SpyreX wrote:1) There definitely WAS a Cult and there definitely WAS a Serial Killer, so the Selective Scumhunting tell should apply (for D1 at the very least, with a longer-lasting effect if the Mafia thinks there are surviving Cultists.
Fair enough. With the Recruiter dead when he was and the SK dead (and the fact we haven't seen non-vig claimed kills) I haven't been thinking about a cult (I assumed with recruiter dead the cult couldn't recruit, so).
However, in my instance, I could see calling me out for tunnel vision but, really I've been about as Selective as you can get, just kill TScum and we will go from there.
The difference isn't so much how scum hunt scum so much as it is WHO they hunt - if a player in a multiple scum faction game is hunting for all scum except for one specific group, it's fairly likely that said player is a member of the group they ignore. (It's a useful enough tell for me that I have a shorthand to refer to it - Selective Scumhunting.)
Agreed, but again this is in reference to me so I'm not seeing how its applicable.
Because I only took the time to look at your predecessor overnight?
Because we actually caught a scum yesterday and I finally have something to work with?
Because I'm finally starting to get interested in this game again?
1.) Fair enough.
2.) Borge being scum gives something to work with on me?
3.) I understand 350%.
Go on, FoS me. You know you want to.
Actually, now, I dont. You are right that the possible existence of a Cult could cause some of the above. I'm still not sure how -I- fall into this but I know you'll explain.
I think I understand the disconnect here - you seem to be operating under the assumption that I am saying that you've been committing some of these tells, while I was under the assumption that you were asking me to explain my general reasoning. (As a matter of fact, there was a reason why you couldn't understand why some of my statements would be a reference to you - namely, that they
weren't
a reference to you.)
You are nowhere near the top of my scumdar, SpyreX - the two big reasons I'm uneasy about you are 1) Andy felt funny when I read him (I can't quantify it right now - I need to look for specifics when I get time - but something seemed off) and 2) by process of elimination, if there are 5 scum remaining you're likely to be one of them.
I think a venture into setup speculation may be appropriate here:
There are either 4 or 5 scum remaining in the game, with the exact number almost entirely dependent on how the recruiter worked (given the size of the game and the existence of a dead Cult Recruiter and SK, I'd be surprised if there aren't exactly 4 surviving Mafia).
There are 13 players remaining in the game.
From where I'm sitting, 6 players are clear or all-but-clear: the masons, farside, our remaining protective role (probably a normal Doctor), and myself by axiom. Five of these players' identities are known (farside, MattS, Skitzer, KScope, and myself).
That, for my purposes, leaves 8 surviving unknowns (TS, BM, killa7, Korlash, SpyreX, Surye, CKD, Tombolo), of whom one can instantly confirm themself. Of these 8, I'm now pretty sure that CKD is town, and I'm going to assume that Tombolo is town for now (he read town when I looked over him, and even if he is scum he's not an immediate threat).
I'm pretty sure at this point that TS, BM, and killa7 are all scum (either 1 Cult, 2 Mafia or 3 Mafia).
That leaves either one or two scum out of {Korlash, SpyreX, Surye}. At the moment, I'd say that Korlash is probably scum (he has the scummiest predecessors and, while I'm not confident in my ability to read Korlash himself I do think that something's off about him - I need to reread MTG 1-shot).
If there is a fifth scum, however, I'm pretty sure that it's either Surye or you, and judging by predecessors alone, thenextepisode looked more like town than Andy did (I should know, he was town in Tarhalindur Mostly Mountainous), so as things stand I think you're slightly more likely to be scum than Surye is.
Note: I've played with Surye before, so I've started a reread on him (I need to compare his play here to his play in other games in general and Mafia 78 in particular). I'm going to pay close attention to his recent push for a TS lynch - he bussed the hell out of Rosso for the win in Mafia 78, and I need to see if he's doing it again here.
Finally, after mulling it over, I'm going to use my vote more effectively by joining the local bandwagon. TS is likely to be some kind of scum, why shouldn't we lynch her?
Unvote, Vote: Toaster Strudel
That's lynch-2. Toaster Strudel, claim or die.