Adeus scumbag!
Mini 954 ~ Mafia at the 11th Hour (Game Over!)
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Jahudo Mafia Scum
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Jahudo Mafia Scum
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I like Pom's answer, at least she's being honest that its OMGUS. Maybe this is the game where I finally see a Townegranate and not another Scumegranate.
I'm not feeling the Nikanor wagon now. Its too random, though I want to hear why Nikanor voted VP over more lurky-lurkers.
Tony, Percy: did you know the game had started? Do you watch topics or just check sub-forums for active games when you're online?-
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Jahudo Mafia Scum
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dramonic was responding to Seraphim, who called out Percy but not Tony. So dramonic's ignoring Tony is a result of Sera ignoring Tony. Or maybe not...
Would knowing Tony have mattered in this case? Seraphim called out Percy, so you answered for Percy. Why would you have tacked on a comment about Tony?dramonic wrote:Because I dont know Tony and is interaction with games
I however doubt this type of lurkerish behaviour would come from percy, hence my supposition he just missed the start.-
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I don't know. My point is that you didn't need to, but its odd that your defense isn't "I didn't need to call him out", but rather "I don't know Tony and his interaction with games".dramonic wrote:For no reason.
Why am I being attacked for not calling out Tony?
That assumes you acknowledged Tony's absence and decided not to comment on it. I'm wondering where you would have commented on it, if it were something you would have commented.
Right now I'm just feeling out your thought process. I don't find this scummy behavior at the moment.-
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Jahudo Mafia Scum
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Seraphim, did you notice Porkens had changed his vote before you posted a few minutes after him?
Porkens wasn't under pressure to switch his vote, and in fact had an opportunity to try and pressure dramonic onto the wagon, but chose to switch. So I don't see his voting as opportunistic.
@dramonic: is your vote on Nikanor serious?
@Pom: is your vote on DDD serious?-
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I think Nikanor is making too big of an issue over Percy taking ~10 hours to make his second post. Percy didn't have to be prodded again, and he gave a reason that sounded reasonable. Besides, the pace and content-level of this game should not be daunting to scum. Nikanor, do your examples include games under similar circumstances to this?
I don't see how Seraphim came to the conclusion that Tony has a power that unlocks at L-1, or that Porkens would want the wagon to stop at L-1. Why was that the only theory about Porkens' vote?
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@Pomegranate:
Particular about what?Pomegranate wrote:But maybe this is just me being particular about things.
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@dramonic:
Was it just about humor? Was post 80 responding to a specific sentence in Tony's post? Were you only speaking for yourself?dramonic wrote:I find it silly I'm gaining votes for that pair of comment. 'Twas just intended in good humour
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d3x has stayed pretty active, but has made next to no content besides unassuming questions that try to get reads out of other people. Pair that with him not giving any reads on other players, and he looks like scum playing to the pace of the game rather than town trying to get the scumhunting started. He's my top suspect.
unvote;
Vote: d3x-
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My Tony vote was random the whole time, so the deflation of the wagon made sense to me.
Your questions to Nik and Seraphim were fine, it was most of your questions to TonyMontana that I found questionable. You ask him how he feels about dramonic, and if anyone looks like scum on Tony's wagon, before you say how you feel about dramonic, or if you think anyone on Tony's wagon look scummy. This kind of questioning could allow you to hold back your own suspicions until you know what is the popular choice, rather than what is the choice you believe in.d3x wrote:
If I'm asking questions in order to get reads, how exactly would I be expected to have the reads I'm looking for? This doesn't make much sense to me.Jahudo wrote:Pair that with him not giving any reads on other players
But you are explaining your Nik suspicion now, so that's good. Do you really have examples of Nikanor needs prods as town?-
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Interesting. It looks like Nikanor is misleading the town here:d3x wrote:Also of note in that 2nd link is the fact that this exact situation played out. There were multiple promises of posts and then days would slip by before we heard from him again. Had the Mod been in attendance, prods would've been sent.
Make room on the awesome wagon!Nikanor wrote:What Percy did is exactly what I have a tendency toward doing as scum: posting "Oh, I'll catch up!" and then not actually catching up until I get prodded again. If you want, I could give about five or six examples where I do this as scum.
unvote;
Vote: Nikanor-
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What's a ghost power, Porkens?
What are you trying to show with that game? Both of those scum were posting on page 1. They didn't lurk through the random vote stage.Nikanor wrote:
Ehh, no. At least I don't think so.Jahudo wrote:I think Nikanor is making too big of an issue over Percy taking ~10 hours to make his second post. Percy didn't have to be prodded again, and he gave a reason that sounded reasonable. Besides, the pace and content-level of this game should not be daunting to scum. Nikanor, do your examples include games under similar circumstances to this?
Actually, wait. This is a game that roughly matches the circumstances here, I believe. I ended up replacing out of that game, though.
