Gistou (Over!)

A Song of Ice and Fire · Post Post #150 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:45 am

In [url=http://www.mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopic.php?p=8101472#p8101472]post 151[/url], Frozen Angel wrote:luna is not jeanne if your accusing her to be her.

just saying cuase I felt you guys thinking that.

if not ignore me

~Ice

fuck

Salt Squad · Post Post #151 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:46 am

dw i know it isnt jeanne

Luna Fox · Post Post #152 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:47 am

I would prefer if the discussion was "What's Luna's alignment" instead of "Who's Luna".

Heartless · Post Post #153 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:48 am

the players gonna play play play play play
haters gonna hate hate hate hate hate

im just gonna shake shake shake shake shake

shake it out

SHAKE IT OUT

/confirm

ISO · Post Post #154 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:49 am

fair enough, i hate talking about my alt's altiness as well

ISO · Post Post #155 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:50 am

hi antihero!

Heartless · Post Post #156 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:51 am

that should be off

fucking... hdjdBchigfbdbgg

rb · Post Post #157 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:52 am

I want to talk about percentages again.

Heartless · Post Post #158 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:53 am

FUCK YOU CEPH YOU MADE ME MESS UP THE LYRICS YOU DISTRACTED ME

ISO · Post Post #159 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:55 am

love you too

Expedience · Post Post #160 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:57 am

In post 159, rb wrote:I want to talk about percentages again.

70% chance Luna Fox will call you scum for this post

Expedience · Post Post #161 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:59 am

FA your appeal to emotion actually kind of got through to me even though I probably shouldn't let it, so I'll just leave you alone for now.

rb · Post Post #162 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:59 am

In post 162, Expedience wrote:
In post 159, rb wrote:I want to talk about percentages again.
70% chance Luna Fox will call you scum for this post

If Luna calls me scum for this post, there's a 42% chance she's scum.

If Luna is scum, that means a 67% chance that Exped is also scum.

If Exped is scum, there's a 91% chance that Ceph is Town.

What's the percentage possibility of being culled again?

Nosferatu · Post Post #163 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:00 am

In post 159, rb wrote:I want to talk about percentages again.

y

rb wrote:
In post 162, Expedience wrote:
In post 159, rb wrote:I want to talk about percentages again.
70% chance Luna Fox will call you scum for this post
If Luna calls me scum for this post, there's a 42% chance she's scum.

If Luna is scum, that means a 67% chance that Exped is also scum.

If Exped is scum, there's a 91% chance that Ceph is Town.

What's the percentage possibility of being culled again?

what a god tbh

Luna Fox · Post Post #164 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:05 am

In post 159, rb wrote:I want to talk about percentages again.

whyyyyy
Well percentages of someone being scum due to some weird math is fine, i just dont get the benefit of discussing chances of being culted, when the only ones interested in that would be the cult recruiters.

rb · Post Post #165 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:13 am

I get a slight town read from Luna, 58% is the exact percentage. I give Exped a 33% chance of being Town. That means that there's a 0.58 x 0.33 = 19% chance they're both Town. I think Luna and Exped are different alignments.

Since I give Exped a 67% chance of scum, there's a 0.67 x 0.91 = 61% chance that Ceph is Town.

I sure do love me some percentages.

rb · Post Post #166 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:17 am

In post 166, Luna Fox wrote:
In post 159, rb wrote:I want to talk about percentages again.
whyyyyy
Well percentages of someone being scum due to some weird math is fine, i just dont get the benefit of discussing chances of being culted, when the only ones interested in that would be the cult recruiters.

Why would only cult recruiters be interested?

rb · Post Post #167 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:19 am

In other news my cat just dropped a dead mouse on my foot. There's a 73% chance it's native.

Luna Fox · Post Post #168 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:19 am

In post 168, rb wrote:Why would only cult recruiters be interested?

IMO, calculating your own chances as a target to be recruited doesn't help you in the slightest, unless you have some sort of recruit protection or something, it's not like you can prevent yourself from being recruited so what's the point.
On the other hand, a recruiter is interested in the chances of hitting a recruit succesfully since that way their numbers grow.

rb · Post Post #169 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:24 am

It doesn't actually help them though right? I guess your point is that it doesn't help anyone do anything though. That's fair enough.

I don't understand BBMolla's point on page 1. I've been awake for 19 hours and it's not clicking. The fact that it's not clicking at 19 hours of no-sleep gives them a 54% chance of being scum. If I was at say 1-12 hours of waking and it wasn't clicking then I'd bump that up to 61%.

Luna Fox · Post Post #170 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:25 am

In post 171, rb wrote:I guess your point is that it doesn't help anyone do anything though.

Exactly!
Finally someone who understands

Salt Squad · Post Post #171 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:27 am

Good morning everyone o/

I will read this pregame thread in a bit.
Luna we are buddies from the pregame btw.

~Bee

ISO · Post Post #172 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:32 am

In post 167, rb wrote:Since I give Exped a 67% chance of scum, there's a 0.67 x 0.91 = 61% chance that Ceph is Town.

false, you've failed to account for the possibility that expedience and i are both town

Almost50 · Post Post #173 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:32 am

In [url=http://www.mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopic.php?p=8101472#p8101472]post 151[/url], Frozen Angel wrote:luna is not jeanne if your accusing her to be her.

just saying cuase I felt you guys thinking that.

if not ignore me

~Ice

So much for your promise to yourself!

TheWayItEnds · Post Post #174 (ISO) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:33 am

In post 54, BBmolla wrote:LMFAO wHo cAREAS HAHA Xd

Good jokes mate, real funny See you at FUCK YOUJ