Double-Dip II: Game Over


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Post Post #750 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 3:53 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

In post 749, Empking's Alt wrote:
In post 748, LlamaFluff wrote:@Emp - I really dont think Haze is a great lynch. He isnt as town as some players, but I actually dont think he claims KT as scum in his first post without first looking to see if any kind of pressure if going to show up on him. Possible but its enough for me to seriously backburner him at this point.


Obviously that's a town tell but I don't think its so much so (especially because of scumtalk) that I'm willing to not want him lynched.


I think its a decent town tell, its not optimal scum play either way, so with there having been a night phase I see it as even less likely, especially if that was scum kill and not vig kill.

I just see town as far more likely to make that play since it eliminates any WIFOM if they die, sort of like a miller claim on principle. They can come from scum, but it just makes far more sense to come from town.
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Post Post #751 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 3:54 pm

Post by TSGRaaize »

Vote: Chimaira


Not using my other vote yet
I enjoy EpicMafia more than MafiaScum, everything I say is now invalid.
I am a bad player.
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Post Post #752 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:17 pm

Post by Empking's Alt »

In post 750, LlamaFluff wrote:
In post 749, Empking's Alt wrote:
In post 748, LlamaFluff wrote:@Emp - I really dont think Haze is a great lynch. He isnt as town as some players, but I actually dont think he claims KT as scum in his first post without first looking to see if any kind of pressure if going to show up on him. Possible but its enough for me to seriously backburner him at this point.


Obviously that's a town tell but I don't think its so much so (especially because of scumtalk) that I'm willing to not want him lynched.


I think its a decent town tell, its not optimal scum play either way, so with there having been a night phase I see it as even less likely, especially if that was scum kill and not vig kill.


I think it is optimal scum play for free town points. Like a miller claim its probably true rather than a gambit; that doesn't mean you can rule out a gambit.
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Post Post #753 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:44 pm

Post by Toogeloo »

Still on V/LA until Monday morning or so, posting from my phone while I am out with the family.

Vote: Empking's Alt
Vote: Chimaira


In my skim of the topic earlier before Day 1 ended, I didn't like either of these two players. Both filled Day 1 with small pot shots, and fluff posting. Slightly suspicious of Lowell as well both for the vig shot and the justification.

When my V/LA ends, I will post more in depth analysis.
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Post Post #754 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:57 pm

Post by ZeekLTK »

If I am a KT then I know that (the other) Zeek is town.
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Post Post #755 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 5:30 pm

Post by FourseenCircumstance »

If I am a KT then I know the ZEEK is a town.
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Post Post #756 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 6:12 pm

Post by Zeek »

It might be the fact that i've been drinking all day...but now i am confused. Are we claiming now or something?
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Post Post #757 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 6:20 pm

Post by Amrun »

If I'm KT, Llamafluff is town.

Unvote: Haze; Vote: Alvinz
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Post Post #758 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 8:48 pm

Post by Chimaira »

In post 728, FourseenCircumstance wrote:Alright lets get this thing rolling again...

more to come


Okay
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Post Post #759 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 9:42 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

In post 756, Zeek wrote:It might be the fact that i've been drinking all day...but now i am confused. Are we claiming now or something?


We are hypo claiming. Its an old tactic to use in order to help hide a role when no one is sure who it is but the results are good to know. Whether or not Haze is telling the truth, it makes a whole lot of sense to hypo because he brought up a good point. If a KT dies, its essential to know who they had as town, by claiming who we have *if* we are a KT, it gives us all the information we need. So with my claim, if I flip KT, you know DK is town. That way there is no WIFOM attached to a flip, and a cleared town doesnt get lynched or scum gets called cleared.

The worst that happens is a couple of us pick scum as our "cleared" and scum knows that we are not a KT, but dont know if we are something else. It also can probably scare scum a little because if they kill someone and they flip KT, they just cleared someone on mistake. If you are not KT, lie and claim someone who you have defended or ignored or something that you would have done if they are KT.
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Post Post #760 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 12:27 am

Post by Lowell »

Love hypos. Not sure why we waited until today.

If I'm KT, haze is town.

@amrun- no one ever NKs Lowell. NKs on Lowell invite constant mockery.
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Post Post #761 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 12:44 am

Post by Haze »

Lowell, what?

I know you're claiming I'm town but...

You
were
the Vig right? Do you have both powers?