That's reasonable by itself. But it starts to look like your going on a general lurker hunt when you bring Percy into the discussion. I guess we could argue semantics over what "catching up ASAP" means, which is literally "as soon as possible", which for him seemed to be 10 hours. If Percy had said "catching up now", that would be more black-and-white. Did you see read into his wording like this, or was there something else that made him stand out from someone like Tony who hadn't posted at all by that point?Nikanor wrote:I noticed that VP was posting elsewhere but not in this thread, so I pointed it out.
Even in the random vote stage?Nikanor wrote:
Ehh, that game. I tried to forget about that. Such bad memories. That is by far my worst performance as a town role to this date. I won't deny lurking in that game, but that's because I was too stupid and too busy to scumhunt like a normal person.d3x wrote:Also of note in that 2nd link is the fact that this exact situation played out. There were multiple promises of posts and then days would slip by before we heard from him again. Had the Mod been in attendance, prods would've been sent.
Anyway, the point is not that I do that exclusively as scum. The point is that I do that as scum five times more often than I do as town.-
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Jahudo Mafia Scum
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Black mushroom looks more like a steering wheel. And that guy is driving with it.
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@Pomegranite: Was there something else to this sentence you wrote?
How will people take his post?Pom wrote:And the smiley makes me feel that he's trying to lighten the mood, so people will take his previous post
Pomegranite, it seems like you initially had a problem with dramonic having no reason to call Tony town because that goes against how you scumhunt and you think he was trying to push the wagon by saying the lack of a town read meant he should be wagoned. Is that about right?
And when you voted dramonic, did you have any problem with his post saying there was no reason to call Tony scum? If you did, I can't pick it out.
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The only other wagon that interests me right now is Tony. I see what DDD now sees in it.-
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Jahudo Mafia Scum
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I had said that Seraphim doesn't look like an intentional lurker-scum because its only an 8-page game, and it doesn't make sense as a strategy if you're going to stick out more and not even going to have to post much to be considered "active".
But I also see that Seraphim has posted elsewhere on the site on Saturday, so maybe he is avoiding his catch-up post.
And I can see where scum would lurk as much as they could get away with it, because we're on an activity-based deadline.
So Seraphim has been very anti-town, and we do need to hear more from him.
Side note: I feel that Tony has been lurking and acting scummy when he's actually posted, so I'd vote him before Seraphim. And Nik wagon is still good.-
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I don't see dramonic's "we have no reason to think your town/scum" as wishy-washy, so that part of the case I don't understand. Tony is as good a lynch as Nikanor at this point, but I want to see if he'll continue to show this particular scumtell in his catch-up post before I think of switching wagons. I'm still waiting on Nikanor to answer my questions, which should also help my read on him.-
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Tony's replacing out doesn't look tactical, but I'm still not sure if his activity and content levels were. I still like the case on him because he was focused on defending against DDD over weak reasons instead of commenting and scumhunting in the thread in general. It looked like Tony was feeding off DDD's attacks to ignore the rest of the thread.
I'm interested to see who Vi pulls out of her bag of replacements next.
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I don't see the case on VP yet, but I'm interested to see how VP responds and if Nik elaborates. We've still got time to get a competing wagon going, but I'm not sure if this is it. And I do see reasoning from VP, though not in his vote post obviously.-
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Not the viability of his specific wagon to get a lynch, but rather the positives of having any competing wagon (not just 1 vote, like most have competing wagons have been) today is good for analysis later on. And if there was a competing wagon on VP, I wouldn't be on it now.Percy wrote:You don't see the case on VP (and in fact imply you disagree), but you're commenting on the viability of a wagon?-
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Porkens is playing like he did in Mafia Reverberation, and he was town there. So I don't think his "willingness to get a lynch quickly on just about anybody day 1" is something he'd only do as scum. And that seems to be the basis of his wagon today.semioldguy wrote:@Jahudo
What are your thoughts of Porkens as a potential competing wagon?
I just started reading The Fountainhead. I'll see if there's anything to pull from that game's scumteam of Porkens-DDD-d3x.-
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I had been thinking about Tony and Sera, but then they got replaced.VP Baltar wrote:Hey hudo, you missed my question earlier:
Also, what changed on Page 10/11 that you don't care about about a counter wagon anymore?VP wrote:Jahudo, if you want a counter wagon why are you so tentatively trying to feel one out instead of just getting one going?
With Tony, I thought he was focusing on defense from DDD instead of trying to find scum and comment in the rest of the game. It seemed like he was taking advantage of having a narrow focus so he wouldn't have to give stances on the rest of the game. But we don't know if he would have continued to do that or not, so its still only a small suspicion currently and not enough to make me want to wagon semioldguy without having something on him too.
