I mean there's fluid and then there's reads where you don't show progression on, but I'm going to out of respect assume that theory holds more weight than the lack of apparent progression and see what you do with it, I will be holding you to explaining what it is even if it falls through though.In post 673, Black wrote: Yep. My reads are generally super fluid on D1. Plus I have a theory and I think wagoning Thom will help me decide if I could be right or not. That's all I really want to say about it atm
Mini Normal 2323 [There is an Inventor] | FIN
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Black she/herTwilight Princessshe/her
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Not every read has to have a visible progression. Just know that I don't commit to reads unless I'm confident in them, and I'm rarely confident in my reads early on in games. Even when I start to feel confident someone will say something or something will happen to make me lose that confidenceIn post 675, JacksonVirgo wrote: I mean there's fluid and then there's reads where you don't show progression on
I get better as the game goes on but even later you'll see me second guessing myself constantly-
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Alianna She/HerDeath by 1000 PagetopsShe/Her
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Last edited by Alianna on Wed Jan 03, 2024 4:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.I townread Alianna.
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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For sure, I agree with you completely but at the same time lacking progression, or bouncing quickly from a read still reads bad. Especially given the stance you've made on them throughout, but I don't want to dwell on this with the hanging "I have a theory", I will wait for thatIn post 676, Black wrote:
Not every read has to have a visible progression.In post 675, JacksonVirgo wrote: I mean there's fluid and then there's reads where you don't show progression on-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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I know very well you're good at the game, I can't wait to see you pop offIn post 676, Black wrote: I get better as the game goes on but even later you'll see me second guessing myself constantly-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Katsuki Cupcake
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I'm glad someone is catching on to that. The issue isn't exactly the lack of progression (this is more the result of effect rather than cause), it's the intent behind her posts. She's been quite deliberate in her actions and motivations in progressing her wincon if my read on her is correct.In post 675, JacksonVirgo wrote:
I mean there's fluid and then there's reads where you don't show progression on, but I'm going to out of respect assume that theory holds more weight than the lack of apparent progression and see what you do with it, I will be holding you to explaining what it is even if it falls through though.In post 673, Black wrote: Yep. My reads are generally super fluid on D1. Plus I have a theory and I think wagoning Thom will help me decide if I could be right or not. That's all I really want to say about it atmFluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
Katsuki is by far more absurdly beautiful than Fate. (hai parama)
Katsuki's Madness coming to you shortly: Nov, 2011!
CupcakeMafiaIIcoming to you summer 2011! ~ Pre-ins: 11/13-
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Alianna She/HerDeath by 1000 PagetopsShe/Her
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Unreadable or just awful? I can change it if it's the former.
I townread Alianna.
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Awful >:C
VOTE: Thom-
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Black she/herTwilight Princessshe/her
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Sure, on a surface level, but even then I think the implication that townies don't bounce around or sometimes don't show their progression is wildIn post 678, JacksonVirgo wrote: For sure, I agree with you completely but at the same time lacking progression, or bouncing quickly from a read still reads bad
I also think you need to look at the context. Think deeper. Unless you think I'm scum with Snivy then me swapping my vote to Naerys shouldn't read bad to you. I would just help push the Snivy wagon through there. Same with going from Naerys to Thomith. What is the benefit of doing this if I'm scum?-
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Black she/herTwilight Princessshe/her
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Can you go into this further? What do you think the intent behind my posts have been and how have I been progressing my wincon if I'm scum?In post 681, Katsuki wrote:
I'm glad someone is catching on to that. The issue isn't exactly the lack of progression (this is more the result of effect rather than cause), it's the intent behind her posts. She's been quite deliberate in her actions and motivations in progressing her wincon if my read on her is correct.In post 675, JacksonVirgo wrote:
I mean there's fluid and then there's reads where you don't show progression on, but I'm going to out of respect assume that theory holds more weight than the lack of apparent progression and see what you do with it, I will be holding you to explaining what it is even if it falls through though.In post 673, Black wrote: Yep. My reads are generally super fluid on D1. Plus I have a theory and I think wagoning Thom will help me decide if I could be right or not. That's all I really want to say about it atm-
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Katsuki Cupcake
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I've been waffling on the original post I had and have decided to withhold it for now.
Where I am right now, I still think that Dragon is most likely to flip scum out of the leading nom candidates based off of a number of factors. I also have a sneaking suspicion that there's a good chance he is the strongest PR the wolves have.
Normally I'd be perfectly fine with D1 nomming CCS slot contribution, but I really don't like how that wagon came about. We went from stalled wagons 3 votes apiece on Dragon, Naerys and Thomith, with Thomith being the counterwagon with dragon and naerys voting for him, to suddenly being able to construct a wagon on the lurker. Nothing in his posting had changed, he could've been voted or examined at any time during the day, but no one thought to mention him at all until it came to WAGON HO!
Currently where I'm sitting looks roughly like this.
CONFTOWN:
ME
STRONGTOWN:
KYOUKO
KITTY
TOWN:
HUTAO
GE
LIKELY TOWN
THOMITH (conf town if Dragon+Naerys both flip scum)
That leaves davesaz, CCS, Jackson, Black, dragon and Naerys.
dave I'm firmly null on atm.
CCS is null leaning town
JACKSON I'm tempted to toss him into the town pile.
