Careful, you may hurt your bones!In post 9, Pink Panthers wrote: I intend to townslip repeatedly and hard this game.
Micro 1018: The King's New Robes | Game Over
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++In post 15, ArcAngel9 wrote: I don't understand the setup. Can anyone be a lamb and summarize it in simple words?-
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TMI???In post 27, ArcAngel9 wrote:
wasn't it obvious?In post 25, VFP wrote:
I just feel that the posts before me had no scum motivation to them.In post 23, ArcAngel9 wrote:Okay, now it's slightly clear.
Lets scum hunt then.
VFP why did you say everyone above you is town?
{Vfp, arc} GG wp-
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Too Much Information (about someone's alignment).In post 38, ArcAngel9 wrote:
What is TMI?In post 35, Rockhopper wrote:
TMI???In post 27, ArcAngel9 wrote:
wasn't it obvious?In post 25, VFP wrote:
I just feel that the posts before me had no scum motivation to them.In post 23, ArcAngel9 wrote:Okay, now it's slightly clear.
Lets scum hunt then.
VFP why did you say everyone above you is town?
{Vfp, arc} GG wp-
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NM is crumbing seamstress guys vote him out
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That's a bit of a stretch-
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Yeah, her busywork/lamist ignorance/seriousness towards VFP's joke post all seem scummy.
But is any of that AI? Do you have other reasons?-
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It could just be the truth tho.In post 77, ArcAngel9 wrote:
Why? Because I caught with you a lie? Your discord story is one-sided. You seem to want to push it back because I may have already smelled you correctly.In post 70, Gamma Faria wrote:I won’t really have time to post much but I can say I did approve massclaiming when asked
Also I kinda think ArcAngel is sus
~Gamma
VOTE: Gamma Faria
But I seriously feel that has happened.In post 71, VFP wrote:I think Faria scum slipped and then just fake posted as Gamma to cover it up.
Spoiler:
What's far fetched about talking with a hydra partner through discord?
And why would there be a need to make a fake cover up post as the partner even if the slot is scum?
I was being sarcastic lel. Everyone's either town or scum.
What more you expect to say? Clear you as a town. No way. You could be totally lying as you don't want the bride choosing you?In post 73, Rockhopper wrote:
That's a bit of a stretch
I get that you meant it was NAI.-
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They seem scummy objectively, but I don't think they are indicative this early.In post 80, Gamma Faria wrote:In post 74, Rockhopper wrote:Yeah, her busywork/lamist ignorance/seriousness towards VFP's joke post all seem scummy.
But is any of that AI? Do you have other reasons?If it's scummy to you, why you're waiting for others' opinions instead of voting?
VOTE: Rockhopper
~Faria-
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I wasn't aware of the mechanics/strategy.In post 89, Pink Panthers wrote: @rockhop - why didn't you claim your suit earlier on? It's kind of weird I'm the first one asking this
-hop
Better safe than sorry.-
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Yes, but I prolly would have claimed anywayIn post 95, Pink Panthers wrote:
did any specific post prompt you to claim it?In post 93, Rockhopper wrote:
I wasn't aware of the mechanics/strategy.In post 89, Pink Panthers wrote: @rockhop - why didn't you claim your suit earlier on? It's kind of weird I'm the first one asking this
-hop
Better safe than sorry.-
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VOTE: PanthersIn post 185, Pink Panthers wrote:I don't think the Gamma hydra would make this slip
ActionDan seems to have noticed the same stuff i did here so is less likely scum since scum doing this strat then getting the other to point it out for towncred is super -ev
taking them out of the subsequent pool leaves (NM/VFP/Arc)
-Hop
It's quite strange that you conveniently leave out possible situations that involve town!me to push your confscum!rock narrative.
Assume the team is {actress, seamstress} for instance. Why don't you think a mystic could lie about their role to essentially become an activated innocent child or something of that sort? Dan seemed to have suggested the idea in his posts, but you just straight up discard it??
Even if it's just {actress, actress}, why would lying about having a seamstress suit necessarily point to me being scum?
It isn't harmful to town in any way and can help increase the likelihood of scum slipping up the way I see it (which I think is the case here).
