Empking wrote:
It might be my bias but this looks like coaching to me. Any thoughts?
What, in all you have seen of me, gives you the idea that Shado would be coaching me? He wants me to act predictably and in a way he can read, I'll give you that.
I'm not voting for you, by the way, because you do not read 'scum' at the moment, you read 'null, with a side of crackers.' I don't vote for people who I really don't think are scum. You're the only person to do a real investigation into me, you're the only person trying to form a wagon, I might not LIKE how you're doing it, but you don't read scum and I don't vote people that I wouldn't be happy to see lynched. Your wagon is the best wagon, but I think they're all kinda fail, and want to see one go through on a better target. I'm no fan of the failwagon.
Substrike reads town to me. Shado... I'm trying to overcome enormous bias here, since I'm in
[REDACTED - ONGOING GAME]
and his behavior there was... Right now, I'd say townish, for Shado.
el simo wrote:GreyICE wrote:el simo wrote:So scum hunting is a dick measuring contest and lurker voting is pro town, have I got it right Grey?
So lurkers are pro town, is that about right el simo?
Nope lurking is a null tell.
LURKING IS NOT A NULL TELL.
Think about it. On average, Mafia is around 25% of the town. That means 1 in 4 posters are scum. Now go through past completed games, and find how many lurkers were scum. You'll find it's much, much more like 1 in 2. On day 1, for successful mafia, it's a lot, lot higher. Check out the mini normals, watch scum start contributing on days 3, on days 4, even on days 2. Watch the ones who post a ton on day 1 get fingered and die.
Why? Lurking gives you a host of benefits as scum. There's no time for scumslips. If you don't post anything, no one will find anything scummy that you posted. You don't have to commit to a wagon until you're sure it's going well, if people don't like your behavior you can slide by, and if the town is full of arguing personalities, you get overlooked. And in the early game, you have no control.
Late game, you've killed people. You've had pages to know how people think. Those who you are worried about are very likely dead. You can get more, and more, and more prolific.
LURKING, ESPECIALLY IN THE EARLY GAME, IS A SCUMTELL.
No, it's not a certain one. Not by any stretch. But 25% of early game lurkers are scum, the way a null tell statistic woud say? Not hardly. I'd say more like 1 in 3 or 1 in 2.