That conveniently leaves dragon, black and naerys. Is the game really this easy? Maybe. I'm pretty confident that there's at least two scum in that pool (wouldn't shock me if I nailed all 3, but would surprise me a bit playing with a new group of players). I quite like what Black has been doing from a scum perspective, and in my eyes it makes the most sense that it stems from Dragon being scum. Plus, she's no longer a fluffy adorable Umbreon. If Dragon flips scum, she is buddy #1 and needs to be TURBONOMMED accordingly.
So TL;DR, at the moment I think the game is fairly straight forward, with Dragon likely to be scum and his buddies being pretty obvious post-flip. Therefore I'm happiest with a Dragon nom today.Fluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
Katsuki is by far more absurdly beautiful than Fate. (hai parama)
Katsuki's Madness coming to you shortly: Nov, 2011!
CupcakeMafiaIIcoming to you summer 2011! ~ Pre-ins: 11/13-
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Black she/herTwilight Princessshe/her
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I think the color looks awesome but not everyone is on dark mode
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Diminishing what I say as surface level is wild lol but I'll let it slide. I already said I wanted to look back on the context of Naerys, I said this, and I did look up the context of Thom and that's why I pointed it out to begin with. Also just because things don't make sense from the pure "surface level" (hehe) scum vs town game loop doesn't mean that you wouldn't have some form of scum motivation for doing what you're doing. I don't have the information that the scum have, so I don't make assumptions based on how little or how much info the scum has.In post 684, Black wrote:
Sure, on a surface level, but even then I think the implication that townies don't bounce around or sometimes don't show their progression is wildIn post 678, JacksonVirgo wrote: For sure, I agree with you completely but at the same time lacking progression, or bouncing quickly from a read still reads bad
I also think you need to look at the context. Think deeper. Unless you think I'm scum with Snivy then me swapping my vote to Naerys shouldn't read bad to you. I would just help push the Snivy wagon through there. Same with going from Naerys to Thomith. What is the benefit of doing this if I'm scum?-
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Black she/herTwilight Princessshe/her
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In post 679, JacksonVirgo wrote:
I know very well you're good at the game, I can't wait to see you pop offIn post 676, Black wrote: I get better as the game goes on but even later you'll see me second guessing myself constantly-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Pointing it out and asking for context is not looking at a surface level, it's pointing it out and asking for context. I am by no means making any snap judgements based on what I call out which could be construed as thinking on the surface level.-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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But even with that said, there's a dangling and mysterious tinfoil theory above this conversation so I don't feel this is doing a single thing to talk aboutIn post 690, JacksonVirgo wrote: Pointing it out and asking for context is not looking at a surface level, it's pointing it out and asking for context. I am by no means making any snap judgements based on what I call out which could be construed as thinking on the surface level.-
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Katsuki Cupcake
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If I don't at some point this game, note to remind me to post-game if I'm right and you're still curious.In post 685, Black wrote: Can you go into this further? What do you think the intent behind my posts have been and how have I been progressing my wincon if I'm scum?Fluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
Katsuki is by far more absurdly beautiful than Fate. (hai parama)
Katsuki's Madness coming to you shortly: Nov, 2011!
CupcakeMafiaIIcoming to you summer 2011! ~ Pre-ins: 11/13-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Lol I would say that generally this means ur wrong but I recently won a mafia tournies finals when I made this exact statement D1In post 686, Katsuki wrote: That conveniently leaves dragon, black and naerys. Is the game really this easy?-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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All the power to ya. I can see Dragon/Black for sure. Naerys I get too but I wanna make sure I'm not falling into my usual pitfalls with them before I make any stance-
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Katsuki Cupcake
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I've certainly had many games where I cracked games wide open D1 before with perfect reads so it'd be nothing new, just something that I would find to be quite unexpected considering that I'm playing with a group of unfamiliar players and rust.In post 693, JacksonVirgo wrote:
Lol I would say that generally this means ur wrong but I recently won a mafia tournies finals when I made this exact statement D1In post 686, Katsuki wrote: That conveniently leaves dragon, black and naerys. Is the game really this easy?Fluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
Katsuki is by far more absurdly beautiful than Fate. (hai parama)
Katsuki's Madness coming to you shortly: Nov, 2011!
CupcakeMafiaIIcoming to you summer 2011! ~ Pre-ins: 11/13-
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Katsuki Cupcake
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(also sry pronouns jackson, should've been them and not him)Fluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
Katsuki is by far more absurdly beautiful than Fate. (hai parama)
Katsuki's Madness coming to you shortly: Nov, 2011!
CupcakeMafiaIIcoming to you summer 2011! ~ Pre-ins: 11/13-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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It's always fun to try and hope for, for sure. If you did get it 3 for 3 I will be blown away.In post 695, Katsuki wrote: I've certainly had many games where I cracked games wide open D1 before with perfect reads so it'd be nothing new, just something that I would find to be quite unexpected considering that I'm playing with a group of unfamiliar players and rust.-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Ur good, the name trips a lot upIn post 696, Katsuki wrote: (also sry pronouns jackson, should've been them and not him)-
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JacksonVirgo they/himSurvivorthey/him
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Purely to get under your brain wrinkles, assuming this is the case, do you feel Naerys/Black are acting in a way that would back the idea of your solve up?In post 686, Katsuki wrote: Where I am right now, I still think that Dragon is most likely to flip scum out of the leading nom candidates based off of a number of factors. I also have a sneaking suspicion that there's a good chance he is the strongest PR the wolves have.
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