Sera was being lurkalicious, but he's like that in other games so it looks like real life issues.-
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Nikanor was sitting on his Seraphim vote for a while. The Sera wagon looked like it could have been viable, and it was an easy vote so I think this was the main mislynch he was going for. His comment on the DDD-Tony interaction is interesting, calling it possible "distancing". His post 227 looks like he is planning on getting lynched and just wants to throw out a bunch of mixed signals. Its hard to read anything from that post.
As for the people on his wagon...
d3x - I don't think his play was bussing. His case was in early and all day. Town.
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dramonic - It looks like his random vote Nik went serious around post 67. His null read on Tony only looks scummy if Tony is also scum. If he's scum, I don't see where he was trying to get a mislynch anywhere. Town.
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Pomegranate - Her vote took Nik to L-1, so maybe its bussing. Its fine she hopped with old reasons, because the case had already been made, but there's a question to how she viewed the wagon as it was building. Maybe scum.
@Pom: What was your reaction when you first read dramonic and d3x's case on Nikanor? What changed after your last post before coming back and voting Nik?
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Porkens - Impossible to read. I think he'd say the exact same things yesterday as either alignment. His day 2 should be easier to read, if his goal was just to get past day 1 without the thread getting too mucked up. Neutral based on Nik, gut town overall.
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VP Baltar - He gave the Nik wagon plenty of momentum, but post 204 moves that momentum away from the wagon and leaves a doubt in the Nik wagon for the fact that dramonic is on it. And post 192 looks like VP has an out from the Nik wagon, saying Nik could stop being a lurker and maybe look better. And I don't know what to make of Nik's late push on VP, because on the face of it Nik was probably already a goner and was thinking of either distancing or setting up WIFOM so we'd think he was distancing. Maybe scum.
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And the people off his wagon...
Cobalt (Seraphim) - Seraphim ignored Nikanor, but Nik looked like he was trying to lynch Sera. Cobalt didn't give any feeling that he had read the thread in his two posts, so its hard to say if he was aware of the Nik wagon or not. Leaning Town.
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Percy - He kept Nikanor as his #2 suspect for what seemed like most of the day, which actually sounds like a good balance of distancing and trying to save a buddy with a mislynch. Or he could have found Porkens slightly scummier than Nik. Not sure here yet.
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semioldguy (Tony) - Tony completely ignored Nikanor and his wagon, even though it was going when he was posting. Yesterday I though Tony was ignoring most of the game by going defensive against DDD. That would allow him to avoid commenting on the Nik wagon and having to give a read early, that if scum he might want to hide until later. Semioldguy didn't explain why he didn't like the Nik wagon, which seems worse than if he didn't like it but explained why. However the only scum motivation I can think of is trying to get a mislynch. Maybe scum.
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Debonair Danny DiPietro - He was against the Nik wagon for as long as he mentioned him, but that could mean he thought Nik was town. Based on his Tony case though, he's Leaning Town.
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My top suspects are 1) Semi, little gap to 2) VP then a medium sized gap to 3) Pom, then a big gap to 4) Percy and then its a huge gap to everyone else.
Vote: semioldguy-
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Did you mean to vote semioldguy here?dramonic wrote:I'm good for a SOG wagon.
Semioldguy
Yeah that was how you explained it yesterday. I think I can follow your thought process, it looked worse to me than it is. But anyway, I'm not suspicious of you.Pom wrote:First of all, I like some of the points you brought against him later. Also, a lot of Nikanor's reactions to the case seemed scummy to me.-
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Ah, I thought that's what it might be about. Yesterday I explained why I wanted a competing wagon:
I had no intention of voting VP, and I wasn't trying to start a wagon by calling out Player X, because I wasn't arguing for a specific alternative. All you can say is that I was waiting for an opportunity to happen, and you have to argue that is something I would logically do as scum that late in the day when I was previously digging myself further into the Nikanor wagon by questioning him and helping others vote him.Jahudo wrote:the positives of having any competing wagon (not just 1 vote, like most have competing wagons have been) today is good for analysis later on. And if there was a competing wagon on VP, I wouldn't be on it now.
Now let me counter your case by showing you how those "tells" apply better to your game:
1. Trying to encourage other wagons without commiting himself is really scummy. You put the ownership of your Tony vote on DDD here.
You also place your dramonic suspicion over Nikanor indirectly. If you thought Nikanor was scummier, dramonic's involvement on his wagon shouldn't make you switch votes unless it was to dramonic. But you vote Tony. I don't understand that logic.VP Baltar wrote:I think history has shown that DDD knows better than me early game and I don'tknow how comfortable I am being on a dramonic supported wagon at this point. Let's get some votes over here people.
