Statistically it's very unlikely. I think a scum team is most likely to split their attention to avoid the mass association. I can't rule it out other than to say don't look at me.In post 3646, Aristeia wrote:ok but why can't a town player genuinely believe that the entire scum team was bussing and not counterwagoning?In post 3642, davesaz wrote: Being town I know any push on me is wrong. Pushing solely on "bussers" and completely ignoring the CWs is indicative of having an agenda to exclude the people voting the CW from suspicion.
OK maybe I'm biased because I'm the target. It should be some on and some off. What's triggering me is the general lack of anyone trying to pick up the CW idea or even appear to think about it. But why Fire in particular is that I'd expect him to engage the alternative theory, not blow it off.why is that indicative of an agenda'd scum player?
Like I said above, some on and some off is the most likely case. In this situation I'm most suspicious of those who stayed on Titus but didn't say much, or rejoined very late under the guise of getting a lim before deadline but didn't call out RL as the reason they left. Voting somewhere else and coming back is also more suspicious than unvoting and coming back, since scum have motivation to hope another wagon picks up while town who thought Titus was scum all along have nothing else better to do with their vote. (other than attempting behavior modification ahem)for example I know I am town and I think it's more likely mafia were bussing titus than counterwagoning to save her because titus had largely given up and didn't even bother to play.
