Okay...this game moves fast. I ended up not traveling today because my computer is still being repaired, and now I am using my parents' computer, but my dad is rushing me so he can raid.
(Finally finished...started the read-through about eight hours ago.)
First, I apologize because I got way behind in this game because of other games, and catching up has been a bit of a pain. UK called it with "10 pages of chaff," and I agree because reading through it all is...slow going. Sorting through Zwet's claim and Tans' walls of self-defense and LMP's huge walls of quotes is tedious. However, I finally picked over it enough to find something and it seems to have picked up in the past few pages, so yay on both counts.
Next, I still had an RVS vote on CT, and after rereading everything, I feel fine keeping it there.
Abstract
(aka TL;DR)
Overall, CT is being exceedingly cautious in his play and indicates he’s looking for a good wagon to settle on. His later postings definitely demonstrate that he’s preparing to jump from Zwet’s wagon to MPR’s and is just looking for the right opportunity to make the switch as others migrate in that direction. He’s tunneled on Zwet so hard for so long that he can’t just up and unvote, so he’s dropping hints about his suspicions of MPR so that no one accuses him of vote-hopping. In each post he is careful not to nail himself down to anything, even his vote on Zwet, whom he has maintained is guilty almost from the beginning, allowing himself room to maneuver without drawing undue attention to that maneuvering. Also, he makes an interesting slip in post #148, which I address below in Point D.
Evidence
A)
The way he responds to Zwet’s first vote on him is, in tone,a lot more serious than required.
Coach Travis wrote:Giving you a second vote is hardly bandwagoning, and
either way it's at least as likely for town to bandwagon as it is for scum
. The fact you're already so worried about getting lynched you're resorting to an OMGUS vote makes you look worse than you did before.
Bolded area is a superfluous qualification of the first clause. Read his posts and look for this type of language; you'll find it in abundance.
B)
His analysis of Zwet in Post #148 is also full of qualifying information; he retracts his accusations about the BW being scummy, because of what other people say about it and about his reaction.
Coach Travis wrote: Though reading more posts about it I can see how I overreacted a bit, and it's not a scum tell, so I won't just judge him on that.
C)
Also in Post #148, he suggests Tans and Zwet are scumbuddies who are distancing. He then says
Coach Travis wrote: Right now I think I'll leave vote on zwet, because I find them equally scummy, so there's no need to change it.
(Coming back to this in point E.)
D)
Another gem in this post (148):
Coach Travis wrote: Tanstalus wrote: @everyone, what alignment is most likely to not pay attention to detail in posts?
Townie, because mafia need to pay attention to everything they say, to make sure they don't do something stupid to get caught, so they're focus is a bit more defensive, where townies are more focused catching scum, so they tend not to worry as much about defense.
At first I thought this post was about
reading
; then I realized it’s about WRITING. The most interesting thing about this, though, is that it’s a response to Tanstalus’s quote about READING (Post #141), as indicated by the rest of the quote:
Tanstalus wrote:If you are town you are scouring everyones posts for the smallest tell.
I think it’s interesting that CT is thinking of being careful not in reading, but in writing, to the point that he misreads the question and responds based on the misread. This misunderstanding of Tans' question is an unusual slip and reveals what CT is being careful about in the game.
E)
In post #219, CT decides to defend Tans for "flailing." Now that others have used this word and this analogy, he backs off his claim in Post #148 which basically found Tans very scummy for flailing.
F)
In Post # 266, he has this to say.
Coach Travis wrote: Basically, there's a chance [Tans] is fact just a sloppy scum, but right now I don't feel that way and think zwet would be the much better lynch, because he seems more in control of himself, and looks like he's deliberately playing scummy, which I don't like.
I also agree about lurking being a big problem, and if I wasn't so convinced zwet was scum, I'd consider voting MPR as well, just because he needs to contribute something soon. In other news, I'm liking Dekes so far, so there's someone else I could add to my list of town reads. Right now my only strong scum read is zwet, but I'm not liking the inaction from MPR, and anyone I haven't mentioned could potentially be scum, but I still haven't had enough time to look into them.
It looks like he is still going to push the Zwet vote, but is leaving room to—or perhaps preparing to—jump wagons if he needs to do so. Phrasings like “there’s a chance” and “If I wasn’t so convinced…I’d consider voting…” and “anyone I haven’t mentioned” are also suspect. He’s again indicating that we shouldn’t be surprised to see him jump wagons if someone else gets a good wagon going on another player.
G)
Coach Travis wrote:And yeah, I get that zwet may be similar in his other games, but just in general the way he comes off I'm not liking at all, and with that type of player I'd always prefer to have them lynched because even if he's town I'm not finding him terribly helpful, and so far he's done nothing to make me think he's town. I've never got the point of playing mafia if you're going to be that deliberately unhelpful. MPR's fishing is getting ridiculous though, so I'm also suspicious of him.
This still looks like he’s balancing between two people who are receiving negative attention right now, which again indicates he’s looking for the best wagon.
I just woke up...late night last night.
