Open 325: Paris Mafia III - Game Over

[Maruchan]

I'm not pretending to be dick.

I'm town who walked into the game and all of a sudden got blindsided due to RVS/lulz antics and hasn't had a chance to breathe since.

Then when the case falls to shit I'm having meta thrown back in my face.

This is EXACTLY what happened in Scarlet Monastery ALL OVER AGAIN.

Hey man, now you know how I feel.

[Wickedestjr]

Votecount 1.6:

kondi2424 - [3] - Hoppster, whispersilk, Empking

Maruchan - [2] - milkshake, kanyeknowbest
Empking - [2] - Maruchan, scooby
Hoppster - [1] - kondi2424
kanyeknowsbest - [1] - xRECKONERx
xRECKONERx - [1] - racerman13

Not Voting - [1] - hahonryuu

The lynch candidate in

red

text is the player that would be lynched if deadline hit right now.

With 11 alive, it takes 6 to lynch or 6 to no-lynch.

Deadline: (expired on 2011-09-02 12:55:58)

[Maruchan]

Or a mime pretending to be scum pretending to be a mime.

I N C E P T I O N

best movie ever and I loled

[Empking]

I don't see it going further than than the three part thing.

This is really annoying. We've got two scum/jester 100% but we can't lynch them!

[Empking]

No lynch?

[Maruchan]

where did the 100% come from?

[Empking]

where did the 100% come from?

My mind.

[kondi2424]

WHO CAME IN HERE AND MADE THIS A MARATHON GAME

[Empking]

Hoppster: Willing to no lynch?

[Maruchan]

WHO CAME IN HERE AND MADE THIS A MARATHON GAME

-raises my hand-

My bad sorry.

I feel that if you haven't reached page 10 within 24 hours, your going too slow.

[xRECKONERx]

No lynch?

Please do the maths on that for me because I'm starting to think giving our vig a list of potential candidates and then no lynching may end up being more beneficial to us as a town until the mimes are dead.

[kondi2424]

Meh. No lynching may be a good idea until at least one scum/the mimes are dead.

VOTE: No lynch

[Empking]

No lynch?

Please do the maths on that for me because I'm starting to think giving our vig a list of potential candidates and then no lynching may end up being more beneficial to us as a town until the mimes are dead.

I'm not thinking in generic terms but in this exact circumstance its the right thing today. Maru and you being boyth the scum wouldn't shock me yet you're practically unlynchable!

[xRECKONERx]

N1 chances

Scum have a 28% chance of offing the mimes N1 (2 mimes in 9 possible shots). Scum have a 28% chance of hitting a town PR (2 PRs in 9 possible shots).
The vigilante has a 40% chance of offing some form of scum N1 (2 mimes, 2 mafia, 6 other players). The vigilante has a 10% chance of hitting the watcher (1 PR in 10 possible shots).

I like our chances with the vigilante, but I *don't* like our chances with the scum hitting one of our PRs.

However, scum have a 14% chance of hitting the vigilante N1 and we won't get another shot. No lynching might be the way to go.

[Maruchan]

I think it is actually beneficial for town to LYNCH until they have lynched one mime, as 1 mime does not make the mimes win. At which point they should start vig shooting.

Remember, scum can kill mimes too.

[xRECKONERx]

That's actually what happened in Paris Mafia II. We lynched a mime D1, then the scum hit the other one N2.

[Maruchan]

N1 chances

Scum have a 28% chance of offing the mimes N1 (2 mimes in 9 possible shots). Scum have a 28% chance of hitting a town PR (2 PRs in 9 possible shots).
The vigilante has a 40% chance of offing some form of scum N1 (2 mimes, 2 mafia, 6 other players). The vigilante has a 10% chance of hitting the watcher (1 PR in 10 possible shots).

I like our chances with the vigilante, but I *don't* like our chances with the scum hitting one of our PRs.

However, scum have a 14% chance of hitting the vigilante N1 and we won't get another shot. No lynching might be the way to go.

lynching and vig shotting if the lynch flips scum/mime

[xRECKONERx]

Yeah okay.

[Empking]

N1 chances

Scum have a

22%

chance of offing the mimes N1 (2 mimes in 9 possible shots). Scum have a

22

% chance of hitting a town PR (2 PRs in 9 possible shots).
The vigilante has a 40% chance of offing some form of scum N1 (2 mimes, 2 mafia, 6 other players). The vigilante has a 10% chance of hitting the watcher (1 PR in 10 possible shots).

I like our chances with the vigilante, but I *don't* like our chances with the scum hitting one of our PRs.

However, scum have a 14% chance of hitting the vigilante N1 and we won't get another shot. No lynching might be the way to go.

[Maruchan]

VOTES FOR WHAT TO DO

Lynch & Vig ONLY of lynch hits non-town: (2) Maruchan, Reckoner
Lynch and DON'T VIG: (0)
NO LYNCH, and VIG: (0)
NO LYNCH and DONT VIG: (0)

[kondi2424]

I vote either no lynch and vig or lynch and vig. But vig no matter what.

[Empking]

I've just realized what Reck agreed to. I really think he's scum.

I'm for No Lynch and Vig, btw.

[kanyeknowsbest]

you seem to be missing lynch and vig regardless of flip from your list. vig should be vigging every night no matter what. but yes, i agree, no lynch should not be considered until we hit the first mime.

[Maruchan]

VOTES FOR WHAT TO DO

Lynch & Vig ONLY of lynch hits non-town: (2) Maruchan, Reckoner
Lynch and DON'T VIG: (0)
Lynch and Vig REGARDLESS of flip: (.5) kondi/2, kanye
NO LYNCH, and VIG: (1.5) kondi/2, empking
NO LYNCH and DONT VIG: (0)

[Maruchan]

the third option should be at 1.5, not .5