clarified.

What I was trying to clarify was your reason for agreeing with what seemed to me to be a strange statement by DCL; you seemed to follow his lead too easily. It wasn't about acefan/Thor.
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Post Post #432 (isolation #24) » Sun Apr 14, 2013 9:20 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 427, petroleumjelly wrote:In the end, I am thinking both scumkills may have in large part been motivated by a "do not leave a pattern/obvious reason" mentality. I would like others to chime in on this, though.

I had a look at Hiraki's ISO at the beginning of the Day but couldn't see anything worth pursuing at that point as I was already suspicious of his main suspect, acefan. However, the fact that you raised this is leading me to wonder whether there is something that I've missed. In particular, the possibility that there may be more to the exchanges between the two of you than I first thought. But then again, if there was, why would you raise it? That just leads me in fruitless circles. So I guess my response is: What good did you think it would do to bring up this subject now when any speculation on it is likely just to lead to endless wifom? I'm not against NK discussion as such but in this case I don't see the point.



In post 427, petroleumjelly wrote:
7.)
Huntress, could you explain the "mod error" theory you made for why ac1983fan may have replaced out? (I am also not understanding RachMarie's reference to Newbie 1227 which might have been made on this topic?)

Rach was using that newbie game to back up her support for DCL's rage-quit theory after I asked her if she had seen such a thing before, but in fact it didn't fit the theory at all as the player in that game quit because of a mod error, not because of a mislynch. Whether she was protecting or supporting a scum-partner, buddying up to Thor, or just mis-remembering something I don't know, but my suspicion of her has gone up a notch or two.
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Post Post #462 (isolation #25) » Mon Apr 15, 2013 12:06 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 448, LlamaFluff wrote:MBF was catching up and trending to the RS vote. You saw this and hammered RS before MBF got completely caught up, threw around "deadline" buzz words and such too later when that wasnt really an issue. To belive you are town I would have to believe that you did something to intentionally "look more townie" with little other motivation, which I dont. As town you probably would have made a comment still making it clear you support the lynch but wanting MBF to finish catching up.

Do you have meta on DCL to know what he, as opposed to a generic townie, would have done as town?


In post 448, LlamaFluff wrote:Also it couldnt have been too townie if you started calling MBF scum out the gate D2 either way when he appeared to express intent to hammer after catching up.

Can you explain what you meant by this please?


In post 454, RachMarie wrote:In my experience most of the very heated battles like this where both peeps think the other one has to be scum often are T v T...

Or one of them is scum who thinks he's being attacked for the wrong reasons. That could bring out a sense of frustration. For example, DCL's Day one meta case against LLama, or Llama's claim that DCL said he hammered RS in order to "look townie", which is not how I saw DCL's statement. Of course DCL's claim that the hammer couldn't be seen as scummy, but only as townie, doesn't help his case because it can certainly be seen as either.


In post 457, havingfitz wrote:Also...if Thor is in fact town, I do not see why scum would leave him alive over Hiraki when Hiraki had at least received a modicum of suspicion his way while no one iirc was really listening to his suspicions. So....as incredibly awe inspiring a mafia player as Thor is...I mean seriously people...come on....it's Thor. OMG!!!!! It's like Beiber with a beard mania. Why is he still in the game if he's town? And oh by the way...his main accuser died last night instead of him.

Why would Thor be more likely to be NK'd than someone like say Llama or Pj?

In post 459, RachMarie wrote:umm hello he replaced in during the night...

Need to wait through another night cycle before that response is valid.

Not really. There were two to three days of night left after he replaced in for scum to make their decision.
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Post Post #464 (isolation #26) » Mon Apr 15, 2013 1:05 pm

Post by Huntress »

@ DCL: Can you reply to my post 394 please? You did remark on one thing in that post but not the part that was actually addresed to you.
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Post Post #499 (isolation #27) » Wed Apr 17, 2013 3:01 pm

Post by Huntress »

@ Havingfitz: You didn't reply to my question as to why you thought Thor would have been NK'd rather than players like Pj or Llama. I can think of two reasons but I would like to hear yours.

In post 485, RachMarie wrote:Well I do think FoSs especially on someone who has no votes on them to be a scummy move... So yeah atm very happy with my vote....
This is bad. Why should someone with no votes on them be exempt from suspicion? And why don't you want fitz to make his suspicions clear? I also have an FoS on Thor, among others. Does that make me scummy too?


@ Vegie: Are you mafia?


The main reason I'm voting Llama, apart from post 174 which I commented on at the bottom of post 240, is his defence of MBF in post 255. I felt then, and still feel, that it seemed a a stretch, like he was trying to make it look stronger than it was. Particularly the part where he said that Scumhunter took a bizzare amount of flack for lurking/flaking. I questioned this in post 296 and looking back just now I see I never got a reply to that.

Havingfitz and Rach are currently runners-up for my vote with Thor in fourth place, based on my suspicion of his predecessor.
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Post Post #504 (isolation #28) » Wed Apr 17, 2013 3:28 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 500, RachMarie wrote:mind blown here?? you think there are three scum in this game? and you think that Fitz and Thor and I are a scum team??? But you think Llama is even more suspect?? that would make 4 scum?? huh???? Way to misrep too...

I meant obviously I could see not voting but FoSing instead on someone who is at say L-1, but to FoS instead of voting on someone who has no votes at all ... You cant see how that would ping my scumdar???
Huh! I
know
there are three scum. And I'm guessing that Llama, fitz and yourself are the most likely. I don't think that should surprise you. How did I misrep you? But I think you may be misunderstanding the meaning of an FoS. It merely states that one has suspicion on someone. The number of votes they have on them is irrelevant. It's certainly not scummy to use the term, even if it's not so commomly used nowadays.
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Post Post #521 (isolation #29) » Thu Apr 18, 2013 8:15 am

Post by Huntress »

Something didn't seem quite right so I've been doing some rereading. I haven't finished yet but I'm going to go ahead with this.

Vote: Mert
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Post Post #539 (isolation #30) » Sat Apr 20, 2013 9:19 am

Post by Huntress »

I'm thinking Rach is a better bet, but I've not quite finished my reread. I hope to have it done some time this evening.
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Post Post #563 (isolation #31) » Sun Apr 21, 2013 8:39 am

Post by Huntress »

@ Mod: My vote for Mert isn't shown on the last vote count. You've still got me voting for Llama.



@ Vegie: I'd like to see your response to post 540. And did my question in post 499 bother you?

And I agree that you should probably just replace out if you don't intend to play to win as you seemed to be saying in #550.
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Post Post #582 (isolation #32) » Tue Apr 23, 2013 4:55 pm

Post by Huntress »

@ Rach: Being "easy to lynch" doesn't mean you can't be scum.

On the subject of FoSes, why did you only accuse havingfitz of being scummy for using one when five other players have all done it as well? Acefan's FoS in post 203 was particularly notable as you posted shortly after and didn't even mention it. Acefan didn't actually have a vote on anyone at the time so had no good reason not to vote you then.

As it looks like Mert is being replaced I'll move my vote from there for the moment but I may well go back there in the future.

Vote: RachMarie
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Post Post #593 (isolation #33) » Wed Apr 24, 2013 11:10 pm

Post by Huntress »

@ Rach: Why is it hard to tell?

You're at L-2 at the moment. DCL isn't voting you but he has said he is willing to vote you or fitz if he can't get enough votes for Llama.
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Post Post #626 (isolation #34) » Sat Apr 27, 2013 10:45 am

Post by Huntress »

You're leaning scum on Rach, so why is her wagon a "derp" one?
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Post Post #630 (isolation #35) » Sat Apr 27, 2013 1:07 pm

Post by Huntress »

@ Thor: That wasn't a case, that was a question; and not the reason why I voted Rach. It looks like you've just ignored my other comments on her. Three of my Day two posts mention my growing suspicion of her and there have been more today. I'll try to put a summary together tomorrow but it boils down to my feelings about the motivation behind some of her posts.

There's also an element of PoE as I think DCL, CDB and probably Fitz, are town; I'm iffy about Thor and Pj (in Pj's case it's more that I'm afraid I'm missing something there rather than anything else); which leaves Llama, Mert and Rach. Of the three I'm most confident about Rach and Llama. My reread also pointed at Mert as a possibility.

I see CDB's been doing some selective reading on my interactions with vegie. It's mostly due to vegie that my read on that slot moved from null to town.

I think there's more I need to address but that will have to wait for tomorrow now.
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Post Post #632 (isolation #36) » Sat Apr 27, 2013 8:35 pm

Post by Huntress »

I know your reading comprehension is better than that, so stop misrepping me. It only takes literally a few seconds to look back through my ISO to check that I had said what I thought I said but much longer, for me anyway, to put it all together in a way that makes sense. I didn't have the time to do that then. I'm going out now but will set out my case after I get back.
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Post Post #636 (isolation #37) » Sun Apr 28, 2013 3:35 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 634, havingfitz wrote:
Huntress and CDB
...your votes aren't doing any good where they are at. Huntress and Mert aren't going to get 5 votes before 1230 EST tomorrow. Unless you prefer my lynch to either Rach or DCL...I would suggest you vote one of them.
I voted Rach in post 582.

Mod: You've got me down as voting twice on the last vote count.
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Post Post #652 (isolation #38) » Sun Apr 28, 2013 6:51 pm

Post by Huntress »

Case on Rach:

Day one her only vote was her random vote on CDB which she never moved despite not apparently having any suspicion there. Her only suspicion seemed to be DCL but she never voted him. In post 78 she said "We have peeps who have not spoke up or have barely spoke up. We need more discussion. I do agree that it has not ALL been hot air in the past 4 pages. I should be able to come up with a list of preliminary reads soon.", but her only post after that was a prod-dodge.

Day two she said she "really thought he[RS] would flip scum", despite having not previously mentioning him. The lack of mention could have been explained by her absence but for the incongruency of her statement about that absence. She says MBF is her "top" scum read implying there are others but doesn't say who they are.
Spoiler: Day two comments
In post 208, Huntress wrote:
In post 179, RachMarie wrote:I was kinda surprised that RS was not scum. I really thought he would flip scum so now I have to relook at some other people too aggh.
This looks a bit overdone. Why did that flip mean more of a reread than a scumflip would have? Who in particular are you looking at?
In post 240, Huntress wrote:
In post 199, RachMarie wrote:Friday I got busy with other things, I came back to the game to do my ISOs on Sat to find that Mike had replaced in. Simple.

I work from home and have MS open on a tab, but I am not always looking at that tab because I do other things as well.
I had a null read on Rach from Day one, apart from the lurkiness which is not unusual for her, but this post felt odd as she had already said she was around so why did she feel the need to imply that she might not have been? I can understand if she didn't want to post while she was still catching up but why imply she wasn't around if she was?
In post 250, Huntress wrote:It's good to see Rach is posting but again she is implying she hasn't been around when she clearly has.


Day 3 she seemed too eager to clear Thor by agreeing with DCL's statement about a possible rage-quit, something she said she'd seen before but when I asked for an example she gave one which wasn't the same thing at all. (And acefan's posts didn't give me any impression he would do that). In post 403 she mentions doing an ISO of Fitz but no indication she actually ever did one. There seems to be more just chatting with Thor and complaining about lurkers than interest in following up a scumread. She then says she is happy with her vote because Fitz FoSes Thor. I still don't see why voting a top scumread and FoSing a second is scummy. Her explanation seems to be that it's because Thor has a solid rep and she is easy to lynch, which has nothing to do with their alignments in this game. She still doesn't appear to have any other suspects than Fitz and I don't like the way she pushes the "easy lynch" card.
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Post Post #653 (isolation #39) » Sun Apr 28, 2013 7:01 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 651, DCLXVI wrote:given her wagon I have no expectation of her flipping anything other than town.
The only one I have strong doubts about there is Llama.
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Post Post #655 (isolation #40) » Sun Apr 28, 2013 7:48 pm

Post by Huntress »

Yeah, I did after I posted that.
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Post Post #658 (isolation #41) » Sun Apr 28, 2013 9:36 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 656, RachMarie wrote:I still am pretty sure Fitz is scum.... Notice how my wagon soddenly soared when we started focusing on Fitz...
It was actually the DCL wagon, not Fitz's, that yours was counter to. There were no votes on Fitz for a time due to the Vegie sideshow.


