Hoopla wrote:
Now time to hedge my bets with an Empking vote.
Really, because as much fun as surveys are I like my RVS.
Hoopla wrote:
You're ever 'convinced about scum' on Day 1?Ojanen wrote:3. What do you think is the optimum number of lynches for Day 1?
It depends whether I get good reads/convinced about scum. 1-2 seems reasonable. Hoopla's commentary seemed reasonable, but I haven't thought about this closely yet.
So how have you're reads in recent games been? How can we expect you to play in this game?Ojanen wrote:5. Sum up your playstyle in one sentence.
For someone with my persona, mafia is an interesting exercise in overcompensation and rolling from aggressive to uselessly cautious and sympathetic and back depending on confidence/accuracy of reads in recent games.
You thought that was a genuine attempt to get Emp lynched? Really? Wow...mykonian wrote: The third player and second on my scumlist, q21 made the one vote that I disliked. Empking. If we want to lynch him, we'll get there, but this way was plain wrong.
I find this to be an unnaturally overt and definite statement for this early in the game, therefore, to test it a little I'm going to:populartajo wrote:In other news, both hoops and myko are obvtown and shouldnt be lynched ever. Voting for one of these guys is now considered a scumtell.
mykonian wrote:unvote vote Q21
I didn't assumed you were a fool, I did exactly the opposite. I know you aren't a fool, I know that you're logical and intelligent and when you need to be you're manipulative. I knew that to get a genuine response out of you (rather than one made calmly and couched in all sorts of logic and whatnot) I had to do something you really weren't expecting.mykonian wrote:QFT.Ojanen wrote:This post by q21 is scummy.q21 wrote:Actually, Myk, that post wasn't to test pop's response. You're right, if it was I did it badly - completely gave the game away. It was to test yours. I had a slight scum read on you for the ckd case that I disagree with (as stated with my vote) and was looking for a way to either strengthen or weaken that.The knee-jerk OMGUS vote strengthens it.
The description of mykonian's instant no explanation vote as knee-jerk omgus assumes mykonian to be an idiot barely able to control his actions at all. That is not an accurate nor a townish assumption. mykonian was obviously looking for a reaction in a way that has some chance of having effect, (or pretending to do so if he was scum), contrary to q21's "hi this vote is because I want to see a reaction" (whether he would have been looking for a reaction from tajo or myko, saying that one is looking for a reaction pretty much collapses the wave).
Labeling the reaction as knee-jerk omgus is hitting an easy buzzword that only someone thinking of the game very shallowly would use in this instance. I find it hard to believe q21 is sincere about scumhunting here.
unvote
vote: q21
Esspecially since I explained my vote in the next post and went back to my original case.
Q21 reaction (OMGUS!) is twisting what was going on, assumes I'm a fool (while he knows I'm not: he was the one nominating me for this scummy) etc. It makes no sense. Unless you are scum and you hope the word "OMGUS" is going to convince people.
unvote vote Q21
Firstly Myk, there's a difference between lurking and literally not being able to post. Secondly, I didn't lurk when I got under pressure in that game - I played consistently at the same (admittedly low) level of activity throughout - a result of LA for nearly the entire duration of the game. Things I managed to achieve in that game despite not have much access.mykonian wrote:Vollkan makes a good point: in a game with this kind of players, we shouldn't be distracted by the one or two weird players we have. We should lynch scum. If Empking is scum, we'll lynch him. If he isn't, we'll keep him. No need to make the game easier for scum by lynching people who we think to be likely town.
With the amount of support for a Q21 lynch, if nothing changes after this prod (remember me, Q21, didn't you lurk too in our game when you got under pressure?), I think we should lynch him. There is no need waiting for the deadline, as we can discuss after the lynch. Further, this frees the game up for discussion about the amount of lynches, wagon analysis (without one person already killed) etc. I think that if Q21 can't convince us now we are completely wrong, he won't ever. Better get it done then in stead of letting the game drag out. There is no penalty, as we aren't shortening the day.