2. Explain why you were bailing Nikanor out here:
Sounds like if Nik posted more, you'd move on to dramonic or a lurker.VP Baltar wrote:Nik isn't exactly present either. Perhaps if he was here posting I'd feel better about him, but lurking (after calling lurking a scumtell) is lynch worthy atm.
unvote;
Vote: VP Baltar-
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@semioldguy: I had already said this.
What changed was that VPB tried to use scumtells he is guilty of, which makes me think he's not speaking honestly.Jahudo wrote:My top suspects are 1) Semi, little gap to 2) VP then a medium sized gap to 3) Pom, then a big gap to 4) Percy and then its a huge gap to everyone else.
I agree with him, however, that we don't need to speedwagon you with little discussion.
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VPB's response doesn't change my opinion of him.
Where was it obvious? The part where you asked me why the Nik wagon was superior to dramonic, and I replied by saying dramonic looked town? (214) Or the part where I said I wouldn't switch to Tony unless he posted more things that were scummy? (also 214) Or the part where I said I didn't see the case on VP Baltar and wasn't going to vote for him based on it? (230)VP Baltar wrote:You being coy about distracting from the Nik lynch a day or so before the deadline is quite obvious to me even if you think you were being careful about it.
It's true that I might've switched to a Tony wagon, provided he not replace out and instead kept posting scummy stuff. Same with Seraphim. I was feeling good about a Nik lynch but that doesn't mean we couldn't have lynched another scum in that time frame. Look at Mafia Reverberation's day 1 deadline. Alot of movement in the final few hours and we managed to lynch a scum (Rhinox) while letting another slip out of L-1 (Orbots).
That's true, but you also decreased your interest the Tony wagon by saying dramonic might have been trying to opportunistically hop on it. After you unvoted, you kept asking Tony to contribute more (160, 163, 188) and vote him 3 days before deadline when in that timeframe Tony had said nothing new. You were voting because of DDD, and you were asking others to join your wagon.VP Baltar wrote:Except the part where I had voted Tony seriously waaaay earlier in the day. It's not like that suspicion came out of nowhere.
And you're point being? I said I wasn't going to vote Seraphim or Tony unless they did something to look scummier than Nikanor.VP Baltar wrote:Meanwhile, you spent a lot of the day yesterday talking about Seraphim and Tony but never switched your vote once. Let's talk about ownership there if you really want.
It's fine if dramonic gave you a doubt, but it looked more like you were unvoting in part because of your suspicion on him. And I would think a Nikanor suspicion outweighs a dramonic suspicion from your perspective.VP Baltar wrote:I don't understand your logic, actually. I never said that I thought dram was scummier, just that his play was giving me second thoughts of the wagon on Day 1. His vote had been on that same wagon since the RVS, which I questioned him over. So, I fail to see how in your mind that means that he is where I should have been voting.
What was every and all reasons for you unvoting Nikanor and voting Tony?
Huh?VP Baltar wrote:Nice rhetoric there scumbag.
I win an award? Cue victory fanfare!VP Baltar wrote:First, you win the award for most out of context quote ever. For those not looking back for this, I was actually explaining to DDD why I wasn't leaving the Nikanor wagon.
True, but you also let on that your vote was mostly, if not entirely, based on his activity level. If he posted more, you WOULD feel better. Not might, would. That's a short step to orchestrating a lurker lynch of dramonic, who you were painting as questionable for a while.VP Baltar wrote:So, as you can see I was clearly explaining to DDD why my vote was just fine right where it was on Nik.
Sorta like a gambit?VP Baltar wrote:Second, I was partially baiting Nik to see if he would post shortly after that as a way to get "town cred" from me. After lurking so much, if he had posted within a few hours of that post I would have strongly felt him scum even more than I already did. There's more than one way to skin a cat.
I think we might be deadlocked on a couple of points: me not believing you would have still called Nik scum if he posted more, and you not believing I wouldn't have helped push an alternative wagon if one had started to peak out.-
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Check out these two posts from Nikanor. The first happened early in the day, and the second was one of his final posts.
Nikanor wrote:DDD is pushing the Tony wagon pretty hard, but I don't see any reason for why he's doing it. Possible distancing?
Part of me thinks he was fence-sitting to see if one of them became a viable lynch. In that instance both could be town.Nikanor wrote:I don't get why Tony thinks that DDD is scum and vice-versa. DDD, could you summarize the reasons for why Tony is scum?
But if he wanted to plant a seed that they were both scum distancing from each other, it might make more sense for one of them to actually be scum. That way if Nik's buddy was the one getting wagoned, he had a platform to bus. And if the townie was the first one lynched, the point of distancing was no longer valid.
