Newbie 2083: Viae Romanae - End!
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kennyk Goon
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kennyk Goon
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And why did you choose to ask him?
As far as I can see, three out of five persons didn't specify, why they voted. And the other two gave lame excuses for a vote (one being me).-
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kennyk Goon
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So is the streak ending in this game? (This is more like a rhethorical question with a little giggle-factor. But if you honestly can answer it with "yes", please do so )In post 71, Andresvmb wrote:Yes we’ve done this song and dance.
Also, I have officially reached 20 consecutive games as Town (completed). I have flipped in another one but I will not speak to that one just yet.-
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kennyk Goon
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I am not yet sure what to make of this whole val/koba/yeezys thing. I doubt it is a T vs S+S thing as this would be very gutsy for scum. But all aother constellations are possible from my POV (even S vs S+T). As the mathematical probability is very high, I would assume there is scum in this battle but a total townie thing is also possible.
I guess I will have to reread this part of conversation later on and hope to get a better view on things. Until then I won't change my vote on any of those participants. I am curious on Val's reaction on the E-2 though.-
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kennyk Goon
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I guess you mean the first part (right?). So the first real skirmish of this game is between you and koba on one side and val on the other.In post 152, yeezys wrote:
i don't understandIn post 148, kennyk wrote:I am not yet sure what to make of this whole val/koba/yeezys thing. I doubt it is a T vs S+S thing as this would be very gutsy for scum. But all aother constellations are possible from my POV (even S vs S+T). As the mathematical probability is very high, I would assume there is scum in this battle but a total townie thing is also possible.
I guess I will have to reread this part of conversation later on and hope to get a better view on things. Until then I won't change my vote on any of those participants. I am curious on Val's reaction on the E-2 though.
I doubt that scum (or S for short) would team up and go on a town (or T for short) player so early. It is possible that val and either you or koba are scum, or one or none of you three is scum.
But because of the mathematical probabilities it is likely that one of you is scum. From my point of view (POV) 1/4 of you is scum (2 out of 8). So if three out of those eight are in a small fight, it has probability of one of them being scum that is not neglectable.-
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kennyk Goon
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The setup is "two out of nine" are scum. From my POV it is two out of eight as I know I am town (if you believe me or not is a whole different thing). The same is true for any other townie (except for the setup with masons, where the ratio is 2 of 7).In post 158, yeezys wrote:
oh okayIn post 157, kennyk wrote:
I guess you mean the first part (right?). So the first real skirmish of this game is between you and koba on one side and val on the other.In post 152, yeezys wrote:
i don't understandIn post 148, kennyk wrote:I am not yet sure what to make of this whole val/koba/yeezys thing. I doubt it is a T vs S+S thing as this would be very gutsy for scum. But all aother constellations are possible from my POV (even S vs S+T). As the mathematical probability is very high, I would assume there is scum in this battle but a total townie thing is also possible.
I guess I will have to reread this part of conversation later on and hope to get a better view on things. Until then I won't change my vote on any of those participants. I am curious on Val's reaction on the E-2 though.
I doubt that scum (or S for short) would team up and go on a town (or T for short) player so early. It is possible that val and either you or koba are scum, or one or none of you three is scum.
But because of the mathematical probabilities it is likely that one of you is scum. From my point of view (POV) 1/4 of you is scum (2 out of 8). So if three out of those eight are in a small fight, it has probability of one of them being scum that is not neglectable.
also "from my pov there are 2 scum" lol the thread says there are two-
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kennyk Goon
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Why do you come to this conclusion? It is not that I contradict your read (especially concerning one person ), but I like to know your way of thought.In post 161, yeezys wrote:so far floatingmay & fixer as well as kenny seem decently towny-
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kennyk Goon
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Maybe you do it deliberately to highten your post count.In post 181, yeezys wrote:ew ew ew why does mafiascum make me post twice-
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kennyk Goon
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Post 147 might look a bit overexplained but I have experienced some other games where posts meant to be funny were taken serious. So I thought better safe than sorry and explained it.In post 202, floatingmay wrote:overexplaining in 147; 148 sounds kind of detached (?); 148 and 165 contain math
Post 148 (you got the wrong post linked there btw.) I don't know what you mean with detached.
Post 165 contains a little math. Math is what got me to playing mafia in the first place (over at greylabyrinth more than 15 years ago). So if using mathematical evidence looks scummy for you I add up 2 and 2 and point a finger of suspicion in your direction.-
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kennyk Goon
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There is so much wrong with this post.In post 234, floatingmay wrote:
imagine not believing a mafia player, smh my headIn post 229, DkKoba wrote:i will ask you first for an explaination why they are scum then because i dont believe that
i did say i scumread them already in 137
i don’t know exactly why you townread yeezys but you’re probably at least a little biased here since yeezys has you as hard town (85, 159) and has generally been defending you, attacking your attackers, echoing your reads and word choice, interacting with you, etc
and they already have four townreads, all of which are unexplained, i think? you plus myself, fixer, and kenny (161). would that not make the remaining mafia obvious to them? their townread on kenny is especially odd since it comes right after 152 (which kenny responded to extremely quickly. at that point they only had four total posts and one of them was a response to yeezys) and 158
they claim to have a boring role (161) which if they’re vt is completely false. friendly reminder that my opinions are facts ) also it just feels like a really contrived response, like if i were asked that i’d say good or something instead of boring
something about 114 sounds off. i’m not sure how but it kind of feels like this statement is implying something alignment related?
