ortolan wrote:PIP (1584) wrote:... I don't see any of these players saying that I can't be God because I posted a good analysis. Both Tajo and Al were against my lynch before I replaced in. Pacman also hated the zwet case. Also, the cults don't really need to be rallied. The cults can just follow their leaders/fellow cultists at this point.
The fact they've been defending you all along doesn't counter the possibility that you are God and they are cult at all- they would presumably have found an excuse for defending/not voting you regardless.
Oh no, I wasn't saying that they couldn't be cultists, I was pointing out that the reason why they didn't "consider that I could be God", in your own words, is that they didn't consider the case against me that good in the first place. It wasn't that they didn't feel that I could possibly be god, they just didn't consider it probable when it replaced in, and they didn't consider it anymore probable after my analysis post. That's my take.
ortolan wrote:PIP (1585) wrote:Meh, I'd missed that he replaced into the game before the day ended. However, you continue to assume that the lack of God kill is a result of stupidity, rather than simply missing that Neitzche claimed God. Isn't it possible that alvinz simply wasn't aware of this fact?
I consider missing the claim to qualify as stupidity in this setup,
Possibly, but I think a quite possible explanation is apathy. As God, you don't need to find the CLs, nor God, which is the main debate throughout the thread. You can rely on your cultist friends to locate Neitzche. As a result, God will quite possibly become apathetic about the game, as a result of the fact that you know the identity of all the roles that are being discussed. As a result, it's quite possible that instead of being alert, and looking very carefully for Neitzche, you would lurk and be apathetic to the game as a whole. This would keep you under the radar until it's too late for the agnostics to fight back, and since you know who you don't want to be lynched (You, and later on, CLs), apathy is a definate possibillity.
ortolan wrote:PIP (1585) wrote:Due to the difficulty of proving a negative, and the fact that as a replacement I can not provide explanations for the actions of my predecessor with absolute certainty, that is the worst reason to suspect somebody, especially at lylo.
SP said the same thing and this is very misleading- it is clearly not the only reason I suspect you of being God.
I did not state that that was the only reason you were voting me, and if it was, I certainly wouldn't have responded to the rest of your post. However the fact that you seemed to include that as a criticism makes it worthy of refutation. Here is your post with it's full context-
ortolan wrote:
I admit I like PIP's analysis in 1543 and I had _exactly_ the same thoughts on DGB: I found her obvious cult-claims almost godlike but this is tempered by knowing she's way, way, way too intelligent not to have killed Jebus for the win, even if she's crazy enough to want to stay in the game despite being able to win instantly.
PIP (1543) wrote:Then Alvinz posts a couple one-liners, jumps onto my wagon, and shows rather obviously (IMO) feigned ignorance about the mechanics of the game ("There's a cult for every god?").
Bear in mind we're dealing with a God who failed to claim the free win. If he's God then I doubt this ignorance would be feigned.
You also haven't told us why you yourself aren't God PIP
PIP (1566) wrote:1. You claim that AA is ignorant of his powers.
2. You claim that AA knows that he wants Jebus to be killed.
3. There has been a Godkill each night.
For all we know the mod could randomise it.
DGB's response to PIP, to pretend he is recruitable, as is DGB's interaction with tajo and tajo's suggestions PIP is obvtown.
I would like a PIP lynch very, very, very much
ortolan wrote:PIP (1585) wrote:That is a possiblity, sure. Examining LG's mod meta, he never makes clear whether or not in such a circumstance he would randomize the kill or have there be no kill. (Although he always says YOU, as in the player, will submit the kill. He never states that there will be a kill if not submitted, which seems like something he would bring up if it was the case.) It seems to vary from mod to mod, but I find in my personal epxerience that there being no kill is more common.
In fact, it would be more convenient. As Gurgi would not only have to remove the CLs in the case of God not killing, it would be extremely unlikely that he would have the opposite policy for CLs and God. Therefore, since he was having to randomize the God kills, he would most likely also randomize the cultings. This would not only mean removing God, and members of the cult, it would also mean removing the CLs from the opposing cults from the randomizing process. Extremely inconvenient, to be sure.
And the kill itself- I find it rather unlikely that a randomized kill would just HAPPEN to hit Adel, one of the most talkative and persuasive players in the game at the moment. That looks so much more like an intentional kill to me that it's insane.