Personally I'd rather lynch Kinetic. He wasted vast chunks of the day trying to get Empking policy lynched. That expenditure of time and space is a significant portion of the reason that we're in this deadline rush for a lynch. Yes, I know the other significant portion of the reason is my inactivity, difference is that I didn't have a choice in that.populartajo wrote:FTR, Q21 (who is obviously telling the truth in the killing department, not so sure about the alignment) needs to shoot Kinetic. TIA.
This, I've come to realize, is true too.Ojanen wrote:At least the reason "Kinetic wasted time for going on and on about Empking policy lynch" is terri, terri,terribad btw (hint: if you think it's a waste of time to discuss, blame not the answerer).
populartajo wrote:No it wasnt. Even if Kin is town I needed his flip. The townies that were in his wagon needed that too.Hoopla wrote:Fucking hell. That was seriously a bad lynch.
Lynching Incog is stupid regardless of Kin's alignment.
Spyrex is an awesone lynch BTW.
VOTE: SPYREX.
GOGOGOGO SIZE 200 WAGON
Am I reading this right? Because if I am there is a glaring contradiction going on. First post he's saying that regardless of Kinetic's flip an Incog lynch is stupid... second post he seems to be saying that before we decide whether we're lynching Incognito we need Kinetic's flip... which he's just said should have no baring on whether or not we lynch Incog. Says an Incognito lynch doesn't depend on Kinetic's flip, then says it does. Yeah. Contradiction.populartajo wrote:No.mykonian wrote:VOTE: incognito
Lets get that piece of information for tomorrow. Hoopla, lets see if your theory was right. In case both wagons were on town, you will still lynch more accurately tomorrow (as you don't have to assume anything about the Incognito) . If one proves to be on scum you have a lot of information (scum having to pick between both lynches).
Otherwise, I would support a whole series of lynches tomorrow. There are a few townreads that are quite uncontested: these are valuable. Multiple lynches will protect them for endgame.
Stop being silly. We need the Kinetic flip first.
First, I think Incog softclaimed PR. Let him do (or fake) his work tonight.
Second, making a hasty lynch that depends on the flip of the other wagon will only give erroneus reads on the long term.
We should lynch obvscum Spyrex. God. Please.
This point is valid if and only if I'd failed to return to help finish Kinetic off. I'm back, but the chance to hammer (or L-1) Kinetic is gone, therefore my unvote on Kinetic is null.curiouskarmadog wrote:I think you are missing my point...if Kinetic flips scum that unvote and such a late date says something does it not?...so get off my fucking back about paying attention, I was just making a note.Ojanen wrote: What the hell were you complaining about, ckd, on q21 switching when you weren't voting either wagon? pay attention.
You did it again. Incog lynch is "entirely dependent" on the Kinetic flip and then you say you think Incog is town, seemingly independent of the Kinetic flip.populartajo wrote:Kin wrote:Lets spot the contradiction here. You don't want a Incog lynch, as we need the Kinetic flip, but you need a spyrex lynch? Come on, who are you fooling?The Incog lynch is entirely dependant of the Kinetic flip.If Kin flips scum would you lynch Incog? Spyrex lynch is not based on the Kinetic flip. Its based on the fact that he is obvscum.
Why do I feel am I the only one reading the thread?myko wrote:Further, I absolutely HATE that you are claiming a PR for him here. 1. you shouldn't be powerrole hunting. Scum only does 2. If he is a powerrole, he clearly doesn't want to be outed. 3. if he wants everybody to know, he'll claim
Hoopla wrote:Yeah.populartajo wrote:Are you saying I am scum, Hoopz?
Lynching Incog today is stupid because we dont have the Kin flip. It entirely dependes on the flip and the information it gives us about the players on the wagons. My position should be clear in the last post. I can understand why you think there is a contradiction there.q21 wrote:Am I reading this right?"Lynching Incog is stupid regardless of Kin's alignment" means that I think Incog is town and that his lynch is stupid imo.