@ DCL: Why, with around 12 hours still to go before the deadline, did you hammer someone you think is town? If you are town wouldn't it have been better to wait in case there was a late swing, or to see who else might hammer? CDB had said he would post today and I was interested in seeing whether Thor might switch to secure a lynch.

I still think you're town but I'm finding some of your play is straining that view.
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Post Post #686 (isolation #42) » Sat May 04, 2013 11:22 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 685, DCLXVI wrote:And the trend of lurking continues into lylo...
Who's lurking? Have you forgotten some of us are not in your time zone?
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Post Post #688 (isolation #43) » Sun May 05, 2013 12:16 am

Post by Huntress »

I will when I've had time to get my thoughts together, which will probably this evening, but no guarantees.

One thing that I did notice though, was your comment that llama is not likely to be scum with mert. Was that because they seemed to be voting together most of the time, or is there another reason? Because I do see them as possible partners.
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Post Post #706 (isolation #44) » Mon May 06, 2013 1:14 pm

Post by Huntress »

@ DCL: For all your impatience, you don't seem too eager to reply to my question in post 688.
In post 676, Thor665 wrote:I would say that's a safe bet. It's possible it happened at some point, but generally it does not. Certainly don't think I've ever seen it happen every day (and now I have a new scum strategy for a mountainous setup...)
Seen it before. Done it too. Which is why I don't put too much faith in vote count analysis.
In post 676, Thor665 wrote:What is the case everyone was shopping on Llamafluff yesterday, I may wish to sheep it.
I think there were two different cases. DCL's, and mine, the main part of which is explained in post 499.
In post 702, Jake from State Farm wrote:interesting note, the slot thor replaced also had a town read on DCL and I am always suspect when a person coming in has a near identical read, more often than not I have seen that coming from scum.
Interesting note, the slot you replaced also had a scum read on DCL so wouldn't this theory apply to you too? (Not that I think it's a valid tell but if you do perhaps in this case it is.)


Still seeing Llama and Mert/Jake as most likely to be scum and I'm fairly sure DCL isn't a partner to either of them. Which leaves one of Fitz, Pj and Thor for the third. I'm tempted to think that Pj is the joker in the pack but I've nothing to back this up yet. I'll be interested to see what he has to say about the NKs.

What I really need to do is a meta-read of DCL to make sure of my read of him but that may take some time.
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Post Post #731 (isolation #45) » Tue May 07, 2013 2:01 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 724, havingfitz wrote:Llama....PJ and Huntress....thoughts in DCL? (if you have already stated them just quote or update please)
My read on DCL is much the same as it has been most of the game. He comes across as town but I keep finding myself disagreeing with what he says and does. As I said in my last post, I don't see him as partner to either Llama or Mert/Jake.

In post 716, petroleumjelly wrote:The fact that there have been consistent kills suggests either (i) the scum have not actually really considered the option of no-killing, or (ii) the scum actually have reasons for making the kills they are making, which points away from my earlier theory that the scum are simply trying to be uninformative with their nightkills.
Where are you going with this? I think we can assume that the scum do have reasons for their kills, even if that reason is to give as little information as possible, so do you have a point to make about them? None of the previous White Flags on the wiki have had the scum missing kills so why do you find it so remarkable here? Or is all this just filler to avoid the fact that you are saying very little about your opinions on the remaining players?


At the moment I'm thinking of voting either Llama or Jake today, but I've still got the feeling I'm missing something so I want to check up on one or two things.
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Post Post #827 (isolation #46) » Fri May 10, 2013 2:03 am

Post by Huntress »

I don't need a prod. I'm working on this at the moment. I've been reading but RL has been making it difficult to concentrate the last few days.
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Post Post #889 (isolation #47) » Sun May 12, 2013 12:40 am

Post by Huntress »

I've been trying to get my thoughts on this together but not succeeding so I'm just going to throw out a few posts that may look a bit disjointed but that I'm hoping will help me sort things out.

@ Jake:
In post 696, Jake from State Farm wrote:so going through a few ISOs, especially the dead (NK'd) people and I am pretty sure scum is DCL/Thor

going to do a full re-read when I have time but a DCL wagon would be where I would vote if I had to right now. Gotta get to work, hopefully can get some more reading tonight.
You went on to say "DCL is absolutely scum." I know you changed this view later, but what actually was it in those ISOs that gave you that impression?
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Post Post #890 (isolation #48) » Sun May 12, 2013 12:53 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 691, petroleumjelly wrote:2.) Is anybody surprised by the ChannelDelibird kill? Be honest. I want to talk about the nightkills, because this kill has the exact same thing in common as the first two nightkills that is really making me question the scumteam here.
In this post you are talking about something definite which you say you've seen, but as far as I can see you never explained it, saying later that you do not really have a working theory, so what was it you saw here?
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Post Post #892 (isolation #49) » Sun May 12, 2013 2:03 am

Post by Huntress »

Er, no. According to post 755 you originally thought that most people thought DCL was scum; so I'm asking what gave you that impression before you changed your mind after after looking again at the same ISOs.
In post 755, Jake from State Farm wrote:ok so I opened up excel and wrote down all of the votes/suspicions/town reads for the dead people and turns out I was wrong and actually most of the dead people thought DCl was town.

<snip>

The only thing this list tells me is I was wrong when I said more people thought DCL was scummy, turns out more people think he is town.
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Post Post #895 (isolation #50) » Sun May 12, 2013 3:06 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 893, Jake from State Farm wrote:Yeah that post explains it all. I wrote down every vote and mention of name and turns out my initial read of the isos were wrong.
No, it doesn't explain what you initially saw in those ISOs to make you think DCL was scum. It's that that I'm trying to get at.
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Post Post #923 (isolation #51) » Mon May 13, 2013 2:03 am

Post by Huntress »

I'm still waiting for Jake to answer my question that he keeps dodging.