Now, this argument is far from definitive. COULD the kills be randomized? Sure. COULD the kill and cult selection utilize different methods if they fail? Sure. I find the latter relatively unlikely, just due to how overcomplicated the system would become. This is all based on how likely we find the modding method, and is therefore useless discussion in nature, since we are not the Mod. I personally find, as a result of the reasons I listed, the method that a kill isn't made more probable. If you don't, then you will not find the argument particularly persuasive. It all depends on information that can not be obtained by the town.
I'm pretty much happy to accept all of this. Which means we're back to God being a moron rather than a lurker not playing properly.
Or an apathetic lurker. Or a lurker that, in one way or another, missed that Jebus had claimed Neitzche. This is especially possible as there was only one kill yesterday. Although I don't think either of them are god, both HP [leaves] and pacman are a perfect examples of this.
hp [leaves] wrote:hp [leaves] wrote:pacman281292 wrote:My internet failed, and I'm having an horrific V/LA (worsened due to huge amounts of homework).
So... is Jebus nietsche or no?
No, he's a cult leader (probably islamic). The real Nietsche must have figured out he was one and killed Jahudo, his first suspect for God.
Or Jebus is totally God.
Vote Jebus
Come on guys, we need him to full claim.
ortolan wrote:PIP (1585) wrote:
Why in the world would cultists distance from, much less buddy up to, God on what amounts to lylo? That is utterly illogical. I also notice a curious pattern in some of your accusations, but more on that later.
They cannot be "distancing from" and "buddying up to" simultaneously.
... That's not what I meant. In my post, I was saying that in your hypothesis, DGB would be "distancing", and tajo would be buddying up, since you find tajo suspect as well, due to his connection with DGB.
ortolan wrote:DGB is actually doing neither. She is joking about your win con changing, which implies firstly that you are agnostic presently and secondly that she wants to recruit you. Two layers of WIFOM which I've no doubt she would be smart enough to try to use to conceal the fact you are actually God. In fact without this explanation I don't see her stressing her cult recruity desires so much, as it doesn't otherwise accomplish anything.
I did use the incorrect term there, I apologize. It was the first one that came to mind that was even close to what DGB would be doing in your scenario. There are alternate reasons for DGB doing what she is that do not result in me or tajo being God.
1. She could be trying to WIFOM how correct I am in my analysis. ("Oh, DGB is saying that I need to be recruited. So I'm probably correct about alvinz! But wait... would she say that if Alvinz is God? So therefore Alvinz is probably not God. But wait...")
2. That other agnostics would actually notice that she was doing this and reach the conclusion that you are reaching.
3. By making these posts "Oh give up, agnostics have lost, you just need to be recruited." She could also be attempting to crush town moral, if she knows that we still have an extremely slim shot at winning.
ortolan wrote:Please do tell of this pattern in my accusations, I hope this is good.
My apologies. I thought I noticed some chainsawing with you and Mask man that after investigation, turns out to be non-existant.
ortolan wrote:PIP (1585) wrote:So, by this vote, you are stating that you find my godhood more likely than that of both Alvinz and Zakeri. And that you feel that obv-cult DGB and zwet would wagon God in a lylo situation.
I've not committed myself to anything yet.
Then why did you post this with your vote?
ortolan wrote:I would like a PIP lynch very, very, very much
That sounds to me like you would like me to be lynched. Which would mean, that if you were an agnostic, you found me a better candidate than either Zakeri or alvinz. No?
ortolan wrote:@ PIP's 1587, please tell me why zwet is cult leader. I don't recall a convincing case on him (I looked back and I certainly don't see one today- I'm not even sure if one's been attempted ever).
Why would you want to see a convincing case on zwet? We're looking for god, not CLs. And Zwet is, barring utter insanity, not God. I found the fact that MafiaSSK (and potential you), an obvcultist, voting me instead of zwet is interesting. One thing that would explain this is if zwet was a cult leader, and therefore your cult would lose if he was lynched. However between the alvinz vote and a couple of posts by zwet, I'm beginning to wonder if this is the case. At the moment, however, it seems utterly irrelevant orto. We should be looking for God.