NY 142: Rolling in the Deep, WAIT WAT? PARTY OVER?!

[mastin2]

Hi guys.

[mastin2]

I don't have the PM, yet, actually. Would've said as much if I did.

Since this IS a 50+ Day One game, and since unless someone else offered to replace in first, I'm almost certainly going to be playing, can someone give me a tl;dr summary of things?

[mastin2]

*cracks wrists*

Let's see if I live up to my current signature.

Got my PM, so time to work.

[mastin2]

So, 22 players. Six scum, right?

This'll be fun.

[mastin2]

Initial impression. (First page.) Revenus is town.
I'll take it on Pine and Faraday's word that SV and Beck are town, since my initial impression does not impress me.
Small scumread on Soda.
Very slight scumread on Hiraki, too; we'll see about it later.

Since two of my initial scumreads voted sword, if I'm correct in my reads, sword's most likely town.
There's probably one scum in the David Parker voters (and David Parker's probably town), but it's hard to tell who at this point.

Unfortunately, those are the only reliable things I have. There's more, but I'm less sold on those.

[mastin2]

BTW, I *want* to say it's Slandaar. Y'know, of the David Parker voters. Anyway, have written down the thoughts which I am less sure on so I can come back and review on them later. Moving on to page two.

[mastin2]

Also, pretty sure Username (and therefore Faraday) is town. Pine I'm just going to assume is town, since if he isn't I'm screwed (he'll keep me alive as long as I think he's town, and then BAM! THE very night I'm planning to lynch him, I end up dead ) and if he is it's not worth the time trying to figure out his alignment.

Thinking Funky and Amateur are both town, for reference.
Also retracting my sword town-read, in favor for null.

Sky's prob-town, too.
Hiraki's back up to null.

And Slandaar

still

looks bad to me.

That's two! I'm 1/27th done!

[mastin2]

Since I covered the first two already (they're the important ones ), I'll be posting less. Still, first five or so sounds nice.

Think one of {Slanddar, BV} is scum, but that the other is town.

Also, no more than one in {Pops, Zdenek} is scum; it's possible neither is.

My soda scumread has strengthened, for the record.

Zdenek (4): theamatuer, Hiraki, funkybike, Beck
Beck (4): Revenus, Shattered Viewpoint, Pine, Sorgster

Concerningly, I have no scumreads on the Zdenek wagon, other than my old (now null) Hiraki one.
Beck is in a semi-similar position, though not quite.

Zel might be scum. Depends on Slandaar, though. Slandaar-town, Zel-prob-scum. Sladaar-scum, Zel-town.

I'll see what comes up from my compiled reads based off of the first five. (Which is soon-to-be 1/11th of the game.)

[mastin2]

TOWN: Revenus, Pine, Username/Faraday, SV, Beck, David Parker, Funky, Amateur, Sky.
(Well, that's actually getting somewhere.)
NULL (but former-town): Sword.
NULL (but former-scum): Hiraki.
JUST PLAIN NULL: Lots.
SCUM: Soda.
Scum Pairings: 1 of {Slandaar, BV}, 1 of {Zdenek, Pops}.

So, effectively, three scum reads (half the team) plus ten town-reads. That's 13/22. Well, at least I have a lynch majority on my reads.

(But still, need more.)

[mastin2]

Oh, forgot Zel.
Slandaar-town = Zel-scum.
Slandaar-scum = Zel-probably-not-scum.

Still, though, mostly the same.

[mastin2]

Also, if Zel is scum, ThAd is town, otherwise, ThAd is significantly more likely than most people to be scum. Just an FYI.

Same to Slandaar. (Though this one is weaker than the ThAd one.) If Slandaar is scum, Zel is not, if Zel is scum, Slandaar is not. (My my, funny how many reads seem to be developing around a few key players...)

Beginning to think ThAd = scum, which'd mean Zel = town which'd probably mean Slandaar = scum.


Oh. And if you couldn't tell, I'm avoiding commenting on sorgster. Truthfully, I find sorg suspicious, but I want to look into his play some more to see if it's just normal-sorgster-which-I-tend-to-not-see-much-of, or if it's actually scum-sorgster.

This is through nine.

[mastin2]

Working under my hypothetical situation...

TOWN: Revenus, Pine, Username/Faraday, SV, Beck, David Parker, Funky, Amateur, Sky, BV.
NULL (but former-town): Sword.
NULL (but former-scum): Hiraki.
JUST PLAIN NULL: Lots.
SCUM: Soda, ThAd, Slandaar, sorgster.
Scum Pairings: 1 of {Zdenek, Pops}.

Considering that's five of six scum names, I'm probably wrong somewhere.

[mastin2]

Zdenek (2): Hiraki, funkybike
Beck (2): Shattered Viewpoint, Revenus
Revenus (2): Sky, DavidParker
funkybike (2): bvoigt, theamatuer
Hiraki (1): Zel1nk
Zel1nk (1): Pine
Sky (1): ThAdmiral
Pine (1): Slandaar
Shattered Viewpoint (1): Beck
theamatuer (1): iamausername
sword_of_omens (1): SodaSpirit17
Popsofctown (1): Zdenek

Not Voting (5): sword_of_omens, Primate, DamnFail, Jackal711, popsofctown

By typical VCA, there'd be one scum not voting (Pops? Fail or Jackal?), two scum on the (2) voters (BV? Hiraki?), and two scum on the (1) voters. (Zdenek/Soda/Slandaar/ThAd/Zel...almost all of my suspects...are in there. :/) With an extra scum...somewhere. Probably in the (1)s, given how many scumreads of mine are present.

Not entirely sure what to make of it. Probably means I'm wrong. (Again. ) Oh, well. We'll see.

Makes me feel better about sorgster, for the record.

Especially since Soda's looking worse. (Though I should probably meta Soda to see if this is normal or not.)

My Slandaar scumread is increasing, BTW.
As is the ThAd scumread.

Both suggesting Zel town.

Leaning Pops scum instead of Zdenek.

Getting a little tired, so this might be all I do tonight. (halfway down page 12.) Sorry, but when trying to catch up, you can't work that well sleepy and I don't feel like pulling an all-nighter yet. (That'll be later! )

[mastin2]

TOWN: Revenus, Pine, Username/Faraday, SV, Beck, David Parker, Funky, Amateur, Sky, BV, sorgster (?), Zdenek (?).
NULL (but former-town): Sword.
NULL (but former-scum): Hiraki.
JUST PLAIN NULL: Lots.
SCUM: Soda, ThAd, Slandaar, Pops (?).

As it stands right now. We'll see how this works once I can actually coherently read.

[mastin2]

I woke up.

VOTE: Slandaar. See you in the morning.

[mastin2]

Dead tired, overworked, and busy elsewhere, but I still am trying to keep up.

Noticed something about six-days-from-now-deadline, and a mention of a Soda lynch compromise.

Unvote, Vote: Soda

.

Looking at the votecount, one of the lynches (Revenus) I will not go for, and I don't remember what (if any) read I have on vijay (the other wagon), so probably not a good wagon there, either.

[mastin2]

Unvote, vote: Slandaar

. This works too.

[mastin2]

Unvote, Vote: Soda

.

Back here, then.

(No, I have not caught up. I'm busy elsewhere, as I said before. I'll get to this game when I'm finished there.)

[mastin2]

Oh, right.

Sorry. Forgot 'bout this game. Will come back a little later.