Mini 2320: Smuggler's Port II [Endgame]

[Roden]

I'm pretty sure the breaking strategy here is to just give ourselves triple Masons

I think Kyouko's plan comes from town though

[Roden]

VOTE: Dunn

[Roden]

I'm pretty sure the breaking strategy here is to just give ourselves triple Masons

I think Kyouko's plan comes from town though

How does this plan work?

Before we vote someone out today, we should each nominate three people who we think are the towniest slots. Once we agree on a top three consensus, those three should choose Linen, and everyone else picks Copper, except Tomboy Daughter who picks Wheat if they were not nominated. What happens next is one of two options:

-Port Authority checks Linen if neither the Tomboy Daughter or themself are nominated. If we all read the nominations correctly, then we now have three conf towns who can lead Day 2. But if Tea is detected and scum somehow snuck into our consensus town reads, then we have at least a 2 in 3 shot of killing scum by the end of Day 3.

-Port Authority checks Copper if one or both of Tomboy Daughter or themself are nominated. In this case, we have to hunt through a pool of five players if we detect Tea, which we would've had to do anyway in Scenario 1.

Scenario 1 is obviously the better outcome, and I think we can do it if town just generally plays well. This also gives us twice as much data to analyze, since we can look at votes

and

nominations to find scum.

[Roden]

Trying to get 3 town in a group likely ends up with 2 town and 1 mafia. And 1 in 3 is not very impressive odds compared to the size of the game and amount of eliminations we have to work with.

We have three days to eliminate one scum, that's typical for 10p.

[Roden]

I mean, yes, that's a worst case scenario. I'm assuming the risk is minimal though, because the majority of the town have to play badly for that to happen. Maybe it's just me then but I think this player list is kinda stacked.

[Roden]

I think we just proceed at this point. Everyone should chime in with the 3x3 Kyouko made and confirm what they are Shipping. I'm shipping

Copper

I have intent to vote Kyouko, but again, I don't want people to argue tomorrow that they got confused.

I like this plan, and I agree to ship

Wheat

.

I'd rather flip Atsi instead of Kyouko tbh.

VOTE: Atsi

[Roden]

That's good enough for roll call

I still don't think we should flip Kyouko

[Roden]

Ok but what if it is just Atsi and we don't even have to engage the main mechanic of the set up

[Roden]

I don't think it's Princess tbh, its argument with Hu Tao and frustration that no one believes it feels genuine.

I have a habit of scum reading Hu Tao nearly every game, and I've been wrong every time. So I have no confidence in whether or not Princess' case is correct here. I would need something more than "Hu Tao was being vague" because obviously we would just vote her out tomorrow if we continue on to Day 2 and she's the only one who didn't follow the plan.

[Roden]

If all goes well with the gambit she doesn't get voted up and finds a way to weasel a small but fatal change in the plan that gives scum a better chance at winning come D2.

I don't understand what you think they're going to weasel out of on D2.

[Roden]

What do you two think of Dunn and Cakez?

[Roden]

Whoaaaa Atsi is scum, who could've guessed that

VOTE: Atsi

[Roden]

Yep, the other scum has to correctly guess who the Tomboy Daughter is now

[Roden]

GG, this was a fun puzzle set up. Thanks for modding FakeGod!

[Roden]

This game was fun because I got to trust Roden unconditionally

I felt similarly lol

Bunch of players guessed Roden as one thing or another!

I'm surprised the scum team didn't try to guess me as anything tbh