To address each of your points there, but first off I'll address the one that your thoughts rely on that's objectively not true. I can't engage with you in any meaningful way until you accept the first premise below because everything you're saying is based off the premise there's 'no alternative' to your thoughts when you're ignoring a very clear and much more likely explination:
At this point, as an doc-enabler, he should be 100% sure that Plus is the real doctor and it was reflected in his revote.
If you were a doctor enabler, had seen no game had EVER had two doctors in it before, and there are two doctor claims then are you going to either
a.) 100% sure there must be two doctors in this game with no reasons to support this
b.) Think the first doctor claim is a claim from scum who got caught out by a counterclaim (this happens all the time in mafia)
The fact that you're considering b as
literally 0% likely
makes everything you say hard conf.bias and objectively bad. There's a very clear reason for town DE to vote what he thinks is probably a fakeclaim. Why is it LITERALLY IMPOSSIBLE that town-Hop thinks that PJ is probably scum that got caught out on a fakeclaim? You have said this outright because you can't see 'any plausible' alternative your your theory.
----
On to more specific points
- PJ immediately said that he hadn't softclaimed. Scum and town PJ both say that because scum PJ doesn't want to say 'yes' because he didn't and doesn't want to get caught out, while town PJ doesn't want to say 'yes' because he didn't and doesn't want to lie.
- I vote PJ because a counterclaim is 100% more believable than an initial claim because scum (unless they're in a bad spot already) doesn't have the incentive to counterclaim that town do.
-Scum PJ wouldn't know there was a doc? That's why I assumed they got caught out on a CC.
- I suggested we vote for someone else. The doc claimers didn't want to do this.
- If PJ is scum there then I absolutely don't want to claim.
Now when I questioned him, all I've gotten are deflections (saying I'm making bad set-up speculations) and excuses, this makes him seem even scummier imo.
This is a terrible faith argument. I've outlined my thought processes throughout. Using the word 'excuses' here makes me think there isn't any argument you'd accept. What I bought when I voted PJ was that Derp was town, NOT that there were two doctors in the game. That's very clearly why I voted PJ
There's no reaching. I've become enlightened.
