Starbuck wrote: I definitely feel that the case on OMGL was very weak and it seemed like everyone else was just parroting off what Pablo or T-chan said. That being said, so far it just seems like a very easy/opportunistic lynch for the scum.
I'd also like to mention that DeathNote is at the typical scum third vote on the RayFrost/OMGL bandwagon.
By typical I assume you mean a trend...and a quick look of ten completed Mafia games that lynched a townie on day one shows 80% of the games only had one Scum vote on the lynch. None of the games I looked at (Road to Rome Newbie games: 835, 832, 831, 830, 825, 817, 816, 813, 808, 806) had no mafia on the lynch and the remaining 20% had both on the lynch. So significantly more often then not, when a townie goes first, there will only be one scum on the lynch.
Starbuck wrote:
On havingfitz
He stays very quiet. I know I'm just catching up, but I keep forgetting that he's in the game with how little he posts.
havingfitz wrote:Like I said before though...the only person close to getting a vote for me at the moment would be OMG and even then I would need to look over his posts again.
This bothers me because it seems like you are just following the crowd, and the fact that you would need to look over his posts again proves your uncertainty.
I didn’t get into the swing of the game until the 4th page. By then most or all of the points I found suspicious of OMG had been brought up already. If the ‘crowd’ has given what you (I) believe are valid suspicions...aren’t you (I) allowed to accept and act on those suspicions as well? Throughout the course of Day one, OMG was my main suspect but I hadn’t ruled anyone else out because as you have already pointed out...there were still two scum in the game at this point.
Starbuck wrote:I definitely don't agree with the lynch on OMGL as I said in my last analysis post. I definitely think it was driven by opportunistic scum. Knowing his alignment, it's very obvious that he was a frustrated townie, and the fact that the "experienced" players in this game didn't pick up on this bothers me greatly.
Knowing OMGs alignment as you now do it’s easy to disagree with his lynch.
Starbuck wrote:
On havingfitz
He takes a very opportunistic jump onto the OMGL wagon in
Post 141. I also don't like how he seems to go out of his way to analyze why he thinks that the person putting the 5th vote (or in this case the hammer vote on someone) would not increase his suspicions of them. And the fact that he mentions that his vote will get to a lynch quicker bothers me.
PaltryExcuse wrote:The timing of your vote, havingfitz, really is odd. The thing that scares me more is the fact that you're inviting us to vote out OMG and stating
no consequences or suspicions
from yourself. In that situation if someone threw on a 5th vote I would think them reckless and scummy. It reeks of a quicklynch now that we've waited for many days waiting for an OMG response.
This. QFT.
havingfitz wrote:1.) I’m an impatient person. If everyone was actively participating I would be in no hurry to end the first day.
Being impatient in a mafia game is a BAD thing. I know at the time of this post that OMGL hadn't posted in 5 days, but lynching someone who can't defend themselves is scummy.
havingfitz wrote:I don’t think two weeks into the game is a quicklynch…especially when OMG has been the scum focus of the game and has had votes on him for most of the game.
I agree two weeks is definitely not a quicklynch especially at the rate this game seemed to be going, but your entrance onto the wagon is definitely scummy.
How is an entrance onto a wagon scummy? Are you saying every L-1 vote is scummy (as apparently is an L-2 and a hammer vote)? How do you think people get lynched? As for all the other questions above... I have addressed them in full in post 148. I can cut and paste the entire post but to not make this post twice as long I would appreciate it if you would just read it, I can’t make those points any better than I did.
Starbuck wrote: What bothers me here is that you just admit to voting for him because he's the focus and has the most votes. You, more or less, make a small post about Mitey and then tunnel on OMGL for the rest of the day.
havingfitz wrote:OMG did defend himself and his weak defense is one of the things being held against him. Weren’t you the one who encouraged us to pile on the votes?
He's still new though, newer than yourself. It seems to me that quite a few people in this game aren't looking at that fact.
And this is a different negative how? I had two days of Mafia under my belt at this point in our game...OMG was my top suspect...for reasons identified by others....who were also suspicious of/voting him. I’m newer than you and you are using points brought up by others. For shame.
Starbuck wrote: havingfitz wrote:I agree that the L-1 and 5th votes are actions that warrant suspicion. I tried to preface my vote with my reasoning as best that I could. After re-reading my vote post before I submitted it...I could not consider a potential 5th vote after mine as suspicious without being a total hypocrite. Which I try not to do. I've had OMG as my main suspect since last week...as have others. I don't look forward to my main suspect being replaced. I gave my thoughts on it being a quicklynch above…I don’t think it would be one.
