NY 159: RUST game over

[ProHawk]

What happened to your meta analysis that you never do?

[TheReverend]

pro hawk...

iirc, he was tracked by ckd. Quick to point out inconsistencies in zab's posts, which played a huge role in his face getting blown off. Also votes DC on d1, and ckd on d2. All in all, he's looking pretty obvtown to me, unless he's awesome scum and is bussing hard.

Just want to emphasise these points I made earlier.

Can anyone build a scum case on prohawk that weighs more heavily than the town case of him trying to bus three scum? Because I really don't want to lynch someone who I'm convinced is town, and he's getting enough heat today that he might get lynched.

I'm suspicious of pyro the most through today for two reasons...

1. He shadowing pidgeon's scum read on prohawk. Pidgeon is confirmed town, and the fact he's pushing for a lynch on someone I think is town gives the scum an opportunity to try and get someone lynched who shouldn't be. Pyro's first post was a vote for prohawk, that's 629. Pidgeon's first serious fos @PH was post 378 where he tells us he modded a game on another site where PH was town, and that AP consider's PH's town play to be transparent.

2. His activity has increased significantly since I accused him of flying under the radar.

AP has failed to convince me that PP is town. "gut read" just doesn't cut it, not when he's pointing fingers at someone who played a significant role in getting scum shot on n1, and voted two other scum in the opening days.

There's a much more solid town case on PH than PP imo. The fact PH is getting more heat today is very odd to me.

[AngryPidgeon]

Rev....you scum? That was an awful lot of IIoA and conclusion-jumping-to.

[TheReverend]

Lo not scum. It's pyro dude, open your eyes. How the hell is prohawk scum?

What's IIoA? All these acronyms are doing my nut.

[Darthe]

I have no freaking clue where my vote is going today. I am hating this endgame.

[Paid Pyro]

I'm now hating mal's miller claim. I'm wary of

any

miller claim (scum just make themselves cop immune for no reason), but if I got a miller role PM and someone else claimed miller, it would take a lot of convincing for me to not park my vote on that person.

Short and sweet reads (will "elaborate" on request for a specific one)

town: AP,

rofl

, rob13, darthe, prohawk,

CKD

(yes, I flip-flopped)
???:

Cheery dog

(more on this one later),

BC

(actual play made me change my mind; still hate the miller claim)
scum:

Tazaro

(talk about someone making WTF votes and then disappearing), malp

Withholding my vote for very, very good reason. If anyone hammers before the next vote count, I will rage.

oh, forgot to add

zab

to town side; his play here doesn't match his scum meta

DGB
Paid Pyro
The Reverend

Spoiler: Dead

drmyshotgun

- Town Doctor! Shot N3

PeregrineV

- Town Vanilla! Shot N3

OK lets look at DC's who's scum and who's town post.
1. So only scum have shown up on his "town" list. CKD and Zab
2. Except for malp, all other slots were town on his ??? and scum list
3. AP and Rob13 are cleared as town: This leaves only Darth and Prohawk left as non cleared players on his "town" list

DC left off 5 players from his list altogether:
DGB
Paid Pyro
The Reverend

drmyshotgun

- Town Doctor! Shot N3

PeregrineV

- Town Vanilla! Shot N3

Of which 3 are left unconfirmed.
So based on the theory DGB is town due to JL's inactivity, so far all players ignored have been town except:
Paid Pyro
The Reverend

OK, so did DC placed the last scum on his list if so:
Prohawk, Darthe, or malp.

~or~ did DC leave him off:
Paid Pyro
The Reverend

If you believe DC left him off the list, lynch me... I'll flip town but then you should lynch theRev right after.
If you believe DC placed everyone on his list then: Prohawk, Darthe, malp.