*derp*Hoopla wrote:The 50% +1 rule. 15 players means 8 to lynch. 14 means 8 to lynch also, as 7 would be half.q21 wrote:Question... If Kinetic's dead... why does it still take 8 to lynch?
q21 wrote:populartajo wrote:No it wasnt. Even if Kin is town I needed his flip. The townies that were in his wagon needed that too.Hoopla wrote:Fucking hell. That was seriously a bad lynch.
Lynching Incog is stupid regardless of Kin's alignment.
Spyrex is an awesone lynch BTW.
VOTE: SPYREX.
GOGOGOGO SIZE 200 WAGONAm I reading this right? Because if I am there is a glaring contradiction going on. First post he's saying that regardless of Kinetic's flip an Incog lynch is stupid... second post he seems to be saying that before we decide whether we're lynching Incognito we need Kinetic's flip... which he's just said should have no baring on whether or not we lynch Incog. Says an Incognito lynch doesn't depend on Kinetic's flip, then says it does. Yeah. Contradiction.populartajo wrote:No.mykonian wrote:VOTE: incognito
Lets get that piece of information for tomorrow. Hoopla, lets see if your theory was right. In case both wagons were on town, you will still lynch more accurately tomorrow (as you don't have to assume anything about the Incognito) . If one proves to be on scum you have a lot of information (scum having to pick between both lynches).
Otherwise, I would support a whole series of lynches tomorrow. There are a few townreads that are quite uncontested: these are valuable. Multiple lynches will protect them for endgame.
Stop being silly. We need the Kinetic flip first.
First, I think Incog softclaimed PR. Let him do (or fake) his work tonight.
Second, making a hasty lynch that depends on the flip of the other wagon will only give erroneus reads on the long term.
We should lynch obvscum Spyrex. God. Please.
Pointed these out at the end of Day 1, but there was no chance I was getting a tajo lynch through then. Now though, its worth the pursuing, I think. His play has felt different to the town-tajo I've played with before and he's had some other minor scumminess, but this to me is the stand out point.q21 wrote:You did it again. Incog lynch is "entirely dependent" on the Kinetic flip and then you say you think Incog is town, seemingly independent of the Kinetic flip.populartajo wrote:Kin wrote:Lets spot the contradiction here. You don't want a Incog lynch, as we need the Kinetic flip, but you need a spyrex lynch? Come on, who are you fooling?The Incog lynch is entirely dependant of the Kinetic flip.If Kin flips scum would you lynch Incog? Spyrex lynch is not based on the Kinetic flip. Its based on the fact that he is obvscum.
Why do I feel am I the only one reading the thread?myko wrote:Further, I absolutely HATE that you are claiming a PR for him here. 1. you shouldn't be powerrole hunting. Scum only does 2. If he is a powerrole, he clearly doesn't want to be outed. 3. if he wants everybody to know, he'll claim
Hoopla wrote:Yeah.populartajo wrote:Are you saying I am scum, Hoopz?
Lynching Incog today is stupid because we dont have the Kin flip. It entirely dependes on the flip and the information it gives us about the players on the wagons. My position should be clear in the last post. I can understand why you think there is a contradiction there.q21 wrote:Am I reading this right?"Lynching Incog is stupid regardless of Kin's alignment" means that I think Incog is town and that his lynch is stupid imo.
Yes, I killed Empking.populartajo wrote:You all are doing it wrong.
THE FIRST THING we should have done today was to ask Q21 if he is responsible for the Emp lynch.
SO Ill go ahead and ask Q21 if he is responsible for the Emp lynch. Otherwise please lynch immediately because his cases are obv BS.
I think you mean Kinetic lynch, not the q21 lynch, but that's neither here nor there. If what you're saying here is the case then Pop's objective and subjective reasoning contradict each other - this is not in itself scummy. However, he proceeds to cite both of those contradicting viewpoints in order to respond to others' points, which is scummy.vollkan wrote:I think you've missed Tajo's point.
Objectively, Incog being scum was logically predicated on the result of the Q21 lynch. Subjectively, however, Tajo was against Incog's lynch regardless.