151 wasn’t an actual defense; it didn’t even make up whole post. still waiting on your defense yeezys, unless koba does it for you ofc
and like i said in 130, their actions don’t match their description of their own townplay
didn’t see this the first time sorry, i tend to skip lines a lot when reading but yeezys would you be willing to get back into mafia.gg if you were like, part of a server that hosted private games with nonarcade setups?
and if all else fails
maybe yeezy’s scum but forgot they were scum again so that’s why their actions seem towny to you!
three of these run-on sentences start with and :') i tried my best to coalesce these into proper paragraphs but my thoughts are way too disjointed for that
First, I don't see anything resembling a read in 137. And I don't see anything like a read around this post number.
Second, I have my own idea about the connection between Koba and yeezys. I kind of have the feeling you do have the same idea, too, but yoou are trying to use it in a quite different way.
Third, my response to yeesys was quick and I didn't have many posts at that stage (there aren't that many now either, but that is something I have deficits in every game). But I was online coincidently shortly after the post. So I responded. But if it pleases you I might from now on wait 24 hours with every respond (no I won't).
Forth, there is no mentioning of a boring role in post 161. Maybe you meant 159? But there is no mentioning of a boring role either. Just that they are bored. Which is a completely different thing.
This looks very much like trying to make up a case out of thin air. After my vote on you was ranodm and my finger of suspicion because of your aversion to math halfway fun, I am now quite confident with my vote on you.-
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kennyk Goon
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At least there is no one named "blatant town lmfao" in this game. (Sorry, but I had to do this one)In post 247, yeezys wrote:
i would tell you to watch your language but then i'dIn post 220, DkKoba wrote:yeezys well
yeezys is fucking blatant town lmfao
i dont think an explaination is needed
a) be a hypocrite
b) fuck shit fuck (aka you can swear whenever you want to)-
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kennyk Goon
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Maybe floatingmay wants to read you scum because they are scum.In post 250, yeezys wrote:?????????????????????????????????????????????????
why are you pulling reasons otu of your ass to scumread me-
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kennyk Goon
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Yes, I am seriously SRing floatingmay. As stated earlier I had three posts with reasons against them. The first was my vote in the RVS which had no reason behind it at all (the reason given is obviously a no-reason). Then there was my answer to the "I don't like math"-post. As stated I was a little sus at that point. But than there was this massive accusation against yeezys that felt so wrong. I did this post 238. I guess I explained my SR on them enough there.In post 262, MBot wrote:Is that a serious SR on floatingmay? I may need reasons for that. That would be diabolical.-
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kennyk Goon
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I respond to anything I think is strange. Just as you would.In post 273, floatingmay wrote:
in 137, i asked yeezys how they would feel if i voted them, which i wouldn't do unless i was considering voting them, and at any rate i'm not sure why you're responding to this partIn post 238, kennyk wrote: First, I don't see anything resembling a read in 137. And I don't see anything like a read around this post number.
Second, I have my own idea about the connection between Koba and yeezys. I kind of have the feeling you do have the same idea, too, but yoou are trying to use it in a quite different way.
Third, my response to yeesys was quick and I didn't have many posts at that stage (there aren't that many now either, but that is something I have deficits in every game). But I was online coincidently shortly after the post. So I responded. But if it pleases you I might from now on wait 24 hours with every respond (no I won't).
Forth, there is no mentioning of a boring role in post 161. Maybe you meant 159? But there is no mentioning of a boring role either. Just that they are bored. Which is a completely different thing.
This looks very much like trying to make up a case out of thin air. After my vote on you was ranodm and my finger of suspicion because of your aversion to math halfway fun, I am now quite confident with my vote on you.
what's your idea about the connection between koba and yeezys? what makes you think i have the same idea? how do you think i am trying to use said idea?
i meant 79, sorry about that
As to the idea about the connection: At the point of that post my idea was that Koba and yeezys were masons. The reasons for this were for example the very first post of Koba where they dropped the word mason. Then there was this thing that you seem to have felt, too: the unision in their actions. Those could be scumplay, but that would be very bad play in my eyes, as it ties them together too much and too early.
Assuming you were scum and also assuming you came to the same conclusion, you might have hoped no one else saw this possibility. In that case you could use it to miselim one of the masons d1.
As things evolved after my post, I still believe Koba is a mason, but with this post 275, I guess it is not with yeezys.