I'm paranoid that I'm wrong about DCL but I'm sticking with my town read on him for the moment.

I've half a mind to vote Pj. One thing that sticks out is the fact that he accused vegie of coming in with an agenda to lynch DCL and later accused Jake of doing exactly the same thing. He has repeatedly claimed that scum see DCL as lynchbait and are trying to lynch him, but this seems to be a false picture as there have really been very few people who have been actively pushing his lynch.

I agree with Pj's explanations of why he think DCL is town as I'm getting the same read myself.

I'm still leaning scum on Llama and town on Fitz. Not sure about Thor and Jake.

I haven't quite got to grips yet with the ins and outs of the recent arguements but it doesn't make any of the participants look good. This is my next task which I've been putting off due to recent RL events (I just wasn't in the mood to cope with it).
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Post Post #926 (isolation #52) » Mon May 13, 2013 2:40 am

Post by Huntress »

You still haven't said what it was in those ISOs that gave you that original impression. More than just an impression as you described DCL as "absolutely scum". So why can't you quote the passages you got that from? Must I assume they don't actually exist?
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Post Post #928 (isolation #53) » Mon May 13, 2013 3:07 am

Post by Huntress »

So why didn't you just say you couldn't remember when I first asked? It would have avoided all this back and forth which has left me with the impression that you had something to hide. But I'll leave it at that for the moment.
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Post Post #930 (isolation #54) » Mon May 13, 2013 3:42 am

Post by Huntress »

The point was to judge the sincerity of your original comments about DCL and the possible validity in Pj's theory on your reason for attacking DCL (I tend to think it wasn't valid). Also I was wondering if there was something you saw that I had missed.
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Post Post #942 (isolation #55) » Tue May 14, 2013 4:10 am

Post by Huntress »

Why do I get the feeling from these last few posts that Jake and Fitz are just waiting for DCL or me to vote Llama so they can hammer?

Thor, Jake and Fitz for the scum team?
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Post Post #962 (isolation #56) » Tue May 14, 2013 5:02 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 944, Jake from State Farm wrote:I won't be hammering anyone I'm not scum.

You don't find it odd that DCL shows up and votes out of the blue?
You're not willing to hammer someone you claim to think may be scum?

As for DCL's vote, his unvote in 794 after Llama put a second vote on Fitz in 793 shows he wasn't wanting to risk a premature hammer. If DCL was scum and Fitz town I think DCL would have just left the vote there.
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Post Post #989 (isolation #57) » Tue May 14, 2013 6:34 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 962, havingfitz wrote:I find it suspect that yesterday, in , you call DCL town (though you are paranoid about it).  But you are half considering voting PJ in part for his claiming DCL is lynchbait which you say is painting a false picture.  You say there have been very few people actively pushing DCL's lynch.  How can you say that when DCL has been the leading counterwagon (or tied with the leading wagon) every day.  He came 2 votes of getting lynched both D1 and D2.  So the fault you find with PJ's assessment of DCL is not accurate.  And yet you are still happy to agree with PJ's reasons (which even he can't exaplain) for finding DCL town.

So you suspect the guy who you erroneously say is painting a picture of the suspicions DCL has garnered and yet you agree with his assessment that DCL is town.  What exactly btw do you agree with (considering one the things I found suspect with PJ is his inability TO explain why he thinks DCL is town)?  Yet you agree with him (PJ)????????  But could half support lynching him (PJ)?????

You lean scum on Llama and town on me...yet you don't want to vote Llama and now suspect me.  Because we are voting the town read you are paranoid about?

And you even though you keep disagreeing with what he says and does. 

That doesn't make any sense.  Plus you have to admit you have been very lurky lately.
1) Post 943 was purely my reaction to what I saw when I opened the thread today and bears no relation to my previous reads which I am still trying to update. Judging from the reactions to it suspect I might not be far wrong.

2) The Day 1 wagon on DCL was run up in rvs. By the time you voted him in post 81 only Llama and Mert still had votes there. On Day 2 again it was only Llama and Mert until Vegie came in. MBF came in at the end out of self defence. Day 3 it was the same three again and vegie's vote was removed when CDB returned. So I stand by my statement that there were not many wanting DCL lynched.

3) I agreed with PJ's stated reasons for finding DCL town because I had already seen the same things myself as I've mentioned in previous posts. My agreeing with Pj's description of DCL doesn't stop me considering Pj as scum as he could well be writing out of the knowledge that DCL is town or be defending a scumbuddy, but I don't think the latter is the case here.

4) I haven't said I don't want to vote Llama and haven't changed my town read on you yet (but see point 1 above).

5) DCL's motives come across as town even though I don't agree with some of what he says.

6) I've already explained why I haven't posted so much recently.
In post 989, havingfitz wrote:Where'd you go Huntress? Just a brief cameo? What's on your mind? You waiting to lay down a hammer?
I was replying to your post in between driving my son to college and getting food for my daughter. If you'd rather I didn't take the time to answer your post you should have told me.[/sarcasm]

Believe me, I'm getting very tempted to vote you.
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Post Post #991 (isolation #58) » Tue May 14, 2013 8:02 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 991, havingfitz wrote:Well don't vote me for annoying you (if that's what your last comment infers). The game's been going on too long for that to be the reason the game ends.

So Huntress....can you envision a scenario where both DCL and I are town considering we both have 2 votes? Assuming you of course are town that would leave three scum with Llama; Jake; Thor and PJ. And with the exception of Llama...all three of them have been around enough since my vote on DCL and DCL/Llama's vote/s on me to end the game.

If you are town you need to vote DCL (unless you have a good answer to the question above that doesn't involve voting me).

No thoughts on DCLs switch on Llama, play in general which you have disagreed with and his ~slip this morning?
No, I wouldn't vote you for that. I was just a bit frustrated at coming back and finding more than a page of new posts and your last post irritated me.

