Newbie 2101 | Better Call Saul | Game Over
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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It looks a bit boring. I like Last Day on Earth: Survival at the moment.In post 23, MegAzumarill wrote:Play stardew then smh-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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What's wrong with it, too serious too quickly?In post 28, MegAzumarill wrote:On a semi-serious note I don't like fancypants' entrance-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Ok, I'll say that it doesn't really bother me. Aside from me getting a townread, your point about it being self-referential doesn't resonate with me.In post 32, MegAzumarill wrote:
EBWOPIn post 31, MegAzumarill wrote:
The idea that it's self referential in a way, like here are two players moving the game early so they are town, where they also do the same thing.In post 29, furtiveglance wrote:
What's wrong with it, too serious too quickly?In post 28, MegAzumarill wrote:On a semi-serious note I don't like fancypants' entrance-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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It was actually a serious vote rather than plainly RTing, I left it naked to see what the reaction would be. Meg already felt different from Mewbie 2092 in this game, more jokey in a way.
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Did you think my vote was serious or a reaction test?In post 40, petapan wrote:
nah that was what i figured your reason was actually, just wanted to hear it in your own wordsIn post 37, furtiveglance wrote:It was actually a serious vote rather than plainly RTing, I left it naked to see what the reaction would be. Meg already felt different from Mewbie 2092 in this game, more jokey in a way.
this is good, because there is no reason whatsoever to distrust meIn post 39, Bulbazoor wrote:I am liking peta's entrace into the game so far. I'm gonna go with my dVOTE: esires.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Do you also think Meg is sus?In post 46, petapan wrote:
i thought it was serious for basically the reasoning you gaveIn post 41, furtiveglance wrote:Did you think my vote was serious or a reaction test?
this is very slightly >rand townIn post 42, esires wrote:Moreso I'm OK with being the first wagon.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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This is the kind of post that I'd probably make as scum, feels a bit safe. Maybe with your partner in the 3 'sus' players but never follow up on it.In post 66, BS2000 wrote:Lol a Newbie game with no true newbs in it now.
@Mod can we get a current votecount?I think we have 3 on Juice and 3 on esires?
Starting to get townvibes from Meg's exchange with FancyPants. Need to see more from Juice/Bulba/BBT. There's scum somewhere in there.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Differentiating players actually. We haven't posted much collectively.In post 117, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:What are you struggling with specifically?-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Yeah it's E-2, I don't usually announce E-2. As to the why, just townreading other players. A few other players: You, Meg, Bulba, Esires, and FancyPants. BS200 is seeming more town than BBT right now.In post 140, petapan wrote:1.
that's E-1, call that out when you're voting so no one accidentally hammers
2. why?-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Not sure, hard to articulate it.In post 204, FancyPants wrote:
Why do you town read esires?In post 203, furtiveglance wrote:Esires, I'd say Petapan and you for 2 townreads and BBT/Juice for 2 scumreads-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Thanks for replacing in guys. That was quick. In terms of voting I'm still happy to vote out BBT, I don't really have a lot of other scumreads. Decent point from Bella that petapan might have just been townread for activity but I've seen that happen to town more than mafia in my experience, maybe that's just me. I'm happy to call petapan innocent until someone susses them later.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Yeah smart innitIn post 247, petapan wrote:
hm seetting up to push me on a future day i see your tricksIn post 245, furtiveglance wrote:I'm happy to call petapan innocent until someone susses them later.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I don't think this is towny Rad. I feel like this is one of those votes that just happens to be mafia and we lucked out on this one.In post 114, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Alright.
BS made a post saying something along the lines of 'A newbie game with no newbies in' and this came across to me like scum complaining that they have no newbies and as such are at a disadvantage.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I guess 'they' went for the 2nd most obvious town, amirite guys haha. On the real though. I would like to show much remorse for petapan's passing. The guy townread me for a bit then sussed me at the end. Classic love hate thing. That's not what that means.In post 309, BS2000 wrote:Well, they went with the obvtown kill.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Which list? I think esires is town, said it early on. I haven't been ignoring them.In post 314, Bellaphant wrote:^ good voting
@fancy, I didn't get a chance to respond at day end but wanted to clarify - it wasn't distancing, more resignation - the bbt wagon elim looked really inevitable by the time I'd replaced in, and I had no strong feelings on the slot. What I was trying to say but don't think I was clear about was that whatever bbt flipped I found furtives vote on them the worst..
