Zang wrote:TaRhalindur wrote:I see you still haven't figured it out. HINT: We're not lynching Snake today, period. That's just optimal play. Go looking for the player you think is second most likely to be scum.
What would be the point of me switching my vote to somebody else that "isn't going to be lynched today"? Besides, I already know my second and third picks for scum and if a large wagon builds up on them then I will switch my vote. Until then, I'm voting for who I think is scummiest.
Read the thread again carefully and you'll know the answer.
Zang wrote:TaRhalindur wrote:Do you think Nexus is scum?
I already answered this.
Whoops, I didn't see it when I was reading the post you replied to it in. Sorry about that.
MagnaofIllusion wrote:MOD – I’ll be V/LA from today at 4pm EST (aka now) until Monday morning for my usual weekend duties.
Bv310 has solildified himself as theoretical Vigbait with his active lurking. I know funerals happen but his activity this game has been below my standards even for low performing BV.
Nexus’s VT claim pretty much solidifies we need to lynch either him or Snake today. Continually drawing VT claims helps solidify scum’s ability to hit Power Roles if both are Town or allows scum to blend in by claiming VT themselves (or perhaps already has).
This is good logic. It means that we are lynching Nexus today, period, because unless I'm seriously misreading something I saw earlier Snake is a completely unacceptable lynch today. The only thing that could change that would be a retraction from a certain player, and I'm not seeing it.
MagnaofIllusion wrote:Zang wrote:Actually this makes me think. What if there are more than one doctors such as the newest doctor in this game then it would make more sense if the 10th doctor is scum or a fake claim. Especially, sense it was specified that he was the tenth doctor instead of just the doctor.
Aside from the slight role-fishing (which could easily be unintentional) this is a good point about Snake’s specifc claim being the 10th Doctor.
This is correct, and if I see another Doctor claim the solidity of Snake's role name claim goes down considerably. It still doesn't affect reason 2 for not lynching Snake today.
Nexus wrote:I don't understand why you think the Tenth Doctor would be only a VT, but Wilfred wouldn't? :S
Also, as I have spent the day saying, my second lynch preference would be Surye. It always has been.
Nice strawman (Wilfred is a more believable Vanilla than the Tenth Doctor, but then claiming vanilla is easily the shakiest part of Snake's claim). The problem with your claim is that Wilfred is a likely candidate for being a scum safeclaim (not THE obvious suspect under WWTD, but pretty close), whereas the most likely way Snake is scum (in the absence of another regeneration of the Doctor appearing, at least) is if flavor allows him to be trueclaiming Tenth Doctor and still be scum.
I'm not sure whether to be worried by the Surye-scum read given that he's the second largest wagon or not. Probably a null tell, there's good reasons either way.
bv310 wrote:Okay, I caught up with what I missed. I'm willing to say that Nexus is likely Town, but his reactions at his wagon so far have been extremely scummy. Looking at his iso, he goes from trying to start a counterwagon, to weakly defending a case, to flat-out aggression, to flailing. I'll be willing to vote him once it gets a bit closer to deadline, since I feel like there's a bit more conversation that we can extract first.
Maybe we should deal with Nexus tomorrow after all.
I mean, seriously. "I think player X is likely town but I'm willing to vote him once it gets closer to deadline", "more conversation that we can extract" (lengthening the day to add confusion or to extract more claims, I wonder, I wonder), summary of Nexus iso instead of analysis... oh, and lurking. Can't forget the lurking.
Like hell you're town. The only reason I'm not asking for your head on a platter immediately is because Nexus is ALSO scum and we only get one lynch a day. So I'll get your head on a platter tomorrow. (Or the rest of the town should I be killed overnight.)
HoS: bv310