Flash mafia 3 (town wins)

[mykonian]

Votecount

Llamarble (4): Fate, Farside22, populartajo, Porochaz
Parabollocks (1): Amrun

Not voting (8): DrippingGoofball, crypto, Regfan, a girl on the internet, Ythill, Ellibereth, Llamarble, Parabollocks

With 13 players, it's 7 to lynch

[Ythill]

Mod: please replace me. Sorry about the inconvenience.

[Llamarble]

Yikes.
'tis annoying when game mechanics give a townie the highest odds of being scum or a scum the lowest.
At least this is better than a copinnocent on a godfather since this isn't game ending but merely sucks.

I wouldn't have submitted the kill for my team because of:

Give a list on whom I'm thinking of roleblock?

If so:

Untrod, LlamaM, Regan (god damn itch), Fate (not trusting him) and throw in Girlonthenet because of a current game that I read someone as a VI and they flipped scum.

Anyway, this does mean that some kind of doc-protect is the most likely reason for kill failure.
Which means we can turn a doc + their target into masons.

But yeah if I were anybody other than me I'd be lynching me right now, so I guess I'll do a readthrough and give you my most important insights.
Bleh.

[crypto]

Crypto: Null leaning scum. Where did your suspicion of Parabollocks go, crypto? Also, what happened to turn your thoughts around on GW in post 420? All of a sudden he's not mafia in that post. Why? Not much changed about his posts in that time frame. And THEN you hammer him with no explanation. Please explain your evolving read on GW. Also why did you ask everyone's opinions on AGOTI without expressing your own?

GW felt town to me. I hammered him because the majority was bent on lynching him and I was getting fed up with the dragged-out day.

[DrippingGoofball]

Mod: please replace me. Sorry about the inconvenience.

NOooooooooooooooooooooooooooooOOOOooooooooooooooo!

[farside22]

Mod: please replace me. Sorry about the inconvenience.

wwwwwhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy????? Say it's not so.

sigh

[Amrun]

Crypto, that's only half of my GW question to you.

[crypto]

At the time that I said

GW felt town to me

,

GW felt town to me.

[Amrun]

Very transparent.

[Fate]

Crypto who in the fuck are you voting

[Ellibereth]

yeah ok hi there
I'll wait for your stuff llama.
amrun until then

Vote: amrun

HAIKU!!!

[Llamarble]

Stuff'll be tomorrow.
I am quite confident Amrun's town, actually.

Whoever doc is should breadcrumb their protect at some point 'cause I'mma flip town and if doc dies then doublesuck.

I am concerned about scumspiracy farside roleblocks town and nokills intentionally?
But Farside blocking me doesn't really make her any more likely to be scum.
Also scum nokilling means they require an extra mislynch anyway because oddeven so that gambit doesn't actually do anything.

[Fate]

STALLL MOAR SCUM

TELL US YOUR BUDDIES AS YOU G DOWN KTHX

[Llamarble]

^ INSINCERE-SOUNDING
Haha day started like 1 day ago.
And I'll do my best to tell you who all the townies are, but I'm guessing you know more about that than I.

[DrippingGoofball]

Llamarble sounds honest...

[farside22]

Whoever doc is should breadcrumb their protect at some point 'cause I'mma flip town and if doc dies then doublesuck.
.

You want the doc to breadcrumb so the scum can narrow down their kills for the night.

If your town, the scum know there is a doctor and will look for a breadcrumb. If your scum I take this post as you trying to help the scum team so they can kill the doc.

[Regfan]

Getting to this in the morning, was busy handing my resume in to multiple places throughout the whole of today, exhausted as fuck.

[Fate]

Is this all just a dream?

[farside22]

@Llama: Do you think anyone I had on my list is scum?

[crypto]

@Fate

, probably Llamarble.

[Llamarble]

Llamarble sounds honest...

That's cause I am!
But whereas most people have odds ~3/12 of being scum (from a townie's perspective, I have odds around 3/12 * (1/3 + 1/12) / 2/12 = ~60%.
P(me scum | nokill) = P(me scum) * P(nokill | me scum) / P(nokill)
I didn't do that very precisely, but the point is you'd have to be sufficiently confident in your townread of me to ignore that I'm objectively something like twice as likely to be scum as everyone else. And I don't think anybody thinks I'm bad enough at being scum that they'd be able to justify lynching somebody else.

But yeah I'mma do my reread now.

[Fate]

STALL MODE CONTINUES

[Llamarble]

FIRST PASS:
AGOTI - SCUM WITH FATE/TAJO
AMRUN - WEAKTOWN

GW felt town to me. I hammered him because the majority was bent on lynching him and I was getting fed up with the dragged-out day.

CRYPTO - HAVEN'T SEEN TOWN DO ^. HAVE DONE ^ AS SCUM MYSELF. OTHERWISE NOT TOO BAD. BLORG.
DGB - PROBTOWN
ELLI - TOWN
FARSIDE - TOWN. ME FLIPPING TOWN DOES NOT ACTUALLY MAKE HER SCUM LIKE IT WOULD IF SHE WERE A COP WHO CLAIMED A GUILTY.
PARABOLLOCKS - PROBTOWN
TAJO - WEAKSCUM
PROZAC-WEAKTOWN
REGFAN - SCUMMMMMMMM
YTHILL- NOT 9000000% OBVTOWN BUT STILL PROBABLY TOWN.

VOTE: REGFAN

So my first guess is Regfan + Agoti + Tajo?
I will iterate again later tonight or tomorrow and make cases etc.

[Llamarble]

Huh, Fate got dropped.
I had written
FATE - TOWN (HA)

[farside22]

Reason's why you think players are X is more believable.