No we always go Bingle here, but I'm also okay with Maestro. I didn't vote Bingle off the rip because I don't see a need to rush the day and spend some time having a discussion. I think it's telling who is willing to throw votes around when a quick lim is possible, fortunately no one I think is town has voted me, so I don't think I'm in danger just yet.
Not sure what FL is trying to do with his claim, interesting that Maestro took the bait.
It's mainly an optics issue for me. Through terrible, out of character, play surrounding my claim I haven't garnered much support from town. I have a hard guilty and have no qualms voting Bingle straight out the gates, but only I know for certain it's a hard guilty. My claim is not confirmed for anyone else. I'm on terribly thin ice and if I want to win with the town, I need to somehow gain good will. Considering how on thin ice I am, I think I have a responsibility to be careful so town doesn't immediately lose from my mis-elim.
I see voting immediately in ELO as not a move that generates good will. It only takes one misvote by a townie to end the game if all the scum players are around and ready. I think scum have more of an interest in trying to push things quickly without any discussion or analysis. Remaining town players may see me voting Bingle as needlessly hasty.
Me, FL, Hu Tao, and Naerys are my most likely 4 townies. I see partner equity between Dunn and Bingle, so its more that Dunn is the third scummiest for me. That leaves Hu and Naerys as town by PoE.
I think if the game makes it to 3p, Dunn is definitely one of the 3.
Naerys can you give me your thoughts? Who is scum do you think? Everyone else besides me and Dunn has someone confirmed scum to them. And dunn gave his views already
Maestro hopping on Cele is either really bad play or scummy. It kinda reeks with trying to put some psychological pressure on us. Sheepier townies would give in to that and allow speedy mislim.
I dont like Celebloki´s hammer and his reasoning for it, but that Maestro´s vote... the more i think about the less i like it. Its timing, they way he voted.
I dont think i can see a universe where Cele+Maestro are alligned? For scum to fake guilty and his buddy trying to buss him at this point does not make sense. Bingle and Maestro probably buddies
Therefore Bingle+Maestro+Dunn feels rather likely to me
Imo it makes sense one of Bingle or Hu Tao were always gonna be scum here based on how earlier in the game went, and I am seeing the “hmm who’s scum” energy behind Hu Tao.
I also just have a hard time seeing Celeb as scum based on when they talk.
And Roden vs Bingle is rough too.
Bingle cut ties with Maestro scum as partners pretty funny
In post 2345, Naerys wrote:
Maestro hopping on Cele is either really bad play or scummy. It kinda reeks with trying to put some psychological pressure on us. Sheepier townies would give in to that and allow speedy mislim.
I dont like Celebloki´s hammer and his reasoning for it, but that Maestro´s vote... the more i think about the less i like it. Its timing, they way he voted.
I dont think i can see a universe where Cele+Maestro are alligned? For scum to fake guilty and his buddy trying to buss him at this point does not make sense. Bingle and Maestro probably buddies
Therefore Bingle+Maestro+Dunn feels rather likely to me
There's something off about this. Your read on Celeboki is only based on them hammering without considering the rest. And your reasoning for flipping your read is based on something that only happened today too.