@furtive, why ignore esires in your list, the other half of bbt's hero solve?-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I was thinkin the same thing! cos likeIn post 313, MegAzumarill wrote:VOTE: furtiveglance
I'll do some explaining tomorrow but I kind of want to vote here for now.
Voting you that is, not self voting.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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(Surfer dude voice) Idk man.In post 315, Rad wrote:
Uh huh do tell. Explain how this is scum!Rad here.In post 312, furtiveglance wrote:Radfia
I'm considering it.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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So by 'ignoring esires in MY list' you meant ignoring a dying town calling me mafia in their 'hero solve'?In post 319, Bellaphant wrote:
This, furtive. Just wanted to see if you had a response
Was I meant to reply to BBT? "Haha, no I'm not mafia." Or something like "rip buddy, wrong but town"?
Is it that I have partner equity with esires for not addressing the suggestion that we're mafia together? "It's not me and esires BBT, have fun in spec chat tho"
This is my response, if you manage to get anything from this then well done.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I thought you could have been clearer. If you inferred an agressive tone, it's because the underlying implication is that you scumread me and probably will whatever I say. Ignoring another player is also a thinly veiled accusation of being paired, so I found your question more loaded than innocent.In post 321, Bellaphant wrote:That's weirdly aggressive - it felt to me like you named half of town as maybe scum, I just wanted more thoughts on esires - especially because two people thave mentioned you having partner equity already. I'm actually not massively sure why, hence wanting more thoughts from you on them-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Why? You said you don't scumread them either. So neither of us would be trying to convince the other.In post 324, Bellaphant wrote:Still: can you walk me through your read on esires?-
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Did Juice and Bulbazoor argue before this? If not, why did Juice namedrop Bulbazoor? Can't believe I've just noticed this.In post 225, Juice wrote:repp me out. i refuse to play with Bulba-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Anyway, aside from that, I had some thoughts on the game.
I'm finding it hard to articulate my thoughts on specific players and how I'm reading them based on posts, I feel it's too subjective. Instead, I'm going to make 2 assumptions (dangerous I know): 1) Mafia don't vote their partner apart from RVS and 2) Mafia don't hard townread their partner. I know these have exceptions sometimes but I'm going to use these 2 assumptions to eliminate some pairs and see what that leaves. I'll also just say if I think an interaction doesn't look scum/scum. If I don't like the results, I'll just ignore them.
Spoiler:
After this I didn't see much else that I thought wasn't partner indicative - with regards to people's end of day scumpools or townreads I think mafia are more likely to put false associatives in there so I don't pay it as much heed. Just to recap then, here are the pairs I've ruled out:
Bellaphant/BS200
Bellaphant/Esires
Bellaphant/MegAzumarill
BS200/Fancypants
BS200/Esires
BS200/MegAzumarill
Esires/Fancypants
Esires/Rad
Fancypants/MegAzumarill
Fancypants/Rad
Or, in a different format:
Bellaphant pairs with Fancypants or Rad
BS200 pairs with Rad
Esires pairs with MegAzumarill
Fancypants pairs with Bellaphant
MegAzumarill pairs with Esires or Rad
Rad pairs with Bellaphant, BS200 or MegAzumarill
Practical conclusions to draw: Rad has partner equity with the most players.
Personally, I think it's probably Bellaphant with Rad, which also happens to be the 2 replacements. If both mafia did just randomly replace out then this game is pretty scuffed.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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OHHHHHHHHHHH I read that game as well. Yeah ok. Ignore that speculation then. It was just insane to me that Juice suddenly hit page top and quit, with no in-thread precedent.In post 334, FancyPants wrote:
It involves another finished newbie game we were all in.In post 329, furtiveglance wrote:
Did Juice and Bulbazoor argue before this? If not, why did Juice namedrop Bulbazoor? Can't believe I've just noticed this.In post 225, Juice wrote:repp me out. i refuse to play with Bulba
I'll post the link when I can get on something that isn't a phone.