Your case doesn't look like something that comes out of a townie mindset, since I'd expect town!you to actually analyze how sensible a lie would be from either alignment before jumping to such an extreme conclusion.-
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I did not expect this to happen this soon.
I obviously would have revealed that I didn't in fact have any suit after everyone claimed.-
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ERgo arguments that I was just fakeclaiming to avoid getting proposed are unfounded.In post 191, Rockhopper wrote:I did not expect this to happen this soon.
I obviously would have revealed that I didn't in fact have any suit after everyone claimed.-
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Yeah, to confuse scum. I'm a VT with no suit.In post 201, Enchant wrote:I just ask directly.
If you are Mystic, but decide to claim VT, stop being dumb and claim immediately. There's literally no benefit in hiding.
Rock, did you lie about suit and why?
In a world where I actually do have a seamstress suit, and the mafia are {actress, seamstress} - a good assumption to make since 2 seamstresses would prolly give each other suits to avoid being caught by a possible proposal, or would otherwise attract too much attention with a seamstress suit claim based on the fact that having 2 undisguised seamstresses is very -ev for scum - why would it be dumb for the second mystic to hide? It's better to be an IC with the activated modifier than without.-
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Ah yes.. aIn post 197, Pink Panthers wrote:Both us and T3.
I’ve seen bad open wolf plays but Rockhopper’s really takes the cake. lmfaoootownslip
There's no way you don't actually know about suits.
That's literally the core idea of the setup.-
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The mystic can choose when to become conftown I mean.In post 205, Enchant wrote:
What you mean by "Activated" modifier and what benefit Mystic have with no-claim?In post 202, Rockhopper wrote:
Yeah, to confuse scum. I'm a VT with no suit.In post 201, Enchant wrote:I just ask directly.
If you are Mystic, but decide to claim VT, stop being dumb and claim immediately. There's literally no benefit in hiding.
Rock, did you lie about suit and why?
In a world where I actually do have a seamstress suit, and the mafia are {actress, seamstress} - a good assumption to make since 2 seamstresses would prolly give each other suits to avoid being caught by a possible proposal, or would otherwise attract too much attention with a seamstress suit claim based on the fact that having 2 undisguised seamstresses is very -ev for scum - why would it be dumb for the second mystic to hide? It's better to be an IC with the activated modifier than without.-
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SMOKE?In post 214, T3 wrote:Enchant NM and I = basically conftown but we don't know who NM picked.
SMOKE is not confirmed town because they could be actress.-
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Why? What do you think of 190?In post 218, T3 wrote:If NM is vt then Rock is basically confscum.
This makes me reconsider my read on PP-
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It forces them to follow a different line of thought, which imo could be mildly telling since they'd know for a fact that it's a lie.In post 229, ActionDan wrote: looking at 190, I may have suggested a VT is lying but I was really being pedantic, because usually I'm under the working assumption that towndon'tlie. It's hard to fault PP from incorporating that tenant into their mechanics argument and then reaching the obvious conclusion. Speaking of lying; Rockhopper what were you hoping to gain from yours (how would this confuse scum)? If we are in the Actress/Seamstress/2 oracle world, which it appears we are, there's going to be a seamstress vulnerable to briding, and a fake suit claim could solve that problem.
An Actress/Seamstress world would imply some townie lying about not receiving a suit. That's unlikely since a proposal would most definitely cause their elimination and a claim change to mafia would look too suspicious. I don't think anyone here believes that the benefits of increased cognitive load outweigh the cost of dying.
Based on that assumption, there would have to be another oracle if NM is telling the truth since {seamstress,seamstress} is the only logical scenario where no town gets a suit if I'm not wrong.
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This was sarcasm.In post 73, Rockhopper wrote:
That's a bit of a stretch
I wasn't really denying anything.-
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It could be a suit, they aren't conf!town.In post 267, ArcAngel9 wrote:
What why pink panthers? His role is literally confirmed by the mod.In post 266, Rockhopper wrote:Oh, I thought you scumslipped, nevermind.
I lied about having a seamstress suit, Arc.
VOTE: Pink Panthers
Why did you lie about your role?-
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I thought she TMId the setup hereIn post 258, ArcAngel9 wrote:
Not necessarily!!In post 257, VFP wrote:There can only be 1 mystic, right?
