Colour Concentration Mafia (Mini 1174) - Over
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Leiskyrie Goon
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And voided wagon is a go, for now.
Voided
Lots of mechanism speculation happening, much of which is currently not applicable and distracting.
Ghost, nobody said anything about claiming right now either.~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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Leiskyrie Goon
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First of all, I apologize about D2. I wasn't expecting to miss all of it with my V/LA...
I don't have time to post extensively right now, but I will be back to give my reads. Please no lynching in the next 12 hours >.<~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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So, after a re-read of D2 events, I'm down for a Jedo or hiplop lynch today.
Here's a quick summary of Jedo's first D2 post:
ISO 2: hm...not sure about hiphop since I'm not good at catching those kind of scumtells. Why don't we investigate lurkers/others instead? Oh, but hey, if everyone wants to lynch hiphop, I'm okay with that too. And here's some irrelevant mechanism speculation too. /fencesitting with a tentative attempt at derailing
And hiplop pretty much just wagoned without any reason other than 'he seemed scummy' without any evidence backing it up.
Vote:Jedo
And about D2, I WASN'T AROUND so Jedo, your processing is inaccurate. And, though this doesn't completely excuse Merans, considering the length of the days, I can see how someone might accidentally miss it.~Not quite so fluffy~
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Jedo the Jedi wrote: I'm sure either Leis or Merans are scum. If we think Leis is more likely, I will gladly move over there.
And then after my post
Jedo the Jedi wrote: The fact that you're quick to defend yourself in that arena when I've hardly done any accusing is suspicious. Anyway, Glass is the one saying you should be our vote today.
Notice the rapid backpedaling there? Jedo pushes the "blame" onto Glass, despite what he posted earlier. Not to mention that my "defense" was saying that his speculation, as he calls it, is faulty is my case although it appears to be the reason he's calling me scummy.
On the other hand, hotdogs' hammer for me was a complete null. The fact that SC brought it up just...is odd.
To Meransiel: some er...content would be nice?~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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Current thinking: there is a slight chance, however slim, that Merans is scum and all of this was just a highly clever gambit in the hopes of outing an entire color group. I doubt it, given the creativity that would be necessary to come up with this ability. Still quite puzzled as to why Merans appears to believe coug is scum strongly enough to warrant wanting all reds to claim though.
Although I'm quite happy with where my vote is at the moment, I am beginning to almost lean towards a hiplop lynch, not only based on play but also that it could prove to be informative.
Oh yes, here is something to note. I know it's premature at the moment, but just in case I forget to say later on, if you are the last of a color and about to be lynched, CLAIM. Even if it means you get NK'ed, you will save town a mislynch.~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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My reasons for voting Jedo are as follows:
1) I find his D2 play rather weak as there was a lot of fencesitting.
2) The fact that he mentions the lack of leads today without contributing to much active scumhunting, and instead suggests lynching active lurkers.
Yes, there are people who have posted less content. At the same time, intent is as important.
Unvotefor the sake of more discussion/no hammering yet.
Glass, can you list reasons for cougscum (besides the most recent)?~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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xvart wrote:Meransiel, 303 wrote:Anyway, Coug did quite overreact, I wonder if there's something there anyway...
Yes. There is. He is scum regardless. Scum would auto claim a color with a power to possibly stave off a lynch.
Good point. Somehow, I completely missed this.
About hiplop, I have my own reasons and speculations about him. I no longer think he is a viable lynch for today, given what you pointed out regarding his interactions with known scum, but I similarly do not think he is "confirmed" (term used loosely here) town for that either. There is a lot of WIFOM that could be said, so I will leave it at that.
Glass wrote:
SC wrote:
You're asking for my vote on you back. HotDogs has been useless all game and remains one of my suspects.
So now you are not only saying that hotdog is scummy for lurking (which you just attacked jedo for), but you are threatening to put your vote onto mers for having (in your opinion) a poor read on someone? Oh jeez.