I agree that the votes seem to show that you and DCL can't both be town which means that I'm wrong somewhere unless it's Pj and Llama and neither have been on at the same time as the third one since the second votes were placed.

I'm still haven't had time to finish going back over the the last few days so I haven't got my thoughts straight yet.

I didn't see DCL's question about scumpartners as a slip. I thought it was pretty obvious what he was saying.

I'm not going to be pushed into a vote until I'm at least reasonably confident it's the right one.
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Post Post #995 (isolation #59) » Tue May 14, 2013 9:36 am

Post by Huntress »

I've had another think and I'm back to the theory that DCL and Fitz are both town.

Llama has been posting elsewhere but not here. Pj has been gone for nearly three days. I think Pj's absence is the only reason we haven't had a hammer yet. Now that DCL and Jake have put second votes on Fitz and DCL it only takes Llama to turn up and his partner, who I'm pretty sure now is Jake, can finish it off.

The only way to avoid that is for DCL and Fitz both to unvote before it's too late.
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Post Post #998 (isolation #60) » Tue May 14, 2013 10:03 am

Post by Huntress »

I said nothing about the number of his posts, I was only saying that he had been present on the site. But the fact that he can't post during work makes it even more likely that the lack of a hammer may be due to difficulties in coordination.
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Post Post #1001 (isolation #61) » Tue May 14, 2013 10:34 am

Post by Huntress »

What I implied was that as he had been around then it was likely to be Pj's absence that meant no hammer had occurred.

DCL: That wouldn't stop him switching to you.
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Post Post #1081 (isolation #62) » Wed May 15, 2013 2:59 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1053, petroleumjelly wrote:1.) Huntress and Jake from State Farm have actively undermined my attempts to foster discussion about the nightkills.
I responded to your first post on the subject in my post 432 saying I had looked at the NK myself but wondered what your point was in raising it just then. You didn't reply to that but in your next post you said "Nobody has actually touched on what I think is the strangest thing about the nightkills", and later you said "this kill has the exact same thing in common as the first two nightkills that is really making me question the scumteam here". I then said "I'll be interested to see what he has to say about the NKs". You didn't follow that up but instead had a discussion about the fact that the scum weren't choosing not to kill which seemed a bit irrelevant so I challenged you on it. You then said that you didn't really have a theory about the NKs, which is at odds with your earlier statements. I asked you about this in post 890, to which you haven't replied. So it looks like rather than
me
undermining the discussion it is
you
who don't want to follow it up if it doesn't go in your planned direction.

In post 691 Pj points at the CBD NK, says he's seen something but does not say what it is, says in post 732 that he does not have a theory but wants people to speculate, and is disappointed when people don't take his hint. In other words, it looks like the NK was made to set me up but noone took the bait.
In post 1053, petroleumjelly wrote:Note that ChannelDelibird later corrected the most sensible reaction as originating from DCLXVI, not Thor665. But it is clear that he thought the best reaction was from DCLXVI, and that while my questions to vegie were probing towards vegie's alignments,
Huntress question was not likely to incite a helpful response
.
As I pointed out to CBD I had already had a short discussion with vegie before I made that comment, which was really because I couldn't think what else to say to him.
In post 1053, petroleumjelly wrote:What is odd here is that I have already declined to vote either DCLXVI or havingfitz precisely because I think there is a high likelihood both are Town:
Are you expecting us to believe that would stop you hammering either of them if they are town and you are scum?
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Post Post #1130 (isolation #63) » Wed May 15, 2013 11:27 am

Post by Huntress »

I've been ignoring the arguing here today and instead I've been reading some of DCL's old games to check my read on him with the result that I'm sticking with my town read there.

I've not seen anything to change my read on Jake and as he's the one I'm surest of at the moment that's where my vote is going if I can fit the rest of the puzzle together. I'm still not certain enough about it though so I won't be voting tonight as I want to recheck some stuff first. I'm working through the full list of possible scum teams seeing what I can rule out. I'm down to seven at the moment, six of which include Jake.
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Post Post #1137 (isolation #64) » Wed May 15, 2013 12:13 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 1131, DCLXVI wrote:Out of curiosity, what games of mine did you read?
Open 483 and Micro 140. Both scum games as I was looking to see if what I saw as town was actually a null tell for you.
In post 1134, DCLXVI wrote:@huntress, so far, is there anyone who has been fully cleared of being scum? i.e. someone who isn't in any of the 7 combinations or whatever you have left at the time your respond to this post.
Actually that should really be 14, not seven, if I include you as well. I was trying to take a short cut there but that's probably not a good idea. I left myself out of course but noone else is clear yet. I won't be looking at it any more tonight but I hope to narrow it down more tomorrow. The difficult part will be taking account of bussing as I would be surprised if there weren't some scum-on-scum votes today.
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Post Post #1196 (isolation #65) » Wed May 15, 2013 9:01 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 1169, DCLXVI wrote:@huntress, what is your opinion of a llama, pj, thor scumteam?
That was the only groupng I had which didn't include Jake and was partly the reason for my comment re scum voting scum. I'm hesitant about it because of the scenario described by Jake in post 1165. I just don't think Thor would be that obvious.

As for the rest of the posts, I should have some time later today to get my head round them.
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Post Post #1227 (isolation #66) » Thu May 16, 2013 3:51 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1165, Jake from State Farm wrote:the correct chain of events

Thor puts me at L-1
dcl unvotes post 1037
VC in post 1044 shows PJ/Thor voting me
Thor unvotes in post 1049 after saying "heck"
PJ posts in 1053
llama posts in 1054
Thor says "kinda hate you all" in post 1055

how does that not look like a blown quick hammer setup
1024 Thor puts a third vote on Jake and adds in the next post that Jake was obviously bussing Llama. The only people that had been around for the previous four hours were Jake and DCL, who was already voting Jake. So who was Thor expecting to put on a quick hammer? Pj was already voting Jake. I wasn't around, and if I had been scum with Thor he would have known my timezone. Fitz we know isn't scum unless Jake is also scum. Which just leaves Llama, who Thor has been voting.
1032 Fitz tells Thor to go back to Llama
1037 DCL unvotes Jake
1045 Fitz says goodnight
1048 Thor says he'll vote Llama if Fitz does
1049 then votes him anyway

Is Thor bussing Llama here? It would be a bit risky if he was as there are a few of us who have been willing to vote there. Or was Thor trying to set up town-cred for next Day by lynching his scumbuddy. Possible but I think not likely.