If you are working on the assumption he left scum off the list:
8/1 (players/scum) vote off PP or TheRev... 7 alive
Night kill sucsessful
6/1 vote off remaining player PP/TheRev... 5 alive
Night Kill sucessful
4/1 mylo No lynch
Night kill successful
3/1 Lylo lynch pool probably have malp then you must decide between the 3 remaining on the list. (I'm assuming this would be the final 3)

If you are working on the assumption he place the last scum on his list:
8/1 (player/scum) vote off PH/Darthe/malp... 7 alive
Night kill sucsessful
6/1 vote off remaining player PH/Darthe/map... 5 alive
Night Kill sucessful
4/1 mylo No lynch
Night kill successful
3/1 Lylo lynch pool will probably have PP/theRev/1 of the remaining 3.

I think DC felt he left too many off...so he had to add zab as town. Which means I shouldn't be fine with my prohawk vote. As a side note for reference, I played with prohawk in AP's modded game off site, and this is a very different Prohawk.



Oh to add here is BC's lynch

Mod scene will up in a bit!

malpascp

(3) - Prohawk, AngryPidgeon,

BloodCovenent

BloodCovenent

(8) -

drmyshotgun,

Darthe,

PeregrineV, roflcopter,

Rob13,

Tazaro, Cheery Dog

, TheReverend

Darthe

(1) - Paid Pyro

AngryPidgeon

(1) -

curiouskarmadog

Not Voting

(2) - malpascp, Josh Lyman

More wifom but did the BC speed lynch consist of all townies? If so you need to lynch me to move off of this.
Or BC had at least one scum, I'm would think DGB you scumputer would indicate so.
TheRev and Darthe are on the list.

So if I'm thinking this through then the vote should be either Darthe or TheRev. If we lynch theRev and he flips town, auto lynch me, the win by lynch Darthe.

Or we lynch Darthe, if he flips town, we lynch theRev..... gulp if he flips town then you should lynch me. Town loses.

I don't know why Darthe you have no clue where to place your vote. You lack of direction concerns me. Who is you main suspect and why?

Thinking it through we (town) lose if we vote Darthe/theRev/me. So the first lynch must be
UNVOTE:
VOTE: theRev

I'm happy with my auto lynch tomorrow if you flip town. It will leave PH, Darthe, and malp to figure it all out. the two townies better get it right.


We should only consider the lynch pool of:
Paid Pyro
TheRev
Prohawk
Darthe
malp.

We have 3 chances to get it right.

[TheReverend]

Actually this is good work pyro. I think it's likely that scum helped lynch BC, and ckd wasn't part of that wagon.

VOTE: darthe

If you're scum that's a really good move.

And if town go for me today, go for darthe tomorrow, not pyro.

[ProHawk]

Time to get on the scum wagon PP. I think you have it figured out from the BC lynch wagon.

[4nxi3ty]

Darthe

(4)

- Rob13, ProHawk, DrippingGoofball, TheReverend

TheReverend

(1) - Paid Pyro

Not voting

(3) - malpascp, Darthe, AngryPidgeon

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch
Deadline: (expired on 2012-11-29 11:22:25)

[Rob14]

Rev, did you realize you put Darthe at L-1?

[TheReverend]

No I thought it was L-2, sorry. Can't say I was paying a huge amount of attention to how many votes he had. I was just excited because from my pov I have a clear and obvious lynch target. Surely there was scum on the BC wagon, and I am 100% sure rob and myself are town. That kinda narrows it down. I'll be sweating tomorrow if he somehow flips town, but I can't see it, and at least it's not lylo tomorrow.

[AngryPidgeon]

Ugh, ugh, ugh, Im doing that shit in 1347 where I start losing perspective when there is only 1 scummy left. Actual post later.

[TheReverend]

Ugh, ugh, ugh

Steady now, I know we're close to winning but it's just a nerd game, nothing to get too excited about.

[Darthe]

I'm going to flip town. Rev, y u vote me?

[Darthe]

DGB where are you?

[TheReverend]

Becuase there's gotta be scum on the BC wagon, and there's you and me on there, everyone else is town. I know my role. So either everyone on the BC wagon was town, or you're scum. I think the latter is way more likely.

