Regarding xReckonerx: It will be fantastically easy to reconsider him day 2 or whenver there aren't any mimes. All we need to do is vig a mime tonight (not hard as far as I'm concerned), then we can proceed totally free of mimes and wifomyness. It will be much better.
I don't buy Maru mime- do people pull the "I'm depressed with forum mafia and I want to die" routine when they don't mean it? Especially since it doesn't of itself invite lynching. I honestly am now changing my mind: I think it might be genuine and Maru could be town.
---
Here's one way to look at the logic for nolynching, this time under the assumption that racerman13 is a mime:
There's lynch/mafiakill/mimesdie which takes us to 7p, then lynch/mafiakill/vig down to 4p. 4p is pretty awkward, and getting to 5p by skipping a kill (novig or nolynch) won't help. In 4p we only get one more town directed kill (in 3p the next day after nolynching), in 5p we've just delayed our kill a little bit for a slight benefit. That's
4
towndirected kills.
The no lynch alternative is nolynch/mafiakill/mimes die down to 8p, then lynch/mafiakill/vig to 5p, then lynch/mafiakill to 3p, then lynch.
Important:
This option is much better! It is also
4
town directed kills but they happen
later
with fewer targets. (Fewer targets as everyone knows means a better chance of hitting mafia.)
RB and Watcher can of course come in to play but by and large they cannot change this skeleton assessment.
So: nolynching is QUITE good if we can get the mimes to die, which I believe we can.
I know I previously said that we shouldn't consider nolynching until we've already lynched one mime- that was incorrect because I did not realize we were not giving up a kill by nolynching. Combined with my newfound doubts about Maruchan, this means
unvote, vote: nolynch
.
(By the way you guys were looking at the night actions and stuff and those assessments seem good too.)