In post 1202, Jake from State Farm wrote:Huntress isn't voting anyone at all,
nor is he trying to figure things out
. Llama is just checked out, which has NO pro-town motivation at all and PJ has been caught lying and everyone ignores it.
Either you've been so busy spamming the thread with your own posts that you're ignoring others, or you're just throwing mud and hoping it sticks.

In post 1206, Jake from State Farm wrote:
Huntress and Jake from State Farm have actively undermined my attempts to foster discussion about the nightkills.
how is this even remotely true when I am the ONLY ONE trying to talk about the night kills? PJ isn't trying to analyze them and I certainly have not stopped him from doing so.
You weren't the only one. See my response to Pj about this in post 1081 and my earlier comments. He seems to be just trying to push his own agenda.

In post 1207, havingfitz wrote:So what's up Huntress? You haven't voted yet today. Does the possibility of a no lynch bother you?
There won't be a no-lynch, not for lack of my vote anyway. Why does it bother you that I haven't voted yet?
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Post Post #1256 (isolation #67) » Thu May 16, 2013 9:14 am

Post by Huntress »

Maybe he thinks his scumbuddy might decide to buss him after all.
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Post Post #1259 (isolation #68) » Thu May 16, 2013 9:48 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1257, Jake from State Farm wrote:I still have "unvote" copied and ready to paste if I feel a quick hammer is about to happen.
So you don't really want to lynch Llama? Then why vote him?
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Post Post #1289 (isolation #69) » Thu May 16, 2013 2:40 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 1230, Jake from State Farm wrote:post 432 - this is where you say you looked at Hiraki's iso and you were already suspicious of ace fan. How come you NEVER vote him the entire game? If you were suspicious of him already AND he was a suspect of hiraki's I would feel like you would pressure thor some more.
I never voted him as he was never a top priority, and after my reread prior to my vote on Mert he dropped even further.

I wasn't going to reply to Fitz's post 1232 as it really annoyed me, enough to just walk away from the computer for a time after reading it. Time that I could have been spending working through the thread which I've been doing every spare moment for the last few days. If that was his intention then he succeeded, but I can't see any town motivation for it. It's not the first time he's tried to needle me either. The only reason I'm addressing it now is because of his defence of Pj's posts. Apparently Pj's low posting is ok with him but he finds fault with me for not posting 10 or 20 times a day. Ok, that's an exaggeration but you get the picture. I post when I've got something to say. And I'll vote when I'm ready to do so. I'm not leaving a vote on anyone in lylo when I can't be around to watch the thread until I'm reasonably certain it's in the right place. (Yes, I'm paranoid and indecisive.)

-------------

I haven't finshed rereading yet but so far I've narrowed it down to the following four options:

Thor, Llama, Pj
Fitz, Llama, Jake
Fitz, Jake, Pj
Llama, Jake, Pj

My current favourite is the fourth one, second favourite is the first. Although Fitz's defence of Pj's posts makes me wonder if the third one might be the correct one.
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Post Post #1297 (isolation #70) » Thu May 16, 2013 2:59 pm

Post by Huntress »

After reading the last couple of pages I
really
want to hammer Jake.
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Post Post #1308 (isolation #71) » Thu May 16, 2013 3:13 pm

Post by Huntress »

The only team I've got without Jake is Thor, Llama, Pj. Is there a reason that doesn't work?

I think Llama has a slightly higher chance of being scum but I'm not sure I can face another Day of Jake spamming the thread and all the acrimony. This Day has been longer than the first three put together.
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Post Post #1325 (isolation #72) » Thu May 16, 2013 3:55 pm

Post by Huntress »

Llama or Pj?

I've got scumreads on both in addition to the possible teams.

And it's nearly 4am so I may leave til the morning when I can think clearer.
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Post Post #1327 (isolation #73) » Thu May 16, 2013 3:59 pm

Post by Huntress »

And now I'm paranoid that it's actually Thor, DCL, Pj so I might go for Pj just in case.

Tomorrow.
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Post Post #1347 (isolation #74) » Thu May 16, 2013 11:41 pm

Post by Huntress »

Altogether, including me, there have been five people willing to vote Llama and five willing to vote Jake, so there's at least one scum on both wagons. If there was no bussing then that leaves only
Thor, DCL, Pj
. Everything else is ruled out unless Fitz as scum failed to hammer town Jake, which is out of the question.

So there is a good chance that someone was bussing. I need to work out who.
Or admit that I might have been wrong about DCL.


But for now I'm ready to vote Pj.

Vote: Pj
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Post Post #1348 (isolation #75) » Fri May 17, 2013 12:10 am

Post by Huntress »

@ Pj:

1) You still ignore my point that none of the other White flag games have had no-kills, so what's so different about this one?

4) I can't see any scum team risking that the town will no-lynch rather than trying for a mislynch.


@ DCL: Is Pj's point about swearing the
only
thing you disagree with in his post?


To be fair to Pj re the deadline, the mod did originally say Sunday (even if he meant Saturday as he did say the 18th).
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Post Post #1353 (isolation #76) » Fri May 17, 2013 1:41 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1351, havingfitz wrote:Huntress...do you have a case on PJ? Will you vote Llama?
See posts 923, and 1081. I've also mentioned my thought that his not being around may have made it more difficult for scum to get a mislynch. Plus there's the fact that he shows up in most of the possible combinations.

Llama would be my second choice at the moment but I think Pj is better.
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Post Post #1359 (isolation #77) » Fri May 17, 2013 2:10 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1355, havingfitz wrote:Huntress....what combinations have you ruled out and why. And don't leave yourself out.
I haven't even looked at those including myself as I already know they're not viable.