[Darthe]

By this logic, when I flip town will you volunteer to be the lynch candidate for tomorrow?

[AngryPidgeon]

VOTE: Reverend

Ok, Im actually fairly confident in this one.

But AP, we demand a wall post! Rofl, gimme some of your mary jane : (. then maybe.

[DrippingGoofball]

DGB where are you?

Recoding websites.

UNVOTE:

I need to color code votecounts.

DO NOT RUSH LYNCH.

[DrippingGoofball]

AngryPidgeon (1) -

zabriel

BloodCovenant (2) -

DemonCore

,

curiouskarmadog

Pine (1) - PeregringeV

zabriel

(5) - AngryPidgeon, ProHawk,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

, Darthe

Tazaro

(1) - BloodCovenant

Not Voting (7) - malpascp, Pine,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend, Rob13,

Tazaro

AngryPidgeon (1) -

zabriel

BloodCovenant (2) -

DemonCore

,

curiouskarmadog

Pine (1) - PeregringeV

zabriel

(5) - AngryPidgeon, ProHawk,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

, Darthe

Tazaro

(1) - BloodCovenant

Not Voting (7) - malpascp, Pine,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend, Rob13,

Tazaro

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(6) - ProHawk,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

, Darthe, Rob13, AngryPidgeon

Tazaro

(1) - BloodCovenant
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

Not Voting (7) - malpascp,

drmyshotgun

,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

Tazaro

,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(5) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Darthe, Rob13, AngryPidgeon
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(1) - BloodCovenant
malpascp (2) -

drmyshotgun

,

Cheery Dog

Not Voting (6) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

Tazaro

,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(4) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Darthe, Rob13
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(2) - BloodCovenant, AngryPidgeon
malpascp (2) -

drmyshotgun

,

Cheery Dog

Not Voting (6) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

Tazaro

,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(3) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Darthe
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(2) - BloodCovenant, Rob13
malpascp (2) -

Cheery Dog

,

drmyshotgun

Darthe (1) - AngryPidgeon

Not Voting (6) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

Tazaro

,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(3) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Dathe
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(1) - Rob13
malpascp (2) -

Cheery Dog

,

drmyshotgun

Darthe (2) - AngryPidgeon, BloodCovenant

Not Voting (6) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

Tazaro

,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(4) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Dathe,

Tazaro

Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(1) - Rob13
malpascp (2) -

Cheery Dog

,

drmyshotgun

Darthe (2) - AngryPidgeon, BloodCovenant

Not Voting (6) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(4) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Dathe,

Tazaro

Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(3) - Rob13,

drmyshotgun

, AngryPidgeon
Darthe (1) - BloodCovenant

drmyshotgun

(1) -

Cheery Dog

Not Voting (5) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(4) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Dathe,

Tazaro

Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(3) - Rob13,

drmyshotgun

, AngryPidgeon
Darthe (1) - BloodCovenant

drmyshotgun

(1) -

Cheery Dog

Not Voting (5) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (1) -

zabriel

zabriel

(2) - Dathe, ProHawk
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(7) - Rob13, AngryPidgeon,

curiouskarmadog

,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

,

drmyshotgun

,

Tazaro

drmyshotgun

(1) - BloodCovenant

Not Voting (5) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (1) -

zabriel

zabriel

(2) - Darthe, ProHawk
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(7) - Rob13, AngryPidgeon,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

