Mini Normal 2329: complex. [game over!]

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Post Post #3275 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:38 am

Post by Aristeia »

In post 3274, Hu Tao wrote:
In post 3271, Psyche wrote: if hutao is scum she definitely was planning the gist of her fakeclaim kind of early. ive gotta remember to do that next time im scum
If I was scum I'd have to bank on the fact that town didn't have a gunsmith. Which was likely with mafia doctor and vig.
everyone had already claimed by the time you claimed gunsmith
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Post Post #3276 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:39 am

Post by Psyche »

ok my hutao read is still pretty strong, but im acknowledging that it can be wrong.
this is on the level of strength as my NAS read and gera read near the end of yesterday -- uncertain but confident enough to blur the line.
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Post Post #3277 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:39 am

Post by Hu Tao »

In post 3273, Aristeia wrote:
In post 3269, Hu Tao wrote: Yes. I didn't need to claim it right away because I didn't want scum to know that I was PR to give them the false sense of security to claim a PR and I figured I'd be able to back up my pr softs pretty easily
yet when kay claims a PR you just claim yours fits in with hers
Yeah because once she said n2 I believed it since mine was n1. I actually assumed that there would be a n2 something. I thought it was vigilante at first since there was no vigilante kill n1
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Post Post #3278 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:40 am

Post by Aristeia »

In post 3277, Hu Tao wrote: Yeah because once she said n2 I believed it since mine was n1. I actually assumed that there would be a n2 something. I thought it was vigilante at first since there was no vigilante kill n1
eyeroll
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Post Post #3279 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:41 am

Post by Aristeia »

that's not how balancing a normal works
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Post Post #3280 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:43 am

Post by Aristeia »

UNVOTE:
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Post Post #3281 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:44 am

Post by Political Clout »

doesn't kjq seem a bit too informed or is that just me? like they were townreading dave when almost no one else was.
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Post Post #3282 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:46 am

Post by Political Clout »

we should look at mod's other games to see if there is this sort of n1 n2 pattern in other games and also for gera's claim that he didn't know that role even existed.
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Post Post #3283 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:47 am

Post by Psyche »

at least kay being scum would fulfill the rule of cool
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Post Post #3284 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:48 am

Post by Aristeia »

In post 3282, Political Clout wrote: we should look at mod's other games to see if there is this sort of n1 n2 pattern in other games and also for gera's claim that he didn't know that role even existed.
I'm p sure Datisi has never modded a mini normal with 5 TPRs [I don't count miller as a TPR]
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Post Post #3285 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:50 am

Post by Psyche »

In post 3274, Hu Tao wrote:
In post 3271, Psyche wrote: if hutao is scum she definitely was planning the gist of her fakeclaim kind of early. ive gotta remember to do that next time im scum
If I was scum I'd have to bank on the fact that town didn't have a gunsmith. Which was likely with mafia doctor and vig.
just seems wild to me that stuff like this can be asserted so confidently
either setup spec is a game breaking strategy or astrology
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Post Post #3286 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:51 am

Post by Aristeia »

til i am an astrologist
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Post Post #3287 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:51 am

Post by Political Clout »

In post 3284, Aristeia wrote:
In post 3282, Political Clout wrote: we should look at mod's other games to see if there is this sort of n1 n2 pattern in other games and also for gera's claim that he didn't know that role even existed.
I'm p sure Datisi has never modded a mini normal with 5 TPRs [I don't count miller as a TPR]
I think that's what is throwing me off I thought we all would just launch kay today because of the no two lims at night. but now hu tao and psyche are saying kay is for sure town idk how that is. if it's a three way tie between hu-kay-and yourself. let me look at datisis other games.
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Post Post #3288 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:52 am

Post by KayJayQueue »

In post 3281, Political Clout wrote: doesn't kjq seem a bit too informed or is that just me? like they were townreading dave when almost no one else was.
I gave a detailed response about my opinion on Dave in . Maybe no one else was townreading him at the time but I didn’t just pull that opinion out of my ass and not back it up.
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Post Post #3289 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:53 am

Post by Aristeia »

I guess I just think its really obvious that too many TPRs got claimed and this game is solved if people just bothered to look at how game balance works instead of whatever they are currently doing but I guess I might be biased because I know I'm town so I should be less mean about it and just take up astrology instead.
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Post Post #3290 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:53 am

Post by Psyche »

basically i screwed up by targetting titus last night by not fully understanding the extent to which commitment to my strategy is broken by scum choosing not to kill

ari's version where i say i will shoot titus but then don't had a higher EV
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Post Post #3291 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:55 am

Post by Aristeia »

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Post Post #3292 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:56 am

Post by Aristeia »

I am currently searching for a bluish green shirt
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Post Post #3293 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:56 am

Post by Psyche »

ari:

i think hutao's claimed role is weaker than it looks given the vig/mafia doctor thing. we can imagine a scenario where gera survives to LYLO bc she targetted him N1 for example and then died. or a scenario where I am mislimmed after she targets me.

here swing seems a bigger questionmark than power but i wonder how you're parsing this dynamic
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Post Post #3294 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:57 am

Post by KayJayQueue »

In post 3292, Aristeia wrote: I am currently searching for a bluish green shirt
just type in this color for the rest of the day
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Post Post #3295 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:58 am

Post by Aristeia »

In post 3293, Psyche wrote: here swing seems a bigger questionmark than power but i wonder how you're parsing this dynamic
I just don't believe Kay's role as claimed makes any sense because whether Kay's target is dead or alive is completely random as she has claimed and that seems like a very weird swing that is ???

I am extremely good at confbiasing myself on details like this and not being openminded about what could or can't be possible so I know I can be totally wrong about this.
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Post Post #3296 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:59 am

Post by Political Clout »

viewtopic.php?t=88709 5 prs in this game? I'm not sure if I would count backups?

from the 6 mini's only that one had 5?
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Post Post #3297 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 10:59 am

Post by Aristeia »

In post 3294, KayJayQueue wrote:
In post 3292, Aristeia wrote: I am currently searching for a bluish green shirt
just type in this color for the rest of the day
thanks it's so pretty I luv it
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Post Post #3298 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 11:00 am

Post by Aristeia »

In post 3296, Political Clout wrote: viewtopic.php?t=88709 5 prs in this game? I'm not sure if I would count backups?

from the 6 mini's only that one had 5?

the backup vig in that setup is basically like a "miller" for the gunsmith but doesnt know they're a miller
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Post Post #3299 (ISO) » Tue Mar 12, 2024 11:00 am

Post by Hu Tao »

In post 3281, Political Clout wrote: doesn't kjq seem a bit too informed or is that just me? like they were townreading dave when almost no one else was.
To be fair I was also townreading dave

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