Looking for 2 FLF (lynched Umbrage and MistBeauty)
Looking for 1 DFSB (possibly nightkilled MedicatedLain)
Untrod Tripod--probably not DFSB, because he put the nail in Umbrage's coffin
Probably FLF:
Porochaz--probably not DFSB--wanted Umbrage dead D1 and D2, like Lain, stayed on him all day.
Internet Stranger--less likely DFSB, likely FLF
Possible FLF:
elvis_knits--less likely DFSB, as she CLAIMED being a Dave and had a slapfight with Umbrage. She DID protect Umbrage until Sept 8th but meh. For her to be FLF probably requires that she botched a fakeclaim
Who knows:
scooby--Mississippi Gary, probably not DFSB, wanted Umbrage dead early D2. Sounds townish in his repeated, strident defense of IS. That play would be so risky as scumpartners, and doesn't sound like cross-faction scum sniffing at IS. But gave a terrible reason why IS is town ("MB vote on IS doesnt look like a bus") and made the possible scumslip: "How am I attacking IS if he is by far one of my scum reads?"
evilpacman18 Mysterio--the Cops, has a mildly townish tone despite not really giving the game any effort.
Probably town:
ZeekLTK imaginality--did not want vollkan hammered, is probably about to confirm Baltar as town (beware possible Zeek-Baltar scumteam in that event)
VP Baltar--probably not DFSB, because he put the nail in Umbrage's coffin, probably about to be "confirmed town" by Zeek
Lord Gurgi--the spectacularly gay Paul Bellini, Role Doubler, sounds like a town role.
MrBuddyLee--white as the driven snow
Lain posted this early D2:
Umbrage - I will make a more complete post on this later.... But yesterday's play felt so terrible, especially with the swinging on and off ideas about pops, no clear idea of what to do... felt very scummy. Today's pushing for more information on the omelettes in particular, has just thrown my scumdar through the roof.
Looks like scum with a night result on Umbrage. Stayed on Umbrage all D2. Note to self: look for other players overly sure about Umbrage all day D2.
She also posted:
porochaz - well, for now poro is leaning town, with the heavy case against umbrage, but sometimes the posts give me a funny feeling.
Which feels like scum trying to have it both ways on a scumpartner.
She also posted of imaginality/Mysterio:
His list of scum reads and town reads were completely opposite mine
which doesn't really sound to me like the kind of case scum makes on a scumpartner. I could be wrong.
Lain said one death is Gavin-flavored, and probably the "serial killer" kills:
Two deaths one night, One death night two. I did some thinking about this. Gavin flavored death both nights, no flavor for one kill on night one. Unless we have a heavy amount of protecting/blocking roles, it seems unlikely that we have any more than two anti town killing parties. The fact that one is Gavin flavored, leads me to believe that he is a serial killer. Assuming this is correct, then we have one scum team, and one serial killer.
Is her FLF responsible for the Gavin "serial killer" kills?
Lain uses me as an excuse to vote vollkan over IS:
Main reason I chose vollkan over IS: MBL already made the point in #824.
She further justifies:
IS seems unlikely as a scummate to umbrage, and the play style doesn't ring serial killer, and there is logic in what he says... so it just doesn't seem likely...
Lain probably not partners with EK:
I thought EK was super town earlier, but today, she is so fixated on IS, and it came after attacking vollkan once (#804/806)... it seemed so sudden, to change opinion
Sounds like scum thinking EK is DFSB with some kind of result on FLF IS.
Lain on MB:
I had a strong scum suspicion that she was trying to steer me away from (N3), and suggested another kill.
Lurconis is who I wanted to kill last night, whom she would not agree to kill. Yet now she is voting him.
Lurconis was totally the FLF kill last night.
IS's passion for killing Dave Foleys regardless of the illogical Elvis Daveclaim, plus Lain's protection of IS, makes IS a likely candidate for FLF.
IS tried to paint DGB as dirty for her buddying to Porochaz:
You completely ignored my very awesome points of your buddying to Mr White Knight, Poro.
Poro on IS:
Poro, Sept 21 wrote:Well personally, I feel despite the DGB/IS/Elvis triangle, all three are major assets to town.
Poro, Oct 3 wrote:I would much rather lynch IS or Zeek here.
No comment on IS in between.
I'm not 100% sold on the Poro-IS connection but this is the best I can do right now. Need to think more about how the nightkills and lack of certain nightkills factor into the picture.
Poro vs Umbrage, looks... either silly and fake or egotastic
