This isn't the one I promised; that one's coming later. This one's just a bit of numbers.
There are 9 players left alive:
1.)Katsuki
2.)Vi
3.)Iecerint
4.)Gammagooey
5.)Drunken Unicorn Master (CSL/RC)
6.)mykonian
7.)Maxous
8.)RayFrost
9.)C-Worl
We have four flipped non-blue. One red, one green, one yellow, one black. The yellow and black are clearly third-party. The other two (red and green) appear to be scum groups. Wide consensus is that there are only 3 per scum team, and 2 third-parties. This fits perfectly well with THIS POST:
Drunken Unicorn Master wrote:AlmasterGM wrote:Alright, so here's the secret stuff I was talking about.
One of my passive abilities, called "intelligence," confirms that there are three anti-town factions in the game.
In other words, we're (almost certainly) dealing with two scumteams and a serial killer. I initially planned to hold on to this information in an attempt to catch someone in a lie (e.g., the serial killer fakeclaiming vig, or something). However, RedCoyote's flip negates that potential benefit and it's likely there will be two people dead tonight anyway, so I see no reason not to claim now.
As a side note, this information is why I was so adamant about trusting obvtownies to duel scum. It's multiscum, so even if we accidentally label scum town, they still have an incentive to honestly hunt and nail the other team in order to look obvtown.
Here's how we can use this information to our advantage: Scum already know that this is multiscum from the size of their teams. With 20 players I would guess 3 person scumteams ... possibly 4, but that's unlikely. 3/17 or 3/1/16 is unheard of - thus scum are automatically going to know the setup is 3/3/14 or 3/3/1/13. Thus, what we are looking for is people who already seem certain that it's multiscum. It's not a slam-dunk tell, of course, but I think it's definitely something.
More good info.
Somebody make up a list of who is who, factionwise. I would, but I just had a guest come over.
I'll be back later to check on your work (and correct you).
Nobody did what I asked. And now that I can do it, I'm going to.
So we know that Amrun, while scummy, was not "anti-town" by SpyreX's definition, because we know that AGM wasn't lying. Ergo, we have no more third-parties (or at least, anti-town ones). Having 4 per scum team and 2 third parties would mean 10 town and 10 non-town, and I don't think SpyreX would do that. Mod-WIFOM is a surprisingly handy tool, as well as being a mod and game reviewer yourself. AGM is one as well as I, and he came to the same conclusion that I did: Two three-man scum factions, vice being four-man. Ergo, we have killers on the loose and they are all likely aligned together.
The only caveat I can see to this is if the Lyncher is not actually considered an anti-town faction: i.e. what if their lynch target was scum? This would throw a wrench in things. And if Vi really IS a day-SK, then SpyreX would have either lied to AGM, OR SpyreX didn't consider the Lyncher to be strictly anti-town. Still, factoring this in is negligible.
Vi wanted town-cred for killing off RedCoyote. I honestly don't think Vi would kill off RedCoyote if they were scum together. Ergo, I can scratch Vi off being redscum. So according to the above, Vi is either greenscum or is third-party. I don't think playing outguess the mod at this point would be productive, therefore I'm going to put Vi down as greenscum (because she IS scum, no two ways about it. More on this later).
So here are our players again, with proposed alignments. Remember, there are two of each scum team left:
1.)Katsuki -
2.)Vi -
3.)Iecerint -
4.)Gammagooey -
- could be either town or last redscum.
5.)Drunken Unicorn Master (CSL/RC) -
6.)mykonian -
- could be either town or last redscum.
7.)Maxous -
8.)RayFrost -
9.)C-Worl -
If anyone has any reasons why this list is blatantly wrong, speak now. Provide reasons, preferably associative tells.
It's time to do
, and so now,
is what we're doing.
I'm sick of this town, its complete apathy, and its aversion to using associative tells to find scum.
It's time to make this sh*t happen, and if I have to do it all myself, I will.