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Post Post #1875 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 10:56 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 1874, Psyche wrote: first though i will finish catching up on berserk
he get's off the boat in the end.
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Post Post #1876 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 10:56 am

Post by Political Clout »

you're welcome
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Post Post #1877 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 10:57 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 1872, Political Clout wrote:
In post 1871, Dannflor wrote:
In post 1869, Political Clout wrote: tinfoil hat I think someone gave nas those things to post. they feel like two different people posting today and yesterday.
seems like the same tone as and to me
I don't even remember those posts. how did you? did you iso him before this? that was a really fast response to me too.
i had his iso open on my other monitor
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Post Post #1878 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 10:57 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 1873, Psyche wrote: i still think it's blindingly obvious that NAS has been lying about his reasons for doing things such as voting hu tao but let me go through the motions
ok i will listen to you
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Post Post #1879 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 10:58 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 1873, Psyche wrote: NAS has been lying about his reasons for doing things such as voting hu tao
but i would first question whether that is actually scum indicative
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Post Post #1880 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:00 am

Post by Political Clout »

let's say I have this belief. That we should kill on the wagon. let's also say that people on the first hammered wagon are a lot of the same people on the second wagon today. and let's say that everyone is doing whatever they want. will a statistical proof or essay change anyones mind that we should for sure kill on the wagon since it is most probably that scum are on that wagon since it aligns with their win con and that we should reexamine our reads of the people on the wagons.

- love, light, and peace
PC
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Post Post #1881 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:00 am

Post by Psyche »

hmm but why would town NAS lie about his reasons for a vote
You can't step in the same river twice.
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Post Post #1882 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:01 am

Post by Psyche »

i think that unless statistical reasoning gets us like an 80/20 probability then we are still at the point where we should just lim whomever is most scummy
You can't step in the same river twice.
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Post Post #1883 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:03 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 1882, Psyche wrote: i think that unless statistical reasoning gets us like an 80/20 probability then we are still at the point where we should just lim whomever is most scummy
It narrows it down considerably I think since we are examining 4 people and assuming one of them must be scum. by examining everyone you have a statistically lower chance of finding scum.
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Post Post #1884 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:06 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 1880, Political Clout wrote: let's say I have this belief. That we should kill on the wagon. let's also say that people on the first hammered wagon are a lot of the same people on the second wagon today. and let's say that everyone is doing whatever they want. will a statistical proof or essay change anyones mind that we should for sure kill on the wagon since it is most probably that scum are on that wagon since it aligns with their win con and that we should reexamine our reads of the people on the wagons.

- love, light, and peace
PC
ok how about titus she matches those parameters
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Post Post #1885 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:07 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 1881, Psyche wrote: hmm but why would town NAS lie about his reasons for a vote
i think town do post hoc reasoning a lot when they think they need to

i see it a lot in newbies
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Post Post #1886 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:08 am

Post by Psyche »

but it seems to me like an artificial narrowing
could just as easily propose we pick 5 slots at random and vote between those and say it "narrows it down considerably"
unless you're that confident that all the scum voted the given away
You can't step in the same river twice.
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Post Post #1887 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:08 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 1884, Dannflor wrote:
In post 1880, Political Clout wrote: let's say I have this belief. That we should kill on the wagon. let's also say that people on the first hammered wagon are a lot of the same people on the second wagon today. and let's say that everyone is doing whatever they want. will a statistical proof or essay change anyones mind that we should for sure kill on the wagon since it is most probably that scum are on that wagon since it aligns with their win con and that we should reexamine our reads of the people on the wagons.

- love, light, and peace
PC
ok how about titus she matches those parameters
I want all 3 titus, dave, and hu tao. I think aristea might be town from their charade that or they're an oscar winning actor.
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Post Post #1888 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:09 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 1886, Psyche wrote: but it seems to me like an artificial narrowing
could just as easily propose we pick 5 slots at random and vote between those and say it "narrows it down considerably"
unless you're that confident that all the scum voted the given away
I'm confident because that's their wincon. to eliminate people. unless you're telling me you think all town was on the wagon.
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Post Post #1889 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:10 am

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is it charade or performance or rant? idk. whatever it was I was agreeing with everything they were saying. I vibe with it heavy.
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Post Post #1890 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:10 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 1886, Psyche wrote: but it seems to me like an artificial narrowing
could just as easily propose we pick 5 slots at random and vote between those and say it "narrows it down considerably"
unless you're that confident that all the scum voted the given away
i think it's somewhat reasonable to assume there are more scum on wagon since the night kill was someone off wagon

unless you're a vig truther
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Post Post #1891 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:11 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 1887, Political Clout wrote:
In post 1884, Dannflor wrote:
In post 1880, Political Clout wrote: let's say I have this belief. That we should kill on the wagon. let's also say that people on the first hammered wagon are a lot of the same people on the second wagon today. and let's say that everyone is doing whatever they want. will a statistical proof or essay change anyones mind that we should for sure kill on the wagon since it is most probably that scum are on that wagon since it aligns with their win con and that we should reexamine our reads of the people on the wagons.

- love, light, and peace
PC
ok how about titus she matches those parameters
I want all 3 titus, dave, and hu tao. I think aristea might be town from her charade that or she an oscar winning actor.
EBWODP
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Post Post #1892 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:11 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 1887, Political Clout wrote:
In post 1884, Dannflor wrote:
In post 1880, Political Clout wrote: let's say I have this belief. That we should kill on the wagon. let's also say that people on the first hammered wagon are a lot of the same people on the second wagon today. and let's say that everyone is doing whatever they want. will a statistical proof or essay change anyones mind that we should for sure kill on the wagon since it is most probably that scum are on that wagon since it aligns with their win con and that we should reexamine our reads of the people on the wagons.

- love, light, and peace
PC
ok how about titus she matches those parameters
I want all 3 titus, dave, and hu tao. I think aristea might be town from her charade that or she an oscar winning actor.
EBWODP
Ya basic!
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Post Post #1893 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:11 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 1887, Political Clout wrote: I want all 3 titus, dave, and hu tao.
I'd go for titus or dave
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Post Post #1894 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:11 am

Post by Political Clout »

I hate my computer.
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Post Post #1895 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:12 am

Post by Dannflor »

maybe [titus/dave/geraintm] is a more palatable solve
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Post Post #1896 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:12 am

Post by Political Clout »

where is gera he lurks day 1 don't tell me he lurks day 2 as well.
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Post Post #1897 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:14 am

Post by Dannflor »

geraint on d1: i like to get to night 1 so that the game can start properly :)

also geraint on d2: speculating later on might be useful, after only night 1 not so much :)
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Post Post #1898 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:14 am

Post by Dannflor »

In post 354, geraintm wrote: I was gung-ho, I admit it. But that is just me day 1. I don't enjoy day 1, I think it is random at best or tilted in favour of scum in all likelihood, and I just want to get through it as quickly as possible to get to night 1 so that the game can start properly.
In post 354, geraintm wrote: I was gung-ho, I admit it. But that is just me day 1. I don't enjoy day 1, I think it is random at best or tilted in favour of scum in all likelihood, and I just want to get through it as quickly as possible to get to night 1 so that the game can start properly.
like literally
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Post Post #1899 (ISO) » Sat Mar 02, 2024 11:14 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 1893, Dannflor wrote:
In post 1887, Political Clout wrote: I want all 3 titus, dave, and hu tao.
I'd go for titus or dave
VOTE: titus

I'm okay going from one to the next until we're satisfied.

my tinfoil hat theory is that klick town reading hu tao gets them killed for town equity hu receives today.
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