But still my read on you hasn't changed. There were just too many things that didn't feel good.-
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kennyk Goon
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As can seen on my previous posts, I am SRing floatingmay.In post 277, fixer wrote:
@floatingmay i will not get afked out dw ajunhdbyIn post 214, DkKoba wrote:point what posts give you that vibe.
frankly - i dont think you are genuine with this and seem to be working backwards from a conclusion.
so back to the TR on kenny i decided to backtrack and ISO their posts instead of going on the reasoning i gave earlier. ( - which kinda WAS backtracking in a way like koba said, but it was just reasons on why they COULD be scum early on ! i actually should've just put them as null along with yeezys but it's too late to edit post, sigh )
the vibes that i get from them as town as i read posts? #41 and #165's whole math thing, but i get an odd vibe from #148 now that I actually go ahead and read back. it feels like they're gamesolving but not really gamesolving at the same time? In #238 it looks like they do in fact SR may as they've mentioned it twice by now, ( or thrice if you count their RVS ) but i don't wanna get this wrong, so kenny if you don't nullread everyone like i do could you perhaps give out your reads soon?
also hard nullread on may that is going to change very soon and i SR ssbm! reasons coming at a later post unless i change my mind due to info from them/kenny.
( hey ssbm could you also give your reads if you may i would like to know )
this post might come in at a bad time since i'm addressing an older post but yea
DkKoba and ssbm_Kyouko are town as they are masons in my eyes (with Kobes softclaims and all and no counterclaim by any other town PR)
yeezys has a townlean. I am willing to accept Kobes read there. It seems plausible.
fixer also is a townlean for me. I have not much more to give than gutfeelings (or is it just that I am hungry?) about the way they post.
MBot, Andresvmb and Val89 are null for me.-
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kennyk Goon
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As I played on greylabyrinth 15 years ago it isn't a good reference on how to play here and now.In post 341, Val89 wrote:Is it usual practise to openly discuss who may or may not be a PR on the other sites you have played on, kenny?
I think if a town PR were to counterclaim in response to Kobes 'softclaims', if that's what they were, that would be somewhat of a own-gaol in that Koba would likely just say "haha, I wasn't claiming mason, just messing around", and we have an outted PR on D1 with a target on their back for what? Does Koba get eliminated anyway? Drawing a CC while still maintaining some doubt about whether Koba wastryingto do so might well be the motivation for doing that, and you aren't helping.
If that's your only reason for reading Koba town, I would strongly suggest you reconsider.
If Koba would really react as you say, we would have gained a lot. I would change my vote onto them without further thinking as playing like that would be at least antitown.
And to add things to my believe in Koba being a mason is my general thinking about masons: As I came to this site again after 15 years and seeing the newbie setup as it is now (back then it always was 2 mafia goons, 1 cop, 1 doc and some VTs) I thought that the worst that could happen to me was being a mason. This was because it means there is no protective or investigative role for town. It just gives two players the inside knowledge about who else is town. But as I thought about it for a bit longer I was no longer convinced that it is the worst setup.
The main advantage scum has is that they are informed. With the masons a few townies (two) are informed as well. This reduced the information gap a bit. In my eyes the best strategy to further close it is to share this knowledge. It is true that if two masons are more or less confirmed D1 they are the most likely nightkills N1 and N2, but this gives town some time to get the true villains. It also stops miselimings of those two players.
And compared to the other option it is way better. The worst thing that could hapen in a mason setup is that the masons do nothing to reveal themselves (not even breadcrumbing) and one gets NKed. The other mason is very likely being counterclaimed day 2 if he dares to claim. This could very fast end in a (miselim D1, mason 1 NKed N1, mason 2 miselim D2, VT NKed N2, scum elim D3, V NKed N3) 2 to 1 on day 4.-
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kennyk Goon
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Welcome T3.In post 345, T3 wrote:Learning Latin in school and I’m learning about Roman roads in school so I replaced in
Or better:
Romani ite domum-
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kennyk Goon
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This gets you down on my readlist to at least null (if not worse).In post 350, DkKoba wrote:i nearly always fakeclaim mason as a joke it isn't AI and i can link several games where i do so
any PR worth their salt would ignore it and if Val is a PR then
After reading the folling post, I did exactly as you suggest; I ignored the mason claim.Especially in the context of post 8 it was nothing more than a joke to me. But later on your behaviour made me rethink this evaluation as it was, at least in my mind, only possible if you actually were a mason. All the secretiveness about knowing certain things about certain another player just lead in this direction.
Obviously fakeclaiming in post 1 is very fine with me but continuing to behave like the PR and when prompted to it denying it alltogether is a whole different story.
And while I wrote this whole thing I did make up my mind and want to go a step further.
VOTE: DkKoba
As the day is slowly ending we need to get rid of someone. I still believe floatingmay could be scum. But as no one else seems to be willing to follow my argumentation, let's get to a more promissing but also shady target.-
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kennyk Goon
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Does this mean you are reading val town?In post 439, DkKoba wrote:val/t3 stop fighting
this is prob tvt (on virtue that i tr kyouko and not my read on t3 which i dont trust)-
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kennyk Goon
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Not at all.In post 441, DkKoba wrote:I have been, problem?-
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kennyk Goon
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Sorry for not posting over the weekend. Real life had other things in mind than I had.
I guess there was someone out there who wanted a read on Val from me (to lazy to find and quote it). In my readlist I had him as null. But his direct reaction to my list (see following quote) together with the "takeback of a mason softclaim" made me change him to a strong townlean. Some of his posts thereafter have a feeling I can very much relate to. The desperation in not knowing what is happening and what to do about this game looks real to me. So Val right now is in one of the top spots of my green list.
In post 341, Val89 wrote:Is it usual practise to openly discuss who may or may not be a PR on the other sites you have played on, kenny?