A point you seem to be missing is that we'd already lynched Kinetic before Tajo made any of those posts.vollkan wrote: The first quote states the obvious: that objectively, Incog being scum was predicated on the result of the Kinetic lynch (making it stupid, on the argument that people were making for lynching Incog, not to lynch kinetic first). The first part of the second post just reiterates this, then he goes on to give his personal opinion.
I've been pushing because I wanted this kind of explanation rather than just you saying the point was obv BS. Last question, if your personal opinion was that Incognito was town regardless why turn to the other reasoning to convince people not to lynch him?populartajo wrote:I really dont know what to make of the vollkan defense. Its unexpected but still.
q21, Ive been pretty clear about this. We had already lynched Kinetic but we didnt have his flip.
Having two lynches thattajo wrote:Lynching Incog today is stupid because we dont have the Kin flip. It entirely dependes on the flip and the information it gives us about the players on the wagons. My position should be clear in the last post. I can understand why you think there is a contradiction there. "Lynching Incog is stupid regardless of Kin's alignment" means that I think Incog is town and that his lynch is stupid imo.interconnected one with each otherwhen we didnt have the Kin flip was stupid. People thought Kin was town for his selfhammer. I didnt. We needed his flip so people that thought Incog was scum could go all in with the lynch. But what if Kin flipped scum. We would have lynched Incog because we assumed something. We didnt even need to rush things because it was day 1. Thats why Incog lynch was dependant of the Kin flip and not a 100% Incogscum situation as some people tried to paint.
Now from my point of view, Lynching Incog is stupid regardless of Kin's alignment, means that I think Incog is town and that his lynch is stupid imo.
Those two things are different. I understand why you think there is a contradiction there but I hope its clear now. You pushing and poshing this dead horse isnt helping what we are talking about now.
There is also the fact that he asked me to kill Emp if Kinetic flipped town. As scum he'd know that Kinetic would flip town, so basically that post was a flat out request for me to kill his scumbuddy.Incognito wrote:Oh one other thing that I wanted to mention that I forgot to include in the above post: I can see where Ojanen might get the "SpyreX vote on Empking right before deadline thing being a town-tell", but I'm leaning towards thinking that's more likely to be a null-tell. If SpyreX is scum, I don't think he would have realistically expected that wagon to suddenly rise off the ground even with the unexplained vote made by Emp on Kinetic - there just wasn't enough time for people to switch, the town was seeming fairly apathetic for most of Day 1, and it would have forced way too many people to eat their words for the wagon to actually become viable. Also, Empking flipped Goon, so he'd be more bus-bait than an Empking-scum PR. If Empking DID flip a scum PR, I would probably put more weight into Spy's switch being a potential town-tell.
To start with there's this where he's calling himself out for something in the hope, I think, that therefore no one else will call him out for it and the situation will blow over.imaginality wrote:Why I don't have any votes on me I'm not sure. In a short-deadline game like this, consistent activity is pretty important. DING, hypocrisy? No: I wasn't lurking strategically but I accept that even non-scummy lurking is antitown, and if need be I'll seek replacement rather than slip behind again.
Reading up now.
This seems slightly incongruous with this:imaginality wrote: * q21's random-vote for Empking seems slightly weaselly, hoping for a policy-based wagon to start up?
He moves from joking to more serious suspicion. My feeling is that he's trying to add as much validity as he can to the q21 vote he makes very shortly after this.imaginality wrote:random votes with smileys are 17.4%* more likely to come from scum trying to make people like them.q21 wrote:Now time to hedge my bets with an Empking vote.
*Objective accuracy of statistic is not guaranteed in all countries. Consult your local soothsayer.
