ON PREVIEW: Apparently I'm incapable of SHORT Wall O Words. Figures.
So far:
I've seen ABR do some really...
bizarre
posts. And a weird claim. However, some assumptions re: his role have been made that are incorrect, and I think they're important. The numbers emphasize this, hence the number-running. To organize it, I'm gonna start out stating the obvious, and listing my assumptions needed to make the argument.This is basically compiling numbers that have been tossed around already, by the way, in one handy post. It is also nothing but Worst Case: that in a situation where either a townie or scum could be killed, the townie will be selected.
THE OBVIOUS:
We currently have 12 players.
THE ASSUMPTION:
1) We have 3 Mafia, since to have more would overbalance the game in favor of scum.
2) ABR is telling the truth and he's pro-town, will take out the hammah and one person of his choosing that night.
Starting with a Town:Mafia Ratio of 9:3 right now.
Should we lynch ABR today, that would bring us down to 8:3, minus the hammah and the Poster Of His Choosing.
If both of them are town, that already gets us to 6:3, with a single Mafia NK of a townie, means we start Day 2 at 5:3, which puts us in LYLO.
(Granted, if ABR selects well, or the mafia have a sudden Attack Of the Stupids, and therefore one hammers, or both, then we're doing much better, but this is Worst Case.)
OK, let's say we wait till tomorrow to lynch him, then.
We lynch someone --oops, it was a townie because this is Worst Case -- and we start the Night at 8:3.
Mafia NK; we start Day 2 at 7:3.
Lynch ABR, he takes out the hammering townie and chooses poorly for his NK target. 4:3. Still in LYLO, but LYLO is now Day 3.
Or...we
don't lynch him at all
- or at least, not until we can decide for ourselves that he's lying through his keyboard. I've noticed references being made to "ABR's kill tonight" and that he's not a good player to have survive. Why not? IF
he is who he says he is, a Protown Psychopath, his only
Power Ability is to take out the hammervote and a ONE SHOT nightkill.I give you ABR's own words:
For the sake of argument, for the sake of assumption,The mod, while conserving the name of the role, Psychopath, has made some interesting little changes. No longer does the first person voting, in this situation Deathsauce, dies. Instead, it is the person who hammers. I'm also aone-shot killing rolecapable of killing the night after I die.
if he's telling the truth
, he doesn't have any NK abilities until after he is lynched
. And that NK only
happens IF HE IS LYNCHED. Not if he's NKed. Not if he's Vigged. So if he's telling the truth, he's just like every other townie, except he's got a wicked
Vengeance ability. What's the harm in letting a claimed townie last another day? I'm not saying to blithely trust every town claim that comes down the pike, I'm just saying that lynching him at all
at this point seems to be kind of self-defeating.I suspect the Mafia have figured that out. Perhaps they're the ones calling for his head, hoping that town will follow. Perhaps not. All I'm saying is, he's not nearly as powerful as some are portraying him, and either they've misunderstood his role, or they're deliberately trying to get town to off a known-to-them townie.
Mod edit
Votecount:
Albert B. Rampage 2 (Paradoxombie, ryan)
Poison Ivy 2 (StallingChamp, Miztef)
Paradoxombie 1 (vollkan)
StallingChamp 1 (Poison Ivy)
ryan 1 (Albert B. Rampage)
Not voting 5: DogMom, Tophat, VanDamien, Hurrikaty, DeathSauce
With 12 alive it takes 7 votes to lynch.
Votecount:
Albert B. Rampage 2 (Paradoxombie, ryan)
Poison Ivy 2 (StallingChamp, Miztef)
Paradoxombie 1 (vollkan)
StallingChamp 1 (Poison Ivy)
ryan 1 (Albert B. Rampage)
Not voting 5: DogMom, Tophat, VanDamien, Hurrikaty, DeathSauce
With 12 alive it takes 7 votes to lynch.
