I meant to have some analysis done, but I had some plumbing problems and I've been digging a trench in my backyard to replace the sewer pipe so I;m a little drained. Also, please excuse the stream-of-conciousness style nature of this post. LYLO is the time of the game where everything should be brought to the table. Since town has nothing but VTs, then that means all I can bring is my thoughts, unvarnished.
Now, I hate being in LYLO. I'm happy that I usually rarely get there since I start to get crippled by second guessing myself. Add to that, my two strongest scum-reads during the course of the game (Slaxx and Tammy) are still alive and are calling each other town. Which is the strongest position for scum to be in. If they are scum together, then by refusing to bus each other the pressure is on town to recognize each other's towniness. This is an effective strategy since if me, Junpei, and roflcopter are town, we are extremely fractured.
Of course, that's only one scenario, and an egotistical one at that. It would mean I haven't been wrong all course, just unconvincing. But it's a possible one.
The converse to that scenario is that I'm 100% wrong and the scum-team is Junpei and roflcopter. Which I have a hard-time seeing. First, Psyche's opening strategy was extremely town. I mean, I know it's possible for scum to fake such a gambit, but (and no offense meant) I just don't think that Psyche is experienced and skilled enough to have faked it as scum. Plus if he were scum and pulled off a successful early gambit that put him on everyone's town list, it's extremely unlikely that he would abandon the game. When you do something like that as scum, you stay in the game and see it through, if only for the bragging rights alone. So roflcopter isn't scum despite the fact that he's been really unimpressive since replacing back in.
Now Junpei... Junpei is the wildcard for me. If I'm wrong about one of {Slaxx, Tammy} then he's the scum partner. He's been tunnelled on me all game. Now I recognize that being wrong isn't a scumtell in itself, but as weird as this sounds he hasn't been too convincing about it. Lots of "We should lynch Kublai Khan!" yelling and "look at that! he's scum!" confirmation bias. But not much substance. I have to scroll way back in his iso to even find his case on me. And it's a pretty poor case considering ow much I've posted. Now, it's possible that he's just laziness, but laziness isn't a personality quirk that I would assign to Junpei. So scummy? Eh, a little. it's a weak point and the rest of his play has been pretty towny, so he remains a distant third suspect in my book.
So my thoughts remain with a Slaxx/Tammy scum-team. I'll start with Tammy.
First, this:
In post 977, Tammy wrote:Why not acknowledge it? Even though it made sense due to balance and I told you that the team mafia thread discussion helped me understand and rid me of paranoia, there was still a little bit of doubt. I was wrong to be paranoid; I was admitting I was wrong.
This encapsulates a lot of my problem with your play. It doesn't address my question and just adds fluff and misdirection to the game. You didn't have admit that you were wrong. I mean, it's a given that you were wrong since before Rainbowdash even died. There's no oevrall town-benefit to admitting wrongness so... uh, yeah. Plus there's zero reason to bring up Team Mafia as a source of paranoia since IIRC you were scum in TM. So where would the paranoia come from?
Actually that brings up the core reasoning behind why I think you're scum. When I read a game, I weigh an individual's play according to two categories: likely to come from town and likely to come from scum. Now mafia, by nature, is a game of paranoia. Every action has potential to have been committed by scum unless there is strong reason to think otherwise (see my read on Psyche/roflcopter, for example). So when someone is town, they need to actively commit town-tells to effective counter the paranoia of fellow town members.
Now I'm trying to take into account you're relative newness to the site/game, but it's not enough. You spammed the game from the onset. You reacted to pressure by OMGUSing and defended yourself by accusing me of "misrepping you and trying to get mislynches" which isn't a valid defense. If you are town, then the knowledge that you are a mislynch is known only to you and you'd know it's irrational to expect anyone to listen to you. So I can't figure out any town motivation for your defense, but I can figure scum motivation.
Slaxx.. Slaxx is just plain scum. I posted my case on Slaxx in
Post 568 and he never responded. Instead the game gets side-tracted by Tammy replacing in and Slaxx just lurked pretty hard the rest of the day Also, I really don't like the fact that he'd acknowledge that farside22 is town, yet refuse to address her case at all. It's write more but I don't need to. Slaxx is scum because it's self-evident.
I'm tired now. and I have to dig more tomorrow. I'm announcing my strong intentions to vote Slaxx. Le'ts kick-start some conversation.