The contradictions in this post, and the contradictions with your previous posts with the post bother me. You agree that L-1 and hammer votes are actions that warrant suspicion, but then you contradict yourself and say that you can't consider the hammer after your L-1 vote to be suspicious.
You say you were suspicious of OMG since the week prior, but you basically parrot off of what everyone else says with your suspicion of him. I mentioned it in my first analysis and I'll mention it again. You definitely are following the crowd here.
You also repeat yourself quite a bit that you don't look forward to him being replaced. I get a very scummy feeling from this because you jumped on the wagon since he couldn't defend himself and you don't want a replacement to come in to defend themselves and possibly debunk your already weak case.
How am I following the crowd? What constitutes following the crowd? Being any vote past the second vote? Agreeing with points that have already been raised by other (that you think are valid)? Is a player only allowed to use suspicions that he or she uncovers themself? Are all persons who place an L-2->hammer vote certified scum? Anything I have failed to address so far I think is in post 148.
Starbuck wrote: havingfitz wrote:While a large part of my last few days posting has been based on a desire to move things along...it is also with the most likely scum candidate at the moment in mind and not having to deal with his replacement and the replacement's efforts to remove the scum stain left by OMG (which I would have a hard time accepting).
I definitely do not like the tone in this. OMGL really didn't leave such a huge stain of scumminess as you are painting here. The tunneling of OMGL is noted.
Once again...you have the hindsight of knowing OMG was town whereas I did not. I had other suspects...Pablo from 107 and MiteyMouse from 131...both posts of which were fairly soon after I got into the swing of the game. I had my main suspect but was not oblivious to other candidates. You can only lynch one person at a time so if going after your main suspect is tunnelling then I guess I was tunnelling. Are you tunnelling me?
Starbuck wrote:
On Tororingu-chan
T-chan wrote:Hmmm~~ I find it odd that havingfitz seems to think that OMGLyncher is guaranteed scum and would rather lynch him now rather than wait for a replacement~ >_<;
Yet at this point in time I would still prefer an OMGLyncher lynch.... havingfitz rushing into things only shows that havingfitz is impatient, not that he is scum... ^_^
Wow, what a contradiction here.
How can that only show that havingfitz is impatient? I definitely have pointed out quite a few scummy things with havingfitz and I'm rather bothered that you just dismiss that with a wave of your hand.
You seem awfully determined to indict me.
Starbuck wrote:
On Tororingu-chan
MiteyMouse wrote:See what I find funny about HF thinking that Ray/OMG is guaranteed Scum is that it smels of PIS (perfect infrmation syndrome). What I find funnier is that you point this out and then defend him T-Chan.
I'm very glad that Mitey pointed this out when it happened as it's exactly what I'm currently thinking.
As I have already stated (posts 151 and 159), I can not guarantee anyone is scum and nowhere do I mention OMG is guaranteed scum.
Starbuck wrote:
T-chan wrote:I noticed it, and it was odd, but at this point in time I don't consider him scummier than OMGLyncher~~ ^_^ So far, I'm willing to accept his explanation that he's just really impatient, since I can see how it's possible to be exasperated at the rate this game is (was) moving.. @_@;;
I don't like your willingness to accept that he's just impatient. You definitely are defending havingfitz. I also don't like that after MM pointed you out as defending havingfitz that you get all up in arms about it.
Once again...you are dismissing an opinion that goes against your suspicions. You have your mind set it looks like. As TC is a cop I guess she’s not defending me as a scum buddy. She must be expressing a genuine opinion with no ulterior motives.
Starbuck wrote:
On DeathNote
RayFrost wrote:DN - I put him here, but he's obv. scum. he's obviously the one manipulating events so I replace into games with him in them seriously though, no real read on him so far.
Ray, I hope you are reading along and I hope you are basking in the fact that you were right about DeathNote with your first sentence.
I mean, seriously, wtf. Why didn't you guys jump on DeathNote during Day 1? His very obvious scumminess is screaming at me.
That hindsight 20/20 is awfully clear. And how was Ray right? He said he had no real read.
