(micro 1101) mystery box of silver 16: tinkleton (it tinkled)

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Post Post #1075 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:27 pm

Post by the worst »

:cold_sweat:
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #1076 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:27 pm

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no, no emojis. words, please
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Post Post #1077 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:28 pm

Post by Psyche »

how the heck did you even get an emoji into this thread. who are you??
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Post Post #1078 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:28 pm

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you can use discord emoji codes e.g. : cold_sweat :
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #1079 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:29 pm

Post by Psyche »

did i lose? like in the worst possible way?
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Post Post #1080 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:31 pm

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Beats me. I hope not.
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #1081 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:32 pm

Post by Psyche »

tell me you are not scum. pls.
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Post Post #1082 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:34 pm

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I'm not scum. I'm like second guessing how likely we were wrong on drew/gypyx right now.
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #1083 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:36 pm

Post by Psyche »

i can accept if it's drew/gypx. i suppose.
i thought about going for a last second swap to gypyx to disconfirm that pairing
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Post Post #1084 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:14 pm

Post by schadd_ »

i am busy rn but that is a mafia win for the worst and doctor drew. the game is over and everyone is free to talk
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Post Post #1085 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:15 pm

Post by Psyche »

gosh ausuka is so smooth
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Post Post #1086 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:15 pm

Post by schadd_ »

In post 1079, Psyche wrote: did i lose? like in the worst possible way?
yes sorry
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Post Post #1087 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:15 pm

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I hate claiming scum until the game is called but I felt so so so so so bad.
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #1088 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:15 pm

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Ausuka is overpowered its unreal
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #1089 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:16 pm

Post by schadd_ »

everybody is free to wonder why nobody is any roles until i open everything
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Post Post #1090 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:19 pm

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I generally think the threat of roles is a much more interesting game mechanic than actual roles but I'm pretty pretentious so I'm getting ready to sound silly
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #1091 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:21 pm

Post by Psyche »

honestly felt pretty alone past d1
but in the end i accepted the challenge and then failed
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Post Post #1092 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:23 pm

Post by Doctor Drew »

In post 1085, Psyche wrote: gosh ausuka is so smooth
She definitely is the scum MVP
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Post Post #1093 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:25 pm

Post by Doctor Drew »

In post 1091, Psyche wrote: honestly felt pretty alone past d1
but in the end i accepted the challenge and then failed
Definitely parroting what worst said, I felt really bad how you were putting in so much work, only to get deceived at the end of the game

I wanted to say I was scum after I hammered, but again.....never can be sure until the mod confirms things
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Post Post #1094 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:20 pm

Post by Psyche »

Can't see a simple fix to my approach would have avoided this. Simple bias adjustments that would've prevented me from townlocking ausuka over deus/cakez would've also prevented me from scumreading her. I'd be in a sea of nulls. Feel like there were plenty of scum-pinging and town-pinging posts in every iso.

Otoh, one clearcut mistake was going forward with cakez after the claim, and in general not accepting that town can do motivated reasoning.
Not doing that might have saved room for another mistake — at minimum a broader poe pool

But how do I see the truth on D2?

snow arguably was unsortable due to activity but maybe a patience policy would allow room for better sorting. i gave up on this after seeing a prodge. i wonder where the limit to patience should be

I suppose one key mistake was not townreading some key posts by gypyx — particularly the snowcase.
I don't know if the snowcase was great but it was hard to see coming from scum.
That said, why is it reasonable to interpret gypyx's snowtown case as town, but not ausuka's decline to mislim deus?
What is the strategy that values the town signals in gypyx's iso but not the town signals in ausuka's?
bahh
i imagine that the best i could have done was stay neutral about both

hpe scumread felt forced by other solves — ausuka townread and gypyx/pc anti-relational read
the anti-relational read was right and maybe well-founded by its weighing of patterns from two slots instead of just one
without fixation on the first stance, i could maybe have townread hpe's entry based on tone, perception of effort to solve.
(but it was pretty absent afterwards, especially into D3. Do I not get suspicious of that? I guess not)

and if im null on ausuka d3, then drew loses the firewall that kept me from updating my take on him after various unbelievable posts

so maybe...
- avoid unforced errors to save room for mistakes later
- take time with inactives; don't interpret inactivity or effort
- fork-in-the-road counterfactual reasoning seems nice but doesn't work (why didn't drew just soft-TR worst and group on gypyx earlier?)
- omg there's nothing left
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Post Post #1095 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:26 pm

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

oughhhhhhhh a bunch of pages
not a person, just a doll~
this one refers to itself in the third person
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Post Post #1096 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:26 pm

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

oh you fuckers hammered me
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Post Post #1097 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:27 pm

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

god fucking damn it.
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Post Post #1098 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:31 pm

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

psyche we HAD TIME TO THINK
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Post Post #1099 (ISO) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:31 pm

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

WE HAD THE TIME FOR ME TO SHOW BACK UP WE HAD LIKE TWO DAYS
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