I think this is another indication that semioldguy (Tony) could be scum, because otherwise I don't see the point of distancing speculation that early.-
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That's not being hesitant. I was very specific on why I wasn't voting Tony, and what it would take for me to switch wagons. When Tony got replaced, there was 0% chance I'd vote his replacement based on Tony actions, because that condition never got fulfilled.VP Baltar wrote:Let's look at what you said about Tony directly before that:
Which I read as you slowly creeping your way toward the Tony wagon. Then when you add your bit about wanting to see Tony post before you think about switching I saw a continuation of that hesitency. With us moving toward deadline at that point and you confessing that multiple bandwagons is a good thing, I just fail to see how you as town would have so much hesitency.Jahudo wrote:Side note: I feel that Tony has been lurking and acting scummy when he's actually posted, so I'd vote him before Seraphim. And Nik wagon is still good.
I didn't see anything in Nik's case, hence me saying I don't see the case on VP. I just wanted Nik to talk more and hopefully give up more reads under the enhanced pressure of a deadline where he was likely to be lynched. There was little he could have said to make me vote you, but we still needed more opinions from him so we could talk about it day 2.VP Baltar wrote:Same with your Post 230 when you say:
First, I have no idea what you saw in Nik's case that even made you interested because it was complete crap. Second, the bolded implies that you could be swayed that way (presumably based on my response) just over a day from deadline. You were also touching on Seraphim all day without serious action (voting). You were looking for deadline shennanigans to start up if you ask me.Jahudo wrote:I don't see the case on VP yet, but I'm interested to see how VP responds and if Nik elaborates.
First off, that's my line. Secondly, I was speaking generally in that you can have 2 suspects with enough support to be lynched, and both can be scum. Nik was a good #1 suspect, but I still think my #2 or #3 suspects from day 1 can still flip scum.VP Baltar wrote:Objection!*cue Vi-cool Ace Attorney graphics*
Mafia Reverberation is not relatable in anyway to the circumstances in this game because the lynching threshold was only four votes and there were multiple double voters in play and we could lynch multiple people in a day. I don't see how you are even drawing a comparison between that and a seven vote straight lynch.
If you want to make the argument that I was trying to lynch Tony-town or Sera-town, that means you think they're town right?
it's all good if dramonic wasn't the only reason you unvoted Nik for Tony. And I can believe you were using other reasons.VP Baltar wrote:Don't see how these are related again. I can actually be suspicious of multiple people at the same time, even if they are attacking each other.
I guess I can understand you not revealing that feeling, but how do you know/think DDD felt that way too? Tony gave a reason for being too busy, so do you think he was lying to protect his player slot from suspicion?VP Baltar wrote:The point was to prod Tony toward contributing SOMETHING. I would argue that DDD and I voting for him was what actually got him to replace out, which actually made me think him more town. That was my reason for voting, not simply DDD. Obviously, I can't make a statement like that in thread or the vote becomes meaningless. This is, of course, is best view opposite of your talk without voting, which did nothing.
Let the mod deal with prods and replacements placing. A player that isn't around to see your vote really isn't under pressure from the vote, unless you can prove a non-poster has seen your vote. Talk about an easy vote to place.VP Baltar wrote:Well, they were all doing the same thing at that point, which was nothing. The point is that you were being a wimp about it and wouldn't move your vote. It just reads as too safe to me.
Late yesterday I disagreed with the dramonic wagon, and I was asked how I felt about the Porkens wagon as a competing wagon, and I stuck to my position that he wasn't acting scummy. I also said I wasn't joining the VP wagon. There's three competing wagons I was against.VP Baltar wrote:The vibe I kept getting yesterday was that if enough momentum moved away from Nik you'd be there in a flash, but you didn't want the responsibility of the one starting it, which of course doesn't look so great to me in light of the flip.
This was a funny post. "Hey lurkers! If you don't want me to vote you, keep on lurking!"VP Baltar wrote:Alright, I'm giving one more day to our lurkers to come in here and give their reads/make a case why they shouldn't be lynched. If I still get nothing, then I'm coming back to Nik because that's the most viable wagon right now. I'm so annoyed at this game right now it's not even funny.
So you'd keep your vote on something you felt better about? Or did you mean "feel better [about lynching]"?VP Baltar wrote:No. Keep reaching though. All people have to do is look at the quotes in context to see the meaning. It's quite clear my Nik vote wasn't moving to dram.
I agree. Maybe we were both doing this yesterday.VP Baltar wrote:There are times when town needs to play things close to their chest for the greater good.-
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In saying that I thought a competing wagon was good for analysis, I was aware that it might seem like I was looking for a competing wagon to join without much reasoning. It seemed like an okay thing to keep ambiguous since part of the intention was seeing who didn't like the Nikanor wagon enough to join another "Viable lynch" without much reasoning.
So I'm not surprised you think I was looking for that alternative myself (and actually I'm surprised more people aren't questioning me over it), but I'm trying to explain why I did it as a townie and why you look scum to me for different reasons than your opinion on me.