That post by SC was terribad. You're threatening to vote Meransiel (who is, given all likelihood TOWN) for disagreeing with your view? Even if there wasn't a contradiction, this is ridiculous.~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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Hit that submit button by accident and didn't get to finish my thought.
I am not convinced that Jedo is town and still do not see why Glass feels that he is. That being said, with SC's more recent posts, and upon more thinking, I am doubting my null read on him before.Vote: SCwhich isL-2
@mod: the last votecount is wrong since I unvoted.~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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hiplop's vote is still on Merans for some unknown reason...
Merans, who do you think is scum? You said to Glass that "this kind of tunneling is bad" but what do you propose?~Not quite so fluffy~
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StrangerCoug wrote:Some attention-paying would have been nice. Why did it not occur to him to check the count? I don't care who it's on; sloppy hammering is a sign of inattentiveness and inattentiveness is a scum tell in my book.
I tend to believe otherwise...?
Spotty internet at the moment, can't go very much in depth. I am still happy with an SC lynch right now.
Glad to see HD posting too.~Not quite so fluffy~
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Elaboration: there are 3 drops of yellow. Two have died. The remaining drop must have a very powerful role, the most powerful of town so far. I would like to know what it is that Merans has because itis relevantto the lynch today.~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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Like I said, I was having fun and being secretly amused. And, I considered the other possibility that they could have been another color group (like one that hadn't gotten any powers) and that you were gambitting with the concentration cop thing. Because, like I said in one of my past posts, I thought that coming up with this whole color concentration scheme would've required an immense amount of creativity and though less likely, it potentially could've been a town's play to out scum. If you had taken it back today, I would've become convinced that you were town for sure. However, because it is stated clearly in my PM that there are 3 drops of yellow, and you kept pressing about how you're yellow, I knew for a fact that it's a fakeclaim.
The fact that your fakeclaim is inconceivable was just amusing.
I received a one-shot protective role after Pack died and did not use it last night. I thought Merans was the other yellow, and was unlikely to be killed given it would leave one unidentified yellow with a strong PR, thus believing it would be best for me to save my shot. I certainly didn't think my play was spectacular enough to warrant me being NKed either. So, it was a shock when I saw Rhinocke's color flip. And that was why my reaction was what it was (the "uh...huh..." part).
You know what? Town has this game in the bag either way now.~Not quite so fluffy~
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I motivation-speculate a lot. Believe that setup speculation is a distraction though and half the time, inaccurate. Ever since your claim D3, I've been wondering about it, but ended up concluding it was more town and thought you were the other yellow, even though your desire to out the other reds was extremely strange in my opinion. It was just really bad luck on your part that you happened to NK the other yellow, thus outing your fakeclaim.~Not quite so fluffy~
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hiplop wrote:meransiel''s claim would be easy enough to counter claim, so at this point i believe him.
jedo has to be the last one i think. Im not going t vote quite yet tho
Are you kidding me? "Merans has a claim that is easy to cc, so it must be true." What?~Not quite so fluffy~
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I became shielded- 1-shot kill or poisoning immunity- after Pack's death.
After Rhinocke's death, I am now Bulletproof and thus completely immune to kills or poisoning.
Meransiel's claim is just so full of BS that it's ridiculous. My new PR is directly related to my weaker PR- it's just a (much) stronger version. However, it is only useful if I could theoretically draw the nightkill, which limits the strength of the role somewhat. On the other hand, a complete doc AND cop is way overpowered. And it wasn't even really based off his original claim either (concentration cop.)~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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Meransiel wrote:That's a rather big leap there.
Rhino was a Macho Cop, it stands to reason that I get better than that.
Macho Cop means he couldn't have been protected (by a doctor or such.)
Stands to reason that he gets better than a cop who can't be protected? True. Getting a doctor and cop role simultaneously? Not plausible.~Not quite so fluffy~
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@Glass: I didn't want to use my shot immediately, and I doubted I would be the night kill based off of my day play.