I think if a town PR were to counterclaim in response to Kobes 'softclaims', if that's what they were, that would be somewhat of a own-gaol in that Koba would likely just say "haha, I wasn't claiming mason, just messing around", and we have an outted PR on D1 with a target on their back for what? Does Koba get eliminated anyway? Drawing a CC while still maintaining some doubt about whether Koba wastryingto do so might well be the motivation for doing that, and you aren't helping.
If that's your only reason for reading Koba town, I would strongly suggest you reconsider.-
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kennyk Goon
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With this guess you will never get the mvp award as it is at least 50 % false. But it matches your overconfidence I have seen. Like in this post:In post 478, DkKoba wrote:weakly defending kenny with shallow reasoning and then shading me for a might be
team is kenny/mbot
i'll be taking the mvp award now ty
Your reads might have been good in other games. But I guess there are also games in which your reads were totally off. I won't look through your history to find some of them, bevause I don't have the time for this. And this would be totally useless as well. Even if you had a 100 % read-rate (which with your read on me I know you don't) it wouldn't matter. It would only matter if we were sure you were town. Which we don't. And in my case I stringly doubt you are town.In post 529, DkKoba wrote:i just helped win a large game with 21 people by having the game winning townread on another player and helping flip 3 scum before that as well as having a 4th pinned down + having the correct read on every flipped townie.
I have confidence in my play for good reason - because I deliver results, even if it might not be early d1, it ends up happening by end of day 1 and you are trying to subtly shade me with these kinds of TMI riddled statements.
thanks for letting us know Val is town for sure because I was probably going to tinfoil them d2 after u flipped scum-
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kennyk Goon
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This standalone vote feels very wierd. No further insight whatsoever on why this vote was cast. It was the second vote on MBot at the time, so it wasn't even an opportunistic hop on a bandwagon.
What strikes me as even more strange is the fact, that, apart from looker, nobody seems to care.
To add one thing to those statements: On 2 E-2-wagons as the second vote.
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kennyk Goon
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Those three quotes were a main part of my reasoning to believe that Koba was mason with yeezys, as without the mason-connection they didn't make much sense. A town-lean on yeezys could have been a totally justified read but this reads more like a conf-town read. And that is a read that was (and still is; sorry yeezys) by no means obvious.In post 534, Val89 wrote:
I think actually making the effort to at least try and come up with a readlist and get some discussion going in a game where I think it's fairly obvious scum would be content to let things proceed as they are reads townie. I was also struck by the fact that, in any other game, those reads would seem rather shallow; but I having challenged myself to do a better job, I find I simply can't, and they are getting town points from me for making the attempt.In post 525, DkKoba wrote:what is your read on mbot?
You did?In post 526, DkKoba wrote:i literally fucking explained my read on yeezys and its the most explained read in the whole game
In post 220, DkKoba wrote:yeezys is fucking blatant town lmfao
i dont think an explaination is neededIn post 276, DkKoba wrote:you are experienced enough - read the game and figure it out. their energy literally *oozes* town
It is a sad indictment of the state of this game if THAT is "the most explained read in the whole game", and it had to be teased out of you like blood from a stone.In post 284, DkKoba wrote:like yeezys literally pulled up to this game and said "AYO FUCKERS IMMA SOLVE THIS SHIT WATCH THIS"
like thats what i feel when i read yeezys' posts and i would trust them with my life
I have some more to say, but I am afraid it will have to wait for a few hours.-
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kennyk Goon
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And of course that is the only way a townie could conclude from reading you scum (that was ironic). As you said, pillow reading could be a scum mistake. But as you mentioned it you very well know it could be a mistake (it is a whole different story if itIn post 537, DkKoba wrote:like holy fuck kenny is not genuine here bc like to say im scum and that im too confident on that read is to accuse me of tmi so kenny is making up conclusions and their thought process lacks consistency or depth that a townies does - because a townie would be like "oh i think koba scum bc they tmi their read on yeezys therefore yeezys is very much likely town". Scum path is to make the mistake and pillow read yeezys to try to reduce credibility there.isa mistake). You being scum is not necessarily meaning yeezys is town.-
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kennyk Goon
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Wow, you are willing to consolidate on Val if it means we are not limming you. How generous. I on E-1 would be willing to consolidate on everyone else but me, but hey, everyone plays different.In post 538, DkKoba wrote:Also as for val atp im willing to consolidate on them if it means not limming me because they have bad reads anyways and i could very well be just straight up letting scum who is shitpushing me get a free townread again.-
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kennyk Goon
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Too bad no one seems to care about this.In post 558, Looker wrote:
Each time followed by ssbm_Kyouko (T3)In post 533, kennyk wrote:To add one thing to those statements: On 2 E-2-wagons as the second vote.