Its the GTA themed newbie though. Nothing relevant really Bulba just self hammered as town and Juice was annoyed.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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2 more votes and I die, how fun.
The reason for my slightly mechanical look at partner equity between players was partly to explain my townread on Esires. They have so many clearing interactions with other players. They only pair with Meg, and I can't see the Esires/Meg scumteam because I can't imagine that Bellaphant and Rad are both town. If anyone can show me that Esires has partner equity with someone else, or point out where I've made a wrong call in 331, please do. Even reading any of the spoilered text would be appreciated, I'd like other people's thoughts. Or you could just ignore it and vote me, *ahem*.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Haha. I guess "no comment" is in order.In post 327, FancyPants wrote:
Because if you are paired we'd like your opinion for the record.In post 326, furtiveglance wrote:
Why? You said you don't scumread them either. So neither of us would be trying to convince the other.In post 324, Bellaphant wrote:Still: can you walk me through your read on esires?
Seriously though, I'm townreading esires. Have you ever done that before? Townread a player? I'm sure you have. And I'm sure you've had some other player in the lobby go "omg townread = paired mafia WE GOTTEM". It's just lazy.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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This is a good point, but it could be that the slot giving out the least information about other players coincidentally also happens to be mafia.In post 342, MegAzumarill wrote:
This feels divorced from context somewhat. The conclusion that it should be the slot that has had the least interaction in the game (through no fault of their own) is scum because they have the least non partnered actions with people isn't a great conclusion here.In post 331, furtiveglance wrote:Anyway, aside from that, I had some thoughts on the game.
I'm finding it hard to articulate my thoughts on specific players and how I'm reading them based on posts, I feel it's too subjective. Instead, I'm going to make 2 assumptions (dangerous I know): 1) Mafia don't vote their partner apart from RVS and 2) Mafia don't hard townread their partner. I know these have exceptions sometimes but I'm going to use these 2 assumptions to eliminate some pairs and see what that leaves. I'll also just say if I think an interaction doesn't look scum/scum. If I don't like the results, I'll just ignore them.
Spoiler:
After this I didn't see much else that I thought wasn't partner indicative - with regards to people's end of day scumpools or townreads I think mafia are more likely to put false associatives in there so I don't pay it as much heed. Just to recap then, here are the pairs I've ruled out:
Bellaphant/BS200
Bellaphant/Esires
Bellaphant/MegAzumarill
BS200/Fancypants
BS200/Esires
BS200/MegAzumarill
Esires/Fancypants
Esires/Rad
Fancypants/MegAzumarill
Fancypants/Rad
Or, in a different format:
Bellaphant pairs with Fancypants or Rad
BS200 pairs with Rad
Esires pairs with MegAzumarill
Fancypants pairs with Bellaphant
MegAzumarill pairs with Esires or Rad
Rad pairs with Bellaphant, BS200 or MegAzumarill
Practical conclusions to draw: Rad has partner equity with the most players.
Personally, I think it's probably Bellaphant with Rad, which also happens to be the 2 replacements. If both mafia did just randomly replace out then this game is pretty scuffed.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Why don't you find some telling interactions in the 200 to 300 range? Tell me what I missed or declined to comment on.In post 344, Rad wrote:
Yeah I guess the real conclusion from his analysis was "Juice was low activity poster and so he's probably scum." I'm not against policy flips on low activity posters but you do have me now and I'm not low activity.In post 342, MegAzumarill wrote:
This feels divorced from context somewhat. The conclusion that it should be the slot that has had the least interaction in the game (through no fault of their own) is scum because they have the least non partnered actions with people isn't a great conclusion here.In post 331, furtiveglance wrote:Anyway, aside from that, I had some thoughts on the game.