After reading #759 I just realised the significance of the "if" part >__>

So essentially every player has to Hypoclaim KT and we just wait for the flip. Though I can't see why Lowell would bother. He's the vig no matter what, and PJ obviously didn't mention having multiple powers.
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Post Post #762 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 12:48 am

Post by Lowell »

He also didn't mention not having multiple powers.
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Post Post #763 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 3:38 am

Post by Zeek »

If i am kt, then slj is probably town.
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Post Post #764 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 3:45 am

Post by petroleumjelly »

Day Two Vote Count #2


3 alvinz95 (LlamaFluff, Empking’s Alt, Amrun)
3 Chimaira (Amrun, TSGRaaize, Toogeloo)
2 FourseenCircumstance (Zeek, Chimaira)
1 Empking’s Alt (Toogeloo)
1 Haze (Empking’s Alt)

With
13
alive it takes
7
to lynch. Deadline is December 9 at 11:59 pm PST.

Not Voting – 6 – alvinz95, FourseenCircumstance, Haze, Lowell, Samuel L Jackson, ZeekLTK
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Post Post #765 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 3:47 am

Post by Chimaira »

Blatant prod-dodge during alcoholic weekend of entering adulthood.
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Post Post #766 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 2:11 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

Discussion doesn't need to die during hypoclaim

I would like to hear more opinions on alvinz/kdowns at this point.
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Post Post #767 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 6:24 pm

Post by Haze »

LF; I'm not too sure what my read on Kdowns/Alvinz is due to Alvinz's lack of posting. Also Kdowns is often barely in most games he plays. Of course, this does not make it town behavior.
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Post Post #768 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 6:54 pm

Post by Zeek »

It is impossible to determine whether a lurker is town or scum. Those are my thoughts.
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Post Post #769 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 7:38 pm

Post by alvinz95 »

In post 740, Amrun wrote:
In post 739, alvinz95 wrote:Hey.

So apparently the case against me is that who I replaced was not active?


Not quite.

How about providing content of your own?


A bit sharp there. Are you already set on my lynch?

I've only gotten to skim over the thread, which was the reason for my short 1st post with a very general conclusion of what the situation was. I will do a more in depth read, and my thoughts on the game, perhaps tomorrow or Wednesday. I should be free past Wednesday.
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Post Post #770 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 7:48 pm

Post by Zeek »

Can we get your thoughts on your skim?

I understand that they are just from light reading and should not be taken as accusations or anything...but some discussion would be nice before the day is over.
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Post Post #771 (ISO) » Mon Nov 28, 2011 7:23 am

Post by ZeekLTK »

VOTE: Sam Jackson

Still Aim's slot and still coasting. Needs to die.
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Post Post #772 (ISO) » Mon Nov 28, 2011 7:29 am

Post by Amrun »

Alvinz, share your thoughts up to this point, please.


Chimaira, please give some reads with reasons.
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Post Post #773 (ISO) » Mon Nov 28, 2011 8:45 am

Post by Toogeloo »

For hypoclaim.

If I were KT, TSGRaaize would be town.


I stand by my Empking and Chimaira reads. Empking's only content case came from his page 2 vote on Zeek for opportunism. He hasn't made a single content argument since then. Every other post has been filled with fluff, theory, or nothing but votes. He is trying to look town with his theory talk, but he hasn't actually done anything I would expect from Empking Town.

Chimaira is gut. He spends the first 15 posts or so just fluff posting, pretty much just goofing off. He isn't actually doing anything to make himself look town, but he is putting busy posts down. He is trying to avoid being lurker scum, so he is filling posts up and then condemning other players for lurking behavior.

Lowell I am more hesitant on, and it's more of a bad vibe. He has a general anti-town behavior from the two games I have played with him (both town), and he is very lurkish, almost non-committal to the games he is in. He is playing up that behavior now, which is a town-meta lean on him, but what I don't like is his vigging post. The deadline was no where near close, Thomith wasn't close to being lynched yet (I think he only had half the votes needed), but Lowell was apologetic for having to take a shot, something I would not expect Lowell to do as town. He has convictions and I think this looked like more of a way that he used it as an excuse to get rid of his bullet early on a lynch leader.

Not sure what to make of the Zeek twins, they kind of butter up to each other, which is odd, but both don't seem scummy really. TSGRaaize is a town read as his opinion is pretty solidly like mine. Amrun is a slight town read as well. Playing very closely to her town meta that I have seen before.

Everyone else is kind of null to me.
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Post Post #774 (ISO) » Mon Nov 28, 2011 9:15 am

Post by Empking's Alt »

In post 773, Toogeloo wrote:I stand by my Empking and Chimaira reads. Empking's only content case came from his page 2 vote on Zeek for opportunism. He hasn't made a single content argument since then. Every other post has been filled with fluff, theory, or nothing but votes. He is trying to look town with his theory talk, but he hasn't actually done anything I would expect from Empking Town.


What theory talk?
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