Mafia Actress x2, D1 Town Bride, Town Mystic, Vanilla Townie x5
Mafia Seamstress, Mafia Actress, D1 Town Bride,Town Mystic x2, Vanilla Townie x4
Mafia Seamstress x2, D1 Town Bride, Town Mystic x3, Vanilla Townie x3
If NM is telling truth, we should lynch Enchant. His oracle claim is bird shit then.-
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Read my iso.In post 272, ArcAngel9 wrote:
I was skeptical about the mass claim and also wanted to check what roles reveal first. With Enchat oracle role, NM Mystic role and I am being the Mystic. I feel there is a high chance that one of them is lying.In post 271, Rockhopper wrote:
It could be a suit, they aren't conf!town.In post 267, ArcAngel9 wrote:
What why pink panthers? His role is literally confirmed by the mod.In post 266, Rockhopper wrote:Oh, I thought you scumslipped, nevermind.
I lied about having a seamstress suit, Arc.
VOTE: Pink Panthers
Why did you lie about your role?
So you're now claiming that you're didn't receive the suit. If so, why did you say so?-
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But that would contradict my assumption in 243, so it could prolly just be a genuine town error.In post 273, Rockhopper wrote:
I thought she TMId the setup hereIn post 258, ArcAngel9 wrote:
Not necessarily!!In post 257, VFP wrote:There can only be 1 mystic, right?
Mafia Actress x2, D1 Town Bride, Town Mystic, Vanilla Townie x5
Mafia Seamstress, Mafia Actress, D1 Town Bride,Town Mystic x2, Vanilla Townie x4
Mafia Seamstress x2, D1 Town Bride, Town Mystic x3, Vanilla Townie x3
If NM is telling truth, we should lynch Enchant. His oracle claim is bird shit then.-
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Spoiler:
Scum I expect would slip up (or react differently) *because* they know I'm lying. It may not be a sure shot strat but it at least could have given us something to work with.
Why would scum!me (in an actress/actress scenario) fake a seamstress suit and ask for a massclaim for the purpose of avoiding a bride shot knowing that the existence of only 1 oracle would point to my suit being a lie?
And if I know for a fact that there IS another oracle who fakeclaimed vt (in an actress/seamstress scenario where the actress is given a disguise), what incentive would I have to retract my claim at all?-
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Is this allowed?In post 293, Gamma Faria wrote:In post 238, ArcAngel9 wrote:In post 81, Gamma Faria wrote:In post 77, ArcAngel9 wrote:
Why? Because I caught with you a lie? Your discord story is one-sided. You seem to want to push it back because I may have already smelled you correctly.In post 70, Gamma Faria wrote:I won’t really have time to post much but I can say I did approve massclaiming when asked
Also I kinda think ArcAngel is sus
~Gamma
VOTE: Gamma FariaLol! What lie btw??~Faria
Faria said that they want to discuss with Gamma first before confirming on the mass claim and after few posts they just claimed VT. When I asked about it. I became a suspect.
would you deny this?For the last time and my time zone is UTC+6, so calculate yourself!
Spoiler: On Your Face!
Definitely town though.-
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The role pm states that scum on deathIn post 307, Enchant wrote:Targeted ActionDan.
NM is not mafia, because he didn't shot anyone. He is also not Oracle, because there should be reveal. Of course it's possible he is mafia/Oracle who decided to do nothing... Do you believe NM will not shoting when he can and not using ability when he can? Don't answer on this one, and assume him as VT.mayuse their 1 shot vengeful ability, no?
{Arc, NM} is still possible because scum choosing seamstress just to confuse town with an extra oracle seems unlikely, with the potential briding element.
Does NM usually fakeclaim as town just for the lulz?-
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I didn't consider the idling case.In post 308, Pink Panthers wrote:
my model of scumyou involved you making a mistake that you didn't realize was a mistakeIn post 303, Rockhopper wrote:Spoiler:
Scum I expect would slip up (or react differently) *because* they know I'm lying. It may not be a sure shot strat but it at least could have given us something to work with.
Why would scum!me (in an actress/actress scenario) fake a seamstress suit and ask for a massclaim for the purpose of avoiding a bride shot knowing that the existence of only 1 oracle would point to my suit being a lie?