I'm finding it hard to articulate my thoughts on specific players and how I'm reading them based on posts, I feel it's too subjective. Instead, I'm going to make 2 assumptions (dangerous I know): 1) Mafia don't vote their partner apart from RVS and 2) Mafia don't hard townread their partner. I know these have exceptions sometimes but I'm going to use these 2 assumptions to eliminate some pairs and see what that leaves. I'll also just say if I think an interaction doesn't look scum/scum. If I don't like the results, I'll just ignore them.
Spoiler:
After this I didn't see much else that I thought wasn't partner indicative - with regards to people's end of day scumpools or townreads I think mafia are more likely to put false associatives in there so I don't pay it as much heed. Just to recap then, here are the pairs I've ruled out:
Bellaphant/BS200
Bellaphant/Esires
Bellaphant/MegAzumarill
BS200/Fancypants
BS200/Esires
BS200/MegAzumarill
Esires/Fancypants
Esires/Rad
Fancypants/MegAzumarill
Fancypants/Rad
Or, in a different format:
Bellaphant pairs with Fancypants or Rad
BS200 pairs with Rad
Esires pairs with MegAzumarill
Fancypants pairs with Bellaphant
MegAzumarill pairs with Esires or Rad
Rad pairs with Bellaphant, BS200 or MegAzumarill
Practical conclusions to draw: Rad has partner equity with the most players.
Personally, I think it's probably Bellaphant with Rad, which also happens to be the 2 replacements. If both mafia did just randomly replace out then this game is pretty scuffed.
I think peta's earlier post is also relevant in why this analysis from furtive isn't great:
Using it as a lense for furtive's 331:In post 208, petapan wrote:basically i think bs2000's "small hunch" bit in 152 where he's drawing a connection between players but not overtly suggesting they are teammates or whatever, reads like a very real thought to me, come across as someone legitimately thinking about the game. i do that sort of thing where i'll see an interaction and consider if it could possibly be a teammate interaction a lot, but i tend not to out it because you're very unlikely to be correct on those type of reads on day 1, especially in a game with only 2 scum. scum can fake arguments about people being teamed and often do because it's easier to argue associations, but the way bs2000 is doing that wasn't intent on selling anyone on voting juice, just "oh here's a thought i had, take note of this"
for bulbazoor 173 just reads very town to me. that looks like someone who is scumhunting. i believe the suspicion and he's pressuring his target to contribute rather than just calling for his head.
1. Everyone has these thoughts of potential pairings but it could be a tell on how you use the thought
2. 331 comes across to me as someone who's legitimately thinking about the game
3. Pairings are very unlikely to be correct reads on day 1 (where all these reads in his spoiler came from)
4. "scum can fake arguments about people being teamed and often do because it's easier to argue associations, but the way bs2000 is doing that wasn't intent on selling anyone on voting juice" - which is interesting because furtive's actually using this analysis to push me, as opposed to bs2000 who peta read as townie for not pushing. I'm not sure if I agree or disagree with peta's view of how town/scum would approach this.I lean towards disagreeing but also realize that peta's much more experienced than I am.
Something that's striking me as interesting in furtive's 331 is that most of the spoilered points come from the first 100 posts, so very early with a lot of RVS, and then it just jumps to 200 and stops like he got bored of finding evidence for his theory. Then it all lines up perfectly with Meg/Bella/Rad as the suspects. This could counter #2 above for me.
331's feeling much less townie now.
The bolded line is quite sinister to me. You're saying "I lean towards disagreeing" i.e. you don't think I'm scum using pre-flip associatives to push you but "peta's more experienced" i.e. petapan definitely would say that. In this way, you're putting words in a dead town's mouth, and appealing to authority by outsourcing the responsibility of calling me mafia to someone we all know is town. This is all highly irregular and deeply offensive to myself and petapan equally.
Finally, if your mini thought-progression on me was meant to look natural (ending with "much less townie now"), you need to try harder than that. This entire post is not written for me, or for your own organisation of thoughts, it's written for town who may be misled into voting for me. This is evidenced by your sneaky implication that petapan would want me gone, based on their theoretical post regarding a different player.