Let me be clear that I was willing to switch my vote, but only under the appearance of a case with reasoning as good or better than the Nikanor wagon, or if Sera or Tony had not replaced out and continued to look bad. So part of me was talking about a competing wagon with the thought that I might join it. Just not on a whim.
Also, I can see how a VP-SOG scumteam does not seem likely. I might move back to the SOG wagon today, but apart from you two I don't have any suspects. Some of our low-talkers already look town from their lack of a connection to Nikanor, while others are just playing to their playstyle. But I am suddenly wondering...
@everybody else: Are Jahudo-VP Baltar wall cases hurting your ability to join the discussion? Or no affect?-
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In my post 296 I couldn't decide if his Porkens focus was genuine or forced to take attention away from the Nikanor wagon. He's really my only null read so I want to see you make the case for scum-motivation over town-motivation.semioldguy wrote:@Jahudo
You can't look for yourself?
And basically I didn't see his Porkens case because I've argued that Porkens' desire to lynch whoever is probably something he'd say as town. Percy might disagree with that meta, or just not be aware of it and not trust it.
Given Mafia Reverberation, I think Vi likes roles that can go to either alignment. So are you going to use this power? And if so, is there anyone not willing to lynch you. Maybe Cobalt, but he's mostly a wild card.semioldguy wrote:I can wipe the vote clean. At such a time that I do this, I will get to choose one person in the game and his vote will be the only vote to count for the day, essentially allowing that player to choose who the lynch is on his own.-
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If SOG is scum, we'd want him to use the power to prove that someone isn't his partner. But as scum he might be lying about that part of the role, so the test might not mean anything unless we can also see a townie get the same power with that same condition (you can't pass it on to a partner) at L-1.
If SOG is town, there's a chance whoever he selects will keep him alive and lynch scum. That'll put us in a better situation as a team, but maybe not prevent his lynch the next day unless he doesn't look like a likely buddy through connections. Still I think we'd be in a good enough situation with this scenario for a SOG-town to accept it.
But If they lynch town other than him, we might go lynch him the following day anyway and we'd be in a bad enough situation that the power was not worth using.-
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Percy, what do you think about SOG's play? Is there anything he's said/done that looks scummy?
I understand that, but I think it was deliberate in telling how Nikanor could get off VP's radar or stay on fairly easily.Percy wrote:VPB vs. Jahudo:
I think Jahudo taking the quote about lurker-voting completely out of context is what sticks out for me the most. Jahudo continues to insist that it means what he wanted it to mean, but it is quite clear to me from the context of the quote that he liked his vote on Nik,especiallysince Nik had called lurking a scumtell and then proceeded to lurk. The only reason lurking was being discussed was due to DDD's appeal to VP Baltar to vote dramonic for lurking.
Or I was realizing a similarity in what we were both trying to accomplish.Percy wrote:...that feel like scumlanguage; an attempt to identify with the townie you're attacking,
Scum spin, what do you mean? I would only be excusing people if they could describe why the walls were hurting their ability to contribute, but that's moot now that the discussion is on SOG and the approaching deadline.Percy wrote:and excusing people for not reading what you and VP Baltar have written is the scum spin, and it feels compelling to me.
I don't think those meta tells are contradictory. One describes his desire for a short day 1, not mucked in repetitive conversation, while the other seems to talk about his ability to pro-actively scumhunt.Percy wrote:
I am not aware of Porkens' meta. So Jahudo is saying that Porkens is playing to his town meta, but VP Baltar is saying he is explicitly not:Jahudo 370 wrote:And basically I didn't see his Porkens case because I've argued that Porkens' desire to lynch whoever is probably something he'd say as town. Percy might disagree with that meta, or just not be aware of it and not trust it.
...so I have no idea who to believe, and I don't feel like doing the research right now (but I will tomorrow). At the moment, my opinion of Porkens is largely unchanged.VP Baltar 361 wrote:@ Porkens - You've really been a bit of a non-entity this game, which is not what I'm really used to from you. Normally I see you as a leader, even if that leadership is chaotic at times. Are you not feeling motivated to play this game?
And I wouldn't say that first part is exclusive to Porkens-town, I've just seen him act this way as town making it a possibly unreliable tell. Here's my example: Mafia Reverberation.-
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There shouldn't be any 3rd parties, because of this rule:
@SOG: are you going to explain your Percy case or not? If no, why not?Mod Post wrote:1. Like an Open Setup Except Not. This game includes nine (9) members of the Town and three (3) members of the Plague. You will be warned if you are in LyLo (Lynch Correctly or Lose) or MyLo (Mislynch and Lose).
I think Cobalt is town based on how Nikanor tried to wagon Seraphim, so he's not a concern for me.-
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The link I provided went to a specific post: http://www.mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopi ... 85#2102485VP Baltar wrote:I'm not sure how Jahudo is comparing his performance in Reverb to here, but oh well.