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kennyk Goon
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So let me get this straight Koba: You said your read on kyouko (now T3) is the most and best explained read in this whole game. As a proof you now post this:
Spoiler: quoted post in spoilers for a better reading experience
The only reason for a townlean read on the T3-slot is that kyouko wasn't as wishy washy as usual when they were scum. The rest is just you bragging about how good you were able to read them in other games. And now you expect everyone else to bilndly follow your lead? And to make it worse you vehemently attack anybody who is not following suit.-
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kennyk Goon
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And there goes the bragging again.In post 570, DkKoba wrote:Imagine trying to discredit someone with a 7/7 read on someone in recent games
I will not blindly follow anyone in this game no matter how good their reads were in past games, as long as I am not convinced, that that someone is on my side. This is a totally new game and I don't know your alignment. Nor do I trust you (so far I don't trust anybody). If the past was such a big deal I could say that if you want an easy win as town, just follow me. I had a perfect town game (scum elimed on D1 and D2 with no NK). See, I can brag, too (if you want to look it up, it is a three page (!) newbie game with a two-digit number about 15 years ago. My old account name was quite similar to my new one).-
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kennyk Goon
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You are absolutely right. I somehow mixed up the "most explained read" in my head. I really thought I remembered it being on the T3 slot. I take that part of my post back. Bit the rest stands as is.In post 576, Val89 wrote:
That's not quite right, kenny.In post 569, kennyk wrote:So let me get this straight Koba: You said your read on kyouko (now T3) is the most and best explained read in this whole game.
I do agree with the sentiment - the explaination of the read on yeezys was pretty underwhelming, but at Koba has been clear that their T3 read is based on the fact they have a good record reading the previous occupant of the slot via 'vibes', and are leaning on that despite the replacement. I also think that's not particulary satisifying either; it might do for Koba, but to expect the rest of us to take that at face value?In post 526, DkKoba wrote:i literally fucking explained my read on yeezys and its the most explained read in the whole game
Let's not get the two mixed up, though, because they are two different issues.-
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kennyk Goon
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scum lurk out all the time. But for andres its NAI afaik bc it happens to him as town[/quote]In post 579, DkKoba wrote:Spoiler: I don't want to get this to long
I checked the ISO on them multiple times and waited with bated breath for the post that they were going to make "later" but it never came. I figured they may be replaces soon so didn't want to waste energy there if they weren't going to be active. My thoughts are that lurking scum would at least post nonsense to stay in the game?
I agree that not posting is the reason for my suspicion. It is the vote that came out of nowhere with no explanation.-
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kennyk Goon
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Not yet married but already the stress about not responding properly beginnsIn post 582, yeezys wrote:koba do you not know what "a life outside the internet" is ???
like sorry for not being able to get back to you but i think there's been a pattern of people talkign to me and me being unable to get back immediately, so don't start getting pissed when it doesnt take me three seconds to whip up a reply.
i'm real busy, and i can't juggle schoolwork, extracurriculars, and people on the internet as well i could in the past few months
@ffery, can i do the v/la thing for 11/16 - 11/19?
ill be active afterwards.-
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kennyk Goon
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If I may quote the last but one votecount: Fixer is v/la until evening of 11/16. So this is a yes to your question.In post 597, Looker wrote:And Fixer's V/LA is over, right?-
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kennyk Goon
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I guess we would be lucky if we manage to elim anyone today. And I don't think we'll get that many people to switch over to Andres. But we should at least try to focus them on D2 if nothing of a higher priority happens N1.In post 596, Looker wrote:
We still have four hours to hold him accountable for empty promisesIn post 592, Andresvmb wrote:I was completely sheeping Koba with my vote btw. Now I actually have some time I’ll catch up really quick.-
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kennyk Goon
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If Kobas claim of a VT is true and MBot is VT, too, I would agree with you. If MBot has a power role, I would strongly disagree.In post 606, Andresvmb wrote:
Koba as a player is FAR more valuable than you. So claiming that you would be okay executing them even if they flip Town is arrogance you definitely haven’t earned.In post 587, MBot wrote:Another thing Koba is wrong about. I'm not a mason. Trying to out masons is complete BS as town and you've tried it a number of times with different people. Why would you be pushing to throw town in front of a bus? I know better than to engage. I really do. But I can't wrap my head around the BS plays. I would actually be ok with voting them at this point even if they flip town.
Val, I'm not feeling the Kenny wagon. I agreed with many of their posts. I may be wrong but their scum hunting has a genuine feel to it. I'd be more willing to put a vote on T3 or Looker ( based on the floating may vibes) than Kenny.-
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kennyk Goon
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What more should I do to clarify, that this wasn't meant to be taken serious?In post 607, Andresvmb wrote:
This is a bad post.In post 147, kennyk wrote:
So is the streak ending in this game? (This is more like a rhethorical question with a little giggle-factor. But if you honestly can answer it with "yes", please do so )In post 71, Andresvmb wrote:Yes we’ve done this song and dance.
Also, I have officially reached 20 consecutive games as Town (completed). I have flipped in another one but I will not speak to that one just yet.-
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kennyk Goon
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So you would rather sacrifice a town PR than elimming Koba? Even if that meant having Koba as a scum opponent? Interesting.In post 619, Andresvmb wrote:
Nah haha I trust Koba to actually win a game for the Town. PRs screw things up all the time, and it’s rather infrequent that games are won mechanically. I’ve been in a few, but most of the time strong Town are just so much more valuable than a lot of PRs.In post 618, kennyk wrote:
If Kobas claim of a VT is true and MBot is VT, too, I would agree with you. If MBot has a power role, I would strongly disagree.In post 606, Andresvmb wrote:
Koba as a player is FAR more valuable than you. So claiming that you would be okay executing them even if they flip Town is arrogance you definitely haven’t earned.In post 587, MBot wrote:Another thing Koba is wrong about. I'm not a mason. Trying to out masons is complete BS as town and you've tried it a number of times with different people. Why would you be pushing to throw town in front of a bus? I know better than to engage. I really do. But I can't wrap my head around the BS plays. I would actually be ok with voting them at this point even if they flip town.
