7:2 Mountainous is not a horribly balanced matchup in theory. One of the oldest ways in the history of Mafia to balance 7:2 is to give Town a Cop.
Has someone run EV calculations, or figured out a way to calculate, Cop 9er's EV?
Calculating EV of Cop 9er
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Cook SheMafia ScumShe
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 3014
- Joined: December 5, 2020
- Pronoun: She
- Location: Stapling Internet Together [89.9%]
Calculating EV of Cop 9er
Your friendly neighborhood chef and baker. LONG LIVE THE CHEFHAT REBELLION!
Cults With Guns //"ya true if you don't play mafia you are probably winning" – Alisae
Inventor of 3d20 //Successful Rebellion Leader//-
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RadiantCowbells He/himSmooth CriminalHe/him
- Smooth Criminal
- Smooth Criminal
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I don't think you can calculate EV without defining
1) cop behaviour
2) town behavior in response to cop claims2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.-
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Cook SheMafia ScumShe
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 3014
- Joined: December 5, 2020
- Pronoun: She
- Location: Stapling Internet Together [89.9%]
i'd define cop behavior as:
1. investigates a random player they haven't investigated before (a 1/4 chance of finding scum, a 3/4 chance of finding town, to start)
2. if the cop is eliminated, any town they investigated are no longer eligible for elimination by day, and scum will kill them first (killing confirmed townies and also not decreasing the chance of eliminating town each day that goes by)
3. if the cop finds a scum they will claim and get that scum eliminated immediately, guaranteeing that they also die the next night, but stopping all town they investigate from being voted out by day. (if you want to be more realistic, the claim could have a 50/50 chance of being CC'd, at which point there's a 50/50 chance of either the cop being eliminated and then the CC'ing scum, or the scum being eliminated and then the cop getting NK'd)Your friendly neighborhood chef and baker. LONG LIVE THE CHEFHAT REBELLION!
Cults With Guns //"ya true if you don't play mafia you are probably winning" – Alisae
Inventor of 3d20 //Successful Rebellion Leader//-
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Cook SheMafia ScumShe
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 3014
- Joined: December 5, 2020
- Pronoun: She
- Location: Stapling Internet Together [89.9%]
we also need to consider the possibility of scum claiming cop to draw out the cop, and whether or not that's believed...
some of this feels like quantum computing tbhYour friendly neighborhood chef and baker. LONG LIVE THE CHEFHAT REBELLION!
Cults With Guns //"ya true if you don't play mafia you are probably winning" – Alisae
Inventor of 3d20 //Successful Rebellion Leader//
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