This is copied from my notes:

Thor and Jake unlikely due to L-1 vote
Thor, Llama, Jake
Thor, Jake, Pj
----------------------
DCL,Llama and Jake,DCL unlikely due to day 2
Thor, DCL, Llama
Thor, DCL, Jake
-------------------
Fitz and Thor unlikely due to day 3
Thor, Fitz, Jake
--------------------
If Jake is town then Fitz is not scum
Thor, DCL, Fitz
Thor, Fitz, Llama
Thor, Fitz, Pj
DCL, Fitz, Llama
DCL, Fitz. Pj
Fitz, Llama, Pj

These are the ones that are left but if you don't assume bussing then only the first is viable:

Thor, DCL, Pj
Thor, Llama, Pj
Fitz, Llama, Jake
Fitz, Jake, Pj
Llama, Jake, Pj
DCL, Fitz, Jake
DCL, Llama, Jake
DCL, Llama, Pj
DCL, Jake, Pj
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Post Post #1371 (isolation #78) » Fri May 17, 2013 3:32 am

Post by Huntress »

I'm not switching yet as I'm still checking out possible scum teams allowing for bussing.
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Post Post #1384 (isolation #79) » Fri May 17, 2013 10:58 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1359, Huntress wrote:These are the ones that are left but if you don't assume bussing then only the first is viable:

Thor, DCL, Pj
Thor, Llama, Pj
Fitz, Llama, Jake
Fitz, Jake, Pj
Llama, Jake, Pj
DCL, Fitz, Jake
DCL, Llama, Jake
DCL, Llama, Pj
DCL, Jake, Pj
I had another look at these. The only possibilties I can see here apart from
Thor, DCL, Pj
are:

Thor, Llama, Pj
- Thor removed his vote on Llama soon after he came back and saw that Fitz had voted there, but that looked as though it might have been genuine.

Thor, Jake, Pj
- Thor's vote was only on Jake for a short time when hardly anyone else was around.

In all the other cases a bus seems unlikely unless scum think they would have a better chance of a mislynch on Day five, but I can't see why they would take that risk.

So on that basis I think we should lynch Pj or Thor.
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Post Post #1385 (isolation #80) » Fri May 17, 2013 11:09 am

Post by Huntress »

@ Mod: You missed my vote on Pj in post 1347 off of the last vote count.


Fixed
Last edited by greygnarl on Fri May 17, 2013 4:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post Post #1399 (isolation #81) » Tue May 21, 2013 6:33 am

Post by Huntress »

Pj and Thor are my top suspects and I will almost certainly vote for Pj but I'll just recheck a few things first.
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Post Post #1402 (isolation #82) » Tue May 21, 2013 10:23 am

Post by Huntress »

I don't like it. It just seems too obvious.

From yesterday I'm left with Llama, Thor, Pj.

Up to Day four I had Llama and Mert/Jake as possible scumbuddies with Pj as a possible third among others.

During the Day I became more convinced about Jake being scum but also about Pj.

After Llama and Jake's votes on each other in1244 and 1272 I had more or less ruled them out as partners as their votes looked too risky to be distancing but maybe by that point, having failed to get wagons on anyone else, they were just bowing to the inevitable and going for the towncred.

This means that the following may still be possible:
Llama, Jake, Thor
Llama, Jake, Fitz
Llama, Jake, Pj

Out of Thor, Fitz and Pj I'm currently inclined to think it's Thor but this is all from memory and a few brief notes so I'm going to reread Day four before doing anything.
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Post Post #1438 (isolation #83) » Wed May 22, 2013 1:36 pm

Post by Huntress »

It's going to take me a bit of time to get through the stuff I want to look at. Don't expect any instant answers.
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Post Post #1456 (isolation #84) » Thu May 23, 2013 1:35 am

Post by Huntress »

I guess that rules out a Llama, Jake, Thor group but I'm not voting Thor yet, if at all, as there's still the possibility of you two both being scum. If Pj is town he is correct in refusing to vote anyone but Jake. I was going to ask Thor if he was willing to vote Jake to prove they are not partners but that probably isn't necessary now. Jake left his vote on Pj for a good part of a day, some of which he may not have been around to remove it if someone else voted there, so that makes it less likely he is Pj's partner. Which leaves me with just two options:
Llama, Thor, Pj
Llama, Jake, Fitz

The Llama, Jake, Pj group is not entirely ruled out but is covered by the fact that I'll be voting either Jake or Pj so I don't have to worry about it, even though some of Jake's posts toDay give me the impression that this may possibly be the right one. And that's the main reason I won't be voting Thor.
In post 1455, Jake from State Farm wrote:Don't feel like posting a other 100 posts
That's a relief. I've got quite enough to reread as it is. I'm hoping to finish that by the end of the weekend.
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Post Post #1460 (isolation #85) » Thu May 23, 2013 2:41 am

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@ Jake:

I didn't vote you yesterday because I wasn't certain enough. Pj was the better option at the end although I would have switched to Llama before deadline if Thor hadn't beaten me to it.

Why does it bother you that Pj doesn't want to have a running arguement with you? From your point of view, if you are town he must be scum so why are you trying to engage him in debate? On the other hand, if you are scum and he is town I can see that you would want him to keep talking so you could find more fault with what he says.

As to the risk of your voting Pj, the following post comes to mind:
In post 1257, Jake from State Farm wrote:I still have "unvote" copied and ready to paste if I feel a quick hammer is about to happen.
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Post Post #1462 (isolation #86) » Thu May 23, 2013 3:03 am

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@ Llama:

Because we wouldn't have let the Day end in a no-lynch so that wasn't an option. I'll address the rest when I've finished checking back.


