Micro 1089: the coalition, again [dead PT]

[petapan]

i think [partner] will be positioned well short term but people might be suspicious of them being alive in final 3 although that question gets asked perhaps less often than you'd think

[skitter30]

Yeah i think they're well-positioned to carry tbh

I had a whole irl thing and couldnt comcentrate on this properly ... i think if i had the energy i did last night i avoid this but alas

[petapan]

flips flips flips flips

[Datisi]

oh my fucking god i forgot about the game, thank you

[skitter30]

Ah they didn't change it >.>
Regardless i think they go p far

[Thestatusquo]

Hello. Nice playing with you skitter.

[skitter30]

Heya shea, same

[Datisi]

most of the flavours seem to be jokes but this one is just kinda cute imo

maybe its supposed to be cringe or something. im cringe tho

images that georgebailey sent me on discord!!!

i grew tired of making up new comically long titles whenever i was modding a game just to say the images are from georgebailey, maybe i should start doing that again

[Thestatusquo]

I need to tank deeply about who the partner is. There's so much information.

I think peta thinking I'm scum with skitter in particular is kinda silly given how I think its correct to position around your partner in games like this.

[skitter30]

Idk i thought from like a week ago that we don't look partnered at all

I was p sure for a long while that i could magically get into the coalition. I knew i was in when i had the 'good faith' interaction you had put stock in

And then my mental health just tanked right after the coalition and i had no motivation which kinda tanked my position as well, wasnt able to recover when i was feeling better

I think if i had the motivation i probably could have gotten a misflip, just didnt have it in me right then

[skitter30]

Now to be amused by the many theories of what i was doing all game

[Thestatusquo]

I am genuinely flattered that people think I was in my scum range this game. I dont think I could replicate this game in a million years.

[skitter30]

Idk what ur scumrange looks like
But yeah thought it would be a hard sell

[skitter30]

At the very least i left behind a mess of associatives lol

[Thestatusquo]

yeah it certainly felt like thats what you were at least partially trying to do. That's a big part of what led to my vote swap.

[skitter30]

What was i trying to do

[Thestatusquo]

Muddle associatives.

[Thestatusquo]

Also I do not understand what Isis has been doing this game as either alignment but it doesn't feel particularly like playing to win con to me.

[skitter30]

I actually wasnt particularly *trying* to do that but incidentally how i played did leave a mess behind

Which is good for me lol

[Thestatusquo]

Also we can finally retire the SheaP Baltar.

[skitter30]

I double-taked for like a week

[Thestatusquo]

it was a good bit.

[skitter30]

Spoiler:

Yeah ok i kinda tanked the post-coalition bit but I think i did my job wrt associatives and setting up my partner, idk if they carry but they def go far

Commentary, maybe slightly spoiler-y

[Thestatusquo]

read through pages 1-60 of the coal forming stage and have a few thoughts based on that

i haven't looked at the end of the coal phase or the post-coal phase (we invented renewable energy sources) yet but i expect that may have some interesting bits as well obviously. i have stronger memories of those tho

1) i think ari is really unlikely scum. i don't think she has much reason to come in and side with partner ari against shea there, she knows how he'll respond to that. if anything she would want to get on shea's side and push herself in while pushing ari out

2) i think shea is pretty unlikely to be scum?the way she handled shea vs ari feels like it's a tvt to me. it's slightly more likely than ari i think, but i don't really see it. the way he responded to skitter coming in and just a lot of stuff he's done this game feel pretty distinctly town shea to me

3) if it's bulge/brassherald, which i think it pretty easily could be, then i think skitter probably just knew that she would likely be able to make her way into the coal eventually and could just push her partner + some townies out of the way, and continually shade people to keep herself as one of the few consensus towns. i actually think this is probably the best strategy from her position. she kept trying to maintain scumreads on me/sheep/bulge/brooks/isis/shea. so basically everyone except tris/ari lol. and if she succeeds in undermining the perception of at least 4 of those being town (not that hard to do) then she makes it in. she also never really pushed him until she was solidly in the coal, and focused on her scumreads of me/shea and brooks and isis at times

4) i think similarly it could be sheep? his handling of her is slightly awkward and i think that she started with a default "i don't townread sheep why does everyone townread sheep" which then pivoted into more firmly pushing him out once she got some townreads. probably post-coal has more insights here

5) based on just coal forming and interactions i still think it very easily could be tris. i don't think thats my first pick though. it just would mean that skitter would be trying to boost the perception of tris being threadspewed town, rather than specifically playing for 1 in 1 out

6) isis felt townier to me on reread. i think the strangest part was where it felt like she was inserting herself into skitter's pocket when skitter didn't really ever take much action to initiate that. and isis said that skitter was scumreading her before skitter really pivoted into that (she originally townread isis) which felt oddly prophetic. it would be a slightly bold approach i guess to just openly hard townread and proxy vote your partner but also it's probably a really good approach so she might go for it

7) idk i just don't really think it's hellbooks lmao i don't have a good reason. i guess it's plausible that she would be leaning into the setting herself up as opposing skitter but not very loudly/convincingly and accepting that she is going to be the one left out. so strategically it actually fits pretty well. maybe im snowed

I think its kinda sussy that fire left the part about me in this post. I feel like if he was town he would be more likely to take it out but leaving it in kinda performatively tries to be like look how uninformed I am and I find his reasoning for a town me kinda lackluster when I think a much stronger argument could be made.

[Datisi]

me, who leaves in parts about dead people when i'm town: