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Post Post #3450 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:11 pm

Post by ketchup777 »

I refuse to believe you've never been super confident about a read before and got it wrong Jackson. Admit you can make mistakes pleaseeeeeeeeeee
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Post Post #3451 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:23 pm

Post by ketchup777 »

In post 3012, ketchup777 wrote:
In post 3009, ketchup777 wrote:
1. Hu Tao / Gypyx / Outworld



4. Gypyx / Psyche / Outworld

5. Gypyx / Black / Outworld


7. Psyche / Black / Outworld

and then there were 4. (5 for people who can't trust me).

Case 1: Hu Tao / Gypyx / Outworld


We vote OutWorld out, and there is no jailkeeper after all. Hu Tao has to fake-claim a jailkeep on the wrong person. Alternative: scum no kill and Hu Tao pretends she did a successful jailkeep. Alert! watch out for this in the future. However though this gambit is a thing, it still leaves us well-placed at a 5v2.

Case 2: Gypyx / Psyche / Outworld


Outworld flips scum. Hu Tao chances a jailkeep. If it succeeds, or scum no kill, our advantage grows. If someone dies, we can truly focus on the 1v1 of Gyp/Psyche.



If she is successful, we buy another day and have 5 vs 2.

Case 3: Gypyx / Black / Outworld


Outworld flips scum. Black will be put in a tricky spot, may well try to find a way out of bussing Gypyx, exposing herself in the process.

Case 4: Psyche / Black / Outworld
(the danger case of voting Gypyx).[/color]

We get more time to nail the 1v1. win
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Post Post #3452 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:24 pm

Post by ketchup777 »

that was not quoting post 3012 that was a new post. not my best post. i struggled, i've decided to do a votecount analysis on Psyche / Black / Outworld
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Post Post #3453 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:36 pm

Post by ketchup777 »

no I need to go sleep
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Post Post #3454 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:37 pm

Post by JacksonVirgo »

In post 3450, ketchup777 wrote: I refuse to believe you've never been super confident about a read before and got it wrong Jackson. Admit you can make mistakes pleaseeeeeeeeeee
Never said I couldn't
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Post Post #3455 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:45 pm

Post by ketchup777 »

In post 3454, JacksonVirgo wrote:
In post 3450, ketchup777 wrote: I refuse to believe you've never been super confident about a read before and got it wrong Jackson. Admit you can make mistakes pleaseeeeeeeeeee
Never said I couldn't
mmmm sleep on it
I’m going to sleep
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Post Post #3456 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:49 pm

Post by ketchup777 »

Final thought: If it is Psyche / Black / Outworld , they’ve literally just had to sit back and relax while we destroy each other. painful af
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Post Post #3457 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 12:49 pm

Post by Psyche »

i should be trying harder to understand what ketchup is on about
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Post Post #3458 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 7:39 pm

Post by Hu Tao »

In post 3456, ketchup777 wrote: Final thought: If it is Psyche / Black / Outworld , they’ve literally just had to sit back and relax while we destroy each other. painful af
That's why psyche is the best vote
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Post Post #3459 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:38 pm

Post by Gypyx »

really hoping jackson is discussing me in the masonry or something
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Post Post #3460 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:39 pm

Post by Gypyx »

In post 2380, Gypyx wrote: LITTERALLY IF ANYONE MANAGES TO MAKE A GOOD ARGUMENT IN FAVOR OF 1-SHOT WATCHER BEING A CONSISTENT ROLE I *WILL* SELF VOTE
btw the offer still stands
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Post Post #3461 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:41 pm

Post by Luca Blight »

I'm going to re-read Psyche again to either reaffirm or reconsider my read there, I think that's the best thing I can do right now.
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Post Post #3462 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:42 pm

Post by Luca Blight »

In post 3460, Gypyx wrote:
In post 2380, Gypyx wrote: LITTERALLY IF ANYONE MANAGES TO MAKE A GOOD ARGUMENT IN FAVOR OF 1-SHOT WATCHER BEING A CONSISTENT ROLE I *WILL* SELF VOTE
btw the offer still stands

other games have had one-shot watchers, so why wouldn't it be a possible role?
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Post Post #3463 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:46 pm

Post by Thomith »

Votecount 3.14
Votecount 3.14


Gypyx (3):
Psyche, Black, JacksonVirgo
E-2

Psyche (2):
Gypyx, Hu Tao
OutWorldER (2):
ketchup777, Luca Blight

Not Voting (1):
OutWorldER

With 8 Alive, it takes 5 to secure an execution, and 4 to secure a no execution.


Day Three ends in (expired on 2024-02-19 03:52:11)



Mod Notes
Combined Mod ISO is Here
OutWorldER is V/La until further notice, but at least until Monday
thomith could be a court jester

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Post Post #3464 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:47 pm

Post by Gypyx »

In post 3462, Luca Blight wrote:
In post 3460, Gypyx wrote:
In post 2380, Gypyx wrote: LITTERALLY IF ANYONE MANAGES TO MAKE A GOOD ARGUMENT IN FAVOR OF 1-SHOT WATCHER BEING A CONSISTENT ROLE I *WILL* SELF VOTE
btw the offer still stands

other games have had one-shot watchers, so why wouldn't it be a possible role?
i think i'm not really making myself understood

my point is that it's already a lot of swing on it's own, and even more when paired with a vig

besides i personally don't recall seeing any setup with this so that's certainely impacting my reads

actually hold on i'm searching the normal archives
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Post Post #3465 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:51 pm

Post by Luca Blight »

Mini Normal 2193: Setup:
Vanilla Townie x5, Town Neighborizer, Town Friendly Neighbor, Town 1-shot Vigilante, Town 2-shot Watcher vs Mafia Goon, Mafia Informed (this game has a Watcher), Mafia Tracker
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Post Post #3466 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:55 pm

Post by Gypyx »

Mini 2149 indeed had a town 1-shot watcher with + vig + odd night gunsmith + doctor, which yes i have to admit this looks somewhat similar to our setup, scum had a N3 jailkeeper and a Full watcher to compensate so it is my full expectation that the watcher was *supposed* to look scummy here

Mini 2137 had a 1-shot Watcher 1-shot Bulletproof which i'm counting as similar enough
the setup was : Vanilla Townie x5, Town 1-shot Observer x2, Town 1-shot Weak Follower, Town 1-shot Bulletproof 1-shot Watcher, Town Jailkeeper vs Mafia Goon x2, Mafia 1-shot Observer

and that's it

in the whole 2300 normal mafia games
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Post Post #3467 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:56 pm

Post by Gypyx »

In post 3465, Luca Blight wrote: Mini Normal 2193: Setup:
Vanilla Townie x5, Town Neighborizer, Town Friendly Neighbor, Town 1-shot Vigilante, Town 2-shot Watcher vs Mafia Goon, Mafia Informed (this game has a Watcher), Mafia Tracker
2 shot is miles different from 1-shot, like, that's DOUBLE the power
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Post Post #3468 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 8:59 pm

Post by Gypyx »

i'm litterally gonna search through the game review archives if that's what it takes
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Post Post #3469 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:00 pm

Post by Luca Blight »

In post 3467, Gypyx wrote:
In post 3465, Luca Blight wrote: Mini Normal 2193: Setup:
Vanilla Townie x5, Town Neighborizer, Town Friendly Neighbor, Town 1-shot Vigilante, Town 2-shot Watcher vs Mafia Goon, Mafia Informed (this game has a Watcher), Mafia Tracker
2 shot is miles different from 1-shot, like, that's DOUBLE the power

So it could be argued, then, that's it's too strong, as it's very likely to catch scum who kill the conf-town vig.

I don't like basing things so heavily on setup spec, as it doesn't tend to end well. We've now established that it's not an impossibility that Psyche could be a Watcher. End of discussion.
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Post Post #3470 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:00 pm

Post by Gypyx »

it's not been published

/tableflip
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Post Post #3471 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:01 pm

Post by Gypyx »

In post 3469, Luca Blight wrote:
In post 3467, Gypyx wrote:
In post 3465, Luca Blight wrote: Mini Normal 2193: Setup:
Vanilla Townie x5, Town Neighborizer, Town Friendly Neighbor, Town 1-shot Vigilante, Town 2-shot Watcher vs Mafia Goon, Mafia Informed (this game has a Watcher), Mafia Tracker
2 shot is miles different from 1-shot, like, that's DOUBLE the power

So it could be argued, then, that's it's too strong, as it's very likely to catch scum who kill the conf-town vig.

I don't like basing things so heavily on setup spec, as it doesn't tend to end well. We've now established that it's not an impossibility that Psyche could be a Watcher. End of discussion.
yeah ok that's fair i guess
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Post Post #3472 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:06 pm

Post by Gypyx »

i really should stop typing i think
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Post Post #3473 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:27 pm

Post by Gypyx »

btw a world like me / psyche / black isn't possible anymore since we would just hammer outworld

i think ketchup already went over it? idk
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Post Post #3474 (ISO) » Sun Feb 11, 2024 9:39 pm

Post by Gypyx »

i am ordering every living player to come in this thread and help me fullfil my mafia addiction
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