Starbuck wrote:
On havingfitz
havingfitz wrote:I thought you learned your lesson in my last (& first...816) game. Always make your analysis post first. You did the same thing in that game...showed up way late Japan time...said you'd have a read and get back to us. Then you were lynched to end the game before you had a chance to speak.
I definitely do not care for this post. I mean seriously, someone can't check in to say hi before they do their analysis?
Seriously...can you take a joke? In my only other game up to that point, Ray had replaced in and was lynched before he had a chance to give any input. I was simply messing with him which he appears to have understood in his next post with a smile.
Starbuck wrote:
havingfitz wrote:MM...nowhere do I make any reference to OMG being guaranteed scum. He was #1 on my list last week...as he was for a few others...but my suspicions on him were not the only reasons for my vote on him (as I have explained in detail). Don't put words in my mouth to justify your attempt to shift negative sentiment my way. I would focus more on the content of your posts. For someone with as much experience as you and so willing to help the IC...your posts don't have a lot of meat to them.
Do you have any other reasons to suspect me besides your faulty accusation that I think OMG was guaranteed scum?
What about this:
havingfitz wrote:While a large part of my last few days posting has been based on a desire to move things along...it is also with the most likely scum candidate at the moment in mind and not having to deal with his replacement and the replacement's efforts to remove the scum stain left by OMG (which I would have a hard time accepting).
You say right there that you would have a hard time accepting a replacement's efforts to remove the scum stain, which to me (and obviously to MM) is you stating that you think he's guaranteed scum.
<knocking head on computer> OMG was my primary suspect. If people want to infer guaranteed scum from scum stain (which you are the only one doing that I am aware of) then I don’t know what to say. I used that choice of words
after
TC mentioned ‘guaranteed scum’...and in my interpretation, MM was adding on to TC’s mention of ‘guaranteed scum’...not my use of ‘scum stain’.
Starbuck wrote:
Pablo Molinero wrote:I think it's interesting that havingfitz immediately downgrades to a FoS after a real life person came along. Not only that, but the real-live person hasn't even posted a proper defense or response yet. Where did the gung-ho behavior go? What about keeping pressure on and making replacements answer for with their predecessor did? I'm fine where my vote is right now on havingfitz, who hasn't helped himself one bit with his recent actions, but I'd definitely like to see how Ray responds.
Pablo hits the nail on the head here.
How funny that havingfitz goes on and on how the hammer vote wouldn't be looked on as being suspicious by him, and he goes and hammers. And his reason now for his vote is that RayFrost hasn't done enough since he replaced in to change his mind.
What nail did Pablo hit? Please see my post 159 where I explain my FoS on Ray.
Starbuck wrote:
havingfitz wrote:I have low scum reads on all the people voting for RF while my top three suspects are sending their votes elsewhere. Seems like my odds (assuming my 'gut' is right) of hitting scum are decent.
Well, guess you are kinda wrong here with the fact that DeathNote was on the RayFrost/OMGL bandwagon.
Lots of people have been kind of wrong in this game. With the knowledge of my role...I can think of at least one other person who is kind of wrong. I stand by the quote above....it was in reference to the fact I did not think both scum would be on the lynch (which is supported by the findings I got when reviewing completed games). I assumed one would be on the lynch and one wouldn’t. The three who weren’t voting for OMG/Ray were Ray (my #1 suspect) Pablo (my #2 and TBD) and MM who turned up town.
Starbuck wrote:
On ABR
One thing I want to mention about ABR is that I've played with him before and although I see he was V/LA, his posts in general really didn't impress me especially knowing now that he was the doc.
What's funny about all this is that the maf took the shot at ABR, probably figuring that there was a Doc out there that could protect T-chan. But I don't think they anticipated that he was the doc.
With Almightybob’s vote on ABR prior to TC coming out...ABR was practically confirmed town (unless he was bussing) so a confirmed town was the logical move for the remaining scum to make. Luckily for scum they hit the doctor as well.
Starbuck wrote:
On havingfitz
havingfitz wrote:That sucked. Two of my top three suspects turn out to be town. Obviously any gut feel/intuition I've got needs re-adjusted.
havingfitz wrote:At least my odds of hitting scum have improved.
This just screams scumminess to me.
I can’t argue with an opinion. Even if I didn’t have the insight that your intuitions were wrong...I still wouldn’t know how to respond to this.
