Tarson seems to have flaked and I don't believe we can wait any longer for him, we need ample time for everyone to soak up and respond to the massive influx of information this mass-claim wll provide so I'll skip ahead and Tarson can claim in his next post if he doesn't get replaced out.
Seraphims doc save target claims are N1: Juls. N2: ToD. N3: CES (He claims he was roleblocked when the kill occured). ToD claims VT. Gaoth is a 1-Shot Mason recruiter and masoned me N1. I was originally a VT.
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Yeah, this is going to seem as if it came out of almost nowhere similar to the Gorilla push the other day but I assure you it's not 'random'. I strongly, very strongly believe that Seraphim is mafia and Magua I need you to set me straight if you think I'm wrong. Here's why I believe Seraphim is mafia:
1. His Claim:
He hard PR claimed yesterday, like HARDCORE yet he didn't die, instead SpyreX did who was soft claiming cop. Seraphim claims that mafia have a roleblocker, why would mafia not just roleblock SpyreX and shoot Seraphim? The SpyreX death makes sense for really only one reason - Seraphim only just joined the QT therefore SpyreX not dying or a mason dying would lead towards him being interrogated and questioned about why he didn't protect us like SpyreX asked him to. Also something else to note he never suggested or considered the possibility of being shot last night however he did say he may have been rolecopped.
2. His 'Plan':
When joining the QT he constantly repeated that he had a plan, a plan that would catch 1-2 mafia almost for sure. I asked him what this plan was multiple times, he said he wanted more peoples opinions on it before following through. Time passed and he changed his mind and said he'll out it just before daybreak. Just before daybreak he says he has changed his mind and that the plan would involve mass-claiming and hoping there's more unclaimed PRs alive. Mass-claim occurs, he states there's far too many PR claims and that we should auto-lynch Bowser due to it. So he cancelled the plan because of no other PR claims, he gets more PR claims and the plans not on nor does he mention it again. I finally reminded him of it again, apparently his all so special plan was to fake claim role blocker and see peoples reactions though I fail to see how that would gain any real reactions because even if mafia have a RB, there's nothing preventing town from having one as well.
3. His Saves:
He claims he saved CES N3, read through D3, he states he has LOTS of strong town-reads, CES is never one of them. In fact CES isn't even on the scum lynch wagon, if you just lynched your first mafia in the game what motivation is there to save off-wagon as doctor, especially to save a lurker off-wagon. He acts shocked when CES dies and flips tracker, he stated in the QT that he believes the death may mean that mafia have a rolecop however that would mean that he himself didn't believe CES was a power-role which brings up the question, why did he save him? So I questioned him about it, he says he thought CES was 'blindingly obviously a PR', yet also says he believes mafia 'got lucky hitting him, or 85% chance rolecopped him'. None of that makes any sense. If he was blindingly obvious it wouldn't be a lucky shot nor would it have to be rolecopped. Not just that, if he was blindingly obviously a PR why did he not save CES on N1/N2? Well, lets see D3. CES votes Gaoth no talking like normal, changes to Para, asks Gorilla why he picked me and went V/LA. Yep blindingly obvious PR.
4. Setup speculation:
Feel free to ignore this point completely if you want but I believe it's valid and considering Serraphim was saying similar logic was very valid and logical inside the QT I'm interesting in his response to this. BG died - That's one protective power-role. BP has claimed - That's another night death preventable role. JOAT has claimed - With a doc healing power. I do not believe there's a BG + BP + Doctor + JOAT (Doc shot) in the setup, it's far too much protective roles. Just alone the addition of BP + Doc + BG seems too heavy protective sided.
5. His play prior to the claim:
Nothing, seriously nothing about it rings town, he was one of my strongest suspects before his claim and now that I don't think his claim is a town-tell at all but the opposite I'm sure he's scum.
Overall his intent and actions make no sense whatsoever, he claims to have hardclaimed a PR to warn us that there's a roleblocker in the setup as if that's some form of useful information while knowing that his actions would lead towards him being a night-kill target which a doctor would strongly avoid. So, I ask all of you to join me on this Seraphim lynch today, if it's wrong you can halt from following me on future days and lynch Bowser tomorrow since they almost directly counter-claim each other but please join me here. It's not just that I believe Seraphim is scum but also that Bowsers claim DOES indeed add up, reading through D1 he states strong suspicion of Nintendo, this completely, completely halts from occurring on N2 and so forth, knowing Bowser he's not one to stop tunneling as scum but only stop doing so due to an investigation telling him he's wrong.
Vote: Seraphim
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Town without a doubt:
Magua, Gaoth.
Group A (1 Scum inside):
Bowser, Seraphim, Gorilla.
Group B (1 Scum inside):
DemonHybrid, Tarson, Nikanor, ToD.
Likely teams being the case:
A. BowserScum: 1. Bowser + Tarson - Possibe. 2. Bowser + Nikanor. - Unlikely. 3. Bowser + DemonHybrid. - Unlikely. 4. Bowser + ToD - Possible.
B. SeraphimScum: 5. Seraphim + DemonHybrid. - Unlikely. 6. Seraphim + Nikanor. - Unlikely. 7. Seraphim + Tarson - Probable. 8. Seraphim + ToD - Probable.
C. GorillaScum: 9. Gorilla + DemonHybrid. - Unlikely. 10. Gorilla + Tarson - Impossible. 11. Gorilla + ToD. - Unlikely. 12. Gorilla + Nikanor - Unlikely.
Overall - Gorilla is town removing C and Nikanor and DemonHybrid are unlikely scum. That means:
Town (Strongest to weakest):
Gaoth, Magua, Gorilla, DemonHybrid, Nikanor.
Mafia: (Strongest to weakest):
Seraphim, Tarson, ToD, Bowser.
Most likely scum teams are Seraphim + Tarson or Seraphim + ToD, alternatively if my Seraphim read is wrong then Bowser + ToD or Bowser + Tarson.