,

drmyshotgun

,

Tazaro

,

curiouskarmadog

drmyshotgun

(1) - BloodCovenant

Not Voting (5) - malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

DemonCore

AngryPidgeon (1) -

zabriel

zabriel

(1) - ProHawk
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

DemonCore

(9) - Rob13, AngryPidgeon,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

,

drmyshotgun

,

Tazaro

,

curiouskarmadog

,

DrippingGoofball

, Darthe

drmyshotgun

(1) - BloodCovenant

Not Voting (4) - malpascp, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

DemonCore

================================

malpascp (1) - Prohawk
ProHawk (1) - Paid Pyro

BloodCovenent

(4) -

drmyshotgun

, Darthe,

PeregrineV

,

roflcopter

Darthe (4) - AngryPidgeon,

Tazaro

, Rob13,

Cheery Dog

Not Voting (5) -

BloodCovenent

,

curiouskarmadog

, malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, TheReverend

malpascp (2) - Prohawk, AngryPidgeon

BloodCovenent

(7) -

drmyshotgun

, Darthe,

PeregrineV

,

roflcopter

, Rob13,

Tazaro

,

Cheery Dog

Darthe (1) - Paid Pyro
AngryPidgeon (1) -

curiouskarmadog

Not Voting (4) -

BloodCovenent

, malpascp,

DrippingGoofball

, TheReverend

malpascp (3) - Prohawk, AngryPidgeon,

BloodCovenent

BloodCovenent

(8) -

drmyshotgun

, Darthe,

PeregrineV

,

roflcopter

, Rob13,

Tazaro

,

Cheery Dog

, TheReverend
Darthe (1) - Paid Pyro
AngryPidgeon (1) -

curiouskarmadog

=====================================

roflcopter

(3) - AngryPidgeon, Rob13, Darthe
AngryPidgeon (1) -

roflcopter

Not Voting (9) -

Cheery Dog

,

curiouskarmadog

, malpascp,

drmyshotgun

, ProHawk,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro,

PeregrineV

, The Reverend

AngryPidgeon (3) -

curiouskarmadog

,

roflcopter

, malpascp

curiouskarmadog

(4) - Rob13,

drmyshotgun

, AngryPidgeon, TheReverend

Not Voting (6) -

Cheery Dog

, ProHawk,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro,

PeregrineV

, Darthe


AngryPidgeon (2) -

curiouskarmadog

, malpascp

curiouskarmadog

(7) - Rob13,

drmyshotgun

, AngryPidgeon, TheReverend,

Cheery Dog

, ProHawk,

roflcopter

roflcopter

(1) -

PeregrineV

Not Voting (3) -

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, Darthe

========================================

Darthe (3) -

roflcopter

, AngryPidgeon, TheReverend

DrippingGoofball

(1) - ProHawk
Paid Pyro (1) -

Cheery Dog

Not Voting (5) - malpascp, Darthe,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, Rob13

Darthe (2) -

roflcopter

, AngryPidgeon

DrippingGoofball

(1) - ProHawk
Paid Pyro (1) -

Cheery Dog

Not Voting (6) - malpascp, Darthe,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, Rob13, TheReverend


Darthe (1) -

roflcopter

Paid Pyro (1) -

Cheery Dog

malpascp (1) - ProHawk

Not Voting (7) - malpascp, Darthe,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, Rob13, TheReverend, AngryPidgeon


malpascp (4) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Paid Pyro,

Cheery Dog

Darthe (1) - TheReverend

Not Voting (5) - malpascp, Darthe,

DrippingGoofball

, AngryPidgeon, Rob13

malpascp (4) - ProHawk,

roflcopter

, Paid Pyro,

Cheery Dog

Darthe (1) - TheReverend
TheReverend (1) - AngryPidgeon

Not Voting (4) - malpascp, Darthe,

DrippingGoofball

, Rob13

malpascp (3) - ProHawk, Paid Pyro,

Cheery Dog

Darthe (1) - TheReverend
TheReverend (1) - AngryPidgeon

Cheery Dog

(2) -

DrippingGoofball

,

roflcopter

Not Voting (3) - malpascp, Darthe, Rob13

malpascp (2) - Paid Pyro,

Cheery Dog

Darthe (2) - TheReverend, Rob13
TheReverend (1) - AngryPidgeon

Cheery Dog

(3) -

DrippingGoofball

,

roflcopter

, ProHawk

Not Voting (2) - malpascp, Darthe

malpascp (2) - Paid Pyro,

Cheery Dog

Darthe (3) - TheReverend, Rob13,

roflcopter

Cheery Dog

(2) -

DrippingGoofball

, ProHawk

Not Voting (3) - malpascp, Darthe, AngryPidgeon

malpascp (2) - Paid Pyro,

Cheery Dog

Darthe (3) - TheReverend, Rob13,

roflcopter

Cheery Dog

(3) -

DrippingGoofball

, ProHawk, malpascp

DrippingGoofball

(1) - AngryPidgeon

Not Voting (1) - Darthe

prodding

roflcopter

, Darthe, and Paid Pyro.