Starbuck wrote:
havingfitz wrote:I wasn't shying away...when the votes for OMG were getting fewer I was basically resigned to the fact he wasn't going anywhere (at least before a replacement was made) and once that replacement was made, it was only common courtesy to let the replacement have their say.
And when the replacement did have their say you placed the hammer vote because you didn't like what they said and they didn't do enough to change your mind, but you didn't state WHY or WHAT you didn't like.
Even Ray admitted hid defense of OMG’s actions was rambly and the best he could give. It was no defense. After Ray replaced in DN unvoted, Paltry voted, DN voted, ABR voted, and then I voted. I gave him more time than anyone to make a defense. He didn’t make a good one...TC brought up a good observation IMO about Ray thinking Roo was scummy for defending OMG (him)...that tipped the balance for my hammer vote.
Starbuck wrote:
I'm definitely not liking the case he makes on Pablo in
Post 246. He cuts out half of Pablo's Post 70 and only uses the part that makes himself look good. His entire statement about hypocrisy at all is null and void to me.
Have you read any of my posts? As I stated already...In my initial comments that Pablo is referring to I had referenced back to posts which people could have read unedited...then Paltry asked me this “@Fitz: If you could line up exactly what parts of Pablo's posts you see as hypocritical it would be much more clear for me.” Which is what I did.
Starbuck wrote:
1. You and Pablo were not the only ones focusing on OMGL. At that point, everyone in the game was focusing on him.
And your point is? If everyone else is focusing on OMG and I (we) do it...it counts against me?
Starbuck wrote:
2. Urging activity is part of being a good IC and being a mafia player in general.
But urging activity while being one of the most inactive members is not (ex Pablo)
Starbuck wrote:
3. I have said before that OMGL gave me the impression of a frustrated townie, but others do take lurking out of a game (depending on the actions of the person) as a scum tell. You also did this, so I don't understand your reasoning here.
I don’t understand your question.
Starbuck wrote:
4. Prompting to cast votes is also part of being a good IC. The best thing that townies have are their vote. The fact that you are jumping on him for asking people to use their vote bothers me.
He specifically called me out in the post where he encourages us to vote (see post 70). That’s one of the reasons I gained suspicion towards Pablo. I think when people encourage others to do something and then hold it against them...that is manipulating the game and scummy.
Starbuck wrote:
5. A lot of people dislike replacements, how is this in anyway related to the situation at hand?
I don’t like replacements...more so for people I think are suspicious....OMG was my main suspect and he was replaced. That’s how it’s related.
havingfitz wrote:Pablo, who doesn't like replacements and wants people to vote and be active, denounces my downgrading of my vote on RayFrost (which I have explained in detail was to allow him (RF) to state his case) and looks forward to seeing how Ray responds. ? Isn't this what I am trying to achieve as well? <=Hypocrisy>
In summary....Pablo has: urged us to be active, to pile on votes, stated his dislike of replacements, used OMG's lack of activity as a reason to suspect OMG, and been willing to hear OMGs replacement state his case and hypocritically, Pablo has been: the least active on the board, vehemently objected to my vote on his main suspect (OMG), and criticized my willingness (however reluctant it may have been) to allow OMG's replacement to have his say in the very same post where he (Pablo) announces he is looking forward to hearing OMG's replacement's response as well. And then Pablo disappears until Ray is gone.
Starbuck wrote:
1. To me, it seemed like you couldn't care what RayFrost said because he would never redeem the actions of OMGL to you, and you state this in the post where you hammer him. So what was the point of you unvoting in the first place?
Answered in posts 159 and 171
Starbuck wrote:
3. Where has he been the least active? If you are going to say this, I want to see numbers.
I made this point in post 246. At that point in the game Pablo was the least active (unless you treat Mafia_failure and OMG without their replacements which would not make sense...but even their replacements had out posted Pablo)...VRK posts not included either:
ABR 19
RayFrost 17
DeathNote 32
havingfitz 22
Mafia_failure + ABR 30
MiteyMouse 19
OMGLyncher + RayFrost 24
Pablo Molinero 15
PaltryExcuse 26
ronnieroo 17
Tororingu_chan 49
Starbuck wrote:
4. Why can't he object to your scummy jump onto the wagon? Whether or not it's the same person he suspects holds no water.
I voted because I suspected OMG. I felt Pablo was scummy for admonishing me for voting (the same person he was voting) when he had encouraged votes...and named me specifically.
I need a break before I see if more needs responded to.