Tow things about this post. One is that its a defence of Empking. The other is that the plan he suggests has a significant flaw in it: It will slow down lynches. Even if the second (actual) lynch happens relatively quickly this plan still requires that someone receive a majority of votesimaginality wrote:Kinetic, earlier you said: "I do think its inevitable that [Empking] will be lynched even if its not today." So it seems your concern about leaving him 'til D2 or so boils down to the "it distracts from scumhunting" angle. I just don't see why that should be the case. With single lynch games, it wastes a day. With this game, it's easy enough to say, "blah blah, vote X, oh and p.s. empking is still useless, let's lynch him too". It's just whereas for some players, our attitude D2 will be "we will lynch you if you're scummy, but not lynch you if you're neutralish or pro-town," with Empking it might well be a higher threshold, more of a, "we will lynch you if you're scummy or neutralish, but not lynch you if you're highly pro-town." It's not using policy-lynching instead of in-game knowledge, it's using it to judge whether the in-game knowledge is sufficiently strong in his case for him to avoid being lynched.
To further reduce possibilities of discussion being derailed, we might want to consider pseudo-voting tomorrow; it could make sense in this setup anyhow. We can all pseudo-vote/unvote multiple players if we want to, and once any player gets enough pseudovotes to hit the lynch threshold, we lynch them for real. That will make it easier to spot any scum players who use "let's lynch Empking" as an alternative to scumhunting or listing other suspects.
Or are you worried that a cop will have an innocent result on him and we'll have to let him stay alive and he'll lose it for town in endgame? I imagine our cop, if we have one, will investigate someone else, to avoid exactly that dilemma.
In any case, if you want him lynched today, why not come help us lynch q21 first and then we can talk more.
You're only starting to have your doubts about Spyrex here? Then explain for me this post from 4 days earlier:imaginality wrote:Unvote
Incognito's not scum. I wanted to see how he and others responded to this wagon on him. His response feels pretty genuine to me.
I think Ojanen's post is good, and I'm keen to read the 'more stuff' in her next post, especially re. SpyreX = town. I looked back on another game I was in with him and he was more active and helpful as town in that one, so I'm starting to have my doubts about him here.
More from me later.
Seconding a demand from someone who was adamant that Spyrex was scum would imply that you were at this point at least a little suspicious of Spyrex.imaginality wrote:Seconded.populartajo wrote:Myko, I want that damn reason about Spyrextown in your next post.
The two paragraphs in the middle. Picks one scum right and one scum wrong - notably its the scum PR that he picks wrong... This is exactly the kind of play I expect from scum. When the scumbuddy you picked right flips scum it gives more credence to your town read on the other.imaginality wrote:Ran short of time this weekend, grr. The more from me will be tomorrow. For now, I'm happy to see Tenchi lynched:
Vote: Tenchi
Agree with the posts above: ckd's self-vote feels genuine. I'm definitely not in favour of lynching Ojanen either, and I have no desire to lynch q21 (though there's still a possible SK concern there, so he's worth keeping an eye on). Not so strongly town about Hoopla but think there plenty scummier players to occupy us today at least.
I think at least one of Slicey and SpyreX is scum but probably not both, and I lean much more towards Slicey there; happy to lynch him.
I think probably one of myko or Vollkan is scum, and lean slightly more towards myko. Also I noticed Empking speak up in myko's defence at one point and I think he's more likely to have done that for a scumbuddy.
Kmd and tajo I'm feeling fairly neutral about. Between the two of them I'd lynch Kmd first.
Can we see this case now? Or do you not actually have a case?imaginality wrote:I'm going to leave it for now while we focus on getting a few more obvious lynches done today.mykonian wrote: Where is my case? If you don't want to post it, you can leave it, but you are going to say something about it.
Not really. I was pretty much guaranteed to kill again that night. If she'd guarded me she could have ended up giving her life for what would essentially be a VT.Incognito wrote:Well, after the Empking killing and Slicey lynching, I'd think you the claimed Vig would probably be a pretty decent person to protect.
But then why was there no scum kill night 1?Kmd4390 wrote:Huh?Hoopla wrote:tajo is a jailkeeper.
No, he's a watcher or tracker.
siggedSpyreX wrote:While I actually get to pat myself on the back this game some I can't not give mad props to the murderbot 9000 that was q21.
Well done.