And if I know for a fact that there IS another oracle who fakeclaimed vt (in an actress/seamstress scenario where the actress is given a disguise), what incentive would I have to retract my claim at all?
i'm factoring in your comments about not being sure about setup stuff earlier
i do agree that in the seamstess/actress/2 oracles world you are more likely town because it would be weird to retract that if you were expecting another town to come out as oracle and at that point it's easier to believe it coming from town thinking it was a good idea initially. i would take Arc flipping town as you being more likely town, and Arc flipping scum as you being more likely scum. do you think we're in the actress/seamstress world? what do you think happened to the 'missing' n0 action?
-Hop
But noting the timing of everyone's first post I'd say it's unlikely. NM is the only player who arrived a bit late, but his partner could have decided the roles if he was scum.-
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That's true, but it's possible if he thought confirmed scum!NM would point to scum!Arc.In post 311, Enchant wrote:
Yes. I simple doesh't believe NM would ignore his chance to shot someone. If he IS mafia, then by not shoting he harmed mafia faction by not killing Bride and suggest for remaining mafia member to surrender.In post 310, Rockhopper wrote:
The role pm states that scum on deathIn post 307, Enchant wrote:Targeted ActionDan.
NM is not mafia, because he didn't shot anyone. He is also not Oracle, because there should be reveal. Of course it's possible he is mafia/Oracle who decided to do nothing... Do you believe NM will not shoting when he can and not using ability when he can? Don't answer on this one, and assume him as VT.mayuse their 1 shot vengeful ability, no?
{Arc, NM} is still possible because scum choosing seamstress just to confuse town with an extra oracle seems unlikely, with the potential briding element.
Does NM usually fakeclaim as town just for the lulz?
This is first time he actually fakeclaim, i think.
I should give it more thought tho.-
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Town- Gamma Faria, VFP based on interactionsIn post 315, Pink Panthers wrote:in the scenario of Arc!scum who would you read as more likely town/scum?
-Hop
Scum- NM based on mechanics-
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This feels too awkward to be scum theatre.In post 41, VFP wrote:
I'm just joking. The post is irrelevant.In post 32, ArcAngel9 wrote:Why would anyone push at the first post? I don't understand your response.-
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Conftowns excluded.In post 318, Enchant wrote:
Why i am not Town in this situation?In post 316, Rockhopper wrote:
Town- Gamma Faria, VFP based on interactionsIn post 315, Pink Panthers wrote:in the scenario of Arc!scum who would you read as more likely town/scum?
-Hop
Scum- NM based on mechanics
Why NM mafia based on mechanics?
The theory I had in mind was that Arc fakeclaimed oracle and bussed NM as an attempt to convince town the setup was indeed seamstress/seamstress who disguised each other since it would have looked really bad for NM otherwise.-
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Scum only with Arc.In post 347, Pink Panthers wrote:
why are you still considering NM as possible scum?In post 345, Rockhopper wrote:
Conftowns excluded.In post 318, Enchant wrote:
Why i am not Town in this situation?In post 316, Rockhopper wrote:
Town- Gamma Faria, VFP based on interactionsIn post 315, Pink Panthers wrote:in the scenario of Arc!scum who would you read as more likely town/scum?
-Hop
Scum- NM based on mechanics
Why NM mafia based on mechanics?
The theory I had in mind was that Arc fakeclaimed oracle and bussed NM as an attempt to convince town the setup was indeed seamstress/seamstress who disguised each other since it would have looked really bad for NM otherwise.
-Hop
That's the only reason I can think of for why she would have done that as scum.
And I don't really believe her claim because I find it unlikely that the setup is {actress,seamstress}-
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What are your reasons?
Do you think it's probable?
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In post 429, Enchant wrote:I targeted Rockhopper, because if you are town, he is most likely not.
You seems had same thoughts, which is interesting.
HowIn post 437, T3 wrote:
OHIn post 429, Enchant wrote:I targeted Rockhopper, because if you are town, he is most likely not.
You seems had same thoughts, which is interesting.
yes
Enchant and Arc are both town .-
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Oh, that was a genuine mistakeIn post 439, ActionDan wrote:
Ignoring the fact Arc was at 2 out of the 5 votes required at that point, making the threat of hammering moot, elaborate on how you reached this POE conclusion.In post 424, Rockhopper wrote:400 makes {VFP, Arc} unlikely (and their interactions early D1).
