sirdanilot wrote:The only flaw in my logic I can see myself is that mruck is an insane cop. There is little to nothing we can do to minimize the risk. We'll just have to take it I guess.
It feels unlikely because earned powers are supposed to reward the person for playing the game and gathering answers, right? I could see a person obtaining a negative role if they guessed too many wrong answers, but Master Ruck was aware of the point system so that's an unlikely way for him to have a negative power.
The rest of your logic looks right. DGB or GW has to be scum because you can't use a power and cheat on the same night, so either DGB didn't investigate Axel or GW didn't have his alert set off.
I think there's a possibility that DGB-scum could be trying to bus Axel when she gave her claim. Here is a theory I'm working on, feel free to tear it apart
Her reason for checking Axel sounded very empty. She said "no one stood out to her and that the mafia was doing a good job blending in", which goes against her post 415 where she wondered if Master Ruck and I were mutually bussing. Compiled with how I distracted the town with my misinterpretation of the game rules when we should have been pressuring Nat, there is no posted reason why DGB would investigate Axel over myself or Ruck.
Her forgetting to vote Axel in the same post she claimed, or the dozen or so posts after that, makes me think she wanted to distance from Axel enough to make him look town if she died.
If she tried to bus him and was successful then her power role would be the most valuable night kill target and questions might arise when she lived another day. But since Ruck claimed first and her wagon gained early momentum so she knew it was safer to distance Axel and let him kill Ruck tonight who would be the most valuable power role.