malpascp (1) -

Cheery Dog

Darthe (2) - TheReverend, Rob13

Cheery Dog

(5) -

DrippingGoofball

, ProHawk, malpascp,

roflcopter

, Paid Pyro

DrippingGoofball

(1) - AngryPidgeon

Not Voting (1) - Darthe

malpascp (1) -

Cheery Dog

Darthe (2) - TheReverend

Cheery Dog

(6) -

DrippingGoofball

, ProHawk, malpascp,

roflcopter

, Paid Pyro, Rob13

DrippingGoofball

(1) - AngryPidgeon

Not Voting (1) - Darthe

[AngryPidgeon]

DGB, what do you think of Reverend agreeing with PP's VCA analysis so heavily?

I think PP's PoEing down the wagon on BC probably comes for a town perspective. The analysis looks genuine unless PP is scum and trying REALLY hard to line up a mostly unpopular lynch Tomorrow. But I honestly don't think he would be that blunt about it as scum.

Whatever. DGB being a damn near universal townread for _reasons_ makes me think shes likely town (because someone who is scum must be ignoring her, really) AP, that logic sucks. Eh. It makes sense it my head.

Lets not lynch Darthe today. hes towntelling like a fucking boss:

By this logic, when I flip town will you volunteer to be the lynch candidate for tomorrow?

I'm going to flip town. Rev, y u vote me?

I have no freaking clue where my vote is going today. I am hating this endgame.

[DrippingGoofball]

AngryPidgeon (1) -

zabriel

BloodCovenant

(2) -

DemonCore

,

curiouskarmadog

Pine (1) -

PeregrineV

zabriel

(5) - AngryPidgeon, ProHawk,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

, Darthe

Tazaro

(1) - BloodCovenant

Not Voting (7) - malpascp, Pine,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend, Rob13,

Tazaro

OK. One scum ought to be bus'ing. So AP, PH, and Darthe.

AngryPidgeon (2) -

zabriel

,

curiouskarmadog

zabriel

(6) - ProHawk,

Cheery Dog

,

roflcopter

, Darthe, Rob13, AngryPidgeon

Tazaro

(1) - BloodCovenant
Rob13 (1) -

PeregrineV

Not Voting (7) - malpascp,

drmyshotgun

,

DrippingGoofball

, Paid Pyro, The Reverend,

Tazaro

,

DemonCore

No way AP is being bus'ed by two buddies in row. But one has to be bus'ing zabriel. PH, Darthe, Rob13, AP.

malpascp (3) - Prohawk, AngryPidgeon,

BloodCovenent

BloodCovenent

(8) -

drmyshotgun

, Darthe,

PeregrineV

,

roflcopter

, Rob13,

Tazaro

,

Cheery Dog

, TheReverend
Darthe (1) - Paid Pyro
AngryPidgeon (1) -

curiouskarmadog

Here, it is not bus'ing day anymore for the scum. They're voting BC, at least the one remaining that's not CKD. Darthe, Rob13, TheReverend.

Anything else is a shot in the darkness.

[DrippingGoofball]

The Reverend might be scum. He's staying out of the crazy day1 scumshenanigans, but hammers BC.

He never gets wagoned. Why?

Is malcasp a replacement?

[AngryPidgeon]

Rev replaced Scooby who was all but AFK.

Malp is not a replacement. I think.

[DrippingGoofball]

DGB, what do you think of Reverend agreeing with PP's VCA analysis so heavily?

Source?