Open 12 - Masons & Monks (ABANDONED) - before 405
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ac1983fan Mafia Scum
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Nightfall Mafia Scum
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ac1983fan Mafia Scum
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Nightfall Mafia Scum
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scotmany12 Mafia Scum
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Um, how did you know that a mason was eliminated. The mod never stated that VitaminR was a mason, or I am not seeing where it was stated.ac1983fan wrote:thank god, i wasn't killed night one. Alright, so now that we have one of the masons eliminated, that leaves us with 3 two-person groups. If one person claims to be monk and the person they say is there partner vouches for them, then we know that they either are the monks, werewolves, or mafia.-
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Patrick Rantbuddy
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scotmany12 Mafia Scum
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Simenon Entitled
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Simenon Entitled
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mole die suck die
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ac1983fan Mafia Scum
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Well, yes, i knew that, but the first crosskill both ways will fail (that'swhat the mod said, at least). So, if the mafia tries to kill werewolves and the werewolves kill a townie, will still be in a trouble spot.Nightfall wrote:You know that the mafia and the wolves arent alligned together right?
At that stage they would be more likely wantiing to target each other.-
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BrizzyBoi Goon
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IH Always Scum
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You guys do realize that Ac pretty much was wanting a mass claim? There's a mason claim out, if the monks claim, the remainder have to be vanilla's/Scum/wolves.
That's not even counting possibly clearing a wolf/scum from there claims that could be true.
= (Untrod Tripod (7:27:18 PM): you enjoy whoring
xcaykex (7:27:24 PM): yes
xcaykex (7:27:26 PM): i know that-
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pevergreen Townie
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Simenon Entitled
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Ugh, I wasn't thinking. I thought "wow, if he didn't know his mason partner died, he must not be a mason!" But now I remember that he is uncountered, making that completely silly.mole wrote:Obvious, why? We already covered "claiming mason wasn't a good move and it doesn't confirm your innocence" last page.
Unvote, Vote ac1983-
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Twito Mafia Scum
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Then again no one has counterclaim. If someone would we could trade one townie to one scum.ac1983fan wrote:Well, how do we know he is really a mason? he could be mafia or werewolf just pretending to be mason in order to protect himself. of course, since there's no cops in this game, it will be harder to figure out who's scum and who's town.
You are a moron. Why not vote the one making the claim then btw?ac1983fan wrote:I don't believe claims this early in the game. Any1 who does is suspicous to me.
vote:mole
You are a moron. Oops.. Just remembered the topic about being nice to noobs. You might have to re-think that using brain?ac1983fan wrote:whatever, i still don't believe him/her
unvote
Better?
You just gained the moron award againts all odds.scotmany12 wrote:
Um, how did you know that a mason was eliminated. The mod never stated that VitaminR was a mason, or I am not seeing where it was stated.ac1983fan wrote:thank god, i wasn't killed night one. Alright, so now that we have one of the masons eliminated, that leaves us with 3 two-person groups. If one person claims to be monk and the person they say is there partner vouches for them, then we know that they either are the monks, werewolves, or mafia.
I'm still waiting for support to lynch IH. We failed on lynching him page one which is a shame but if we try hard enough now maybe just maybe..Show[color=blue]We are all innocent townies and the mod is an evil bastard laughing at us lynching eachother![/color]
I'm at M├â┬®xico as an exhange student and abit inactive.
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mole die suck die
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So we've got ac two votes from a lynch, and Nightfall three votes from a lynch. It's only page 3 -- should we slow down and figure out justhowunlikely the event of the town being screwed by a bad lynch is?
I'll assume both scum groups kill randomly.
Innocent lynched today:
Both groups crosskill: 2/7 * 2/7 = 4/498.2%
One group crosskills, the other hits a townie: 2 * 2/7 * 5/7 = 20/4940.8%
Both groups kill a townie: 5/7 * 4/7 = 20/4940.8%
Both groups kill the same townie: 5/7 * 1/7 = 5/4910.2%
Mafia lynched today:
Both groups crosskill: 1/7 * 2/8 = 2/563.6%
Mafia hits werewolf, werewolves hit townie: 6/7 * 2/8 = 12/5621.4%
Werewolf hits mafia, mafia hits townie: 1/7 * 6/8 = 6/5610.7%
Both groups kill a townie: 6/7 * 5/8 = 30/5653.6%
Both groups kill the same townie: 6/7 * 1/8 = 6/5610.7%
If we lynch a werewolf the odds are the same as above with mafia and werewolves reversed.-
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mole die suck die
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IH Always Scum
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There's a same chance for both scum hitting townie and no crosskill? I think you did your math wrong Mole. There's also a higher chance of both groups killing the same townie than a cross kill? That should be wrong, because for a scum group they have two targets, right? For both to hit one they should only have one hit.
So it shouldn't be 6/7*1/8 shouldn't be 1/7*2?Untrod Tripod (7:27:18 PM): you enjoy whoring
xcaykex (7:27:24 PM): yes
xcaykex (7:27:26 PM): i know that-
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mole die suck die
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Twito Mafia Scum
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Unvote
Vote: Mole
It's always the scum doing those calculation posts. No guestion about it.Show[color=blue]We are all innocent townies and the mod is an evil bastard laughing at us lynching eachother![/color]
I'm at M├â┬®xico as an exhange student and abit inactive.
thesheamuffin: I'm off to masterbate
Uber Timmy: CAN YOU PLAY ONE HANDED-
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mole die suck die
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Twito Mafia Scum
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Providing % in attempt to look useful is a scumtell. And your % are wrong. I don't give a fuck about those %. We can't affect who scum will nightkill all I'm here to do is lynch scum every day and that's it. You are the scum of the day kthxbai.mole wrote:So you aren't interested in how we're going to get a town win from two powerful mafia groups. Noted.Show[color=blue]We are all innocent townies and the mod is an evil bastard laughing at us lynching eachother![/color]
I'm at M├â┬®xico as an exhange student and abit inactive.
thesheamuffin: I'm off to masterbate
Uber Timmy: CAN YOU PLAY ONE HANDED-
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ac1983fan Mafia Scum
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I wasn't trying to make a mass claim, just trying to think strategically. Of course, i realized afterwards I made a stupid mistake there, so...IH wrote:You guys do realize that Ac pretty much was wanting a mass claim? There's a mason claim out, if the monks claim, the remainder have to be vanilla's/Scum/wolves.
That's not even counting possibly clearing a wolf/scum from there claims that could be true.
= (-
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pevergreen Townie
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