Battle for Olympus - Game Over!

[gandalf5166]

I'm saying that it would be more useful to scum than town. I AM NOT saying that any sane mod would ever give it to scum.

@chess: Sure. That's the lottery. But this game has 20 players and probably 6 or 7 scum, not 100 players and 5 scum.

[chesskid3]

BUT OH OHHOHOHOHOH ITS THE SAME PRBABILITY.

DIFFERNET PLAN
for $100 i'll tell you all 5 scum.
option 1:
the 5 scum are 9 13 16 17 18
you yell at me and demand your money back
the 5 scum are 3 6 9 12 19
you trust me long enought o lynch one, etc etc/

[gandalf5166]

And plus, that configuration is just as likely as the other. Now, if somebody, five minutes before the lotto numbers were revealed, was like "hey, I bet the numbers are XXXXX", and was right, then I would be suspicious. But no particulart configuration of numbers should make you suspicious.

PEDIT: What? I don't see the point in that post.

[chesskid3]

if the lotto numbers ever turn up 1 2 3 4 5 be very suspicious

if they ever turn up 9 13 43 15 39
you have no cause to be suspicious because that's not distinctive

[gandalf5166]

That's like saying you should be suspicious if they ever come up as the numbers you picked. THEYRE JUST AS LIKELY TO COME UP AS 1 2 3 4 5 AS THEY ARE 9 13 43 15 39

[Iecerint]

All combinations of lottery numbers are equally likely. You fail statistics forever. This is a waste of time.

If you REALLY want to worry about this, the question is whether you think Andy would deliberately subvert it or not. But even then it's not an oobaScumtell.

[chesskid3]

THATS NOT HOW BRAINS ARE WIRED

I'M NOT ARGUING STATISTICS EHRE
Im ARGUIGN HOW THE HUMAN BRAIN NOTICES PATTERNS JESUS FUCKING CHRIST IS NOBODY READING WHAT IM WRITING?

[gandalf5166]

THATS NOT HOW BRAINS ARE WIRED

I'M NOT ARGUING STATISTICS EHRE
Im ARGUIGN HOW THE HUMAN BRAIN NOTICES PATTERNS JESUS FUCKING CHRIST IS NOBODY READING WHAT IM WRITING?

GREAT

SO HE NOTICED IT

WHY THE FUCK WOULD HE THEN CHANGE HIS READS BASED ON IT?

[chesskid3]

BECAUSE THEY'RE WRONG AND IT SHOUDL HAVE BEEN FAIRLY OBVIOUS?

[gandalf5166]

BECAUSE THEY'RE WRONG AND IT SHOUDL HAVE BEEN FAIRLY OBVIOUS?

No? If I noticed that all my reads were next to each other on the playerlist, I might notice it. I would NOT then doubt the validity of my reads, much less decide that they were OBVIOUSLY WRONG and start over again.

[chesskid3]

and that's why they call you gandalf

[gandalf5166]

Now, if I was scum and I was MANUFACTURING a list, I might space out my reads as a natural part of the process.

[chesskid3]

kk my scumreads are players 1-5
townread 6-10
nullreads 11-20

im obvtown now bye

[Iecerint]

THATS NOT HOW BRAINS ARE WIRED

I'M NOT ARGUING STATISTICS EHRE
Im ARGUIGN HOW THE HUMAN BRAIN NOTICES PATTERNS JESUS FUCKING CHRIST IS NOBODY READING WHAT IM WRITING?

So why do you think the "scum" human brain is more likely to present 3 scums in a row?

You're pointing out something benignly odd and then (implicitly) claiming that it's the most important thing going on in this game.

[gandalf5166]

kk my scumreads are players 1-5
townread 6-10
nullreads 11-20

im obvtown now bye

Great. If those were my suspects then THE OTHER PLAYERS might doubt that. I wouldn't.

[gandalf5166]

Let's just ignore him and get to lynching. I would take the lead but I'm voteless today.

[chesskid3]

This originally started with ooba calling my reads "going for mislynches" and I pointed out how his sucked in response, and a bunch of people made a huge ordeal out of it.

My original point still stands. gandalf sans claim and chrono sans claim are scummy as fuck, and they're the only two players I have called scum who have flipped. I was correct on BS and S_B, and yet ooba attempts to paint me as this huge scummy MISLYNCH BRINGER FROM HELL

[chesskid3]

lololol gandalf voteless too now
seems to BALANCE THE DOUBLE VOTER FROM CHRONOPIE SCUMUBDDIES MUCH?

[gandalf5166]

lololol gandalf voteless too now
seems to BALANCE THE DOUBLE VOTER FROM CHRONOPIE SCUMUBDDIES MUCH?

Nope. Without my vote, the wagon yesterday wouldn't have had the most people. Try again. This is temporary, just for today. And there were benefits.

[chesskid3]

oh yeah benefits like forcelynching obvtown?

you're a fuckign dumbass if you're town, you know that?

[Iecerint]

I was correct on BS and S_B, and yet ooba attempts to paint me as this huge scummy MISLYNCH BRINGER FROM HELL

This much I agree with. I wish you'd voted AV with he and I yesterday, though, in light of your reported distaste for the lead wagons.

I know you were preferring Chrono/Chronos, but I dun even know why you would suspect LC other than PoE...

[Iecerint]

Chrono/Gandalf/AV all being scum together sounds too risky for D2.

[chesskid3]

LC's posting has had no townie motiviation iirc, and I place a lot of weight on that tell.

[Iecerint]

Re: LC, I think he's been the same way in Greek Mythology and the recently ended Follow The Cop...Or Not games.

[gandalf5166]

oh yeah benefits like forcelynching obvtown?

you're a fuckign dumbass if you're town, you know that?

Ad hominem. Just cause I made a mistake once doesn't mean you're town just because I'm attacking you.