And honestly, I can't agree or deny with the strength of my role. Yes, it would advantageous for scum to claim bulletproof. Does it matter? No, because this game is ending either today, or tomorrow.
Will be back later. with more~Not quite so fluffy~
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Anyways.
Firstly, the yellow role PM is the same as the sample PM given. At first, I did ponder the possibility of uneven color distribution, given what hiplop said in the beginning about being in a non-3 color group. However, more thought into it and looking at what the mod wrote in the theme specific rules, I amverycertain that there are only 3 yellows.
Now, with regards to Merans, it did make me wonder why he would choose a fellow scumbuddy. The gambit, if successful, would of course make him pretty much obvtown and prevent him from being lynched. For it to work, however, he needed to be certain of the target's color, or in this case, claimed color. Had he randomly chosen a townie, there was the possibility that they would belong in the color group that had not had a death. If this occurred, he would have a very difficult time explaining his insistence for them to claim since a non-concentrated color confirms town.
Now, his "investigation" on SC doesn't yield a result that would guarantee scum, and I don't think they originally intended for SC to be lynched, though he really responded badly enough for it to be inevitable. On the other hand, it would also further confirm "town Merans" so there was a bonus.
The plot too would depend on them not NK'ing another yellow -> Rhinocke. And clearly, that failed.
It is complicated, but it's what I've been thinking went on, purely because I know Merans must be fakeclaiming, given what it says in the yellow PM which makes it quite obvious there are only 3 yellows total.
/motivation speculation
ninja'd: @hiplop: ...any other comments about the current situation?~Not quite so fluffy~
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Leiskyrie Goon
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I thought town did okay, but yeah, definitely not nearly good enough for a nomination for anything.
At the end, I'm surprised it took that long to lynch Merans. I was ranting about it to Kat, but seriously, if there was any more doubt I would've imploded. Did people actually ever believe Merans for a second that I was scum that went LOLWTF and decided to suicide and effectively DOOM THE SCUMTEAM when the lynch was on Jedo, someone I've been calling scummy for a while?
@Merans: Yeah. Well. It was fun. It really did not make a difference to me because I knew I wouldn't be lynched unless town was perfectly incompetent. I apologize if I made it difficult for you but I really wanted to see what you would claim, given the creativity involved with the color concentration cop thing. The SUPER OVERPOWERED COP/DOC was just too obvious though.~Not quite so fluffy~
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I'm glad that town did manage to catch SC. Honestly, in the beginning, I really did think that he was neutral/maybe town. Merans' claim, on the other hand, I had been more suspicious of since the beginning. Yeah, scum just did poorly and had a stroke of bad luck too for the game to end this early, though I maintain that after the Merans gambit there was no way they could've won. The fact that the gambit was so early in the game too was not very good as it wasn't necessary.~Not quite so fluffy~
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I think knowing color is fine, but maybe an uneven spread that is not mentioned in the PM. That way, it would be impossible to narrow down scum based on color, though it also makes it harder to distribute powers I suppose.
To scum: it wasn't that townsided. The game began as 9 vs. 4, which is quite rarely seen based on what I know. You guys might not have had a kill, but you had enough people to really influence the lynch or create chaos amongst town. Yes, D1 was unfortunate for scum (Voided was enough to raise suspicion but probably not enough to cause his lynch just yet) and hiphop's exchange with me sealed his fate. Even then, it wouldn't have been impossible for the remaining scum to get further, seeing as town didn't have many strong PRs either.
@Mod: What's a voyeur and follower?
@Packbat from a long time ago: My username actually came from Latin~ Kyrie eleison ("Lord have mercy", comes from the lyrics of a song I heard) -> kyrieleis -> this email was taken so I switched it to leiskyrie instead. I'm not religious in the least, but I liked the sound of it so decided to use it ^.^~Not quite so fluffy~
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