We can say the 3-4 lynches part doesn't matter because its different circumstances, but not caring who gets lynched has that same indifference-to-day-1 vibe I say from him here. It might not mean he's town, but I don't think its tells us why he would be scum.Porkens in Mafia Reverberation wrote:I'd like to see the day end with 3-4 lynches, some popular, some not. I really don't care who those lynches are. There, I said it.
I do want to look at Nik and Seraphim connections again, to see if that vote on Sera could have been distancing given the other building wagons. I'll do that when the server isn't so slow.-
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My ability is passive, so it just went into effect when I got it. SOG's kingmaker ability basically had no effect on me, so I kept my vote.
And since two votes is a majority now, we'll need to agree on the lynch.
LET THE TRIAL BEGIN!!!
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I think Vi edited the vote count in response to a clarification PM I sent after receiving my innate ability. I was wondering if it explained my name was in black, if I could vote and if Percy could vote me. Yes to all three, which meant the vote count was incorrect because a majority of 2 votes is 2, not 1, and we went from L-1 to L-2.
DDD: Do we have to vote in order for the lynch to pass, or can you do it all on your own?-
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This is the only thing Nikanor said about Porkens:
It happened late in the day, and seemed untimely if he was hoping for a Porkens mislynch because in that post he voted VP Baltar (Nik was L-2, Porkens was L-5, VP had no votes).Porkens just seems to be pushing whatever wagon is biggest. His play strikes me as something I'd see from a hidden Tarhalindur Survivor in this setup. I have no real read on Porkens.
Seraphim started the Porkens wagon on page 4, which was also when Nikanor voted Seraphim in part because of a lack of confidence in his Porkens vote. It seems like he was going for the easier target at that moment, but later in the day he also suspects Porkens for relatively the same reason Seraphim did.
And while this was going on, the Tony wagon and dramonic wagon had most of the attention so I don't think Nikanor would go out of his way to create a case on Seraphim unless he was trying to lynch him. I think Porkens had only gone so far as to defend himself from Seraphim, and not go on the offense against Seraphim.
Coming back around to Porkens, I don't know why Nikanor wouldn't have been more in favor of a Porkens lynch early, since Percy was voicing support for it early. It seems like it would have been an easy move for him.
At least with the Tony wagon, he hinted at Tony being scum while the wagon had momentum. With Porkens, he seemed to have recognized the case early (through Sera at least), but he didn't comment on it until too late.-
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9:19 am. Vi didn't say why I got my ability, but I think the reasoning is actually the power itself.Percy wrote:When exactly did you get your power? Are you saying your innate ability just coincidentally activated when I was made king?
To clarify, I got a passive ability that makes the desperation ability have no effect on me. So my ability was most likely activated by the cause, rather than the effect, of the kingmaker. It was SOG's transfer, not the circumstances of the lynch threshold being decreased, that triggered my power.
Why is my power more likely to be scum given, and not a townie power?-
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I can look at the Nikanor interactions a few ways, so I'll give the conclusions I'm leaning towards at the moment but it would be helpful to hear what everybody thinks about them now.
Since some of that was page 4 events, its not a solid tell. I can imagine scum not buckling down until later on, since they'd know early bandwagons aren't filled with confidence. They might wait until later on to find a good wagon. So I can see how he might have been distancing from Seraphim, and not worried about Tony/dramonic/Porkens being the Day 1 wagon to ride into a lynch. He might figure wagons would evolve, and if he could control the Seraphim case early he could see that it doesn't become too large. Yeah I can see that possibility.Percy wrote:Are your conclusions from 442 that Porkens is more likely scum, and Seraphim/Cobalt less likely scum, given Nikanor interaction? I can't see a solid conclusion in there, but that's what I took from it at least.
Plus Cobalt is just lurking like I've heard he does more often as scum than town. Does anyone know if this is accurate? I've seen him be active as scum, but only after he got under alot of pressure. He might be trying to coast.
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With Nikanor calling Porkens a possible 3rd party member, I think he was trying to keep suspicion on his even in the event Nik got lynched. That doesn't seem like useful distancing. Porkens does not seem like a good lynch today.
I'm pretty sure its my 11th hour ability because I wasn't told about it until it came about. That's how the power is described in the OP.Percy wrote:which obviously would be a different ability from your 11th hour power, as this ability would be useless to someone at L-1 under "normal" circumstances.
I don't think its useless, but how powerful do you expect these powers to be? SOG's hasn't saved him yet. I don't think they're mean to be scumfinding powers like cop, but rather self-preservation powers.
I still like both the case against Tony and SOG.Percy wrote:@Jahudo: What do you think of the case against SOG?
SOG or Cobalt seems like a good lynch today.-
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dramonic: what is it about VP?