Val, I'm not feeling the Kenny wagon. I agreed with many of their posts. I may be wrong but their scum hunting has a genuine feel to it. I'd be more willing to put a vote on T3 or Looker ( based on the floating may vibes) than Kenny.-
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kennyk Goon
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Why?In post 621, Andresvmb wrote:
I didn’t take it serious. It’s still bad.In post 620, kennyk wrote:
What more should I do to clarify, that this wasn't meant to be taken serious?In post 607, Andresvmb wrote:
This is a bad post.In post 147, kennyk wrote:
So is the streak ending in this game? (This is more like a rhethorical question with a little giggle-factor. But if you honestly can answer it with "yes", please do so )In post 71, Andresvmb wrote:Yes we’ve done this song and dance.
Also, I have officially reached 20 consecutive games as Town (completed). I have flipped in another one but I will not speak to that one just yet.-
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kennyk Goon
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I have to admit that I was relieved, when Koba flipped scum. The only bad thing about the flip is, that Koba was "just" a mafia goon and we still don't know anything about the setup. So we can't work on that right now. And I don't think any town PR shoud claim right now, except there is an investigative role out there who caught someone redhanded of course.
On the other hand I think that the choice for the nightkill is interesting. I as mafia wouldn't have killed him. At least two players (looker and me) had made it clear that they had strong scum vibes from Andres. That could have been exploited by the remaining scum on D2 for a more or less easy miselim. Depnding on the alternate nightkill I guess I would have been on that wagon. Was scum reading Andres as a town PR who did play it slow?-
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kennyk Goon
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Why do you name those three specificly?In post 643, Looker wrote:And why would you die over Val, T3 and MBot-
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kennyk Goon
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So I guess no one found the other scum last night. That would have been too easy.
So what do we make out of Kboas interactions yesterday? It seems they were trying to pocket yeezyz and the T3 slot. Or was it pocketing one and prtoecting the other? And if so, who is who?
I don't know the answers. But they would be easier to get, if we knew the actual setup as I would suspect Koba to plax different in a setup with a scum PR than a setup with two goons.
Let me give you an example: If both Koba and me were scum in one of the C-setups the things happening at the end of D1 could have been pulled off easyly. It still would be very daring but not too big of a loss to be on each others wagon. But if I was the other scum in either the A- or B-setup things would be very different. Sure, Koba is an experienced player. But sacrificing the scum PR on D1 is quite a stunt.-
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kennyk Goon
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In post 631, Andresvmb wrote:If Koba flips Town though, as I suspect they will, then some of you actually need to pay attention to what they’ve said.
I don't get it either. If the original comment would have been "If Koba flips scum ..." that would have made more sense. Andres seemed to have been convinced Koba was town. This would have made him a viable target for D2 for any townie. And I can't read any sort of town PR into that comment. So I guess the best explanation for him being NKed is, that it leaves us with little information.In post 665, Val89 wrote:
What do you mean?In post 664, fixer wrote:Of course they killed Andresvmb after this-
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kennyk Goon
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I definitely don't want any PR to out itself right now. No one was examined last night who is the last remaining scum or otherwise the game would be over right now. That would have been the only good option for a PR claiming right now. All other options are bad as it gives us three confirmed townies at best (setups with a cop or tracker who targeted an innocent player) and just one confirmed townie at worst (setups C1 and C2). That is not enough with seven players left.
So if anybody has the feeling they need to claim their PR because of my posts (I admit that they might be read in that direction): don't do it!-
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kennyk Goon
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So if yeezyz or Val were scum, their play was too obvious if Koba was voted out. Koba was voted out. Does that mean they are both scum, too? I think I get what you wanted to say, but the words don't make sense.In post 679, MBot wrote:I agree that Andres last post was too genuinely town to leave him with much doubt. If they were scum with Koba then there would be zero reason to make that kind of statement. Remember that the remaining mafia wants us as much in the dark and guessing as possible.
Yeezy and Val would have to be extremely ballsy to be playing the way they did with fellow Mafia players on D1. Too much risk there and too obvious if Koba was voted out. Koba tried to play super aggressive scum hunting town so I'm almost positive that the other baddie is one of the less prominent players from d1. I'll reread tomorrow at some point with the knowledge that Koba is scum to see if anything share worthy catches my eye.
I guess you are right about the less prominent players being a good go to point.-
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kennyk Goon
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As I was asked to offer my reads on the T3 and the looker slots I read through their ISOs.
floatingmay gave me some minor pings before I turned my attention to Koba. Later on, looker had some good points on Andres (which were false, but I was also wrong in that case). I am still not sure what to make of this slot, so it is in a null state.
ssbm_Kyouko and T3 ISOs on the other hand, combined with those of Koba, make me feel a little uneasy. There was so much locktown/obvtown-talk from all three of them about each other. And all is with little to none evidence. And than there are these three posts:
First he strongly tells us to not vote Koba. And two posts later he does just that. This kind of looks like he wanted to be on the wagon to not look too suspicious. All the obvtown talk was suddenly forgotten about.
