So back from V/LA.
This section is devoted to Almost.
The biggest concern I have is that your “3 scum are alive” panic position is that you think the three scum are Shadow – kraska – farside. I think you specifically have avoided acknowledging my position on farside so I will restate it.
There is no real way that farside is a 3rd party who can join scum with the powers that have been proven in thread. Her ability to mass vote (up to half the needed lynch threshold) if it were to be combined with Skybird’s Double Vote and DGB’s ability to effectively Double Vote would be so powerful that Town basically could not compete. Hell – at a lynch threshold of 8 votes to lynch (15 or 14 alive) it would allow all three to strongarm a lynch. 3 players only needed to get a lynch with 14 to 15 alive? That’s a ludicrous amount of vote power in the hands of scum. Makes much more sense as a balance for scum’s voting powers or as a survival ability for a 3rd party.
Furthermore the only player who makes sense as a Leftover who could join with scum (thus making 7 total scum) is Lapis. And farside isn’t Lapis .. that much I’m sure of. I’ve parsed out who Lapis is.
So all of your plans are predicated on a 3 person team that doesn’t stand up to scrutiny.
In post 11316, Almost50 wrote:I'd like to emphasize on this statement. Scum!TFL could NOT have shot anyone last night because of the ongoing event. I would lynch him over conf.Scum!Shadow at this point (and I DO have a reason for it too).
Since this has been proven wrong it looks very much like desperation …
In post 11316, Almost50 wrote:So, while Shadow IS confirmed Scum, TFL will have a GUARANTEED SHOT tonight. (Note that the event's effect ends by today's Exposition, so the Scum kill is not prevented by it anymore on the Climax, while the effect from the alliance with me guarantees the shot WILL go through).
Any worries about TFL having a shot tonight stem from TFL as scum. I have yet to see anything that in my mind solidifies that nearly enough to consider not lynching claimed scum.
In post 11318, Almost50 wrote:I beg to differ here. Otherwise, what was the point from activating that event (I trust either you or MOI activated it, and I trust it was for an elaborate reason).
What elaborate reason do you think needs to exist for me (it was me, btw) to activate an event that blocks the Mafia kill and prevents them from triggering events until Climax tonight?
BTW – I disagree with the conclusion of
11339 pretty strongly. Given how mechanically complex this game is to decide outright that “This means he’s not reading and is scum” is such a leap I am having a hard time seeing why you think that. I don’t believe for a second your Alliance ability as mentioned has to mean what you think it means and furthermore that no other abilities in the game could counter it.
Also don’t see any reason for your certainty in
11341 that there are three scum alive.
Why are you assuming that I (and Random), the player who controls that ability, doesn’t know more about how it works than you? Because you don’t and every part of your posting that is pinned to the fact you do is suspect to me.
In post 11367, Almost50 wrote:Contradictions contradictions. Scum caught are being desperate to the limit, bu the town is so adamant to throw away a game we already have in hand.
This ranges into an Appeal to Fear given that Town by definition isn’t trying to throw away the game by lynching someone you admit is scum …
Finally I find it suspect that Almost appears to have dodged answering my question in
11373.
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My position is that worst case farside is 3rd party who has a completely independent wincon from scum. And as long as we keep the Mafia’s numbers low she can’t decide to throw in with them for fear of being turbo lynched the next day. I don’t see the point of actively fueling her point totals (which was your plan yesterday IIRC) when you fear that she could win the whole things ala whatever game it was where a 3rd party player did such.
Yeah, our PT mentions that. I don’t think it is really relevant to my reads as such.
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"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.
