Let's assume none of this takes any discussion and is decided on beforehand, the following is what I assume will maximize town's chances of winning:
Each new lynch a person is randomly selected by public dice roll. That person will select but will not discuss who the town will lynch. If he chooses the king, he is immediately lynched by the rest of the town. Just picking who to lynch by dice roll won't work because you might get the king and then you're left outing the king.
If you've got a better way of doing it, let me know. So a few assumptions:
1. Everyone has read their role pm fully
2. Everyone plays optimally (i.e. makes the smartest choice given the odds) at any time
3. When the assassin has been selected to be lynched, he will only actually BE lynched if he is the LAST person to see that he was the one chosen. If he is not, he will choose to shoot.
A little hard to see in my sloppy handwriting, but there you go. That is your game. Each and every time. So I'm not sure why you'd CHOOSE to play this way as every decision in the game would be dictated. Tell you what, I'll run the game according to the "no talking" approach, assuming that no one knows I'm the assassin.
Day 1:
Chronopie was picked to lead the lynch. Chronopie chooses Col.Cathart to lynch. Col.Cathart is lynched.
Day 2:
RedCoyote is picked to lead the lynch. RedCoyote chooses XScorpion to lynch. He is lynched.
Day 3:
RedCoyote is picked to lead the lynch again. RedCoyote chooses zoraster to lynch. Zoraster, the assassin rolls to see if he sees the choice last: he succeeds. He shoots Seraphim. Seraphim was not the King.
Town wins!
That was so much fun, let's play again!
Day 1:
Super Awesome Mega Pimp! is picked to lead the lynch. SAMP chooses RedCoyote to lynch.
Day 2:
XScorpion is picked to lead the lynch. XScorpion chooses SAMP to lynch.
Day 3:
tumescence is picked to lead the lynch. tumescence chooses Col.Cathart to lynch.
Day 4:
zoraster is picked to lead the lynch. zoraster chooses Chronopie to lynch.
Day 5:
OpposedForce is picked to lead the lynch. OpposedForce chooses zoraster to lynch. zoraster rolls to see if he sees it in time: he does! he shoots tumescence!
Assassin wins!
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