Early on day two there was this post:
Was this to indirectly explain away your scumplay?In post 654, T3 wrote:Oh yeah, Val is also town.
My defense is that scum would be more hesitant to locktown their partner. Also when scum koba has a read on a scum partner, they will tend to argue the town out of voting their scum partner instead of just townreading them.
I guess I will try and cast my first D2 vote now:
VOTE: T3
This should be E-1-
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kennyk Goon
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Don't forget that there are town power roles out there (or depending on the setup just one). If T3 really is a miselim he should be "just" a vanilla townie as he didn't claim a PR even at E-1. And as he himself said D1: A VT miselim is better than a no-elim.In post 712, yeezys wrote:so if t3 flips scum, we win. yay!
if he flips town, then vote looker next.
if looker flips town, then we're literally screwed kekw
but i don't really have anything to say here because i'm pretty much convinced it's t3 at this point and if not well
we're screwed-
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kennyk Goon
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kennyk Goon
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So this leaves us with two possible setups (A3 and C3) which are now totally the same, except for the role PM our remaining scum got. But it doesn't matter if it was roleblocker or goon, as a roleblocker can't block a mason.
That's the good thing. The bad is that we are not going to get any easy guilty verdicts from anyone as there is no investigative town role.
And what is the best play for our remaining mason? Claim or no claim? Claiming today would lead to a sure NK of that mason if we miselim today (which has a 1 in 4 chance in case of a claim) and a 2 on 1 tomorrow. Not claiming could lead to the same result except that the other mason could be one of the 2 townies on our last day. A claim on that day could be counterclaimed by the remaining scum. But if there were enough crumbs for X and yeezys being masons together it could well be, that it is a 50 % thing depending on who the mason votes.-
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kennyk Goon
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Concerning the counterclaim scenarios:
Val is totally right about a fake mason (counter-)claim is the death sentnce for scum. So it won't happen today.
If we get to "scum - VT - mason" tomorrow, there are three possible scenarios:
1. The mason doesn't claim: Bad idea! Both townies have to find the scum. Random voting by both of them gives us just a 25 % chance of winning.
2. The mason claims, there is no counterclaim: Here the mason is the deciding factor, as scum and VT have to vote each other. The mason has a 50 % chance of success.
3. The mason claims, scum counterclaims (or the other way round): Here the VT is the deciding factor. scum and mason vote each other. VT has a 50 % winning chance.
So as far as I see things, scum has the option to not counterclaim. This whole thing is heavily relying on the randomness of not forced votes. So if scum thinks, that the mason reads him more town than the VT, he could very well not counterclaim. Or with this tactcic written down here, he could just do it to confuse the VT into believing him not being scum.-
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kennyk Goon
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Looking at some things again, I noticed one thing: We are for sure either in the A3 or the C3 setup. We won't know in which, until after this game ends.
If we are in the A3 setup, it could very well be, that the mafia roleblocker bussed the goon to gain some towncred. Allthough Koba seems to be a big sacrifice.
In the C3 setup such a bus would be even worse. In two out of the three possible setups (for two mafia goons) there is a very dangerous town PR for a lone scummy. I would be too afraid to try and do such a trick.
So if we were in the C3 setup, I would assume, that scum wasn't on the Koba-wagon. This would leave looker and fixer.
Those two are conincidently the two persons I have at the lower spots of my read list as both MBot and Val are on a heavy townlean for me. As of now looker would be my choice for a vote. But as we are at E-2 right now, I would like to see a little more discussion before casting that vote.-
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kennyk Goon
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Maybe you NKed him to say this exact thing right now.In post 749, Looker wrote:I'm also curious as to why I would NK Andres, the only other person on the kennyk wagon, instead of killing someone on the DkKoba wagon and leaving doubt/mystery between myself and Andres, especially if I'd been suspecting him already. It just doesn't make sense.-
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kennyk Goon
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kennyk Goon
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So if I didn't read posts wrong, there are three of us (MBot, Val89 and I), who have the same two people on their red-list (Looker and fixer) while having the other two on their green-list. And if I get things right, the townreads are stronger than the scumreads. So if we three really believe in our townreads, we could act upon them and get this game through. Sure, if one of us was able to fool the other two, we would lose, but I guess that is likely to happen in that case anyways.