Whether I was at L-1 or not shouldn't really matter, because no where does it say everyone has to get their power at L-1. And nowhere did mine talk about L-1...that was something I was speculating from the start. It makes more sense to have been triggered by desperation abilities in general, and a product of SOG's desperation is putting everyone 1 vote from a lynch.Percy wrote:
You were never at L-1, as far as I've been able to make out. Also, I don't buy that your 11th hour power is immunity from someone else's 11th hour power.Jahudo 452 wrote:I'm pretty sure its my 11th hour ability because I wasn't told about it until it came about. That's how the power is described in the OP.
@Mod: Did Cobalt pick up his prod?
He posted after he was prodded, right? ~Vi-
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If you look at Seraphim's ISO, he spends 3 posts prodding lurkers, which he thinks is a null-tell. If he was looking for something to do, as he claimed, I don't know why he would do something he didn't believe would amount to scumtells. This is just a minor concern itself, but then he goes on and becomes a lurker.
And I'm even more willing to believe Sera was Nikanor's buddy because other people (Percy, d3x) disliked the case. It doesn't look like Nik trying to become suspicious, but at least get people to see there isn't a good case for Sera at a time when plenty of wagons were forming. It would achieve distancing and protecting a buddy at the same time.
Anyone interpret it the same way? another way?
Oops. Well, in a few hours I'll request another prodJahudo wrote:@Mod: Did Cobalt pick up his prod?
He posted after he was prodded, right? ~Vi
You were in TTGL?dramonic wrote:last time I played with you you claimed scum by yourself anyways-
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I don't mind a SOG lynch, but I prefer Cobalt and some people I think are town seem to prefer him too. The reason I didn't talk about him more was that the wagon was well in hand and I was speaking my mind about VPB. I explained why I thought SOG was scum, and I didn't have anything else to ask him.
Cobalt and Porkens reads went hand in hand, and I flipped them after mulling over how Nikanor might have been playing yesterday. I like my basis of thinking now more than I did previously.
@Percy: What about my Cobalt case doesn't add up? Besides my participation, what is wrong with the tell?-
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I have doubts, and it seems most of the group does as well so he's been downgraded until further notice.Percy wrote:
Does this include VP Baltar?Jahudo 493 wrote:I don't mind a SOG lynch, but I prefer Cobalt and some people I think are town seem to prefer him too.
Nik's attack on Seraphim, but I would say it was distancing not bussing.Percy wrote:What tell? The fact that he's lurking, and apparently that's something he does as scum? Is that the tell? Or are you talking about how Nik's attack on Seraphim is somehow a bussing move?
Also my doubts about Porkens include his "willingness to lynch anyone day 1" is not an alignment tell. And SOG was against Nik at a time it made more sense for him to bus. So why are they better lynches?-
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I haven't been able to read him, so I have a nulltell and a neutral read on him without looking at Nik. And I don't think you have made a case for him outside what I call a nulltell.Percy wrote:Not an alignment tell ≠ towntell. How could a nulltell give you doubts? What do you think about the rest of his play?
I'm not sure what that second part means, but maybe that's accurate. Tony looked scummy, and there are clear doubts about why SOG didn't elaborate on the Nik wagon beyond a simple "I'm not feeling it".Jahudo 497 wrote:Again you dismiss the case based on WIFOM. This verges on "2scum4scum".
unvote;
Vote: semioldguy-
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Hero's catchup post looks kinda like a stream of consciousness from day 1 on. Though it is odd he missed the DDD flip.
Porkens day 2 play was mostly about getting SOG lynched until he didn't have a say in it any longer and wanted Cobalt lynched. I don't understand how Porkens, and maybe Pom too, thought SOG's talking about his power was town. Maybe its a weird opinion because I can't see it the same way, or maybe it was fake.
I'm not on VPB's case. And d3x, dramonic and Pom still look cool for their involvement in lynching Nikanor. I think its likeliest that 2 of {Percy, Hero and Porkens} are scum, and my gut right now says Percy is town. So PoE, Hero and Porkens. But I'll make a case before I join the Awesome 3.0 Wagon on Porkens-
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I hope dramonic and Pom are more involved today.
Only that it could explain why he asked DDD a question, because he also switched opinion on dramonic in the same paragraph. That meant he was probably writing that post as he was reading day 1 and 2 while waiting for the game to open, without proofing it. I'm not putting an alignment tell to it.d3x wrote:@Jah-
What are you inferring with this? Do you think it's scummy? Also, you don't get to declare AwesomeWagon3.0!Hero's catchup post looks kinda like a stream of consciousness from day 1 on.-
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SOG's power was mostly self-preservation because he probably would've been lynched if he didn't claim. I think he would have revealed his power and given it away as scum or town. Unless someone's arguing that SOG-scum would've fakeclaimed a different power if he still got the same power that he did.-
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