That leaves ActionDan.
Still think {Arc, VFP} is unlikely.
T3 is conftown and both Enchant and Arc can't be scum together.
Meaning there has to be scum in {VFP,PP,you}.
PP seems townier than either of you and since I don't think it's {Arc, VFP}, you are the better choice.-
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Un-stall by making your case on meIn post 440, ArcAngel9 wrote:this game is officially being stalled. We should get going with Rock today.-
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3/4 to 2/4. That's major.In post 447, ActionDan wrote:{AD, VFP}
{AD, Arc}
{AD, Enchant}
{VFP, Arc}
{VFP, Enchant}
I will assume this is what you mean. The advantage is 3 cases to 2 cases. That is a difference, but not a major one. Do you have no thoughts on either of our content to pair with this?-
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In post 436, Rockhopper wrote:What are your reasons?
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What do you think of this?In post 303, Rockhopper wrote: Scum I expect would slip up (or react differently) *because* they know I'm lying. It may not be a sure shot strat but it at least could have given us something to work with.-
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Again, there's no reason for me to retract my suit claim if Enchant is my partner.In post 512, ActionDan wrote:In post 454, Pink Panthers wrote:Which probably leads to town arc which then leaves
Enchant/VFP
Enchant/Rock
Rock/VFP
Does rock make that claim without intent for one partner to claim mystic? Not sure if Rock/VFP makes sense unless they didn’t bother to think about the setup/their claims
These are the only two posts I could muster any care for.In post 455, Pink Panthers wrote:Enchant/Rock makes sense associative wise from Rock's iso. pure omgus pushing on my slot without any good reason to this point, pushing Dan, has VFP in pool
don't see thoughts i like trying to sort the mystics from rock- literally doesn't mention anything on Enchant except assuming they're conf.town is stated indirectly once
Dan what are your thoughts on my thoughtspews/any sound like they make sense?
-Hop
To the first: No idea. I don't think the claim made any sense from a town perspective, and I tend to not care about rationalizing it from a scum perspective, as you get into WIFOM territory. It could be a seamstress trying to get some equity for not being brided. It could be just some cheeky play with inextricable lines of thought behind it
For the second: I broadly agree, though the argument goes more against rockhopper. I tend to analyze associatives by looking less at scum's posts towards your person of interest than of their posts concerning flipped scum. Considering Arc's posts towards rockhopper if rock flipped scum I'd definitely eliminate enchant over arc if it comes to that (but I'd eliminate VFP before either)-
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How does going from a seamstress suit claim to VT benefit me as scum?In post 519, Dwlee99 wrote:Why do you think notmafia started as VT? Couldn't a seamstress have changed him to VT? Regardless, based on that info I feel like rock is the clear choice so I'm gonna go with t3 on that
VOTE: Rock-
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???In post 523, Pink Panthers wrote:In post 491, Rockhopper wrote:
What do you think of this?In post 303, Rockhopper wrote: Scum I expect would slip up (or react differently) *because* they know I'm lying. It may not be a sure shot strat but it at least could have given us something to work with.
hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmIn post 190, Rockhopper wrote:
VOTE: PanthersIn post 185, Pink Panthers wrote:I don't think the Gamma hydra would make this slip
ActionDan seems to have noticed the same stuff i did here so is less likely scum since scum doing this strat then getting the other to point it out for towncred is super -ev
taking them out of the subsequent pool leaves (NM/VFP/Arc)
-Hop
It's quite strange that you conveniently leave out possible situations that involve town!me to push your confscum!rock narrative.
Assume the team is {actress, seamstress} for instance. Why don't you think a mystic could lie about their role to essentially become an activated innocent child or something of that sort? Dan seemed to have suggested the idea in his posts, but you just straight up discard it??
Even if it's just {actress, actress}, why would lying about having a seamstress suit necessarily point to me being scum?
It isn't harmful to town in any way and can help increase the likelihood of scum slipping up the way I see it (which I think is the case here).
Your case doesn't look like something that comes out of a townie mindset, since I'd expect town!you to actually analyze how sensible a lie would be from either alignment before jumping to such an extreme conclusion.
-Hop
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