I am happy enough with this constellation to proceed accordingly. But I will wait until fixer and Looker had time to react to this. We still have time and I don't want to run into a scenario, where one of them is the second mason but we elimmed him before he had time to claim. I doubt that there is a (non-fake) mason claim from any of those two, but I could have been fooled.-
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kennyk Goon
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kennyk Goon
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First, I totally agree with the arguments given in this post (Or in short: "yeah, what Val said" ; Sorry, but I had to make that one).In post 773, Val89 wrote:
It is true that I haven't made a wallpost listing every last thing I find scummy about you, largely because fixer has promised to tell us why he is scumreading you and, while he may have gueniue activity problems, the more this keeps going on, the more I think he may potentially be deliberately dodging doing so. I don't want to make my wallpost and then have fixer just come along and say "yeah, what Val said".In post 772, Looker wrote:I still don't understand Val89's case...or anyone's. I think Val's is hinging on why I didn't put Val, T3, and MBot as "null" instead of town (which is his playstyle preference)
I've said a few times now, this part of my case that we are discussing - your D2 progression on T3 - is something I did not understand, something I consideredcouldbe scum indicative, but also I could be misunderstanding something, so I asked you about it. As I say, it's not the only concern I have with you, or your predecessor slot for that matter, but I was asking about that because it is something I thought you could clear up for me if it wasn't scum indicative - but ISTILLdon't understand what you are trying to tell us.
If I quote the post it loses the colours. It's at 677. I am sure everyone has already seen it several times already. You use 3 different colours, as well as listing everyone individually except the final two, who occupy the same line "X or Y". Are you telling us that Val, T3, and MBot were all actually "null" reads for you, and it's a playstyle thing to call them townreads, and put them in a list that looks ordered but isn't, without explanation?
I don't think my issue here is difficult to understand. It looks very much like you made a readslist, and it appears you did so in response to pressure on your own slot, that was representing to us that you were following the game, you had townreads of varying strengths (with the unwritten assumption that there were reasons for those townreads other than simply knowing they were town), you didn't agree with everyone else's assessment on T3 because you had actual, proper reasons to be townreading there - but following that, then made little or no effort to tell the rest of us that you thought T3 was flipping town because X reasons, while he was being run up by everyone else. Once T3 hit E-1 (with that E-1 vote coming from someone you had the bottom of your readlist), you hammered him, without a claim, with a decent amount of time on the clock, casting that hammer vote in the same post as answering questions directed towards you (Ie: while a discussion about your own slot was still ongoing), and have told us today that T3 didn't say or do anything to change your read, you simply did so because that was the majority consensus.
When questioned about it today, you haven't been able to give us a single reason you were townreading T3 other than you found other players scummy, nor explain any of your other behavior around it in a way that makes me think this wasn't a scumplay. Yes, the 'hammer without a claim' thing is such an openly dodgy thing to do, I have asked myself if a lone scum would draw attention to themselves in such a way, but then I remember that this was a game in which Koba was acting the way they were D1 and getting 'obvtown'ed for it. I also think that perhaps you decided the utility in shutting down the conversation I was trying to start yesterday about that this very readslist overrode any such issues.
The fact that is does appear to me like you were trying to shut down that conversation (as well as one Mbot was trying to have about the makeup of your ISO) is a big part of why I'm coming back to this over and over again and trying to make sure it doesn't get lost, frankly.
Second, I don't know, why quoting would loose colours for you. If I preview a quote of said post, everything looks fine:One thing I think is interesting about the clolours, is that there are actually 5 of them (They are numbered 00ff00, 00c400, 00a800, E00000 and Ff0000), allthough they look to me as being three different colours to me, too.
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kennyk Goon
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Sorry, for not posting for so long. Real life hit me, but I am back.
So reading all the new posts and the sometimes confusing discussion between Val89 and looker (at least for me right now), I feel more confident in eliminating looker. One thing I am quite sure about is, that looker is not the second mason. At E-1 and with my statement about voting either him or fixer out the only hope to survive for a mason!looker would have been to claim it. I am not sure if I would have believed it. But it didn't happen. Ergo he is most likely not the mason.-
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kennyk Goon
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So I reread some posts and I am now at a point where I would like to cast the final vote of today.
In the now infamous post 677 (couldn't it have been 11 posts before? ) there were three players on lookers positive side (MBot, T3 and Val89) and three on the negative (fixer, yeezyz and I). Yeezyz was NKed. Looker now votes his top read from that list. He hammered his second pick and is in a heavy infight with his third. If I read everything correctly and am not misinterpreting things, the two remaining "baddies" are now at least null reads, but I don't see, how we got this upgrade.
Allthough it might look like I am shutting down a conversation, I will
VOTE: looker
I hope I nailed it.-
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kennyk Goon
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Just a quick thought on what happened before I start to work.
On our last day I really thought "Wouldn't it be a plot twist, if we elimed looker and fixer is than NKed (or the other way around)? That would leave two really perplexed players and a scum. But after what was posted scum would change the odds in towns favour. So if either Val or MBot is scum, they sure wouldn't do that." But as it seems, one of you did.
A reevaluation will follow after work and after my third vaccination (hopefully this one won't knock me out like the first two).-
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kennyk Goon
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I am sorry for not posting earlier. But first my granddad unexpectedly had to go to the hospital and some things needed to be dealt with and then the side effects of my vaccination kicked in. The fever is gone, but I am still not feeling too good. So the announced deep investigation still has to wait.-
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kennyk Goon
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If only it was a coin flip. Assuming randomness each of the two townies has a 50 % chance to vote scum or town. The chances for both to hit scum is just 25 %. I would clearly prefer a coin flip.In post 813, Val89 wrote:I hate F3s with a passion. This one, particulary, since I really just don't know and it feels like basically a coin flip.-
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kennyk Goon
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