This is tough. I keep second guessing my reads. I'll just throw out that my first gut scum reads today were Hiraki and Nero. But I'll go down through the list:
PeregrineV: Not sure why amrun blocked him. Seems like the role almost has to be town, as someone has already said, this role as scum could just gift scum partners. IIRC, he tried to gift Toog D1 and a 1-shot vig evaporated into nothingness, D2 gift went to Toog (confirmed), D3 blocked but going to obvtown amrun.
Jason: VI, could easily make the case that just about everything he says is scummy, but he's probably town.
Toog: thought he was scummy earlier in the game. Prob-town now. Curious about 1 thing I just realized, but it can wait.
Reck: If I have it all straight, he networked with spy, toog, and Amrun. The D3 discussion was odd, about how reck is obvtown because he would have told scum partner SW who toog was targetting and wouldn't have faked a protect, but somehow reck kept forgetting that SW was blocked by amrun so SW didn't actually fake a protect at all. But I think the fact that reck was assuming SW was faking a result pretty much means he can't be scum with SW otherwise he'd have KNOWN he wasn't faking a result via quicktopic.
That leaves Hiraki and Nero.
Nero Cain is more or less completely POE.
Hiraki is my top pick. First there was the comment back on D2 I think about how scum get new roles and can't use the old one any more and he made a similar comment today in 834. I don't see how Hiraki keeps coming up with this idea, its not in the rules, as far as we all know, everyone has the role thats listed on the first page and apart from factional kills, thats it. It seems like these comments could be slips of inside information - that he knows scum have extra roles they can swap for the role they were assigned because he's scum and was told about that mechanic. Its like when you're in a game and you've got no reason to believe there are 2 scum teams, but people keep talking about 2 scum teams and then at the end of the game you realize those people were scum who knew there had to be 2 scum teams due to the size of their faction? Yeah, thats the kinda vibe these roleswitching comments are giving me.
The above is just speculation, more important points:
- There was the whole discussion about peregrineV yesterday while SW was about to be lynched. Hiraki did vote and unvote SW before, but for the most part I felt like Hiraki was trying to avoid commenting about SW.
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this post
vote: Hiraki