Micro 1087 | It's normal | It's over!

[medeia]

like i kind of think skitter doesnt want to yeet chicago and then have to shoot medeia at night because then she is at f3 with me/t3 and thats not an easy f3 for her to win? like if she needs to win she needs to yeet me at f5 and she can't do that without an excuse

hence her exercise with the pairing or whatever

like why wouldn't scum!her just move the exercise with the pairing around to reach a similar conclusion to the one i had already made to try to eliminate t3 instead?

and why right now after all of this would she arrive here:

I think i want to vote ct here, actually

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

wdym?

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

the pairing exercise was her buildup to vote for me?

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

You / ct
You / t3
Ct / t3

I don't have likelhood numbers, that's not really how i'm viewing it

To me it's more like a tree:
-> do t3/ct look partnered? Need to do more research (sunday)

-> if final answer is no: doesn't matter which is town, if medeia is town pooky is scum, so vote pooky

-> if final answer is yes: doeant matter which i vote, vote one

With the following homework questions to research:
- do ct/t3 look partnered?
- confirm medeia tr

Before voting

Where i ultimately vote has almost nothing to do with what u post today , or even with my prior read on u

like isnt this basically just telegraphing a vote at me?

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

cuz she's been tunneling me all game? like it feels pretty weird to swerve at the end and aim at T3 instead?

[medeia]

the pairing exercise was her buildup to vote for me?

yes but it could be her buildup to vote t3

like i had already laid out why i thought it wasn't you/chicagotypewriter, right

and especially after t3 made his reads post like if t3 is town and thinks skitter is mafia,

(and if t3 is town whichever of you is a scums would likely have been playing around this; could be why you might want to force you v skitter etc)

why wouldn't skitter have evaluated chicagotypewriter/pooky world to be the unlikely one, and use the same exact logic she used with regards to chicagotypewriter/t3 likelihood of being paired

to try to eliminate t3?

[medeia]

cuz she's been tunneling me all game? like it feels pretty weird to swerve at the end and aim at T3 instead?

but she could have just arranged it to aim at t3 in the first place, right, and then also have been 'convinced' by me or whatever,

like i guess it doesn't feel like she was stuck to me

[medeia]

if anything i think it would have been more of a blinders situation like she just didn't see the options rather than they weren't there if she is a scums

[medeia]

cuz she's been tunneling me all game? like it feels pretty weird to swerve at the end and aim at T3 instead?

but she can still say you/t3 or chicagotypewriter/t3 like she doesn't have to hard commit to one

and i don't think i had fully explained why i thought you/t3 and her/t3 were super unlikely at that point

so in theory scum!her could have also felt that i thought that was a somewhat likely scenario

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

the pairing exercise was her buildup to vote for me?

yes but it could be her buildup to vote t3

like i had already laid out why i thought it wasn't you/chicagotypewriter, right

and especially after t3 made his reads post like if t3 is town and thinks skitter is mafia,

(and if t3 is town whichever of you is a scums would likely have been playing around this; could be why you might want to force you v skitter etc)

why wouldn't skitter have evaluated chicagotypewriter/pooky world to be the unlikely one, and use the same exact logic she used with regards to chicagotypewriter/t3 likelihood of being paired

to try to eliminate t3?

I dunno

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

I guess if she feels there's a decent chance that CT is the one who will get flipped today then its better for her to not rule out me as a CT partner?

its p hard to guess exactly why a player doesnt take a specific route at a place in time

[medeia]

I dunno

i guess to me it just seems like it'd be such a glaring oversight

like this final 5 would have had to have been her plan if she's a scums and i had just posted about it being unlikely to be you/chicagotypewriter at the end of the day shortly before we slept

so all of that information would have been at her fingertips to present the same plan but have it be malleable

[medeia]

its p hard to guess exactly why a player doesnt take a specific route at a place in time

yeah and there's always like, why this plan instead of this better plan and it's often just that the better plan wasn't thought of for whatever reason or! the better plan isn't actually better and i'm missing something et cetera et cetera

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

like if she's mafia with CT

she might think that I want CT flipped
you want CT flipped(? I am not sure here )
and T3 wants CT flipped

then if CT gets flipped at F5 and flips scum

CT doesnt look aligned with T3
I don't look aligned with CT

then its her vs you and both me and T3 want her over you.

so she can't really ever accept that I dont look aligned with CT

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

I am not sure she would have that plan and it feels like she is following a pretty straight path towards trying to yeet me

[medeia]

like if she's mafia with CT

she might think that I want CT flipped
you want CT flipped(? I am not sure here )
and T3 wants CT flipped

then if CT gets flipped at F5 and flips scum

CT doesnt look aligned with T3
I don't look aligned with CT

then its her vs you and both me and T3 want her over you.

so she can't really ever accept that I dont look aligned with CT

i think she'd just realign her reads on one of you and hope to convince me or even to leave both of you and hope to convince you(?) probably

rather than try to 1v1 me

like if she is a scums here she mostly skipped the let's confirm townread on medeia anyway for a reason right

[medeia]

I am not sure she would have that plan and it feels like she is following a pretty straight path towards trying to yeet me

but then the recent 'i think i want to vote ct' is just a feint..? i guess

[medeia]

like sure she isn't hardcommitted to that but eh

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

like if she's mafia with CT

she might think that I want CT flipped
you want CT flipped(? I am not sure here )
and T3 wants CT flipped

then if CT gets flipped at F5 and flips scum

CT doesnt look aligned with T3
I don't look aligned with CT

then its her vs you and both me and T3 want her over you.

so she can't really ever accept that I dont look aligned with CT

i think she'd just realign her reads on one of you and hope to convince me or even to leave both of you and hope to convince you(?) probably

rather than try to 1v1 me

like if she is a scums here she mostly skipped the let's confirm townread on medeia anyway for a reason right

I guess she has to hold the whole "im going to kill pooky" sword over me for a couple of days to make me sweat then change her mind and swerve and hope it buys her enough goodwill to make me vote for T3 at f3?

I really dunno what her plan is. it feels like she came in with the "im going to pretend im town skitter tunneling pooky" but didnt really know how to play out the actual elo because as soon as she votes me and if the games not over she knows im going to be motivated to reread everything

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

I am not sure she would have that plan and it feels like she is following a pretty straight path towards trying to yeet me

but then the recent 'i think i want to vote ct' is just a feint..? i guess

im confused by that because she said she wanted to go:

confirmed not paired
confirm medeia town
vote pooky

and she's just missing the vote pooky part and now added vote CT which is ?

[medeia]

I guess she has to hold the whole "im going to kill pooky" sword over me for a couple of days to make me sweat then change her mind and swerve and hope it buys her enough goodwill to make me vote for T3 at f3?

yeah idk i think that's probably more viable for scum!her than trying to 1v1 me post-chicagotypewriter flip while claiming we both fakeclaimed and so forth

[medeia]

anyway bedtime for me,

[medeia]

good night

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

gn

[skitter30]

if i vote skitter and its wrong this will be like my 2nd time ever voting wrong at elo >.>

skitter can you vote me first pls

I'm leaning towards chicago >.>
Still making up my mind

I have issues voting pr claims day1

I initially sr ct
Thought meuh was kinda scummy
Waiverer between the two
But ultimately leaned towards ct
When he claimed switched to meuh

Meuh was town
I thought all thr claims are town so pushed elsewhwre but still kinda sr him but the claim seemed kinda townie to me so let it sit for a while
Now its elo and that isnt good.enuf given his content, and i think he's scum