Patrick wrote:Skruffs/Ripley requires me to believe that all their arguments are staged, and that scum no killed on night 1 for some reason.
Surely we
know
that scum tried to nightkill? Skruffs pointed this out in post 343, following the mod's announcement that he would not go to night in the event of a wrong lynch today:
Skruffs wrote:The only way that the scum will know with 100% accuracy that they will block or kill the doctor is if they targetted two people last night.
If they had targetted the same person with both actions (which doesn't even really make sense) than there would be three people left 'unchecked' and they could max have a 66% cvhance of blocking or killing the doctor.
Since we know that the scum definitely know that the doctor is one of two people, we know that they definitely targetted two people last night.
Incidentally, this is the reason for my change of stance regarding the possiblity of a no-kill (listed by The Fonz as one of his reasons to suspect me). I was really concerned about it at the start of the day. Being prone to paranoia, my initial reaction of "Yay, I got it right" was very quickly replaced by "Or maybe that's what they
want
me to think..." It seemed possible that scum, especially if they thought one of themselves to be a likely protection target, might no kill. We'd still be close to lylo (only a successful doc save night 2 would save us if we lynched wrong Day 2).
But Skruffs' logic quoted above seemed impeccable, so at that point I dropped the idea altogether and viewed Patrick as cleared.