Make no mistake, if you do end up killing me, my blood is on your hands (as well as others' of course). Why don't you acknowledge that these are your thoughts and wishes, and yours alone?-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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It didn't take that long, and the conclusion was just the summation of my findings. You either disagree with the findings or nothing, because the conclusion was literally just me pointing out that Rad can have the most partners.In post 347, Bellaphant wrote:@meg, that's why I voted. It feels exactly like scum busy work with a really weird conclusion.
P-edit about half a dozen posts happened that I haven't processed.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Yeah that's fine, just stir the pot a bit.In post 350, MegAzumarill wrote:
This post leaves a bad taste in my mouth, although I'm not quite sure why atm.In post 349, Rad wrote:In post 346, furtiveglance wrote:Why don't you find some telling interactions in the 200 to 300 range? Tell me what I missed or declined to comment on.Spoiler:
Oh so very dramatic of you. But town!furtive can be very dramatic so ehhh. Let's get something straight furtive, I can openly lean on dead town's posts and still be town.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Maybe Meg was preparing to fake a guilty on me if I had one on them! But I don't have a guilty.In post 358, Rad wrote:Maybe a couple more replacements and we'll have an active game.
It's past tomorrow, wanna do some explaining for that vote?In post 313, MegAzumarill wrote:VOTE: furtiveglance
I'll do some explaining tomorrow but I kind of want to vote here for now.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I thought I'd do some more 'busy work' since the last post went down really well
I'll do some dreaded 'VCA' (or just checking out everyone's reasons for voting BBT).
Spoiler:
Conclusion: clearing Petapan and myself, BS200, Esires and Meg ended the day on BBT. I'd say Meg's reasoning in 109 is fair enough, so if there's scum on the wagon I'd say BS200.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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It was how I felt at the time - most happy voting BBT. I had townreads, and he wasn't one. I didn't feel the need to make a huge post about it. Why don't you read what I said about BS200's vote on BBT - I feel like the justification was mostly omgus and self-preservation. It also marked a change of direction for them - they had previously shaded MegAzumarill and petapan.In post 366, FancyPants wrote:This vote strikes me as the worst vote on BBT, no shame on being on a town wagon but it's more the manner, same goes for Megazumaril here:
BS2000 and Peta also vote and scumread BBT but it's justified.
Again I don't scumread people for being on town wagons, but it's themannerof the hop that concerns me.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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"The only times furtive has ever prompted a response are entirely defensive". Do you mean I only respond when defending myself? That hasn't been the case. I don't feel I've really been attacked much this game, the votes on me are usually silent apart from this post. As for "being concerned about their own slot", I'm more interested and likely to respond to posts about me. I think that's human nature, and definitely how I play. If I see some other players arguing I usually won't get involved, or I won't find it interesting until a later point (or never).In post 376, MegAzumarill wrote:Spoiler:
Overall furtiveglance's play day 1 has read as both overinformed through lack of inquisition, and unreasoned, through lack of evidence. It reads like scum making filler to not go over the edge for lurking and looking just invested enough to get by.
Furtive, could you explain your thought processes on your reads over the course of day 1? (as well as currently)
My past reads have been explained enough for me, if you want more explanation be more specific. As for my current reads, I need more time to work out what they are.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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You know in mafia games, when a few town just happen to jump on a mafia and it's great? That's what I thought happened with BBT. I think Rad townread BBT or something and I disagreed.In post 384, FancyPants wrote:
@Furtive can you explain this I don't understand what you're saying.In post 262, furtiveglance wrote:
I don't think this is towny Rad. I feel like this is one of those votes that just happens to be mafia and we lucked out on this one.In post 114, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Alright.
BS made a post saying something along the lines of 'A newbie game with no newbies in' and this came across to me like scum complaining that they have no newbies and as such are at a disadvantage.-
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furtiveglance He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Do you just think "throw it all out because scum might bus/shade their partner/whatever"? Have you actually read my individual points? I think there's some decent stuff in there.In post 389, FancyPants wrote:331 from Furtive, is the busy work where he pairs people. I kinda like that kind of effort post but I don't agree with the assumptions and it's not really the "good" kind of effort post that gets us closer to scum IMO.