@ Jake:

You didn't answer my question: Why does it bother you that someone you say you are certain is scum doesn't want to discuss the matter with you?
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Post Post #1465 (isolation #87) » Thu May 23, 2013 3:37 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1461, Jake from State Farm wrote:I find it funny that huntress said he had me as a scum read yesterday, but I honestly don't see anything wrong with my play yesterday.
I had your slot as a scumread earlier, alongside Llama. Yesterday I was wavering on it as you did come across as a bit more town, which is one of the reasons I didn't vote you then, but poe means you have a good chance of being scum.
In post 1463, Jake from State Farm wrote:It bothers me because I feel players should be playing to win and not just give up. He knows his odds of winning lie in the hands of you and fitz, yet has he done anything to convince you?
Maybe he understands that we all need to make our own minds up from the evidence that's already in the thread. Certainly I have no intention of letting you or anyone else steamroller me into a decision so you might as well stop trying.


Preview edit: Oops! Yes that should say Fitz. :oops:
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Post Post #1466 (isolation #88) » Thu May 23, 2013 3:43 am

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@ Fitz
: How confident are you that Jake and Pj are not scum together? Because I'm worried that if they are Pj will come in and hammer Thor.
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Post Post #1484 (isolation #89) » Thu May 23, 2013 6:04 am

Post by Huntress »

In post 1470, Jake from State Farm wrote:why DOESN'T it bother you that he is not doing anything?
It doesn't bother me because I've looked at his posts and seen what he's had to say. He has several posts already toDay and is hardly "not doing anything". If I need to know more then I'll ask him. If you are town then you already know who the scum are by poe so don't need to get more out of him. Which makes me think that your pressure on him may be scum-motivated.

In post 1471, havingfitz wrote:Huntress....do you have any doubt that Jake and Thor are not of the same alignment?
I'm fairly confident now that they are not both scum and they can't be both town.

In post 1481, Jake from State Farm wrote:do you honestly think llama would give up his crusade on DCL(town) from previous days and bus his buddy on day 4 and when that didn't work bus his other buddy?
Yes, I think he's perfectly capable of it.

In post 1482, havingfitz wrote:@Huntress...can you really not see PJ and Thor as a team?
Of course I can, what makes you think I can't?


I've just been responding to a few things while doing other jobs but I'll sit down a bit later and go through the recent posts more thoroughly.
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Post Post #1498 (isolation #90) » Fri May 24, 2013 6:15 am

Post by Huntress »

No. The right lynch is either you or Pj.

Is that a typo in the last para of 1493? I can't think you actually meant to say that. :P

No conclusions yet, as I'm still working my way through this.
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Post Post #1501 (isolation #91) » Fri May 24, 2013 7:14 am

Post by Huntress »

Insults, false accusations and swearing will get you nowhere. I have put as much effort into this game as anyone else here. Just because I can't play all day and don't flood the thread with posts doesn't mean I'm any less committed to the game than you are. The main reason I haven't yet finished my reread is the sheer volume of your posts. If you can't be civil then please just stop posting for a time and give us all a rest from your impatience.

I've already told you you're not going to steamroller me into voting the way you want me to so please stop trying.
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Post Post #1504 (isolation #92) » Fri May 24, 2013 7:48 am

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There is no need to be rude. I haven't ignored anything. If you're talking about your recent posts I'm not responding to them individually as I don't want to delay my reread, but you may be assured they will be given my full attention. Believe me, I'm one of those people who read everything, even all the wallposts. Unfortunately, I'm no longer able to speed read the way I did when I was younger, so it does take me some time.
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Post Post #1507 (isolation #93) » Sat May 25, 2013 7:21 pm

Post by Huntress »

In post 1484, Huntress wrote:
In post 1471, havingfitz wrote:Huntress....do you have any doubt that Jake and Thor are not of the same alignment?
I'm fairly confident now that they are not both scum and they can't be both town.
Having finished my reread I'm going to retract the first part of this as I can see a scenario where they could be both scum.

I'll go into more detail later this afternoon but the bottom line is that I'm currently planning to vote Jake. I just want to hear what Thor has to say first.
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Post Post #1514 (isolation #94) » Sun May 26, 2013 5:01 am

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I haven't voted Jake because I'm still waiting to hear from Thor and what he says may change things.

The only actual proof I've seen relates to Fitz and me. I haven't seen any actual proof about Jake apart from the fact that Jake can't be scum with me which I knew already obviously.

In post 1513, havingfitz wrote:Thor and Jake have both posted on site this morning.
Looking at post timings there's no guarantee they were on at the same time, or that Thor has had a chance to look at this thread yet.
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Post Post #1518 (isolation #95) » Sun May 26, 2013 6:30 am

Post by Huntress »

@ Thor:

If Jake is town you have to be scum, if you are town Jake has to be scum. You can't be both town, but you can of course both be scum. Can you disprove that? Or do you have equally good proof that Pj is scum?
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Post Post #1522 (isolation #96) » Sun May 26, 2013 6:52 am

Post by Huntress »

That only applies if Pj is town. Am I right in thinking that that confirms Pj as scum with Thor or Jake?
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Post Post #1527 (isolation #97) » Sun May 26, 2013 7:12 am

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The reason I was waiting to hear from Thor was because I think the white flag gambit has been used here. It was first (as least I think it was first) used in a white flag game in which Llama and Thor were both playing. The first scum member was bussed and then a second was voted by the third and left at L-1 long enough to convince the other players that those on the wagon were not partners with the wagonee. Scum won.
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Post Post #1530 (isolation #98) » Sun May 26, 2013 7:20 am

Post by Huntress »

Still not sure whether it's Jake or Thor but it
has
to be Pj.

Vote: Pj
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Post Post #1555 (isolation #99) » Sun May 26, 2013 9:55 am

Post by Huntress »

Thanks for the game everyone! It was enjoyable for the most part although I found the change of pace in Day 4 a bit challenging.

I came into Day five fully intending to vote Pj/Thor but then my paranoia set in which, combined with my previous suspicion that Mert/Jake and Llama were partners, made me want to check everything again. Jake's insistence that he was confirmed town when he wasn't didn't help either, but it was his posts addressing Pj which just didn't read like they came from a townie who was 100% sure that Pj was scum, that really made me doubt him.
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